diff --git a/.github/workflows/generate-forecast-visualization-data.yaml b/.github/workflows/generate-forecast-visualization-data.yaml index 70e138fb..9a7259df 100644 --- a/.github/workflows/generate-forecast-visualization-data.yaml +++ b/.github/workflows/generate-forecast-visualization-data.yaml @@ -12,84 +12,50 @@ jobs: env: GITHUB_PAT: ${{ secrets.GITHUB_TOKEN }} steps: - - name: Checkout code - uses: actions/checkout@v4 + - name: Get Token + id: get_workflow_token + uses: peter-murray/workflow-application-token-action@v4 + with: + application_id: ${{ vars.GH_APP_ID }} + application_private_key: ${{ secrets.GH_APP_KEY }} - - name: Setup R - uses: r-lib/actions/setup-r@v2 - with: - install-r: false - use-public-rspm: true - - - name: Install dependencies - run: | - install.packages(c("argparser", "fs", "readr", "dplyr", "remotes", "RcppTOML", "tidyr", "lubridate")) - remotes::install_github('cdcgov/forecasttools') - remotes::install_github("hubverse-org/hubData") - shell: Rscript {0} - - - name: generate data files - run: | - REF_DATE=$(Rscript -e "cat(strftime(lubridate::ceiling_date(lubridate::today(), 'week', week_start = 6, change_on_boundary = FALSE)))") - Rscript src/get_covid_hosp_data.R --reference_date "$REF_DATE" --base_hub_path "." --target_data FALSE - Rscript src/get_forecast_data.R --reference_date "$REF_DATE" --base_hub_path "." --horizons_to_include 0 1 2 - Rscript src/get_map_data.R --reference_date "$REF_DATE" --base_hub_path "." --horizons_to_include 0 1 2 - env: - NHSN_API_KEY_ID: ${{ secrets.NHSN_API_KEY_ID }} - NHSN_API_KEY_SECRET: ${{ secrets.NHSN_API_KEY_SECRET }} + - name: Checkout code + uses: actions/checkout@v4 - - name: Commit changes - uses: EndBug/add-and-commit@v9 - with: - message: "Update weekly data" - default_author: github_actions - push: true - new_branch: add-viz-data + - name: Setup R + uses: r-lib/actions/setup-r@v2 + with: + install-r: false + use-public-rspm: true - generate-webtext: - needs: update-visualization-data - if: ${{ github.repository_owner == 'CDCgov' }} - runs-on: ubuntu-22.04 - env: - GITHUB_PAT: ${{ secrets.GITHUB_TOKEN }} - steps: - - name: Get Token - id: get_workflow_token - uses: peter-murray/workflow-application-token-action@v4 - with: - application_id: ${{ vars.GH_APP_ID }} - application_private_key: ${{ secrets.GH_APP_KEY }} + - name: Install dependencies + run: | + install.packages(c("argparser", "fs", "readr", "dplyr", "remotes", "RcppTOML", "tidyr", "lubridate", "glue")) + remotes::install_github('cdcgov/forecasttools') + remotes::install_github("hubverse-org/hubData") + shell: Rscript {0} - - name: Checkout code - uses: actions/checkout@v4 + - name: Generate data files + run: | + REF_DATE=$(Rscript -e "cat(strftime(lubridate::ceiling_date(lubridate::today(), 'week', week_start = 6, change_on_boundary = FALSE)))") + Rscript src/get_covid_hosp_data.R --reference_date "$REF_DATE" --base_hub_path "." --target_data FALSE + Rscript src/get_forecast_data.R --reference_date "$REF_DATE" --base_hub_path "." --horizons_to_include 0 1 2 + Rscript src/get_map_data.R --reference_date "$REF_DATE" --base_hub_path "." --horizons_to_include 0 1 2 + Rscript src/get_webtext.R --reference_date "$REF_DATE" --base_hub_path "." + env: + NHSN_API_KEY_ID: ${{ secrets.NHSN_API_KEY_ID }} + NHSN_API_KEY_SECRET: ${{ secrets.NHSN_API_KEY_SECRET }} - - name: Setup R - uses: r-lib/actions/setup-r@v2 - with: - install-r: false - use-public-rspm: true - - - name: Install dependencies - run: | - install.packages(c("argparser", "readr", "dplyr", "remotes", "glue")) - remotes::install_github("hubverse-org/hubData") - shell: Rscript {0} - - - name: generate data files - run: | - REF_DATE=$(Rscript -e "cat(strftime(lubridate::ceiling_date(lubridate::today(), 'week', week_start = 6, change_on_boundary = FALSE)))") - Rscript src/get_webtext.R --reference_date "$REF_DATE" --base_hub_path "." + - name: Commit changes + uses: EndBug/add-and-commit@v9 + with: + message: "Update weekly data and web text" + default_author: github_actions + push: true + new_branch: add-viz-data - - name: Commit changes - uses: EndBug/add-and-commit@v9 - with: - message: "add web text" - default_author: github_actions - push: true - - - name: Create pull request - run: | - gh pr create --base main --head add-viz-data --title "Weekly forecast visualization data" --body "This PR adds weekly visualization data files to the repo." - env: - GH_TOKEN: ${{ steps.get_workflow_token.outputs.token }} - \ No newline at end of file + - name: Create pull request + run: | + gh pr create --base main --head add-viz-data --title "Weekly forecast visualization data" --body "This PR adds weekly visualization data files to the repo." + env: + GH_TOKEN: ${{ steps.get_workflow_token.outputs.token }} \ No newline at end of file diff --git a/src/get_webtext.R b/src/get_webtext.R index 58b83b75..9045cd1a 100644 --- a/src/get_webtext.R +++ b/src/get_webtext.R @@ -39,7 +39,9 @@ contributing_teams <- readr::read_csv( reference_date, "-models-submitted-to-hub.csv" )), show_col_types = FALSE -) +) |> + dplyr::filter(Designated_Model) + weekly_submissions <- hubData::load_model_metadata( hub_path, model_ids = contributing_teams$Model diff --git a/weekly-summaries/2025-01-11/2025-01-11_covid_forecasts_data.csv b/weekly-summaries/2025-01-11/2025-01-11_covid_forecasts_data.csv new file mode 100644 index 00000000..455b4dc5 --- /dev/null +++ b/weekly-summaries/2025-01-11/2025-01-11_covid_forecasts_data.csv @@ -0,0 +1,1652 @@ +location_name,abbreviation,horizon,forecast_date,target_end_date,model,quantile_0.025,quantile_0.25,quantile_0.5,quantile_0.75,quantile_0.975,quantile_0.025_rounded,quantile_0.25_rounded,quantile_0.5_rounded,quantile_0.75_rounded,quantile_0.975_rounded,forecast_team,forecast_due_date,model_full_name +US,US,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CFA_Pyrenew-Pyrenew_H_COVID,15419.475,19613.25,21770.5,23999.75,31125.64999999999,15419,19613,21770,24000,31126,Center for Forecasting and Outbreak Analytics (CFA/CDC) Pyrenew team,2025-01-08,Pyrenew_Hospital_Admissions_COVID +US,US,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CFA_Pyrenew-Pyrenew_H_COVID,13810.025,20805.75,25783,31422.500000000004,51082.324999999946,13810,20806,25783,31423,51082,Center for Forecasting and Outbreak Analytics (CFA/CDC) Pyrenew team,2025-01-08,Pyrenew_Hospital_Admissions_COVID +US,US,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CEPH-Rtrend_covid,13112,16939,19477,22366,28402,13112,16939,19477,22366,28402,CEPH Lab at Indiana University,2025-01-08,Rtrend COVID +US,US,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CEPH-Rtrend_covid,11069,17323,22110,28097,42354,11069,17323,22110,28097,42354,CEPH Lab at Indiana University,2025-01-08,Rtrend COVID +US,US,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CEPH-Rtrend_covid,9187,17070,23890,33094,57015,9187,17070,23890,33094,57015,CEPH Lab at Indiana University,2025-01-08,Rtrend COVID +US,US,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CMU-TimeSeries,12706.48622709403,18131.26569456275,20385.34507758008,23361.46480012342,31072.172985488247,12706,18131,20385,23361,31072,Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group,2025-01-08,AR ensemble with auxiliary data +US,US,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CMU-TimeSeries,12714.744728687321,19930.026370409912,22923.08216218753,26691.054395138082,36313.78565843096,12715,19930,22923,26691,36314,Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group,2025-01-08,AR ensemble with auxiliary data +US,US,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CMU-TimeSeries,12743.817076016127,21729.220133322244,25335.12284558315,29501.589343844593,40573.34990631145,12744,21729,25335,29502,40573,Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group,2025-01-08,AR ensemble with auxiliary data +US,US,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CovidHub-baseline,14191,16943.5,17721,18498.5,21251,14191,16944,17721,18498,21251,CovidHub-hub-models,2025-01-08,CovidHub baseline model +US,US,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CovidHub-baseline,13207.486267362674,16488.32499324993,17721,18945.989942399425,22249.06207812078,13207,16488,17721,18946,22249,CovidHub-hub-models,2025-01-08,CovidHub baseline model +US,US,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CovidHub-baseline,12008.59037365374,15897.303970539704,17721,19521.47958479585,23462.00193651936,12009,15897,17721,19521,23462,CovidHub-hub-models,2025-01-08,CovidHub baseline model +US,US,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CovidHub-ensemble,11385.6225553795,15870.6659799805,17398.4665980328,19387.0721773,24114.3302496637,11386,15871,17398,19387,24114,CovidHub,2025-01-08,Ensemble model using CovidHub submissions +US,US,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CovidHub-ensemble,11069,17323,19368.6235698464,21272,29638.48828125,11069,17323,19369,21272,29638,CovidHub,2025-01-08,Ensemble model using CovidHub submissions +US,US,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CovidHub-ensemble,9852,16644.4769148627,20380.9629289949,24123.2592561539,32477.6669812353,9852,16644,20381,24123,32478,CovidHub,2025-01-08,Ensemble model using CovidHub submissions +US,US,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,Metaculus-cp,7236.547110884063,12362.462658859333,15031.843285913916,18309.63457833377,32654.841636690886,7237,12362,15032,18310,32655,Metaculus,2025-01-08,Metaculus Community Prediction +US,US,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,MOBS-GLEAM_COVID,7477,12189,15317,18929,27255,7477,12189,15317,18929,27255,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University,2025-01-08,GLEAM COVID-19 Forecasting Model +US,US,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,MOBS-GLEAM_COVID,8416,13710,17220,21272,30613,8416,13710,17220,21272,30613,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University,2025-01-08,GLEAM COVID-19 Forecasting Model +US,US,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,MOBS-GLEAM_COVID,9949,16176,20295,25074,36062,9949,16176,20295,25074,36062,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University,2025-01-08,GLEAM COVID-19 Forecasting Model +US,US,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,NEU_ISI-AdaptiveEnsemble,7805,11438,14502,16943,20803,7805,11438,14502,16943,20803,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University and ISI Foundation,2025-01-08,Adaptive Ensemble +US,US,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,NEU_ISI-AdaptiveEnsemble,7911,12748,14814,17546,22309,7911,12748,14814,17546,22309,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University and ISI Foundation,2025-01-08,Adaptive Ensemble +US,US,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,NEU_ISI-AdaptiveEnsemble,9755,13937,16377,19497,24542,9755,13937,16377,19497,24542,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University and ISI Foundation,2025-01-08,Adaptive Ensemble +US,US,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,OHT_JHU-nbxd,9539,12047.05,13525.58,15120.51,18493.96,9539,12047,13526,15121,18494,One Health Trust and Johns Hopkins University,2025-01-08,NBEATS exogenous covariate decoder +US,US,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,OHT_JHU-nbxd,7992.52,10890.06,12662.64,14618.14,18874.61,7993,10890,12663,14618,18875,One Health Trust and Johns Hopkins University,2025-01-08,NBEATS exogenous covariate decoder +US,US,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,OHT_JHU-nbxd,6627.2,9658.87,11574.8,13729.3,18531.62,6627,9659,11575,13729,18532,One Health Trust and Johns Hopkins University,2025-01-08,NBEATS exogenous covariate decoder +US,US,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,UM-DeepOutbreak,10689.427734375,14802.331959960937,16385.3916015625,17752.82038378906,21865.724609375,10689,14802,16385,17753,21866,"University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering",2025-01-08,DeepOutbreak +US,US,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,UM-DeepOutbreak,12082.3828125,18984.277801513672,20914.3291015625,22736.593292236328,29638.48828125,12082,18984,20914,22737,29638,"University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering",2025-01-08,DeepOutbreak +US,US,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,UM-DeepOutbreak,9443.21875,19363.46186621094,23641.65234375,25456.03422753906,35376.27734375,9443,19363,23642,25456,35376,"University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering",2025-01-08,DeepOutbreak +US,US,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,UMass-ar6_pooled,14724.381887504765,17113.53843282194,18411.541594503047,19845.144354600066,22787.325387304096,14724,17114,18412,19845,22787,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,AR(6) model with pooling +US,US,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,UMass-ar6_pooled,14380.98247569858,17649.513932866066,19630.416236192512,21862.1555849651,26165.184126564654,14381,17650,19630,21862,26165,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,AR(6) model with pooling +US,US,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,UMass-ar6_pooled,13750.995410224146,18006.03108040892,20466.92585798973,23172.51851230771,29316.658522701415,13751,18006,20467,23173,29317,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,AR(6) model with pooling +US,US,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,UMass-gbqr,12081.817376383962,17945.50273401045,19144.307715484287,20801.855954848663,25441.335112023207,12082,17946,19144,20802,25441,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,gradient boosting quantile regression +US,US,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,UMass-gbqr,11402.686133326177,17626.132122403535,19368.623569846404,21170.96656232811,27983.066262675882,11403,17626,19369,21171,27983,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,gradient boosting quantile regression +US,US,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,UMass-gbqr,10636.638415393261,16218.95382972535,18717.12125984153,19999.031523605096,29579.05661872051,10637,16219,18717,19999,29579,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,gradient boosting quantile regression +Alabama,AL,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CEPH-Rtrend_covid,164,215,248,286,366,164,215,248,286,366,CEPH Lab at Indiana University,2025-01-08,Rtrend COVID +Alabama,AL,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CEPH-Rtrend_covid,130,213,276,357,553,130,213,276,357,553,CEPH Lab at Indiana University,2025-01-08,Rtrend COVID +Alabama,AL,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CEPH-Rtrend_covid,101,207,301,433,797,101,207,301,433,797,CEPH Lab at Indiana University,2025-01-08,Rtrend COVID +Alabama,AL,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CMU-TimeSeries,138.690466239779,215.47150282007047,249.7642022590431,299.39883687668805,437.0055754139851,139,215,250,299,437,Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group,2025-01-08,AR ensemble with auxiliary data +Alabama,AL,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CMU-TimeSeries,140.07730047572994,244.1851004955724,282.4102989923244,347.26818728884626,534.3366821624294,140,244,282,347,534,Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group,2025-01-08,AR ensemble with auxiliary data +Alabama,AL,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CMU-TimeSeries,138.5008338992356,281.09413626339125,314.7472598455181,389.6959847902719,610.959487507053,139,281,315,390,611,Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group,2025-01-08,AR ensemble with auxiliary data +Alabama,AL,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CovidHub-baseline,161.375,201.25,216,230.75,270.625,161,201,216,231,271,CovidHub-hub-models,2025-01-08,CovidHub baseline model +Alabama,AL,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CovidHub-baseline,143.22217622176223,190.9519170191702,216,241.03617286172863,288.5409316593165,143,191,216,241,289,CovidHub-hub-models,2025-01-08,CovidHub baseline model +Alabama,AL,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CovidHub-baseline,127.2940576905769,185.00333753337534,216,247.23250232502326,305.2576793267932,127,185,216,247,305,CovidHub-hub-models,2025-01-08,CovidHub baseline model +Alabama,AL,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CovidHub-ensemble,144.896331263983,204.829068881218,234.360589369513,267.473175195142,344.132326475811,145,205,234,267,344,CovidHub,2025-01-08,Ensemble model using CovidHub submissions +Alabama,AL,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CovidHub-ensemble,134.079961402199,208.940557977367,254.41292642634,299.37287045997,382.531769559384,134,209,254,299,383,CovidHub,2025-01-08,Ensemble model using CovidHub submissions +Alabama,AL,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CovidHub-ensemble,128.438807756563,205.45306531757,276.801807776304,349.474398804374,458.238667077062,128,205,277,349,458,CovidHub,2025-01-08,Ensemble model using CovidHub submissions +Alabama,AL,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,MOBS-GLEAM_COVID,107,176,222,274,396,107,176,222,274,396,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University,2025-01-08,GLEAM COVID-19 Forecasting Model +Alabama,AL,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,MOBS-GLEAM_COVID,128,209,263,325,468,128,209,263,325,468,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University,2025-01-08,GLEAM COVID-19 Forecasting Model +Alabama,AL,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,MOBS-GLEAM_COVID,159,259,326,402,579,159,259,326,402,579,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University,2025-01-08,GLEAM COVID-19 Forecasting Model +Alabama,AL,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,NEU_ISI-AdaptiveEnsemble,175,207,238,263,308,175,207,238,263,308,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University and ISI Foundation,2025-01-08,Adaptive Ensemble +Alabama,AL,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,NEU_ISI-AdaptiveEnsemble,196,248,286,309,375,196,248,286,309,375,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University and ISI Foundation,2025-01-08,Adaptive Ensemble +Alabama,AL,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,NEU_ISI-AdaptiveEnsemble,250,312,346,384,465,250,312,346,384,465,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University and ISI Foundation,2025-01-08,Adaptive Ensemble +Alabama,AL,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,OHT_JHU-nbxd,137.16,163.68,179.22,195.98,231.53,137,164,179,196,232,One Health Trust and Johns Hopkins University,2025-01-08,NBEATS exogenous covariate decoder +Alabama,AL,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,OHT_JHU-nbxd,112.45,142.29,160.42,180.44,224.36,112,142,160,180,224,One Health Trust and Johns Hopkins University,2025-01-08,NBEATS exogenous covariate decoder +Alabama,AL,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,OHT_JHU-nbxd,90.89,120.41,138.86,159.6,206.29,91,120,139,160,206,One Health Trust and Johns Hopkins University,2025-01-08,NBEATS exogenous covariate decoder +Alabama,AL,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,UM-DeepOutbreak,87.3998794555664,176.3437156311032,220.17074966430664,263.44409564819364,352.38793182373047,87,176,220,263,352,"University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering",2025-01-08,DeepOutbreak +Alabama,AL,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,UM-DeepOutbreak,124.26718139648438,200.52185798454283,222.267240524292,243.1828234119415,319.4375,124,201,222,243,319,"University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering",2025-01-08,DeepOutbreak +Alabama,AL,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,UM-DeepOutbreak,128.57054138183594,202.43038034439087,237.3288097381592,257.1816191673279,331.0414581298828,129,202,237,257,331,"University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering",2025-01-08,DeepOutbreak +Alabama,AL,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,UMass-ar6_pooled,158.64208755729646,202.65813776243618,230.7211787390251,261.4909944389883,321.3411225951326,159,203,231,261,321,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,AR(6) model with pooling +Alabama,AL,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,UMass-ar6_pooled,143.37954350127458,202.8774128061834,242.47350354286297,289.74574091994026,390.06353911876863,143,203,242,290,390,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,AR(6) model with pooling +Alabama,AL,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,UMass-ar6_pooled,128.30707413128954,203.9061306351409,252.6036155526072,314.948797608749,451.477334154124,128,204,253,315,451,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,AR(6) model with pooling +Alabama,AL,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,UMass-gbqr,151.1021962881878,211.99076029892183,239.8463764678564,271.502254742091,335.87672112789073,151,212,240,272,336,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,gradient boosting quantile regression +Alabama,AL,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,UMass-gbqr,138.1599228043978,208.8811159547341,245.82585285268013,288.1935145930732,369.27336875872044,138,209,246,288,369,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,gradient boosting quantile regression +Alabama,AL,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,UMass-gbqr,126.10883183099097,198.56878157187552,245.55299568335286,274.1832939137229,385.92909138450943,126,199,246,274,386,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,gradient boosting quantile regression +Alaska,AK,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CFA_Pyrenew-Pyrenew_H_COVID,1,4,7,10,23,1,4,7,10,23,Center for Forecasting and Outbreak Analytics (CFA/CDC) Pyrenew team,2025-01-08,Pyrenew_Hospital_Admissions_COVID +Alaska,AK,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CFA_Pyrenew-Pyrenew_H_COVID,0,3,6,10,32,0,3,6,10,32,Center for Forecasting and Outbreak Analytics (CFA/CDC) Pyrenew team,2025-01-08,Pyrenew_Hospital_Admissions_COVID +Alaska,AK,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CEPH-Rtrend_covid,3,6,9,12,22,3,6,9,12,22,CEPH Lab at Indiana University,2025-01-08,Rtrend COVID +Alaska,AK,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CEPH-Rtrend_covid,1,4,9,16,42,1,4,9,16,42,CEPH Lab at Indiana University,2025-01-08,Rtrend COVID +Alaska,AK,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CEPH-Rtrend_covid,0,3,9,20,69,0,3,9,20,69,CEPH Lab at Indiana University,2025-01-08,Rtrend COVID +Alaska,AK,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CMU-TimeSeries,1.4570330209938256,1.6701247337918876,4.6683471855871765,12.152986652872682,28.773256280309155,1,2,5,12,29,Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group,2025-01-08,AR ensemble with auxiliary data +Alaska,AK,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CMU-TimeSeries,2.5066414812487725,3.506706765428965,5.405329195700997,15.103700480770149,36.70526593987491,3,4,5,15,37,Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group,2025-01-08,AR ensemble with auxiliary data +Alaska,AK,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CMU-TimeSeries,3.3816592753204597,5.166446447731511,8.569147572551072,18.2631675565316,43.55127628101104,3,5,9,18,44,Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group,2025-01-08,AR ensemble with auxiliary data +Alaska,AK,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CovidHub-baseline,0,3,6,9,16.875,0,3,6,9,17,CovidHub-hub-models,2025-01-08,CovidHub baseline model +Alaska,AK,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CovidHub-baseline,0,1.5259202592025907,6,11,20.412678876788767,0,2,6,11,20,CovidHub-hub-models,2025-01-08,CovidHub baseline model +Alaska,AK,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CovidHub-baseline,0,0,6,12.160216602166024,23.745307203072027,0,0,6,12,24,CovidHub-hub-models,2025-01-08,CovidHub baseline model +Alaska,AK,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CovidHub-ensemble,2.08430814263379,4.72769019012451,7.1475031375885,10.4197197649947,19.3440697756163,2,5,7,10,19,CovidHub,2025-01-08,Ensemble model using CovidHub submissions +Alaska,AK,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CovidHub-ensemble,1.74146462545406,4.5,7.76897096633911,11.2311498794003,23.9545511556795,2,4,8,11,24,CovidHub,2025-01-08,Ensemble model using CovidHub submissions +Alaska,AK,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CovidHub-ensemble,1.51512598117442,5.08322322386576,8.78457378627554,12.4614291265701,27.3780422248843,2,5,9,12,27,CovidHub,2025-01-08,Ensemble model using CovidHub submissions +Alaska,AK,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,MOBS-GLEAM_COVID,1,4,6,8,13,1,4,6,8,13,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University,2025-01-08,GLEAM COVID-19 Forecasting Model +Alaska,AK,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,MOBS-GLEAM_COVID,1,4,5,8,13,1,4,5,8,13,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University,2025-01-08,GLEAM COVID-19 Forecasting Model +Alaska,AK,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,MOBS-GLEAM_COVID,1,4,6,8,13,1,4,6,8,13,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University,2025-01-08,GLEAM COVID-19 Forecasting Model +Alaska,AK,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,NEU_ISI-AdaptiveEnsemble,3,5,7,8,12,3,5,7,8,12,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University and ISI Foundation,2025-01-08,Adaptive Ensemble +Alaska,AK,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,NEU_ISI-AdaptiveEnsemble,3,5,7,9,12,3,5,7,9,12,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University and ISI Foundation,2025-01-08,Adaptive Ensemble +Alaska,AK,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,NEU_ISI-AdaptiveEnsemble,3,5,7,9,14,3,5,7,9,14,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University and ISI Foundation,2025-01-08,Adaptive Ensemble +Alaska,AK,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,OHT_JHU-nbxd,8.53,11.96,14.17,16.72,22.65,9,12,14,17,23,One Health Trust and Johns Hopkins University,2025-01-08,NBEATS exogenous covariate decoder +Alaska,AK,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,OHT_JHU-nbxd,7.51,11.53,14.27,17.53,25.47,8,12,14,18,25,One Health Trust and Johns Hopkins University,2025-01-08,NBEATS exogenous covariate decoder +Alaska,AK,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,OHT_JHU-nbxd,6.46,10.65,13.64,17.3,26.54,6,11,14,17,27,One Health Trust and Johns Hopkins University,2025-01-08,NBEATS exogenous covariate decoder +Alaska,AK,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,UM-DeepOutbreak,0,4.455380380249016,7.295006275177002,8.552423536682136,24.65029287338257,0,4,7,9,25,"University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering",2025-01-08,DeepOutbreak +Alaska,AK,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,UM-DeepOutbreak,0,6.235552476882934,8.537941932678223,10.2513821849823,26.317352294921875,0,6,9,10,26,"University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering",2025-01-08,DeepOutbreak +Alaska,AK,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,UM-DeepOutbreak,0,5.544274122238159,9.657017230987549,13.158095567703247,30.36414337158203,0,6,10,13,30,"University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering",2025-01-08,DeepOutbreak +Alaska,AK,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,UMass-ar6_pooled,0.9496355740538954,4.438084075237298,6.642410920437825,9.76934111381186,16.68813955123263,1,4,7,10,17,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,AR(6) model with pooling +Alaska,AK,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,UMass-ar6_pooled,0,3.061366665103063,6.416073994645257,10.607790882506238,22.43910231135904,0,3,6,11,22,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,AR(6) model with pooling +Alaska,AK,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,UMass-ar6_pooled,0,2.5905117838685827,6.294787727505581,11.764762685436976,28.216084449768665,0,3,6,12,28,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,AR(6) model with pooling +Alaska,AK,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,UMass-gbqr,2.7115832642737603,6.388980443037942,8.7014532386568,11.070098416177503,15.28367332611378,3,6,9,11,15,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,gradient boosting quantile regression +Alaska,AK,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,UMass-gbqr,2.482929250908126,6.306708245668768,8.921001932244076,11.854508876294451,16.04953602001476,2,6,9,12,16,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,gradient boosting quantile regression +Alaska,AK,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,UMass-gbqr,2.0302519623488315,6.030200452206789,9.514709370247301,11.744829107355583,18.923876620109105,2,6,10,12,19,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,gradient boosting quantile regression +Arizona,AZ,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CFA_Pyrenew-Pyrenew_H_COVID,488,634,709,792,1010.025,488,634,709,792,1010,Center for Forecasting and Outbreak Analytics (CFA/CDC) Pyrenew team,2025-01-08,Pyrenew_Hospital_Admissions_COVID +Arizona,AZ,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CFA_Pyrenew-Pyrenew_H_COVID,346.975,561,694.5,823.2500000000002,1249,347,561,694,823,1249,Center for Forecasting and Outbreak Analytics (CFA/CDC) Pyrenew team,2025-01-08,Pyrenew_Hospital_Admissions_COVID +Arizona,AZ,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CEPH-Rtrend_covid,448,623,742,876,1170,448,623,742,876,1170,CEPH Lab at Indiana University,2025-01-08,Rtrend COVID +Arizona,AZ,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CEPH-Rtrend_covid,282,524,714,964,1586,282,524,714,964,1586,CEPH Lab at Indiana University,2025-01-08,Rtrend COVID +Arizona,AZ,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CEPH-Rtrend_covid,178,428,666,1023,2011,178,428,666,1023,2011,CEPH Lab at Indiana University,2025-01-08,Rtrend COVID +Arizona,AZ,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CMU-TimeSeries,511.95338570280416,639.0588242046364,703.4794303717619,749.2618376299336,855.9400852043163,512,639,703,749,856,Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group,2025-01-08,AR ensemble with auxiliary data +Arizona,AZ,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CMU-TimeSeries,438.4716980564091,585.4008715295357,678.1308199035418,736.6552075575363,863.9091279190757,438,585,678,737,864,Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group,2025-01-08,AR ensemble with auxiliary data +Arizona,AZ,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CMU-TimeSeries,370.9733630276562,533.4538142519992,649.9662498910161,721.0471659045628,863.1695139116646,371,533,650,721,863,Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group,2025-01-08,AR ensemble with auxiliary data +Arizona,AZ,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CovidHub-baseline,589.875,656.5,728,799.5,866.125,590,656,728,800,866,CovidHub-hub-models,2025-01-08,CovidHub baseline model +Arizona,AZ,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CovidHub-baseline,521.8485772357724,649.85024600246,728,805.3349983499836,934.3977214772144,522,650,728,805,934,CovidHub-hub-models,2025-01-08,CovidHub baseline model +Arizona,AZ,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CovidHub-baseline,469.0714809648097,633.60531605316055,728,821.249392493925,986.6354663546633,469,634,728,821,987,CovidHub-hub-models,2025-01-08,CovidHub baseline model +Arizona,AZ,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CovidHub-ensemble,399.760505181585,571.207751145873,696.878325460847,766.239075331392,951.824446197736,400,571,697,766,952,CovidHub,2025-01-08,Ensemble model using CovidHub submissions +Arizona,AZ,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CovidHub-ensemble,311.983836669922,531.838886914894,672.072193400747,767.218908225218,1017.24096231559,312,532,672,767,1017,CovidHub,2025-01-08,Ensemble model using CovidHub submissions +Arizona,AZ,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CovidHub-ensemble,260.669963213462,491.021370497366,644.087129910699,758.692752857851,1085.97030943426,261,491,644,759,1086,CovidHub,2025-01-08,Ensemble model using CovidHub submissions +Arizona,AZ,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,MOBS-GLEAM_COVID,250,405,508,627,902,250,405,508,627,902,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University,2025-01-08,GLEAM COVID-19 Forecasting Model +Arizona,AZ,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,MOBS-GLEAM_COVID,220,358,449,554,797,220,358,449,554,797,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University,2025-01-08,GLEAM COVID-19 Forecasting Model +Arizona,AZ,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,MOBS-GLEAM_COVID,206,335,420,519,746,206,335,420,519,746,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University,2025-01-08,GLEAM COVID-19 Forecasting Model +Arizona,AZ,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,NEU_ISI-AdaptiveEnsemble,282,531,730,864,1140,282,531,730,864,1140,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University and ISI Foundation,2025-01-08,Adaptive Ensemble +Arizona,AZ,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,NEU_ISI-AdaptiveEnsemble,263,563,749,910,1206,263,563,749,910,1206,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University and ISI Foundation,2025-01-08,Adaptive Ensemble +Arizona,AZ,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,NEU_ISI-AdaptiveEnsemble,281,593,804,960,1298,281,593,804,960,1298,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University and ISI Foundation,2025-01-08,Adaptive Ensemble +Arizona,AZ,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,OHT_JHU-nbxd,415.07,522.18,587.04,658.47,814.69,415,522,587,658,815,One Health Trust and Johns Hopkins University,2025-01-08,NBEATS exogenous covariate decoder +Arizona,AZ,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,OHT_JHU-nbxd,291.54,404.42,476.96,560.03,751.75,292,404,477,560,752,One Health Trust and Johns Hopkins University,2025-01-08,NBEATS exogenous covariate decoder +Arizona,AZ,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,OHT_JHU-nbxd,216.89,329.07,405.14,495.32,713.53,217,329,405,495,714,One Health Trust and Johns Hopkins University,2025-01-08,NBEATS exogenous covariate decoder +Arizona,AZ,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,UM-DeepOutbreak,220.4813537597656,270.43513930664034,702.4634552001953,1097.6017259277346,1147.5555114746094,220,270,702,1098,1148,"University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering",2025-01-08,DeepOutbreak +Arizona,AZ,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,UM-DeepOutbreak,332.42767333984375,386.76776597595216,859.8422546386719,1221.8080396881105,1276.1481323242188,332,387,860,1222,1276,"University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering",2025-01-08,DeepOutbreak +Arizona,AZ,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,UM-DeepOutbreak,526.0822448730469,530.007190246582,1010.9323120117188,1298.1215939331055,1302.0465393066406,526,530,1011,1298,1302,"University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering",2025-01-08,DeepOutbreak +Arizona,AZ,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,UMass-ar6_pooled,472.7875232399737,611.4155022917466,691.2931957214987,783.2163130328507,985.0762706775427,473,611,691,783,985,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,AR(6) model with pooling +Arizona,AZ,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,UMass-ar6_pooled,375.4732892373154,545.958694091473,666.0135668979514,797.7826088929002,1091.8750524211355,375,546,666,798,1092,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,AR(6) model with pooling +Arizona,AZ,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,UMass-ar6_pooled,291.0720068745307,494.62441715093547,638.2080099303828,796.3383398111391,1217.5602798117382,291,495,638,796,1218,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,AR(6) model with pooling +Arizona,AZ,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,UMass-gbqr,384.45101036317016,626.6234329033977,664.7035845247476,709.434870746249,918.5726217179298,384,627,665,709,919,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,gradient boosting quantile regression +Arizona,AZ,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,UMass-gbqr,344.2367086864835,539.6777738297873,627.968774803647,670.3994544105543,942.6068722100531,344,540,628,670,943,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,gradient boosting quantile regression +Arizona,AZ,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,UMass-gbqr,240.339926426924,487.4183238437955,599.3190263822762,641.3908350079168,954.3803390567754,240,487,599,641,954,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,gradient boosting quantile regression +Arkansas,AR,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CEPH-Rtrend_covid,89,130,159,194,268,89,130,159,194,268,CEPH Lab at Indiana University,2025-01-08,Rtrend COVID +Arkansas,AR,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CEPH-Rtrend_covid,64,125,179,253,438,64,125,179,253,438,CEPH Lab at Indiana University,2025-01-08,Rtrend COVID +Arkansas,AR,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CEPH-Rtrend_covid,45,117,193,305,627,45,117,193,305,627,CEPH Lab at Indiana University,2025-01-08,Rtrend COVID +Arkansas,AR,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CMU-TimeSeries,93.23212526987429,144.26800156910582,164.80655621862905,198.56650508190825,275.1858327343551,93,144,165,199,275,Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group,2025-01-08,AR ensemble with auxiliary data +Arkansas,AR,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CMU-TimeSeries,93.31510383305394,161.58591160765047,188.7052548226186,233.6049783034777,334.3888211105083,93,162,189,234,334,Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group,2025-01-08,AR ensemble with auxiliary data +Arkansas,AR,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CMU-TimeSeries,90.86293621457489,179.46396771594272,210.64925244999316,261.4761516201004,380.5769072930523,91,179,211,261,381,Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group,2025-01-08,AR ensemble with auxiliary data +Arkansas,AR,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CovidHub-baseline,104.625,131,140,149,175.375,105,131,140,149,175,CovidHub-hub-models,2025-01-08,CovidHub baseline model +Arkansas,AR,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CovidHub-baseline,93.86612141121412,124.57618576185763,140,155.3371583715837,186.47357348573485,94,125,140,155,186,CovidHub-hub-models,2025-01-08,CovidHub baseline model +Arkansas,AR,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CovidHub-baseline,83.21310563105632,120.61951369513696,140,159.38119881198813,196.96690516905167,83,121,140,159,197,CovidHub-hub-models,2025-01-08,CovidHub baseline model +Arkansas,AR,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CovidHub-ensemble,89.1664516924658,124.90944632392,149.740452459893,180.193412404528,227.999410238624,89,125,150,180,228,CovidHub,2025-01-08,Ensemble model using CovidHub submissions +Arkansas,AR,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CovidHub-ensemble,75.1507891399209,122.595888725281,157.407249740931,197.961088695022,266.035789489746,75,123,157,198,266,CovidHub,2025-01-08,Ensemble model using CovidHub submissions +Arkansas,AR,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CovidHub-ensemble,69.7781853205102,125.735048276278,171.246190350759,213.897200114922,339.97560109751,70,126,171,214,340,CovidHub,2025-01-08,Ensemble model using CovidHub submissions +Arkansas,AR,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,MOBS-GLEAM_COVID,60,100,126,157,227,60,100,126,157,227,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University,2025-01-08,GLEAM COVID-19 Forecasting Model +Arkansas,AR,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,MOBS-GLEAM_COVID,69,115,145,180,260,69,115,145,180,260,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University,2025-01-08,GLEAM COVID-19 Forecasting Model +Arkansas,AR,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,MOBS-GLEAM_COVID,86,142,178,221,319,86,142,178,221,319,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University,2025-01-08,GLEAM COVID-19 Forecasting Model +Arkansas,AR,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,NEU_ISI-AdaptiveEnsemble,40,77,117,143,195,40,77,117,143,195,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University and ISI Foundation,2025-01-08,Adaptive Ensemble +Arkansas,AR,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,NEU_ISI-AdaptiveEnsemble,42,90,132,170,209,42,90,132,170,209,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University and ISI Foundation,2025-01-08,Adaptive Ensemble +Arkansas,AR,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,NEU_ISI-AdaptiveEnsemble,40,100,157,198,263,40,100,157,198,263,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University and ISI Foundation,2025-01-08,Adaptive Ensemble +Arkansas,AR,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,OHT_JHU-nbxd,94.4,122.89,140.5,160.17,204.01,94,123,140,160,204,One Health Trust and Johns Hopkins University,2025-01-08,NBEATS exogenous covariate decoder +Arkansas,AR,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,OHT_JHU-nbxd,83.99,117.06,138.37,162.82,219.38,84,117,138,163,219,One Health Trust and Johns Hopkins University,2025-01-08,NBEATS exogenous covariate decoder +Arkansas,AR,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,OHT_JHU-nbxd,71.8,105.87,128.58,155.22,218.72,72,106,129,155,219,One Health Trust and Johns Hopkins University,2025-01-08,NBEATS exogenous covariate decoder +Arkansas,AR,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,UM-DeepOutbreak,86.7251697582245,114.27802178955078,151.97857284545898,185.93456365966796,213.48741569099425,87,114,152,186,213,"University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering",2025-01-08,DeepOutbreak +Arkansas,AR,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,UM-DeepOutbreak,64.77558898925781,120.19177745056152,175.8491096496582,216.65539051818848,272.0715789794922,65,120,176,217,272,"University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering",2025-01-08,DeepOutbreak +Arkansas,AR,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,UM-DeepOutbreak,0,129.3927754027367,175.71084213256836,207.1763469117164,412.41261291503906,0,129,176,207,412,"University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering",2025-01-08,DeepOutbreak +Arkansas,AR,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,UMass-ar6_pooled,93.28592469355334,126.92889264784033,149.85057967582617,176.0772283422568,232.2968719962485,93,127,150,176,232,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,AR(6) model with pooling +Arkansas,AR,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,UMass-ar6_pooled,81.30157827984176,126.20370883374086,158.5851940664263,199.411776952047,294.4848945784651,81,126,159,199,294,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,AR(6) model with pooling +Arkansas,AR,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,UMass-ar6_pooled,67.7563706410205,125.70026091837656,166.7815385689492,220.6180533181281,360.95120219502024,68,126,167,221,361,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,AR(6) model with pooling +Arkansas,AR,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,UMass-gbqr,89.33290338493163,131.53221299437033,149.63032524396024,184.30959646679986,228.9988204772479,89,132,150,184,229,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,gradient boosting quantile regression +Arkansas,AR,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,UMass-gbqr,82.95343513427639,131.8422421637748,156.2293054154348,196.5104004379963,245.98647087476925,83,132,156,197,246,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,gradient boosting quantile regression +Arkansas,AR,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,UMass-gbqr,77.95720626184438,125.76983563417923,151.6285045164488,179.46576236473456,274.00696218498507,78,126,152,179,274,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,gradient boosting quantile regression +California,CA,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CFA_Pyrenew-Pyrenew_H_COVID,668,874,966,1061,1349.025,668,874,966,1061,1349,Center for Forecasting and Outbreak Analytics (CFA/CDC) Pyrenew team,2025-01-08,Pyrenew_Hospital_Admissions_COVID +California,CA,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CFA_Pyrenew-Pyrenew_H_COVID,464.9500000000001,816,992,1180.2500000000002,1957.025,465,816,992,1180,1957,Center for Forecasting and Outbreak Analytics (CFA/CDC) Pyrenew team,2025-01-08,Pyrenew_Hospital_Admissions_COVID +California,CA,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CEPH-Rtrend_covid,644,848,984,1140,1462,644,848,984,1140,1462,CEPH Lab at Indiana University,2025-01-08,Rtrend COVID +California,CA,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CEPH-Rtrend_covid,475,787,1024,1330,2055,475,787,1024,1330,2055,CEPH Lab at Indiana University,2025-01-08,Rtrend COVID +California,CA,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CEPH-Rtrend_covid,343,719,1053,1516,2825,343,719,1053,1516,2825,CEPH Lab at Indiana University,2025-01-08,Rtrend COVID +California,CA,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CMU-TimeSeries,308.59837281407795,778.6307730784148,1020.4092261492049,1440.7630752598993,2460.7030299040416,309,779,1020,1441,2461,Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group,2025-01-08,AR ensemble with auxiliary data +California,CA,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CMU-TimeSeries,315.83147219700413,874.151499248707,1110.9149552748274,1710.6135139490943,3077.101003470143,316,874,1111,1711,3077,Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group,2025-01-08,AR ensemble with auxiliary data +California,CA,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CMU-TimeSeries,368.3903162301695,1072.7286886108252,1220.5087234224834,1975.1672610888843,3616.5353070764054,368,1073,1221,1975,3617,Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group,2025-01-08,AR ensemble with auxiliary data +California,CA,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CovidHub-baseline,826.75,890,929,968,1031.25,827,890,929,968,1031,CovidHub-hub-models,2025-01-08,CovidHub baseline model +California,CA,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CovidHub-baseline,781.4121298712987,873.3599135991359,929,984.549860498605,1076.9495477454775,781,873,929,985,1077,CovidHub-hub-models,2025-01-08,CovidHub baseline model +California,CA,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CovidHub-baseline,745.2688056880568,863.1016035160351,929,994.1357738577385,1112.4799642996431,745,863,929,994,1112,CovidHub-hub-models,2025-01-08,CovidHub baseline model +California,CA,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CovidHub-ensemble,612.464243225678,860.811244010925,977.798886580617,1127.5,1503.02575064344,612,861,978,1128,1503,CovidHub,2025-01-08,Ensemble model using CovidHub submissions +California,CA,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CovidHub-ensemble,509.005,878.575749624353,1050.03227617742,1274.5,1842.89455426583,509,879,1050,1274,1843,CovidHub,2025-01-08,Ensemble model using CovidHub submissions +California,CA,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CovidHub-ensemble,459.04,873.554600276787,1078.77831424346,1351.88,2003.85383934386,459,874,1079,1352,2004,CovidHub,2025-01-08,Ensemble model using CovidHub submissions +California,CA,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,MOBS-GLEAM_COVID,390,631,791,976,1401,390,631,791,976,1401,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University,2025-01-08,GLEAM COVID-19 Forecasting Model +California,CA,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,MOBS-GLEAM_COVID,391,633,794,979,1407,391,633,794,979,1407,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University,2025-01-08,GLEAM COVID-19 Forecasting Model +California,CA,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,MOBS-GLEAM_COVID,440,713,893,1102,1582,440,713,893,1102,1582,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University,2025-01-08,GLEAM COVID-19 Forecasting Model +California,CA,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,NEU_ISI-AdaptiveEnsemble,704,849,961,1115,1351,704,849,961,1115,1351,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University and ISI Foundation,2025-01-08,Adaptive Ensemble +California,CA,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,NEU_ISI-AdaptiveEnsemble,554,883,1075,1219,1368,554,883,1075,1219,1368,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University and ISI Foundation,2025-01-08,Adaptive Ensemble +California,CA,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,NEU_ISI-AdaptiveEnsemble,715,995,1091,1315,1585,715,995,1091,1315,1585,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University and ISI Foundation,2025-01-08,Adaptive Ensemble +California,CA,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,OHT_JHU-nbxd,606.07,872.64,1047.82,1251.39,1730.62,606,873,1048,1251,1731,One Health Trust and Johns Hopkins University,2025-01-08,NBEATS exogenous covariate decoder +California,CA,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,OHT_JHU-nbxd,543.01,859.15,1078.9,1343.63,1998.01,543,859,1079,1344,1998,One Health Trust and Johns Hopkins University,2025-01-08,NBEATS exogenous covariate decoder +California,CA,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,OHT_JHU-nbxd,478.08,823.21,1075.31,1388.76,2196.75,478,823,1075,1389,2197,One Health Trust and Johns Hopkins University,2025-01-08,NBEATS exogenous covariate decoder +California,CA,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,UM-DeepOutbreak,0,872.6224880218506,1110.2017211914062,1318.0679416656494,2445.027099609375,0,873,1110,1318,2445,"University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering",2025-01-08,DeepOutbreak +California,CA,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,UM-DeepOutbreak,0,1238.4204918823243,1577.6793823242188,1904.9847815551757,3168.316650390625,0,1238,1578,1905,3168,"University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering",2025-01-08,DeepOutbreak +California,CA,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,UM-DeepOutbreak,0,913.5782921752992,1474.7609252929688,1861.127274230951,3264.62158203125,0,914,1475,1861,3265,"University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering",2025-01-08,DeepOutbreak +California,CA,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,UMass-ar6_pooled,719.9977061673866,881.1583956110493,971.5977731612337,1073.7732612453965,1283.6835491157094,720,881,972,1074,1284,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,AR(6) model with pooling +California,CA,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,UMass-ar6_pooled,662.8389079753586,894.5392309799411,1025.0645523548462,1174.5215536757958,1515.7396326783887,663,895,1025,1175,1516,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,AR(6) model with pooling +California,CA,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,UMass-ar6_pooled,620.4834279308354,907.1088583679199,1082.2466284869122,1278.9134478030455,1745.913406232978,620,907,1082,1279,1746,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,AR(6) model with pooling +California,CA,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,UMass-gbqr,618.8584864513563,897.9853857317223,971.2049509914248,1073.7854181991593,1544.0515012868852,619,898,971,1074,1544,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,gradient boosting quantile regression +California,CA,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,UMass-gbqr,563.5846384853996,897.6977115250882,968.2490735865637,1106.6587410815932,1687.7791085316549,564,898,968,1107,1688,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,gradient boosting quantile regression +California,CA,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,UMass-gbqr,478.1030374297119,840.000342185654,947.1217068884628,1109.535503162511,1810.9576786877217,478,840,947,1110,1811,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,gradient boosting quantile regression +Colorado,CO,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CFA_Pyrenew-Pyrenew_H_COVID,138,200,239,285.2500000000002,427.02499999999986,138,200,239,285,427,Center for Forecasting and Outbreak Analytics (CFA/CDC) Pyrenew team,2025-01-08,Pyrenew_Hospital_Admissions_COVID +Colorado,CO,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CFA_Pyrenew-Pyrenew_H_COVID,78.97500000000001,159,224,306,591.0249999999999,79,159,224,306,591,Center for Forecasting and Outbreak Analytics (CFA/CDC) Pyrenew team,2025-01-08,Pyrenew_Hospital_Admissions_COVID +Colorado,CO,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CEPH-Rtrend_covid,177,238,278,323,420,177,238,278,323,420,CEPH Lab at Indiana University,2025-01-08,Rtrend COVID +Colorado,CO,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CEPH-Rtrend_covid,123,210,278,359,561,123,210,278,359,561,CEPH Lab at Indiana University,2025-01-08,Rtrend COVID +Colorado,CO,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CEPH-Rtrend_covid,84,180,264,378,680,84,180,264,378,680,CEPH Lab at Indiana University,2025-01-08,Rtrend COVID +Colorado,CO,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CMU-TimeSeries,140.89278963391118,221.47663478827366,252.31438220611923,296.69083751137873,407.5554377228436,141,221,252,297,408,Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group,2025-01-08,AR ensemble with auxiliary data +Colorado,CO,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CMU-TimeSeries,133.66180526687162,227.16773473975252,266.0977734029521,321.044434017049,461.26907363942036,134,227,266,321,461,Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group,2025-01-08,AR ensemble with auxiliary data +Colorado,CO,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CMU-TimeSeries,136.44438687100336,230.49301966788704,279.6299342039518,341.0477986257752,497.6339262253179,136,230,280,341,498,Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group,2025-01-08,AR ensemble with auxiliary data +Colorado,CO,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CovidHub-baseline,179.5,219.25,238,256.75,296.5,180,219,238,257,296,CovidHub-hub-models,2025-01-08,CovidHub baseline model +Colorado,CO,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CovidHub-baseline,144.70392703927038,204.20359703597038,238,271.76129511295113,332.45266027660256,145,204,238,272,332,CovidHub-hub-models,2025-01-08,CovidHub baseline model +Colorado,CO,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CovidHub-baseline,123.21562565625659,196.59195841958416,238,279.71267212672126,353.84853973539737,123,197,238,280,354,CovidHub-hub-models,2025-01-08,CovidHub baseline model +Colorado,CO,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CovidHub-ensemble,167.189544992294,218.706489207213,249.107021824881,299.203464602847,385.888019561768,167,219,249,299,386,CovidHub,2025-01-08,Ensemble model using CovidHub submissions +Colorado,CO,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CovidHub-ensemble,125.81,207.491114893008,255.777220569072,312.614920620398,436,126,207,256,313,436,CovidHub,2025-01-08,Ensemble model using CovidHub submissions +Colorado,CO,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CovidHub-ensemble,108.12631629552,201.081287536196,268,338.523899312888,478,108,201,268,339,478,CovidHub,2025-01-08,Ensemble model using CovidHub submissions +Colorado,CO,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,MOBS-GLEAM_COVID,114,187,235,290,419,114,187,235,290,419,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University,2025-01-08,GLEAM COVID-19 Forecasting Model +Colorado,CO,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,MOBS-GLEAM_COVID,119,195,245,304,437,119,195,245,304,437,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University,2025-01-08,GLEAM COVID-19 Forecasting Model +Colorado,CO,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,MOBS-GLEAM_COVID,132,216,272,336,484,132,216,272,336,484,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University,2025-01-08,GLEAM COVID-19 Forecasting Model +Colorado,CO,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,NEU_ISI-AdaptiveEnsemble,190,243,283,329,389,190,243,283,329,389,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University and ISI Foundation,2025-01-08,Adaptive Ensemble +Colorado,CO,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,NEU_ISI-AdaptiveEnsemble,189,272,320,362,435,189,272,320,362,435,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University and ISI Foundation,2025-01-08,Adaptive Ensemble +Colorado,CO,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,NEU_ISI-AdaptiveEnsemble,217,299,353,396,472,217,299,353,396,472,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University and ISI Foundation,2025-01-08,Adaptive Ensemble +Colorado,CO,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,OHT_JHU-nbxd,170.48,208.82,231.66,256.54,310.13,170,209,232,257,310,One Health Trust and Johns Hopkins University,2025-01-08,NBEATS exogenous covariate decoder +Colorado,CO,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,OHT_JHU-nbxd,128.62,170.06,195.93,225,290.36,129,170,196,225,290,One Health Trust and Johns Hopkins University,2025-01-08,NBEATS exogenous covariate decoder +Colorado,CO,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,OHT_JHU-nbxd,98.94,140.24,167.13,198.18,270.68,99,140,167,198,271,One Health Trust and Johns Hopkins University,2025-01-08,NBEATS exogenous covariate decoder +Colorado,CO,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,UM-DeepOutbreak,178.5908432006836,243.23253459358216,282.83055114746094,318.1343477306366,382.7760391235352,179,243,283,318,383,"University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering",2025-01-08,DeepOutbreak +Colorado,CO,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,UM-DeepOutbreak,46.5291748046875,212.06563568115232,298.29706954956055,376.94559478759766,542.4820556640625,47,212,298,377,542,"University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering",2025-01-08,DeepOutbreak +Colorado,CO,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,UM-DeepOutbreak,19.77447509765625,207.74436854553227,297.4531669616699,358.8717813568115,546.8416748046875,20,208,297,359,547,"University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering",2025-01-08,DeepOutbreak +Colorado,CO,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,UMass-ar6_pooled,163.89908998458773,214.85948796396698,245.8996614436436,277.3130785166106,355.1291655178395,164,215,246,277,355,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,AR(6) model with pooling +Colorado,CO,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,UMass-ar6_pooled,136.8245835008122,204.10316598807938,245.45666773519267,297.30783063754933,409.31969308492756,137,204,245,297,409,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,AR(6) model with pooling +Colorado,CO,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,UMass-ar6_pooled,117.31263259103939,194.4182065268597,246.79043744365123,313.8046788081566,467.04914156487695,117,194,247,314,467,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,AR(6) model with pooling +Colorado,CO,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,UMass-gbqr,115.54583043414091,215.9363436261523,242.79738413398317,301.7160916943158,359.20036692786186,116,216,243,302,359,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,gradient boosting quantile regression +Colorado,CO,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,UMass-gbqr,104.96871880434279,204.98222978601544,243.93158920951632,304.18540722374735,400.05196360884463,105,205,244,304,400,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,gradient boosting quantile regression +Colorado,CO,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,UMass-gbqr,82.41873106326587,182.59835722412132,235.31331968883157,288.4632415535008,419.19022960528673,82,183,235,288,419,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,gradient boosting quantile regression +Connecticut,CT,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CEPH-Rtrend_covid,172,219,249,282,350,172,219,249,282,350,CEPH Lab at Indiana University,2025-01-08,Rtrend COVID +Connecticut,CT,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CEPH-Rtrend_covid,150,228,286,354,516,150,228,286,354,516,CEPH Lab at Indiana University,2025-01-08,Rtrend COVID +Connecticut,CT,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CEPH-Rtrend_covid,126,226,309,413,670,126,226,309,413,670,CEPH Lab at Indiana University,2025-01-08,Rtrend COVID +Connecticut,CT,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CMU-TimeSeries,187.35126004242085,257.139887913727,285.40782933631465,323.77117871834895,439.1977766873643,187,257,285,324,439,Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group,2025-01-08,AR ensemble with auxiliary data +Connecticut,CT,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CMU-TimeSeries,189.04637452027856,288.54511441194865,329.69249944000165,379.49382561748456,537.1704586619534,189,289,330,379,537,Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group,2025-01-08,AR ensemble with auxiliary data +Connecticut,CT,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CMU-TimeSeries,183.0506711714285,309.1384819017754,372.4300311859801,425.8974903227946,614.1569393023674,183,309,372,426,614,Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group,2025-01-08,AR ensemble with auxiliary data +Connecticut,CT,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CovidHub-baseline,165.25000000000003,226.75,238,249.25,310.75,165,227,238,249,311,CovidHub-hub-models,2025-01-08,CovidHub baseline model +Connecticut,CT,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CovidHub-baseline,151.45032700327002,215.28533285332853,238,260.7113221132212,324.87047520475204,151,215,238,261,325,CovidHub-hub-models,2025-01-08,CovidHub baseline model +Connecticut,CT,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CovidHub-baseline,125.73150106501068,203.52167521675221,238,273.12083370833705,350.41077910779086,126,204,238,273,350,CovidHub-hub-models,2025-01-08,CovidHub baseline model +Connecticut,CT,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CovidHub-ensemble,131.943908989304,215.26065591245,243.833397095817,279.769121375159,372.838979419896,132,215,244,280,373,CovidHub,2025-01-08,Ensemble model using CovidHub submissions +Connecticut,CT,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CovidHub-ensemble,128.74942779541,221.592321089513,268.439015742561,332.5,465.485404968262,129,222,268,332,465,CovidHub,2025-01-08,Ensemble model using CovidHub submissions +Connecticut,CT,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CovidHub-ensemble,125.864264056822,225.993774541975,304.713324706994,394.478032242584,521.531806945801,126,226,305,394,522,CovidHub,2025-01-08,Ensemble model using CovidHub submissions +Connecticut,CT,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,MOBS-GLEAM_COVID,103,169,212,263,379,103,169,212,263,379,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University,2025-01-08,GLEAM COVID-19 Forecasting Model +Connecticut,CT,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,MOBS-GLEAM_COVID,122,200,251,311,448,122,200,251,311,448,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University,2025-01-08,GLEAM COVID-19 Forecasting Model +Connecticut,CT,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,MOBS-GLEAM_COVID,150,244,307,379,546,150,244,307,379,546,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University,2025-01-08,GLEAM COVID-19 Forecasting Model +Connecticut,CT,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,NEU_ISI-AdaptiveEnsemble,94,155,181,211,276,94,155,181,211,276,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University and ISI Foundation,2025-01-08,Adaptive Ensemble +Connecticut,CT,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,NEU_ISI-AdaptiveEnsemble,103,165,209,242,318,103,165,209,242,318,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University and ISI Foundation,2025-01-08,Adaptive Ensemble +Connecticut,CT,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,NEU_ISI-AdaptiveEnsemble,105,188,245,283,375,105,188,245,283,375,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University and ISI Foundation,2025-01-08,Adaptive Ensemble +Connecticut,CT,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,OHT_JHU-nbxd,124.76,169.45,197.8,229.99,303.46,125,169,198,230,303,One Health Trust and Johns Hopkins University,2025-01-08,NBEATS exogenous covariate decoder +Connecticut,CT,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,OHT_JHU-nbxd,113.1,166.52,202.1,243.8,343.12,113,167,202,244,343,One Health Trust and Johns Hopkins University,2025-01-08,NBEATS exogenous covariate decoder +Connecticut,CT,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,OHT_JHU-nbxd,96.85,152.09,190.33,236.26,349.36,97,152,190,236,349,One Health Trust and Johns Hopkins University,2025-01-08,NBEATS exogenous covariate decoder +Connecticut,CT,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,UM-DeepOutbreak,125.73933410644533,265.46188498306276,297.2876510620117,318.872770778656,458.59532165527344,126,265,297,319,459,"University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering",2025-01-08,DeepOutbreak +Connecticut,CT,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,UM-DeepOutbreak,135.4988555908203,253.5796153640747,317.96424865722656,364.89005016326905,482.97080993652344,135,254,318,365,483,"University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering",2025-01-08,DeepOutbreak +Connecticut,CT,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,UM-DeepOutbreak,172.12144470214844,259.2289941085816,350.5252227783203,409.9560644851684,497.0636138916016,172,259,351,410,497,"University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering",2025-01-08,DeepOutbreak +Connecticut,CT,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,UMass-ar6_pooled,138.14848387216298,211.52131182490047,256.62589598303697,309.9245436352482,434.1903640359427,138,212,257,310,434,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,AR(6) model with pooling +Connecticut,CT,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,UMass-ar6_pooled,115.8425538981326,215.86046593525737,285.8780314851214,365.3740035331621,568.4519301218075,116,216,286,365,568,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,AR(6) model with pooling +Connecticut,CT,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,UMass-ar6_pooled,98.1797127900418,213.5993129033215,302.42664941398743,416.4752744005114,708.5073099192552,98,214,302,416,709,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,AR(6) model with pooling +Connecticut,CT,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,UMass-gbqr,153.24672744758254,220.53260611200056,238.6667941916346,277.5382427503184,366.67795883979244,153,221,239,278,367,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,gradient boosting quantile regression +Connecticut,CT,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,UMass-gbqr,137.3170717402447,227.3241762437694,243.06243173353218,296.9225332058362,412.55459732238955,137,227,243,297,413,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,gradient boosting quantile regression +Connecticut,CT,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,UMass-gbqr,125.72852811364487,225.9875490839496,246.83453119469053,288.6939429677291,433.4582544297191,126,226,247,289,433,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,gradient boosting quantile regression +Delaware,DE,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CEPH-Rtrend_covid,61,75,84,94,114,61,75,84,94,114,CEPH Lab at Indiana University,2025-01-08,Rtrend COVID +Delaware,DE,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CEPH-Rtrend_covid,56,81,100,122,173,56,81,100,122,173,CEPH Lab at Indiana University,2025-01-08,Rtrend COVID +Delaware,DE,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CEPH-Rtrend_covid,51,86,116,153,247,51,86,116,153,247,CEPH Lab at Indiana University,2025-01-08,Rtrend COVID +Delaware,DE,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CMU-TimeSeries,66.11884308758374,86.70995599893908,96.37679015509002,103.33861659945737,126.43030921944289,66,87,96,103,126,Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group,2025-01-08,AR ensemble with auxiliary data +Delaware,DE,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CMU-TimeSeries,66.19696026073021,96.47765018375154,112.03304253449281,118.89101614449405,147.39874236814885,66,96,112,119,147,Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group,2025-01-08,AR ensemble with auxiliary data +Delaware,DE,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CMU-TimeSeries,63.28341380183093,103.50671358543639,126.5624739469227,130.06588861680967,161.04208016771796,63,104,127,130,161,Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group,2025-01-08,AR ensemble with auxiliary data +Delaware,DE,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CovidHub-baseline,53.62500000000001,77,80,83,106.375,54,77,80,83,106,CovidHub-hub-models,2025-01-08,CovidHub baseline model +Delaware,DE,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CovidHub-baseline,49.03216032160323,72.81839318393185,80,87.17056670566706,110.92874403744035,49,73,80,87,111,CovidHub-hub-models,2025-01-08,CovidHub baseline model +Delaware,DE,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CovidHub-baseline,43.434357093570945,69.98925989259894,80,89.98925989259894,116.55172051720514,43,70,80,90,117,CovidHub-hub-models,2025-01-08,CovidHub baseline model +Delaware,DE,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CovidHub-ensemble,48.257434284832,69.4459944907108,80.8329396311493,94.0012496393745,118.656570818129,48,69,81,94,119,CovidHub,2025-01-08,Ensemble model using CovidHub submissions +Delaware,DE,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CovidHub-ensemble,42.7104769636048,69.1906569483334,87.8324469945235,105.882467690468,139.484880293572,43,69,88,106,139,CovidHub,2025-01-08,Ensemble model using CovidHub submissions +Delaware,DE,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CovidHub-ensemble,43.4614334634786,73.5418065669359,98.1283160894289,121.315703755856,149.221826674435,43,74,98,121,149,CovidHub,2025-01-08,Ensemble model using CovidHub submissions +Delaware,DE,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,MOBS-GLEAM_COVID,33,56,72,89,130,33,56,72,89,130,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University,2025-01-08,GLEAM COVID-19 Forecasting Model +Delaware,DE,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,MOBS-GLEAM_COVID,39,66,84,105,152,39,66,84,105,152,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University,2025-01-08,GLEAM COVID-19 Forecasting Model +Delaware,DE,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,MOBS-GLEAM_COVID,47,79,100,125,181,47,79,100,125,181,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University,2025-01-08,GLEAM COVID-19 Forecasting Model +Delaware,DE,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,NEU_ISI-AdaptiveEnsemble,18,44,55,67,94,18,44,55,67,94,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University and ISI Foundation,2025-01-08,Adaptive Ensemble +Delaware,DE,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,NEU_ISI-AdaptiveEnsemble,19,48,64,74,112,19,48,64,74,112,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University and ISI Foundation,2025-01-08,Adaptive Ensemble +Delaware,DE,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,NEU_ISI-AdaptiveEnsemble,18,53,71,85,123,18,53,71,85,123,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University and ISI Foundation,2025-01-08,Adaptive Ensemble +Delaware,DE,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,OHT_JHU-nbxd,32.46,45.29,53.57,63.06,85.06,32,45,54,63,85,One Health Trust and Johns Hopkins University,2025-01-08,NBEATS exogenous covariate decoder +Delaware,DE,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,OHT_JHU-nbxd,29.34,44.95,55.6,68.26,99.07,29,45,56,68,99,One Health Trust and Johns Hopkins University,2025-01-08,NBEATS exogenous covariate decoder +Delaware,DE,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,OHT_JHU-nbxd,27.44,44.13,55.84,70.04,105.43,27,44,56,70,105,One Health Trust and Johns Hopkins University,2025-01-08,NBEATS exogenous covariate decoder +Delaware,DE,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,UM-DeepOutbreak,56.50657653808594,73.39722669124603,88.1829891204834,101.73872911930084,118.62937927246094,57,73,88,102,119,"University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering",2025-01-08,DeepOutbreak +Delaware,DE,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,UM-DeepOutbreak,54.56539535522461,79.37147819328308,93.83022689819336,106.76493538093568,131.57101821899414,55,79,94,107,132,"University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering",2025-01-08,DeepOutbreak +Delaware,DE,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,UM-DeepOutbreak,55.06558990478515,74.83575557422638,97.67704391479492,117.63140751171112,137.40157318115234,55,75,98,118,137,"University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering",2025-01-08,DeepOutbreak +Delaware,DE,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,UMass-ar6_pooled,48.867286845337965,70.71507674831477,84.51781543444943,99.25746542782097,134.976954429758,49,71,85,99,135,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,AR(6) model with pooling +Delaware,DE,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,UMass-ar6_pooled,41.858500834769615,70.67918025380229,91.66489398904702,114.89386174427747,175.57784998575372,42,71,92,115,176,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,AR(6) model with pooling +Delaware,DE,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,UMass-ar6_pooled,35.02032145715769,72.24785755964538,98.5795882640629,131.87607746894795,216.7383877454712,35,72,99,132,217,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,AR(6) model with pooling +Delaware,DE,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,UMass-gbqr,47.647581724326045,68.17691223310678,77.66587926229857,94.00249927874894,118.68376236379741,48,68,78,94,119,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,gradient boosting quantile regression +Delaware,DE,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,UMass-gbqr,43.562453092439945,67.70213364286454,77.77939433466732,95.98079111165254,125.9433287682472,44,68,78,96,126,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,gradient boosting quantile regression +Delaware,DE,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,UMass-gbqr,39.92286692695718,63.197923749065026,77.4140856475746,88.95841096072488,132.1155963668506,40,63,77,89,132,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,gradient boosting quantile regression +District of Columbia,DC,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CFA_Pyrenew-Pyrenew_H_COVID,6,12,18,25,47.024999999999864,6,12,18,25,47,Center for Forecasting and Outbreak Analytics (CFA/CDC) Pyrenew team,2025-01-08,Pyrenew_Hospital_Admissions_COVID +District of Columbia,DC,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CFA_Pyrenew-Pyrenew_H_COVID,4,11,18,27,69.02499999999986,4,11,18,27,69,Center for Forecasting and Outbreak Analytics (CFA/CDC) Pyrenew team,2025-01-08,Pyrenew_Hospital_Admissions_COVID +District of Columbia,DC,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CEPH-Rtrend_covid,10,17,23,30,48,10,17,23,30,48,CEPH Lab at Indiana University,2025-01-08,Rtrend COVID +District of Columbia,DC,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CEPH-Rtrend_covid,5,15,25,41,91,5,15,25,41,91,CEPH Lab at Indiana University,2025-01-08,Rtrend COVID +District of Columbia,DC,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CEPH-Rtrend_covid,3,13,27,54,157,3,13,27,54,157,CEPH Lab at Indiana University,2025-01-08,Rtrend COVID +District of Columbia,DC,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CMU-TimeSeries,6.022969445193254,14.408827327275006,18.95217675281334,29.737415487320337,61.43503745573834,6,14,19,30,61,Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group,2025-01-08,AR ensemble with auxiliary data +District of Columbia,DC,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CMU-TimeSeries,5.258970492954214,15.822172283747479,20.06520653938912,36.753655260058146,83.77324123170274,5,16,20,37,84,Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group,2025-01-08,AR ensemble with auxiliary data +District of Columbia,DC,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CMU-TimeSeries,7.008735411150834,20.75468693889403,22.400716469123996,45.084898369499506,104.4430284839971,7,21,22,45,104,Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group,2025-01-08,AR ensemble with auxiliary data +District of Columbia,DC,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CovidHub-baseline,7.25,11.750000000000002,18,24.25,28.749999999999996,7,12,18,24,29,CovidHub-hub-models,2025-01-08,CovidHub baseline model +District of Columbia,DC,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CovidHub-baseline,1.4560120601206046,11.247322473224727,18,24.775785257852586,34.510584105841055,1,11,18,25,35,CovidHub-hub-models,2025-01-08,CovidHub baseline model +District of Columbia,DC,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CovidHub-baseline,0,10.47532475324753,18,25.447829478294782,39.12887003870037,0,10,18,25,39,CovidHub-hub-models,2025-01-08,CovidHub baseline model +District of Columbia,DC,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CovidHub-ensemble,6.82541191476543,13.7368267862597,19.7399580563138,26.1096507111698,39.1135518424967,7,14,20,26,39,CovidHub,2025-01-08,Ensemble model using CovidHub submissions +District of Columbia,DC,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CovidHub-ensemble,6.12948524647711,13.7509348355261,20.3801724236843,29.3535437424885,49.9907769475388,6,14,20,29,50,CovidHub,2025-01-08,Ensemble model using CovidHub submissions +District of Columbia,DC,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CovidHub-ensemble,6.40612901912574,13.1869295633842,21.7177810720389,31.9171875389269,55.7189986801148,6,13,22,32,56,CovidHub,2025-01-08,Ensemble model using CovidHub submissions +District of Columbia,DC,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,MOBS-GLEAM_COVID,6,13,17,23,34,6,13,17,23,34,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University,2025-01-08,GLEAM COVID-19 Forecasting Model +District of Columbia,DC,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,MOBS-GLEAM_COVID,7,14,18,23,35,7,14,18,23,35,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University,2025-01-08,GLEAM COVID-19 Forecasting Model +District of Columbia,DC,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,MOBS-GLEAM_COVID,8,15,20,25,39,8,15,20,25,39,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University,2025-01-08,GLEAM COVID-19 Forecasting Model +District of Columbia,DC,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,NEU_ISI-AdaptiveEnsemble,6,11,14,17,21,6,11,14,17,21,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University and ISI Foundation,2025-01-08,Adaptive Ensemble +District of Columbia,DC,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,NEU_ISI-AdaptiveEnsemble,7,12,15,17,24,7,12,15,17,24,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University and ISI Foundation,2025-01-08,Adaptive Ensemble +District of Columbia,DC,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,NEU_ISI-AdaptiveEnsemble,7,11,15,18,24,7,11,15,18,24,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University and ISI Foundation,2025-01-08,Adaptive Ensemble +District of Columbia,DC,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,OHT_JHU-nbxd,12.42,18.53,22.64,27.47,39.06,12,19,23,27,39,One Health Trust and Johns Hopkins University,2025-01-08,NBEATS exogenous covariate decoder +District of Columbia,DC,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,OHT_JHU-nbxd,11,18.21,23.35,29.66,45.59,11,18,23,30,46,One Health Trust and Johns Hopkins University,2025-01-08,NBEATS exogenous covariate decoder +District of Columbia,DC,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,OHT_JHU-nbxd,10.28,18.13,23.95,31.24,50.27,10,18,24,31,50,One Health Trust and Johns Hopkins University,2025-01-08,NBEATS exogenous covariate decoder +District of Columbia,DC,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,UM-DeepOutbreak,0,10.151721956612542,22.54655838012696,33.7670745826941,56.23485374450683,0,10,23,34,56,"University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering",2025-01-08,DeepOutbreak +District of Columbia,DC,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,UM-DeepOutbreak,0,5.656201658058206,22.672800064086907,35.34789914150234,57.61727333068848,0,6,23,35,58,"University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering",2025-01-08,DeepOutbreak +District of Columbia,DC,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,UM-DeepOutbreak,0,4.517269203186036,23.855381965637207,37.10076134490967,61.16799736022949,0,5,24,37,61,"University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering",2025-01-08,DeepOutbreak +District of Columbia,DC,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,UMass-ar6_pooled,7.627854384337609,14.029532157557522,18.809070806833667,24.74930142233967,39.16710368499334,8,14,19,25,39,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,AR(6) model with pooling +District of Columbia,DC,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,UMass-ar6_pooled,4.512338191664014,13.501869671052138,20.393058661059623,29.047087484976956,54.39155389507767,5,14,20,29,54,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,AR(6) model with pooling +District of Columbia,DC,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,UMass-ar6_pooled,2.514817709455752,12.254169423557899,20.87312105555744,32.59437507785385,69.09056492454947,3,12,21,33,69,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,AR(6) model with pooling +District of Columbia,DC,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,UMass-gbqr,8.294486217198658,13.44412141496193,20.5277393598142,23.823514035877228,36.094690365721846,8,13,21,24,36,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,gradient boosting quantile regression +District of Columbia,DC,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,UMass-gbqr,7.027567065978181,13.464197991479415,20.36728618630905,26.004520677634506,40.77071944510155,7,13,20,26,41,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,gradient boosting quantile regression +District of Columbia,DC,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,UMass-gbqr,5.812258038251472,13.373859126768336,21.034845674953754,26.24368648738013,45.290979231556,6,13,21,26,45,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,gradient boosting quantile regression +Florida,FL,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CFA_Pyrenew-Pyrenew_H_COVID,373,564,666,793,1115.2999999999984,373,564,666,793,1115,Center for Forecasting and Outbreak Analytics (CFA/CDC) Pyrenew team,2025-01-08,Pyrenew_Hospital_Admissions_COVID +Florida,FL,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CFA_Pyrenew-Pyrenew_H_COVID,305.97499999999997,576,802.5,1133,2125.1249999999995,306,576,802,1133,2125,Center for Forecasting and Outbreak Analytics (CFA/CDC) Pyrenew team,2025-01-08,Pyrenew_Hospital_Admissions_COVID +Florida,FL,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CEPH-Rtrend_covid,398,536,626,731,948,398,536,626,731,948,CEPH Lab at Indiana University,2025-01-08,Rtrend COVID +Florida,FL,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CEPH-Rtrend_covid,337,564,747,982,1548,337,564,747,982,1548,CEPH Lab at Indiana University,2025-01-08,Rtrend COVID +Florida,FL,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CEPH-Rtrend_covid,279,582,865,1273,2373,279,582,865,1273,2373,CEPH Lab at Indiana University,2025-01-08,Rtrend COVID +Florida,FL,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CMU-TimeSeries,223.60332810306824,503.1203677966927,651.6878306942262,916.4836686521704,1585.673627688075,224,503,652,916,1586,Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group,2025-01-08,AR ensemble with auxiliary data +Florida,FL,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CMU-TimeSeries,224.30314920909464,632.3761056082337,751.2205962372502,1123.002226458089,2053.6528895446613,224,632,751,1123,2054,Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group,2025-01-08,AR ensemble with auxiliary data +Florida,FL,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CMU-TimeSeries,251.20512044741218,840.8586970987267,873.2548593873698,1321.5652280602515,2449.2865465092477,251,841,873,1322,2449,Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group,2025-01-08,AR ensemble with auxiliary data +Florida,FL,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CovidHub-baseline,439.62500000000006,488,552,616,664.375,440,488,552,616,664,CovidHub-hub-models,2025-01-08,CovidHub baseline model +Florida,FL,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CovidHub-baseline,379.3856673566736,488.23569735697356,552,615.6620916209162,724.6022072720726,379,488,552,616,725,CovidHub-hub-models,2025-01-08,CovidHub baseline model +Florida,FL,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CovidHub-baseline,333.00651831518314,473.4287417874178,552,632.0793132931329,771.7341013410133,333,473,552,632,772,CovidHub-hub-models,2025-01-08,CovidHub baseline model +Florida,FL,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CovidHub-ensemble,278.932391663684,476.151014144119,595.282466117971,674.160813041687,944.248735710615,279,476,595,674,944,CovidHub,2025-01-08,Ensemble model using CovidHub submissions +Florida,FL,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CovidHub-ensemble,284.765,476.87,629.157313570029,744.493557411194,1057.54794670877,285,477,629,744,1058,CovidHub,2025-01-08,Ensemble model using CovidHub submissions +Florida,FL,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CovidHub-ensemble,264.689560765102,553.587530973816,689.287048940421,864,1220.5,265,554,689,864,1220,CovidHub,2025-01-08,Ensemble model using CovidHub submissions +Florida,FL,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,MOBS-GLEAM_COVID,244,396,497,613,882,244,396,497,613,882,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University,2025-01-08,GLEAM COVID-19 Forecasting Model +Florida,FL,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,MOBS-GLEAM_COVID,281,456,571,705,1013,281,456,571,705,1013,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University,2025-01-08,GLEAM COVID-19 Forecasting Model +Florida,FL,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,MOBS-GLEAM_COVID,343,556,697,860,1235,343,556,697,860,1235,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University,2025-01-08,GLEAM COVID-19 Forecasting Model +Florida,FL,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,NEU_ISI-AdaptiveEnsemble,324,452,543,671,896,324,452,543,671,896,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University and ISI Foundation,2025-01-08,Adaptive Ensemble +Florida,FL,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,NEU_ISI-AdaptiveEnsemble,319,493,622,747,910,319,493,622,747,910,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University and ISI Foundation,2025-01-08,Adaptive Ensemble +Florida,FL,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,NEU_ISI-AdaptiveEnsemble,370,532,744,868,1206,370,532,744,868,1206,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University and ISI Foundation,2025-01-08,Adaptive Ensemble +Florida,FL,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,OHT_JHU-nbxd,296.82,441.56,538.56,652.69,926.05,297,442,539,653,926,One Health Trust and Johns Hopkins University,2025-01-08,NBEATS exogenous covariate decoder +Florida,FL,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,OHT_JHU-nbxd,288.53,460.74,581.09,726.58,1087.88,289,461,581,727,1088,One Health Trust and Johns Hopkins University,2025-01-08,NBEATS exogenous covariate decoder +Florida,FL,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,OHT_JHU-nbxd,241.4,425.77,562.35,733.65,1180.41,241,426,562,734,1180,One Health Trust and Johns Hopkins University,2025-01-08,NBEATS exogenous covariate decoder +Florida,FL,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,UM-DeepOutbreak,139.4000244140625,500.1064745025635,610.4217529296875,677.321626083374,1038.028076171875,139,500,610,677,1038,"University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering",2025-01-08,DeepOutbreak +Florida,FL,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,UM-DeepOutbreak,197.60205078125,455.24518498229986,633.3327941894531,741.9871148223876,999.6302490234376,198,455,633,742,1000,"University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering",2025-01-08,DeepOutbreak +Florida,FL,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,UM-DeepOutbreak,111.3209228515625,551.1750619476318,647.3378601074219,685.2393667633057,1125.093505859375,111,551,647,685,1125,"University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering",2025-01-08,DeepOutbreak +Florida,FL,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,UMass-ar6_pooled,261.04478332736863,452.1955537856754,580.1431793062536,734.5171284958159,1152.2437463563938,261,452,580,735,1152,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,AR(6) model with pooling +Florida,FL,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,UMass-ar6_pooled,194.5590398478492,447.0176691096568,628.913416543936,880.468584272295,1488.5793727161945,195,447,629,880,1489,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,AR(6) model with pooling +Florida,FL,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,UMass-ar6_pooled,128.8518600355086,448.3825640996069,681.5740978808419,1013.7818828810424,2000.2110472041088,129,448,682,1014,2000,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,AR(6) model with pooling +Florida,FL,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,UMass-gbqr,351.4081110936812,580.0524628196458,617.4485043297036,662.4656184391488,940.4974714212296,351,580,617,662,940,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,gradient boosting quantile regression +Florida,FL,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,UMass-gbqr,317.03789522487966,583.0320139878704,629.4012105961225,716.3923648077036,1027.2158934175438,317,583,629,716,1027,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,gradient boosting quantile regression +Florida,FL,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,UMass-gbqr,278.1740010827926,583.0320139878704,637.1286151814509,745.08138144927,1182.09159197099,278,583,637,745,1182,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,gradient boosting quantile regression +Georgia,GA,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CFA_Pyrenew-Pyrenew_H_COVID,218,312,364,426,633.0249999999999,218,312,364,426,633,Center for Forecasting and Outbreak Analytics (CFA/CDC) Pyrenew team,2025-01-08,Pyrenew_Hospital_Admissions_COVID +Georgia,GA,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CFA_Pyrenew-Pyrenew_H_COVID,176,334,450,598,1338.2499999999986,176,334,450,598,1338,Center for Forecasting and Outbreak Analytics (CFA/CDC) Pyrenew team,2025-01-08,Pyrenew_Hospital_Admissions_COVID +Georgia,GA,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CEPH-Rtrend_covid,203,270,314,365,472,203,270,314,365,472,CEPH Lab at Indiana University,2025-01-08,Rtrend COVID +Georgia,GA,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CEPH-Rtrend_covid,162,271,356,465,725,162,271,356,465,725,CEPH Lab at Indiana University,2025-01-08,Rtrend COVID +Georgia,GA,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CEPH-Rtrend_covid,127,264,391,567,1044,127,264,391,567,1044,CEPH Lab at Indiana University,2025-01-08,Rtrend COVID +Georgia,GA,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CMU-TimeSeries,134.49983935146562,279.7071726849623,353.11116406264136,472.7199891020443,831.9973582510651,134,280,353,473,832,Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group,2025-01-08,AR ensemble with auxiliary data +Georgia,GA,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CMU-TimeSeries,141.19987825432406,348.08573567573217,411.6203535798184,580.7882567196486,1080.9056954758034,141,348,412,581,1081,Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group,2025-01-08,AR ensemble with auxiliary data +Georgia,GA,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CMU-TimeSeries,154.08949699449502,453.70570747750673,479.6641983514899,688.1413772548742,1297.437510729987,154,454,480,688,1297,Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group,2025-01-08,AR ensemble with auxiliary data +Georgia,GA,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CovidHub-baseline,230.5,276.25,292,307.75,353.5,230,276,292,308,354,CovidHub-hub-models,2025-01-08,CovidHub baseline model +Georgia,GA,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CovidHub-baseline,196.48924489244897,257.8848288482885,292,325.8450184501845,388.2222422224222,196,258,292,326,388,CovidHub-hub-models,2025-01-08,CovidHub baseline model +Georgia,GA,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CovidHub-baseline,178.25455104551042,250.97383973839734,292,332.96173461734617,406.0271390213901,178,251,292,333,406,CovidHub-hub-models,2025-01-08,CovidHub baseline model +Georgia,GA,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CovidHub-ensemble,167.14,274.775685268348,315.079967907168,359.714466156979,482.492155961234,167,275,315,360,482,CovidHub,2025-01-08,Ensemble model using CovidHub submissions +Georgia,GA,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CovidHub-ensemble,167,285.367920222864,353.789564146801,424.693756423376,596.255894704969,167,285,354,425,596,CovidHub,2025-01-08,Ensemble model using CovidHub submissions +Georgia,GA,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CovidHub-ensemble,154.863394334003,318.261686162392,385.5,515.4217059803,754.992276140575,155,318,386,515,755,CovidHub,2025-01-08,Ensemble model using CovidHub submissions +Georgia,GA,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,MOBS-GLEAM_COVID,138,226,284,351,505,138,226,284,351,505,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University,2025-01-08,GLEAM COVID-19 Forecasting Model +Georgia,GA,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,MOBS-GLEAM_COVID,172,280,352,435,626,172,280,352,435,626,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University,2025-01-08,GLEAM COVID-19 Forecasting Model +Georgia,GA,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,MOBS-GLEAM_COVID,234,380,476,588,846,234,380,476,588,846,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University,2025-01-08,GLEAM COVID-19 Forecasting Model +Georgia,GA,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,NEU_ISI-AdaptiveEnsemble,174,227,272,307,374,174,227,272,307,374,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University and ISI Foundation,2025-01-08,Adaptive Ensemble +Georgia,GA,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,NEU_ISI-AdaptiveEnsemble,201,268,306,356,443,201,268,306,356,443,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University and ISI Foundation,2025-01-08,Adaptive Ensemble +Georgia,GA,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,NEU_ISI-AdaptiveEnsemble,243,332,380,442,566,243,332,380,442,566,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University and ISI Foundation,2025-01-08,Adaptive Ensemble +Georgia,GA,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,OHT_JHU-nbxd,160.28,211.07,242.68,278.15,357.72,160,211,243,278,358,One Health Trust and Johns Hopkins University,2025-01-08,NBEATS exogenous covariate decoder +Georgia,GA,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,OHT_JHU-nbxd,141.34,200.15,238.42,282.59,385.68,141,200,238,283,386,One Health Trust and Johns Hopkins University,2025-01-08,NBEATS exogenous covariate decoder +Georgia,GA,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,OHT_JHU-nbxd,122.4,184.77,226.93,276.83,397.24,122,185,227,277,397,One Health Trust and Johns Hopkins University,2025-01-08,NBEATS exogenous covariate decoder +Georgia,GA,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,UM-DeepOutbreak,35.755432128906136,479.83985966682496,524.82830810546875,563.69407588005,1007.7785034179688,36,480,525,564,1008,"University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering",2025-01-08,DeepOutbreak +Georgia,GA,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,UM-DeepOutbreak,27.60089111328125,555.3942492461205,614.53759765625,673.472083761692,1201.2654418945312,28,555,615,673,1201,"University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering",2025-01-08,DeepOutbreak +Georgia,GA,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,UM-DeepOutbreak,0,562.9210158085823,633.5752973556519,703.1069382929802,1424.8516235351562,0,563,634,703,1425,"University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering",2025-01-08,DeepOutbreak +Georgia,GA,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,UMass-ar6_pooled,219.2119358577562,279.5513705366966,316.1599358143353,354.42893231395715,444.9677882109614,219,280,316,354,445,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,AR(6) model with pooling +Georgia,GA,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,UMass-ar6_pooled,208.59585620866696,293.57631500875857,350.5597832103087,414.3875128467511,551.8741170342414,209,294,351,414,552,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,AR(6) model with pooling +Georgia,GA,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,UMass-ar6_pooled,192.5320978751051,300.58405652563556,377.55626529305084,463.84341196059995,663.9845522811505,193,301,378,464,664,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,AR(6) model with pooling +Georgia,GA,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,UMass-gbqr,190.93200751405652,303.29914888443255,336.27649540561265,371.00603080036467,492.9843119224685,191,303,336,371,493,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,gradient boosting quantile regression +Georgia,GA,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,UMass-gbqr,176.8527050920828,290.7358404457279,355.57912829360185,400.0333172737163,566.5117894099371,177,291,356,400,567,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,gradient boosting quantile regression +Georgia,GA,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,UMass-gbqr,155.6372916735115,304.52337232478396,364.655709974709,399.6334230233608,607.6641896133245,156,305,365,400,608,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,gradient boosting quantile regression +Hawaii,HI,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CFA_Pyrenew-Pyrenew_H_COVID,0,2,3,5,12,0,2,3,5,12,Center for Forecasting and Outbreak Analytics (CFA/CDC) Pyrenew team,2025-01-08,Pyrenew_Hospital_Admissions_COVID +Hawaii,HI,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CFA_Pyrenew-Pyrenew_H_COVID,0,1,2,4,15,0,1,2,4,15,Center for Forecasting and Outbreak Analytics (CFA/CDC) Pyrenew team,2025-01-08,Pyrenew_Hospital_Admissions_COVID +Hawaii,HI,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CEPH-Rtrend_covid,2,4,6,9,16,2,4,6,9,16,CEPH Lab at Indiana University,2025-01-08,Rtrend COVID +Hawaii,HI,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CEPH-Rtrend_covid,0,3,5,11,34,0,3,5,11,34,CEPH Lab at Indiana University,2025-01-08,Rtrend COVID +Hawaii,HI,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CEPH-Rtrend_covid,0,2,5,14,70,0,2,5,14,70,CEPH Lab at Indiana University,2025-01-08,Rtrend COVID +Hawaii,HI,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CMU-TimeSeries,1.4202167389362432,2.5680133302422883,5.184041224581342,18.781496292502204,56.98458021047112,1,3,5,19,57,Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group,2025-01-08,AR ensemble with auxiliary data +Hawaii,HI,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CMU-TimeSeries,2.4671455762917924,5.169368336843247,9.962835761833102,26.370633440321242,78.66666172737776,2,5,10,26,79,Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group,2025-01-08,AR ensemble with auxiliary data +Hawaii,HI,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CMU-TimeSeries,3.5026965172385895,8.12978375800757,18.289072955194204,36.64550879160841,97.6887819111426,4,8,18,37,98,Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group,2025-01-08,AR ensemble with auxiliary data +Hawaii,HI,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CovidHub-baseline,0,0,3,6.25,9.625,0,0,3,6,10,CovidHub-hub-models,2025-01-08,CovidHub baseline model +Hawaii,HI,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CovidHub-baseline,0,0,3,6.548645486454866,13.197855728557267,0,0,3,7,13,CovidHub-hub-models,2025-01-08,CovidHub baseline model +Hawaii,HI,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CovidHub-baseline,0,0,3,7.5868283682836815,15.753718537185364,0,0,3,8,16,CovidHub-hub-models,2025-01-08,CovidHub baseline model +Hawaii,HI,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CovidHub-ensemble,1.13641347432142,4,6,11.4736777002323,19.9390784385447,1,4,6,11,20,CovidHub,2025-01-08,Ensemble model using CovidHub submissions +Hawaii,HI,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CovidHub-ensemble,0,4.68778741259713,7.3212390434886,13.5282585670733,25.85,0,5,7,14,26,CovidHub,2025-01-08,Ensemble model using CovidHub submissions +Hawaii,HI,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CovidHub-ensemble,0,5.3524094099081,9.68600872397142,15.3366344892021,29.72,0,5,10,15,30,CovidHub,2025-01-08,Ensemble model using CovidHub submissions +Hawaii,HI,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,MOBS-GLEAM_COVID,0,1,2,3,6,0,1,2,3,6,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University,2025-01-08,GLEAM COVID-19 Forecasting Model +Hawaii,HI,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,MOBS-GLEAM_COVID,0,1,2,3,5,0,1,2,3,5,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University,2025-01-08,GLEAM COVID-19 Forecasting Model +Hawaii,HI,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,MOBS-GLEAM_COVID,0,1,1,2,5,0,1,1,2,5,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University,2025-01-08,GLEAM COVID-19 Forecasting Model +Hawaii,HI,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,OHT_JHU-nbxd,5.41,8.76,11.11,13.98,21.13,5,9,11,14,21,One Health Trust and Johns Hopkins University,2025-01-08,NBEATS exogenous covariate decoder +Hawaii,HI,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,OHT_JHU-nbxd,5.13,9.15,12.15,15.93,25.85,5,9,12,16,26,One Health Trust and Johns Hopkins University,2025-01-08,NBEATS exogenous covariate decoder +Hawaii,HI,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,OHT_JHU-nbxd,4.9,9.41,12.91,17.43,29.72,5,9,13,17,30,One Health Trust and Johns Hopkins University,2025-01-08,NBEATS exogenous covariate decoder +Hawaii,HI,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,UM-DeepOutbreak,0,7.670709397029854,13.44793701171875,19.11259672479632,95.70301628112792,0,8,13,19,96,"University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering",2025-01-08,DeepOutbreak +Hawaii,HI,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,UM-DeepOutbreak,0,8.379892107772868,21.86221981048584,34.684847119522054,125.54998588562012,0,8,22,35,126,"University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering",2025-01-08,DeepOutbreak +Hawaii,HI,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,UM-DeepOutbreak,0,11.168530860900962,27.96155166625977,44.280912956237714,143.6803493499756,0,11,28,44,144,"University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering",2025-01-08,DeepOutbreak +Hawaii,HI,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,UMass-ar6_pooled,0,1.5310118750174702,3.46198813161144,5.934633569944785,11.601628320001538,0,2,3,6,12,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,AR(6) model with pooling +Hawaii,HI,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,UMass-ar6_pooled,0,0.7848680973942372,3.5500779112277367,7.2772225351836175,16.75586075379693,0,1,4,7,17,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,AR(6) model with pooling +Hawaii,HI,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,UMass-ar6_pooled,0,0.6501910271642803,4.281538565493861,9.511786246158383,25.00549765898667,0,1,4,10,25,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,AR(6) model with pooling +Hawaii,HI,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,UMass-gbqr,1.1364134743214245,4.573625652702263,6.808530371842358,11.47367770023232,19.93907843854467,1,5,7,11,20,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,gradient boosting quantile regression +Hawaii,HI,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,UMass-gbqr,0.6928082321472192,4.687787412597134,7.321239043488605,13.528258567073285,21.92507289431083,1,5,7,14,22,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,gradient boosting quantile regression +Hawaii,HI,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,UMass-gbqr,0.6887825101468833,5.352409409908098,9.686008723971424,15.336634489202078,27.465577398958946,1,5,10,15,27,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,gradient boosting quantile regression +Idaho,ID,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CFA_Pyrenew-Pyrenew_H_COVID,16,31,41,54,92.02499999999986,16,31,41,54,92,Center for Forecasting and Outbreak Analytics (CFA/CDC) Pyrenew team,2025-01-08,Pyrenew_Hospital_Admissions_COVID +Idaho,ID,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CFA_Pyrenew-Pyrenew_H_COVID,9,24,38.5,59,151,9,24,38,59,151,Center for Forecasting and Outbreak Analytics (CFA/CDC) Pyrenew team,2025-01-08,Pyrenew_Hospital_Admissions_COVID +Idaho,ID,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CEPH-Rtrend_covid,29,44,54,66,93,29,44,54,66,93,CEPH Lab at Indiana University,2025-01-08,Rtrend COVID +Idaho,ID,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CEPH-Rtrend_covid,20,41,60,86,157,20,41,60,86,157,CEPH Lab at Indiana University,2025-01-08,Rtrend COVID +Idaho,ID,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CEPH-Rtrend_covid,13,38,65,106,232,13,38,65,106,232,CEPH Lab at Indiana University,2025-01-08,Rtrend COVID +Idaho,ID,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CMU-TimeSeries,8.6257552191339375,31.05879866420058,40.25499455825824,57.23269269996338,106.93179358197229,9,31,40,57,107,Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group,2025-01-08,AR ensemble with auxiliary data +Idaho,ID,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CMU-TimeSeries,11.620961708780476,33.14330183350451,41.55207903874734,66.11150567692759,133.76233685412032,12,33,42,66,134,Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group,2025-01-08,AR ensemble with auxiliary data +Idaho,ID,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CMU-TimeSeries,16.326855051875057,35.021313482910344,43.40700510484223,74.54429333956658,155.76091184134035,16,35,43,75,156,Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group,2025-01-08,AR ensemble with auxiliary data +Idaho,ID,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CovidHub-baseline,18.875,27.75,39,50.25000000000001,59.12499999999999,19,28,39,50,59,CovidHub-hub-models,2025-01-08,CovidHub baseline model +Idaho,ID,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CovidHub-baseline,7.596525965259646,27.134386343863433,39,50.89719647196472,70.4531132811328,8,27,39,51,70,CovidHub-hub-models,2025-01-08,CovidHub baseline model +Idaho,ID,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CovidHub-baseline,0,24.778605286052855,39,53.196876968769686,79.01913269132689,0,25,39,53,79,CovidHub-hub-models,2025-01-08,CovidHub baseline model +Idaho,ID,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CovidHub-ensemble,22.2388484303802,35.2539480318754,43.7525099322518,56.6163463499817,80.5148792266846,22,35,44,57,81,CovidHub,2025-01-08,Ensemble model using CovidHub submissions +Idaho,ID,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CovidHub-ensemble,19.4747412699564,37.3603222404553,46.07221447301,59.76,87.2592372894287,19,37,46,60,87,CovidHub,2025-01-08,Ensemble model using CovidHub submissions +Idaho,ID,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CovidHub-ensemble,16.4984343644178,35.6156567414552,43.8188270341911,66.386432987146,102.587921142578,16,36,44,66,103,CovidHub,2025-01-08,Ensemble model using CovidHub submissions +Idaho,ID,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,MOBS-GLEAM_COVID,20,34,44,56,82,20,34,44,56,82,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University,2025-01-08,GLEAM COVID-19 Forecasting Model +Idaho,ID,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,MOBS-GLEAM_COVID,22,39,50,63,92,22,39,50,63,92,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University,2025-01-08,GLEAM COVID-19 Forecasting Model +Idaho,ID,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,MOBS-GLEAM_COVID,27,46,59,74,108,27,46,59,74,108,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University,2025-01-08,GLEAM COVID-19 Forecasting Model +Idaho,ID,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,NEU_ISI-AdaptiveEnsemble,29,49,63,74,112,29,49,63,74,112,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University and ISI Foundation,2025-01-08,Adaptive Ensemble +Idaho,ID,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,NEU_ISI-AdaptiveEnsemble,32,57,72,90,126,32,57,72,90,126,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University and ISI Foundation,2025-01-08,Adaptive Ensemble +Idaho,ID,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,NEU_ISI-AdaptiveEnsemble,32,63,84,102,155,32,63,84,102,155,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University and ISI Foundation,2025-01-08,Adaptive Ensemble +Idaho,ID,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,OHT_JHU-nbxd,37.42,47.09,52.95,59.4,73.51,37,47,53,59,74,One Health Trust and Johns Hopkins University,2025-01-08,NBEATS exogenous covariate decoder +Idaho,ID,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,OHT_JHU-nbxd,31.05,41.9,48.75,56.52,74.18,31,42,49,57,74,One Health Trust and Johns Hopkins University,2025-01-08,NBEATS exogenous covariate decoder +Idaho,ID,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,OHT_JHU-nbxd,25.12,36.21,43.5,51.98,71.95,25,36,44,52,72,One Health Trust and Johns Hopkins University,2025-01-08,NBEATS exogenous covariate decoder +Idaho,ID,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,UM-DeepOutbreak,3.0973548889160156,28.771553544998167,42.61666965484619,53.355559797286986,79.02975845336914,3,29,43,53,79,"University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering",2025-01-08,DeepOutbreak +Idaho,ID,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,UM-DeepOutbreak,0.1559944152832031,29.882519653320312,42.11308288574219,52.79194934082031,82.51847457885742,0,30,42,53,83,"University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering",2025-01-08,DeepOutbreak +Idaho,ID,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,UM-DeepOutbreak,0,22.8534118927002,41.198280334472656,58.72219540710449,97.17584228515624,0,23,41,59,97,"University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering",2025-01-08,DeepOutbreak +Idaho,ID,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,UMass-ar6_pooled,22.65291552961252,33.924370850946616,40.748672522694136,48.637891379538054,65.70455883053539,23,34,41,49,66,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,AR(6) model with pooling +Idaho,ID,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,UMass-ar6_pooled,18.13975957913793,33.460677265149194,43.29692494899843,56.007747074052936,81.84783775951,18,33,43,56,82,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,AR(6) model with pooling +Idaho,ID,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,UMass-ar6_pooled,13.355865581943197,30.048966016586522,42.68870373623557,58.77286597429207,95.93463692667075,13,30,43,59,96,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,AR(6) model with pooling +Idaho,ID,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,UMass-gbqr,21.824781331147886,36.507896063750756,43.50501986450361,51.09622791851639,67.15205098938569,22,37,44,51,67,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,gradient boosting quantile regression +Idaho,ID,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,UMass-gbqr,18.949482539912783,35.72064448091055,43.394428946020064,52.81753866994806,73.22233502951829,19,36,43,53,73,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,gradient boosting quantile regression +Idaho,ID,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,UMass-gbqr,16.670013676960526,32.52111063048563,44.13765406838228,51.908479825343015,78.46053949202893,17,33,44,52,78,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,gradient boosting quantile regression +Illinois,IL,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CFA_Pyrenew-Pyrenew_H_COVID,938.95,1209.75,1341,1495,1923.0499999999995,939,1210,1341,1495,1923,Center for Forecasting and Outbreak Analytics (CFA/CDC) Pyrenew team,2025-01-08,Pyrenew_Hospital_Admissions_COVID +Illinois,IL,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CFA_Pyrenew-Pyrenew_H_COVID,852.975,1310.75,1601,1972.25,3154.174999999994,853,1311,1601,1972,3154,Center for Forecasting and Outbreak Analytics (CFA/CDC) Pyrenew team,2025-01-08,Pyrenew_Hospital_Admissions_COVID +Illinois,IL,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CEPH-Rtrend_covid,855,1032,1143,1266,1509,855,1032,1143,1266,1509,CEPH Lab at Indiana University,2025-01-08,Rtrend COVID +Illinois,IL,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CEPH-Rtrend_covid,784,1100,1324,1582,2145,784,1100,1324,1582,2145,CEPH Lab at Indiana University,2025-01-08,Rtrend COVID +Illinois,IL,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CEPH-Rtrend_covid,706,1138,1477,1888,2867,706,1138,1477,1888,2867,CEPH Lab at Indiana University,2025-01-08,Rtrend COVID +Illinois,IL,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CMU-TimeSeries,889.0471579781823,1145.4112431695978,1257.8309042878195,1343.1131180293617,1597.6799074895098,889,1145,1258,1343,1598,Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group,2025-01-08,AR ensemble with auxiliary data +Illinois,IL,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CMU-TimeSeries,888.0434864507966,1258.5868888342377,1445.6831333121647,1524.1955317911256,1813.6581676211906,888,1259,1446,1524,1814,Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group,2025-01-08,AR ensemble with auxiliary data +Illinois,IL,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CMU-TimeSeries,865.251340868268,1333.4317437694997,1614.324295210116,1641.5155196874075,1959.216989786142,865,1333,1614,1642,1959,Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group,2025-01-08,AR ensemble with auxiliary data +Illinois,IL,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CovidHub-baseline,800.3749999999999,992.25,1059,1125.75,1317.625,800,992,1059,1126,1318,CovidHub-hub-models,2025-01-08,CovidHub baseline model +Illinois,IL,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CovidHub-baseline,706.0882683826837,941.0624606246063,1059,1176.5136126361263,1410.7498574985748,706,941,1059,1177,1411,CovidHub-hub-models,2025-01-08,CovidHub baseline model +Illinois,IL,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CovidHub-baseline,629.0627336273362,914.1833243332431,1059,1205.0761782617824,1489.4289600396,629,914,1059,1205,1489,CovidHub-hub-models,2025-01-08,CovidHub baseline model +Illinois,IL,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CovidHub-ensemble,813.326173529783,1020.5263200394,1122.82625000572,1236.76108528691,1462.76135225475,813,1021,1123,1237,1463,CovidHub,2025-01-08,Ensemble model using CovidHub submissions +Illinois,IL,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CovidHub-ensemble,719.565128303512,1038.69025481462,1177.68940870918,1379.62124245802,1763.08060477051,720,1039,1178,1380,1763,CovidHub,2025-01-08,Ensemble model using CovidHub submissions +Illinois,IL,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CovidHub-ensemble,670.172273095273,1093.52367704407,1285.44087404374,1458.86783449824,1948.65284664075,670,1094,1285,1459,1949,CovidHub,2025-01-08,Ensemble model using CovidHub submissions +Illinois,IL,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,MOBS-GLEAM_COVID,468,757,949,1171,1681,468,757,949,1171,1681,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University,2025-01-08,GLEAM COVID-19 Forecasting Model +Illinois,IL,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,MOBS-GLEAM_COVID,562,908,1138,1403,2014,562,908,1138,1403,2014,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University,2025-01-08,GLEAM COVID-19 Forecasting Model +Illinois,IL,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,MOBS-GLEAM_COVID,688,1111,1391,1716,2462,688,1111,1391,1716,2462,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University,2025-01-08,GLEAM COVID-19 Forecasting Model +Illinois,IL,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,NEU_ISI-AdaptiveEnsemble,408,615,792,990,1301,408,615,792,990,1301,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University and ISI Foundation,2025-01-08,Adaptive Ensemble +Illinois,IL,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,NEU_ISI-AdaptiveEnsemble,489,721,878,1122,1460,489,721,878,1122,1460,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University and ISI Foundation,2025-01-08,Adaptive Ensemble +Illinois,IL,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,NEU_ISI-AdaptiveEnsemble,605,845,1059,1324,1812,605,845,1059,1324,1812,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University and ISI Foundation,2025-01-08,Adaptive Ensemble +Illinois,IL,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,OHT_JHU-nbxd,562.2,711.24,801.8,901.77,1121.08,562,711,802,902,1121,One Health Trust and Johns Hopkins University,2025-01-08,NBEATS exogenous covariate decoder +Illinois,IL,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,OHT_JHU-nbxd,468.79,637.33,744.31,865.86,1143.36,469,637,744,866,1143,One Health Trust and Johns Hopkins University,2025-01-08,NBEATS exogenous covariate decoder +Illinois,IL,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,OHT_JHU-nbxd,391.28,564.51,678.47,811,1123.34,391,565,678,811,1123,One Health Trust and Johns Hopkins University,2025-01-08,NBEATS exogenous covariate decoder +Illinois,IL,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,UM-DeepOutbreak,921.1063537597656,1066.155392729187,1183.9884033203125,1266.996218598938,1412.0452575683594,921,1066,1184,1267,1412,"University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering",2025-01-08,DeepOutbreak +Illinois,IL,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,UM-DeepOutbreak,720.06744384765625,1187.0775587158205,1293.926212310791,1385.2813280029295,1852.2914428710935,720,1187,1294,1385,1852,"University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering",2025-01-08,DeepOutbreak +Illinois,IL,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,UM-DeepOutbreak,480.4453125,1092.3314952514647,1295.302978515625,1441.9700184204105,2053.856201171875,480,1092,1295,1442,2054,"University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering",2025-01-08,DeepOutbreak +Illinois,IL,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,UMass-ar6_pooled,867.3365003389986,1030.0610542658042,1123.0310440524968,1223.5722700372046,1459.0368295735898,867,1030,1123,1224,1459,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,AR(6) model with pooling +Illinois,IL,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,UMass-ar6_pooled,839.0223662487942,1072.7255265518863,1217.378817418352,1373.9611569131189,1712.5030419198388,839,1073,1217,1374,1713,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,AR(6) model with pooling +Illinois,IL,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,UMass-ar6_pooled,783.702938767452,1094.7158588366733,1275.5787695718573,1475.7656505760729,1938.088703495365,784,1095,1276,1476,1938,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,AR(6) model with pooling +Illinois,IL,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,UMass-gbqr,771.6523470595661,1010.9915858129993,1122.6214559589448,1249.9499005366147,1466.485874935911,772,1011,1123,1250,1466,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,gradient boosting quantile regression +Illinois,IL,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,UMass-gbqr,719.0628127593678,1004.6549830773454,1109.3335383722156,1269.3425836554914,1593.7192429585486,719,1005,1109,1269,1594,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,gradient boosting quantile regression +Illinois,IL,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,UMass-gbqr,652.3445461905459,952.3899727635438,1094.8848291004979,1175.606621081986,1678.8903549782412,652,952,1095,1176,1679,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,gradient boosting quantile regression +Indiana,IN,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CFA_Pyrenew-Pyrenew_H_COVID,476.975,654.75,756.5,877.2500000000002,1242.199999999999,477,655,756,877,1242,Center for Forecasting and Outbreak Analytics (CFA/CDC) Pyrenew team,2025-01-08,Pyrenew_Hospital_Admissions_COVID +Indiana,IN,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CFA_Pyrenew-Pyrenew_H_COVID,363,639.5,822,1050.2500000000002,1924.124999999999,363,640,822,1050,1924,Center for Forecasting and Outbreak Analytics (CFA/CDC) Pyrenew team,2025-01-08,Pyrenew_Hospital_Admissions_COVID +Indiana,IN,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CEPH-Rtrend_covid,546,649,713,784,920,546,649,713,784,920,CEPH Lab at Indiana University,2025-01-08,Rtrend COVID +Indiana,IN,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CEPH-Rtrend_covid,494,675,799,943,1252,494,675,799,943,1252,CEPH Lab at Indiana University,2025-01-08,Rtrend COVID +Indiana,IN,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CEPH-Rtrend_covid,439,681,868,1097,1630,439,681,868,1097,1630,CEPH Lab at Indiana University,2025-01-08,Rtrend COVID +Indiana,IN,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CMU-TimeSeries,558.2039262001883,694.9229400022684,760.9186964304503,794.5296751414734,921.3272542817156,558,695,761,795,921,Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group,2025-01-08,AR ensemble with auxiliary data +Indiana,IN,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CMU-TimeSeries,557.7252989949343,747.6386148311088,858.8803361626636,880.4666919125937,1023.6321018989795,558,748,859,880,1024,Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group,2025-01-08,AR ensemble with auxiliary data +Indiana,IN,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CMU-TimeSeries,539.2918266658326,776.8431928177207,928.9086898059867,940.6933413089939,1083.3642882001654,539,777,929,941,1083,Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group,2025-01-08,AR ensemble with auxiliary data +Indiana,IN,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CovidHub-baseline,518.625,595.25,657,718.75,795.375,519,595,657,719,795,CovidHub-hub-models,2025-01-08,CovidHub baseline model +Indiana,IN,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CovidHub-baseline,447.2668219182192,579.0860483604836,657,736.2021420214203,867.2837428374283,447,579,657,736,867,CovidHub-hub-models,2025-01-08,CovidHub baseline model +Indiana,IN,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CovidHub-baseline,397.6742717427175,562.6029085290854,657,751.1118711187113,916.0909594095942,398,563,657,751,916,CovidHub-hub-models,2025-01-08,CovidHub baseline model +Indiana,IN,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CovidHub-ensemble,456.162945691121,593.312738806227,652.2171841627,760.485082001855,911.755808390821,456,593,652,760,912,CovidHub,2025-01-08,Ensemble model using CovidHub submissions +Indiana,IN,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CovidHub-ensemble,456.284914650998,601.069549187151,727.349612078904,819.716077059112,1001.02520278937,456,601,727,820,1001,CovidHub,2025-01-08,Ensemble model using CovidHub submissions +Indiana,IN,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CovidHub-ensemble,408.547528778762,596.933036949094,738.647211182645,865.28331079866,1053.7066529839,409,597,739,865,1054,CovidHub,2025-01-08,Ensemble model using CovidHub submissions +Indiana,IN,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,MOBS-GLEAM_COVID,306,496,623,768,1104,306,496,623,768,1104,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University,2025-01-08,GLEAM COVID-19 Forecasting Model +Indiana,IN,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,MOBS-GLEAM_COVID,360,583,731,901,1295,360,583,731,901,1295,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University,2025-01-08,GLEAM COVID-19 Forecasting Model +Indiana,IN,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,MOBS-GLEAM_COVID,427,691,866,1069,1535,427,691,866,1069,1535,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University,2025-01-08,GLEAM COVID-19 Forecasting Model +Indiana,IN,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,NEU_ISI-AdaptiveEnsemble,282,423,541,630,703,282,423,541,630,703,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University and ISI Foundation,2025-01-08,Adaptive Ensemble +Indiana,IN,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,NEU_ISI-AdaptiveEnsemble,315,474,562,680,835,315,474,562,680,835,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University and ISI Foundation,2025-01-08,Adaptive Ensemble +Indiana,IN,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,NEU_ISI-AdaptiveEnsemble,350,492,612,759,960,350,492,612,759,960,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University and ISI Foundation,2025-01-08,Adaptive Ensemble +Indiana,IN,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,OHT_JHU-nbxd,379.94,473.48,529.79,591.58,725.98,380,473,530,592,726,One Health Trust and Johns Hopkins University,2025-01-08,NBEATS exogenous covariate decoder +Indiana,IN,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,OHT_JHU-nbxd,308.18,410.41,474.5,546.72,709.75,308,410,474,547,710,One Health Trust and Johns Hopkins University,2025-01-08,NBEATS exogenous covariate decoder +Indiana,IN,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,OHT_JHU-nbxd,248.23,352.62,420.65,499.3,683.13,248,353,421,499,683,One Health Trust and Johns Hopkins University,2025-01-08,NBEATS exogenous covariate decoder +Indiana,IN,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,UM-DeepOutbreak,439.95025634765625,562.0786792516708,646.7379302978516,728.3503978967667,850.47882080078125,440,562,647,728,850,"University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering",2025-01-08,DeepOutbreak +Indiana,IN,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,UM-DeepOutbreak,457.4595947265625,583.2860712646486,735.9705429077148,801.9512334228514,927.7777099609376,457,583,736,802,928,"University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering",2025-01-08,DeepOutbreak +Indiana,IN,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,UM-DeepOutbreak,436.9897155761719,591.456943660736,745.1128005981445,845.107021183014,999.574249267578,437,591,745,845,1000,"University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering",2025-01-08,DeepOutbreak +Indiana,IN,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,UMass-ar6_pooled,498.2051543052958,625.4053933346568,693.193060188596,772.5929729150427,945.6297995314762,498,625,693,773,946,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,AR(6) model with pooling +Indiana,IN,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,UMass-ar6_pooled,455.1102345754344,618.8530271096539,723.6992241578079,837.4809206953719,1107.4387924022578,455,619,724,837,1107,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,AR(6) model with pooling +Indiana,IN,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,UMass-ar6_pooled,390.095057557524,602.4091302374519,732.1816217671463,885.4596004143059,1233.4671235689223,390,602,732,885,1233,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,AR(6) model with pooling +Indiana,IN,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,UMass-gbqr,472.3756350345865,624.546798360784,657.696438027549,752.97016400371,903.5116167816427,472,625,658,753,904,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,gradient boosting quantile regression +Indiana,IN,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,UMass-gbqr,458.1407498792492,622.1149137692399,648.7133761495279,766.3227100645657,978.4183036797641,458,622,649,766,978,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,gradient boosting quantile regression +Indiana,IN,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,UMass-gbqr,387.18193181247875,587.8104269209867,608.1205537610971,693.8562793412533,1024.0490177676313,387,588,608,694,1024,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,gradient boosting quantile regression +Iowa,IA,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CEPH-Rtrend_covid,125,154,173,194,236,125,154,173,194,236,CEPH Lab at Indiana University,2025-01-08,Rtrend COVID +Iowa,IA,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CEPH-Rtrend_covid,110,161,198,242,343,110,161,198,242,343,CEPH Lab at Indiana University,2025-01-08,Rtrend COVID +Iowa,IA,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CEPH-Rtrend_covid,95,163,221,294,474,95,163,221,294,474,CEPH Lab at Indiana University,2025-01-08,Rtrend COVID +Iowa,IA,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CMU-TimeSeries,114.28377884573052,164.2713015489855,186.2563835956979,210.6324893534805,282.37072059952266,114,164,186,211,282,Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group,2025-01-08,AR ensemble with auxiliary data +Iowa,IA,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CMU-TimeSeries,112.99485639198195,177.96699216176472,209.346485521297,237.28361331689283,328.5653108242029,113,178,209,237,329,Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group,2025-01-08,AR ensemble with auxiliary data +Iowa,IA,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CMU-TimeSeries,112.94883728631315,187.5808598580995,230.96984272844406,259.6044214827188,364.7821965117904,113,188,231,260,365,Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group,2025-01-08,AR ensemble with auxiliary data +Iowa,IA,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CovidHub-baseline,122,153.75,162,170.25,202,122,154,162,170,202,CovidHub-hub-models,2025-01-08,CovidHub baseline model +Iowa,IA,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CovidHub-baseline,100.6950994509945,141.4630546305463,162,182.5521480214802,223.1170424204242,101,141,162,183,223,CovidHub-hub-models,2025-01-08,CovidHub baseline model +Iowa,IA,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CovidHub-baseline,89.22932829328293,135.27735277352772,162,188.67280172801725,235.20360903609026,89,135,162,189,235,CovidHub-hub-models,2025-01-08,CovidHub baseline model +Iowa,IA,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CovidHub-ensemble,91.4766130065918,145.907612160829,167.170163644479,194.879455700874,244.003894805908,91,146,167,195,244,CovidHub,2025-01-08,Ensemble model using CovidHub submissions +Iowa,IA,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CovidHub-ensemble,92.0695737528953,150.346606281703,183.440454765986,215.328634999585,295.114823991203,92,150,183,215,295,CovidHub,2025-01-08,Ensemble model using CovidHub submissions +Iowa,IA,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CovidHub-ensemble,88.513355995264,153.812347762184,192.334224137774,231.746418440127,327.891098255895,89,154,192,232,328,CovidHub,2025-01-08,Ensemble model using CovidHub submissions +Iowa,IA,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,MOBS-GLEAM_COVID,78,128,162,200,289,78,128,162,200,289,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University,2025-01-08,GLEAM COVID-19 Forecasting Model +Iowa,IA,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,MOBS-GLEAM_COVID,94,154,194,240,347,94,154,194,240,347,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University,2025-01-08,GLEAM COVID-19 Forecasting Model +Iowa,IA,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,MOBS-GLEAM_COVID,117,191,241,298,429,117,191,241,298,429,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University,2025-01-08,GLEAM COVID-19 Forecasting Model +Iowa,IA,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,NEU_ISI-AdaptiveEnsemble,52,78,99,133,209,52,78,99,133,209,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University and ISI Foundation,2025-01-08,Adaptive Ensemble +Iowa,IA,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,NEU_ISI-AdaptiveEnsemble,51,88,106,137,229,51,88,106,137,229,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University and ISI Foundation,2025-01-08,Adaptive Ensemble +Iowa,IA,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,NEU_ISI-AdaptiveEnsemble,54,87,114,151,291,54,87,114,151,291,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University and ISI Foundation,2025-01-08,Adaptive Ensemble +Iowa,IA,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,OHT_JHU-nbxd,91.67,122.37,141.64,163.38,212.52,92,122,142,163,213,One Health Trust and Johns Hopkins University,2025-01-08,NBEATS exogenous covariate decoder +Iowa,IA,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,OHT_JHU-nbxd,80.98,116.35,139.55,166.5,229.86,81,116,140,166,230,One Health Trust and Johns Hopkins University,2025-01-08,NBEATS exogenous covariate decoder +Iowa,IA,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,OHT_JHU-nbxd,68.83,105.58,130.66,160.53,233.2,69,106,131,161,233,One Health Trust and Johns Hopkins University,2025-01-08,NBEATS exogenous covariate decoder +Iowa,IA,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,UM-DeepOutbreak,91.2832260131836,147.53210422325134,173.23698043823242,195.75891140174863,252.0077896118164,91,148,173,196,252,"University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering",2025-01-08,DeepOutbreak +Iowa,IA,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,UM-DeepOutbreak,106.46572875976562,162.2910578250885,184.2200469970703,205.83900809288025,261.6643371582031,106,162,184,206,262,"University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering",2025-01-08,DeepOutbreak +Iowa,IA,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,UM-DeepOutbreak,115.58026885986328,168.70604848861694,195.37225341796875,215.53629159927368,268.66207122802734,116,169,195,216,269,"University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering",2025-01-08,DeepOutbreak +Iowa,IA,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,UMass-ar6_pooled,107.54751240408127,145.23792388989426,170.47425880569938,199.8696701321004,264.8381928591275,108,145,170,200,265,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,AR(6) model with pooling +Iowa,IA,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,UMass-ar6_pooled,90.13914750579058,146.6932125634054,182.66086253490195,224.81826190628902,330.05770929269573,90,147,183,225,330,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,AR(6) model with pooling +Iowa,IA,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,UMass-ar6_pooled,82.02671199052791,144.62469552436744,189.29619485757894,247.95654528098,383.82375555301047,82,145,189,248,384,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,AR(6) model with pooling +Iowa,IA,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,UMass-gbqr,89.42023150192007,146.5773004317628,163.8660684832581,188.16422597845607,233.84104786928884,89,147,164,188,234,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,gradient boosting quantile regression +Iowa,IA,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,UMass-gbqr,79.94745270496824,141.59919477539984,161.49590552043938,191.47530507879264,254.78271424243965,80,142,161,191,255,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,gradient boosting quantile regression +Iowa,IA,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,UMass-gbqr,77.05175135483648,127.76699199094716,156.30004356147305,183.24411088739396,277.2220863166341,77,128,156,183,277,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,gradient boosting quantile regression +Kansas,KS,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CFA_Pyrenew-Pyrenew_H_COVID,128.975,198,241,290,439,129,198,241,290,439,Center for Forecasting and Outbreak Analytics (CFA/CDC) Pyrenew team,2025-01-08,Pyrenew_Hospital_Admissions_COVID +Kansas,KS,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CFA_Pyrenew-Pyrenew_H_COVID,91,192,267,358,689.1249999999993,91,192,267,358,689,Center for Forecasting and Outbreak Analytics (CFA/CDC) Pyrenew team,2025-01-08,Pyrenew_Hospital_Admissions_COVID +Kansas,KS,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CEPH-Rtrend_covid,155,203,236,274,354,155,203,236,274,354,CEPH Lab at Indiana University,2025-01-08,Rtrend COVID +Kansas,KS,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CEPH-Rtrend_covid,123,205,267,346,539,123,205,267,346,539,CEPH Lab at Indiana University,2025-01-08,Rtrend COVID +Kansas,KS,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CEPH-Rtrend_covid,97,200,290,418,756,97,200,290,418,756,CEPH Lab at Indiana University,2025-01-08,Rtrend COVID +Kansas,KS,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CMU-TimeSeries,158.00943053938684,214.02323658997514,235.27050808086813,255.4407858318843,317.18748892541356,158,214,235,255,317,Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group,2025-01-08,AR ensemble with auxiliary data +Kansas,KS,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CMU-TimeSeries,158.02658221310713,232.177626834221,265.1506686287926,286.2408171676101,361.6852239913916,158,232,265,286,362,Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group,2025-01-08,AR ensemble with auxiliary data +Kansas,KS,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CMU-TimeSeries,151.4557872086442,246.3310863553575,292.8165317145198,307.76745635840564,390.62100379639145,151,246,293,308,391,Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group,2025-01-08,AR ensemble with auxiliary data +Kansas,KS,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CovidHub-baseline,150.875,188.5,204,219.5,257.125,151,188,204,220,257,CovidHub-hub-models,2025-01-08,CovidHub baseline model +Kansas,KS,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CovidHub-baseline,125.52452149521494,177.05248552485526,204,231.0058875588756,281.6916194161941,126,177,204,231,282,CovidHub-hub-models,2025-01-08,CovidHub baseline model +Kansas,KS,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CovidHub-baseline,108.75465754657544,170.640378903789,204,237.12072120721209,299.4983454834548,109,171,204,237,299,CovidHub-hub-models,2025-01-08,CovidHub baseline model +Kansas,KS,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CovidHub-ensemble,129.259325913505,188.448385363243,220.664702824748,254.471939359529,316.926355546691,129,188,221,254,317,CovidHub,2025-01-08,Ensemble model using CovidHub submissions +Kansas,KS,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CovidHub-ensemble,122.398124625941,195.778621840347,242.660499782519,285.391339503801,374.336544704988,122,196,243,285,374,CovidHub,2025-01-08,Ensemble model using CovidHub submissions +Kansas,KS,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CovidHub-ensemble,112.314631924425,199,269.5,307.226571941424,404.468886221316,112,199,270,307,404,CovidHub,2025-01-08,Ensemble model using CovidHub submissions +Kansas,KS,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,MOBS-GLEAM_COVID,102,167,210,260,374,102,167,210,260,374,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University,2025-01-08,GLEAM COVID-19 Forecasting Model +Kansas,KS,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,MOBS-GLEAM_COVID,123,202,254,314,452,123,202,254,314,452,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University,2025-01-08,GLEAM COVID-19 Forecasting Model +Kansas,KS,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,MOBS-GLEAM_COVID,153,249,313,387,557,153,249,313,387,557,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University,2025-01-08,GLEAM COVID-19 Forecasting Model +Kansas,KS,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,NEU_ISI-AdaptiveEnsemble,93,148,176,218,276,93,148,176,218,276,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University and ISI Foundation,2025-01-08,Adaptive Ensemble +Kansas,KS,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,NEU_ISI-AdaptiveEnsemble,118,158,202,251,316,118,158,202,251,316,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University and ISI Foundation,2025-01-08,Adaptive Ensemble +Kansas,KS,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,NEU_ISI-AdaptiveEnsemble,121,198,249,291,381,121,198,249,291,381,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University and ISI Foundation,2025-01-08,Adaptive Ensemble +Kansas,KS,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,OHT_JHU-nbxd,114.02,140.2,155.83,172.88,209.69,114,140,156,173,210,One Health Trust and Johns Hopkins University,2025-01-08,NBEATS exogenous covariate decoder +Kansas,KS,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,OHT_JHU-nbxd,95.98,125.66,144.08,164.7,210.8,96,126,144,165,211,One Health Trust and Johns Hopkins University,2025-01-08,NBEATS exogenous covariate decoder +Kansas,KS,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,OHT_JHU-nbxd,76.68,106.26,125.26,147,197.16,77,106,125,147,197,One Health Trust and Johns Hopkins University,2025-01-08,NBEATS exogenous covariate decoder +Kansas,KS,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,UM-DeepOutbreak,167.5338134765625,218.86021212768551,244.5679759979248,265.3388235168457,316.66522216796875,168,219,245,265,317,"University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering",2025-01-08,DeepOutbreak +Kansas,KS,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,UM-DeepOutbreak,196.9220962524414,265.2266819725037,301.4102849960327,328.60650894546507,396.91109466552734,197,265,301,329,397,"University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering",2025-01-08,DeepOutbreak +Kansas,KS,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,UM-DeepOutbreak,174.76800918579102,228.6209348009378,302.2987594604492,364.46384303109346,418.31676864624023,175,229,302,364,418,"University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering",2025-01-08,DeepOutbreak +Kansas,KS,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,UMass-ar6_pooled,142.99400433029675,192.23590222597417,222.6109002428038,252.67480844971735,324.92139141209407,143,192,223,253,325,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,AR(6) model with pooling +Kansas,KS,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,UMass-ar6_pooled,121.79624925188257,189.55724368069474,231.32099956503828,284.5418618399919,386.9878654185854,122,190,231,285,387,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,AR(6) model with pooling +Kansas,KS,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,UMass-ar6_pooled,103.62926384885009,184.59513924334303,238.65981141592377,306.6856875244419,470.45255313210106,104,185,239,307,470,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,AR(6) model with pooling +Kansas,KS,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,UMass-gbqr,115.5246474967128,184.6608685005114,218.71850540669308,253.50309288717446,309.4631562947387,116,185,219,254,309,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,gradient boosting quantile regression +Kansas,KS,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,UMass-gbqr,104.41382350903662,180.77434480938751,220.2216282470469,255.41738333883558,335.87235719065256,104,181,220,255,336,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,gradient boosting quantile regression +Kansas,KS,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,UMass-gbqr,99.71669733298779,180.3655451997817,219.49620688039258,241.36207529281415,346.050558078661,100,180,219,241,346,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,gradient boosting quantile regression +Kentucky,KY,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CFA_Pyrenew-Pyrenew_H_COVID,351.925,476,551.5,642,889.0499999999997,352,476,552,642,889,Center for Forecasting and Outbreak Analytics (CFA/CDC) Pyrenew team,2025-01-08,Pyrenew_Hospital_Admissions_COVID +Kentucky,KY,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CFA_Pyrenew-Pyrenew_H_COVID,299.95000000000005,531.75,678,876.2500000000002,1584.025,300,532,678,876,1584,Center for Forecasting and Outbreak Analytics (CFA/CDC) Pyrenew team,2025-01-08,Pyrenew_Hospital_Admissions_COVID +Kentucky,KY,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CEPH-Rtrend_covid,359,428,472,519,613,359,428,472,519,613,CEPH Lab at Indiana University,2025-01-08,Rtrend COVID +Kentucky,KY,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CEPH-Rtrend_covid,357,490,581,687,919,357,490,581,687,919,CEPH Lab at Indiana University,2025-01-08,Rtrend COVID +Kentucky,KY,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CEPH-Rtrend_covid,348,541,689,871,1300,348,541,689,871,1300,CEPH Lab at Indiana University,2025-01-08,Rtrend COVID +Kentucky,KY,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CMU-TimeSeries,358.3743984019162,454.9615528713001,499.11558143045863,523.0282629691982,594.9996748220516,358,455,499,523,595,Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group,2025-01-08,AR ensemble with auxiliary data +Kentucky,KY,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CMU-TimeSeries,360.78126166838985,499.693863245299,574.6360568357799,590.2462331250541,660.6466041420105,361,500,575,590,661,Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group,2025-01-08,AR ensemble with auxiliary data +Kentucky,KY,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CMU-TimeSeries,348.2994632037856,526.2229619172905,634.3054624773009,639.9134296002122,698.6053063234978,348,526,634,640,699,Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group,2025-01-08,AR ensemble with auxiliary data +Kentucky,KY,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CovidHub-baseline,309.00000000000006,388.75,420,451.25,531,309,389,420,451,531,CovidHub-hub-models,2025-01-08,CovidHub baseline model +Kentucky,KY,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CovidHub-baseline,279.9394106441065,373.5035550355504,420,465.9839498394984,560.1360138601385,280,374,420,466,560,CovidHub-hub-models,2025-01-08,CovidHub baseline model +Kentucky,KY,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CovidHub-baseline,249.84755122551226,363.2978579785799,420,477.25703507035075,590.3802065520654,250,363,420,477,590,CovidHub-hub-models,2025-01-08,CovidHub baseline model +Kentucky,KY,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CovidHub-ensemble,299.514611068198,384.594187567535,434.179920075428,493.213700180927,591.521967900375,300,385,434,493,592,CovidHub,2025-01-08,Ensemble model using CovidHub submissions +Kentucky,KY,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CovidHub-ensemble,265.416771739607,382.154151331401,449.409454699435,538.229115030114,685.587668220908,265,382,449,538,686,CovidHub,2025-01-08,Ensemble model using CovidHub submissions +Kentucky,KY,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CovidHub-ensemble,246.991879994018,380.360427498139,498.203361624971,614.497936531181,796.541170905806,247,380,498,614,797,CovidHub,2025-01-08,Ensemble model using CovidHub submissions +Kentucky,KY,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,MOBS-GLEAM_COVID,178,289,363,448,645,178,289,363,448,645,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University,2025-01-08,GLEAM COVID-19 Forecasting Model +Kentucky,KY,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,MOBS-GLEAM_COVID,206,336,421,520,748,206,336,421,520,748,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University,2025-01-08,GLEAM COVID-19 Forecasting Model +Kentucky,KY,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,MOBS-GLEAM_COVID,248,403,505,624,897,248,403,505,624,897,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University,2025-01-08,GLEAM COVID-19 Forecasting Model +Kentucky,KY,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,NEU_ISI-AdaptiveEnsemble,133,230,343,395,482,133,230,343,395,482,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University and ISI Foundation,2025-01-08,Adaptive Ensemble +Kentucky,KY,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,NEU_ISI-AdaptiveEnsemble,146,264,370,439,521,146,264,370,439,521,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University and ISI Foundation,2025-01-08,Adaptive Ensemble +Kentucky,KY,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,NEU_ISI-AdaptiveEnsemble,177,311,433,506,588,177,311,433,506,588,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University and ISI Foundation,2025-01-08,Adaptive Ensemble +Kentucky,KY,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,OHT_JHU-nbxd,167.68,210.21,235.9,264.16,325.84,168,210,236,264,326,One Health Trust and Johns Hopkins University,2025-01-08,NBEATS exogenous covariate decoder +Kentucky,KY,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,OHT_JHU-nbxd,135.58,182.86,212.74,246.57,323.48,136,183,213,247,323,One Health Trust and Johns Hopkins University,2025-01-08,NBEATS exogenous covariate decoder +Kentucky,KY,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,OHT_JHU-nbxd,108.85,156.44,187.68,223.96,309.28,109,156,188,224,309,One Health Trust and Johns Hopkins University,2025-01-08,NBEATS exogenous covariate decoder +Kentucky,KY,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,UM-DeepOutbreak,319.5607805252075,382.3657238483429,454.5052108764648,525.2393176555634,588.0442609786987,320,382,455,525,588,"University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering",2025-01-08,DeepOutbreak +Kentucky,KY,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,UM-DeepOutbreak,335.1000518798828,378.6112706588742,526.2999610900879,667.0175135208133,710.5287322998047,335,379,526,667,711,"University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering",2025-01-08,DeepOutbreak +Kentucky,KY,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,UM-DeepOutbreak,140.63833618164068,376.1800937652588,550.306999206543,706.3902187347412,941.9319763183594,141,376,550,706,942,"University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering",2025-01-08,DeepOutbreak +Kentucky,KY,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,UMass-ar6_pooled,298.04423061701715,386.82265128672606,440.1138307974772,498.7628462690594,634.5196211233609,298,387,440,499,635,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,AR(6) model with pooling +Kentucky,KY,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,UMass-ar6_pooled,263.55967497863816,393.4612411994189,470.64455427706366,556.4582300602275,760.7941559076144,264,393,471,556,761,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,AR(6) model with pooling +Kentucky,KY,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,UMass-ar6_pooled,245.98375998803556,384.5407612310201,491.4067232499411,604.9958730623617,894.4770354881148,246,385,491,605,894,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,AR(6) model with pooling +Kentucky,KY,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,UMass-gbqr,300.98499151937904,394.75917530837023,428.2460093533783,487.66455409279456,575.4235544429475,301,395,428,488,575,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,gradient boosting quantile regression +Kentucky,KY,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,UMass-gbqr,267.27386850057616,385.69703200392803,428.1743551218057,480.3419933166246,609.7274234790854,267,386,428,480,610,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,gradient boosting quantile regression +Kentucky,KY,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,UMass-gbqr,248.3741508392796,371.37178380305573,422.9908570868981,455.6956444283368,673.6102860517992,248,371,423,456,674,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,gradient boosting quantile regression +Louisiana,LA,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CFA_Pyrenew-Pyrenew_H_COVID,117,169,198,233.25000000000023,333.02499999999986,117,169,198,233,333,Center for Forecasting and Outbreak Analytics (CFA/CDC) Pyrenew team,2025-01-08,Pyrenew_Hospital_Admissions_COVID +Louisiana,LA,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CFA_Pyrenew-Pyrenew_H_COVID,87.975,175,233,310,596.0749999999996,88,175,233,310,596,Center for Forecasting and Outbreak Analytics (CFA/CDC) Pyrenew team,2025-01-08,Pyrenew_Hospital_Admissions_COVID +Louisiana,LA,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CEPH-Rtrend_covid,116,158,187,218,288,116,158,187,218,288,CEPH Lab at Indiana University,2025-01-08,Rtrend COVID +Louisiana,LA,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CEPH-Rtrend_covid,89,155,207,273,431,89,155,207,273,431,CEPH Lab at Indiana University,2025-01-08,Rtrend COVID +Louisiana,LA,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CEPH-Rtrend_covid,67,145,217,314,564,67,145,217,314,564,CEPH Lab at Indiana University,2025-01-08,Rtrend COVID +Louisiana,LA,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CMU-TimeSeries,99.51487476896291,164.15222485946487,194.8451438250347,239.5647670910237,371.7599276016065,100,164,195,240,372,Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group,2025-01-08,AR ensemble with auxiliary data +Louisiana,LA,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CMU-TimeSeries,102.26991386892423,189.27411778139745,221.31023597562051,288.5217523293762,459.6726979355345,102,189,221,289,460,Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group,2025-01-08,AR ensemble with auxiliary data +Louisiana,LA,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CMU-TimeSeries,103.94487913411005,226.5375915854056,247.8655216861099,321.5131006987226,532.4210995998366,104,227,248,322,532,Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group,2025-01-08,AR ensemble with auxiliary data +Louisiana,LA,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CovidHub-baseline,138.5,155.75,168,180.25,197.49999999999997,138,156,168,180,197,CovidHub-hub-models,2025-01-08,CovidHub baseline model +Louisiana,LA,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CovidHub-baseline,119.85474979749794,150.56946569465694,168,185.42430174301742,215.8741899918999,120,151,168,185,216,CovidHub-hub-models,2025-01-08,CovidHub baseline model +Louisiana,LA,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CovidHub-baseline,110.91391188911886,147.2640776407764,168,188.69796447964478,225.05810083100826,111,147,168,189,225,CovidHub-hub-models,2025-01-08,CovidHub baseline model +Louisiana,LA,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CovidHub-ensemble,101.527029669638,155.888234009568,180.086893218507,211.71214917897,275.023391566147,102,156,180,212,275,CovidHub,2025-01-08,Ensemble model using CovidHub submissions +Louisiana,LA,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CovidHub-ensemble,92.5,156.856398036692,194.088836778559,238.061924625503,339.710383662294,92,157,194,238,340,CovidHub,2025-01-08,Ensemble model using CovidHub submissions +Louisiana,LA,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CovidHub-ensemble,80.2123089039611,147.783183281371,195.80703750646,243.806121608372,407.5,80,148,196,244,408,CovidHub,2025-01-08,Ensemble model using CovidHub submissions +Louisiana,LA,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,MOBS-GLEAM_COVID,80,133,167,207,299,80,133,167,207,299,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University,2025-01-08,GLEAM COVID-19 Forecasting Model +Louisiana,LA,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,MOBS-GLEAM_COVID,96,158,199,246,355,96,158,199,246,355,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University,2025-01-08,GLEAM COVID-19 Forecasting Model +Louisiana,LA,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,MOBS-GLEAM_COVID,120,196,246,305,439,120,196,246,305,439,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University,2025-01-08,GLEAM COVID-19 Forecasting Model +Louisiana,LA,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,NEU_ISI-AdaptiveEnsemble,63,94,122,173,248,63,94,122,173,248,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University and ISI Foundation,2025-01-08,Adaptive Ensemble +Louisiana,LA,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,NEU_ISI-AdaptiveEnsemble,70,108,142,194,297,70,108,142,194,297,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University and ISI Foundation,2025-01-08,Adaptive Ensemble +Louisiana,LA,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,NEU_ISI-AdaptiveEnsemble,65,115,173,237,376,65,115,173,237,376,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University and ISI Foundation,2025-01-08,Adaptive Ensemble +Louisiana,LA,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,OHT_JHU-nbxd,98.11,131.58,152.65,176.46,230.42,98,132,153,176,230,One Health Trust and Johns Hopkins University,2025-01-08,NBEATS exogenous covariate decoder +Louisiana,LA,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,OHT_JHU-nbxd,84.2,122.6,148,177.64,247.83,84,123,148,178,248,One Health Trust and Johns Hopkins University,2025-01-08,NBEATS exogenous covariate decoder +Louisiana,LA,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,OHT_JHU-nbxd,70.64,110.62,138.23,171.36,252.84,71,111,138,171,253,One Health Trust and Johns Hopkins University,2025-01-08,NBEATS exogenous covariate decoder +Louisiana,LA,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,UM-DeepOutbreak,103.5391845703125,171.21621656417847,204.95627593994143,238.47851610183716,306.1555480957031,104,171,205,238,306,"University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering",2025-01-08,DeepOutbreak +Louisiana,LA,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,UM-DeepOutbreak,0,172.80177821350097,213.2574882507324,248.73704014587403,498.7013854980468,0,173,213,249,499,"University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering",2025-01-08,DeepOutbreak +Louisiana,LA,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,UM-DeepOutbreak,0,128.3611461982727,188.01266479492188,224.30834843063352,547.2120594268798,0,128,188,224,547,"University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering",2025-01-08,DeepOutbreak +Louisiana,LA,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,UMass-ar6_pooled,115.62489669338972,153.77646801913542,176.54457927394316,202.44099446093537,257.2373553244146,116,154,177,202,257,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,AR(6) model with pooling +Louisiana,LA,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,UMass-ar6_pooled,103.98789816852083,155.71279607338326,189.17767355711763,230.12384925100616,324.42076732458776,104,156,189,230,324,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,AR(6) model with pooling +Louisiana,LA,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,UMass-ar6_pooled,89.78461780792219,154.2427927924703,200.55020753856328,250.61224321674487,372.90058039724005,90,154,201,251,373,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,AR(6) model with pooling +Louisiana,LA,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,UMass-gbqr,115.69972093892098,163.05261991327404,183.62920716307008,216.42429835794098,262.0467831322933,116,163,184,216,262,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,gradient boosting quantile regression +Louisiana,LA,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,UMass-gbqr,104.68199770793203,161.79137056219125,187.88572538919465,221.4074928291658,292.6160077152197,105,162,188,221,293,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,gradient boosting quantile regression +Louisiana,LA,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,UMass-gbqr,96.85359033324315,150.56636656274145,191.06386747435604,226.32987641302554,310.41368796242574,97,151,191,226,310,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,gradient boosting quantile regression +Maine,ME,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CEPH-Rtrend_covid,62,80,92,105,133,62,80,92,105,133,CEPH Lab at Indiana University,2025-01-08,Rtrend COVID +Maine,ME,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CEPH-Rtrend_covid,56,88,114,144,216,56,88,114,144,216,CEPH Lab at Indiana University,2025-01-08,Rtrend COVID +Maine,ME,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CEPH-Rtrend_covid,49,94,132,183,310,49,94,132,183,310,CEPH Lab at Indiana University,2025-01-08,Rtrend COVID +Maine,ME,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CMU-TimeSeries,67.57436181703747,93.14347996033403,104.82482372928447,112.38878446152141,138.4945669988514,68,93,105,112,138,Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group,2025-01-08,AR ensemble with auxiliary data +Maine,ME,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CMU-TimeSeries,68.98277448607097,104.47224245099527,122.807086142207,129.6088344251043,158.94612561318826,69,104,123,130,159,Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group,2025-01-08,AR ensemble with auxiliary data +Maine,ME,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CMU-TimeSeries,67.51040324133339,111.35841026204939,139.41165841106854,142.49575670147266,171.71851737046268,68,111,139,142,172,Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group,2025-01-08,AR ensemble with auxiliary data +Maine,ME,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CovidHub-baseline,55,79.5,86,92.5,117,55,80,86,92,117,CovidHub-hub-models,2025-01-08,CovidHub baseline model +Maine,ME,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CovidHub-baseline,46.84256442564426,73.71235712357122,86,98.1830693306933,125.3361728617286,47,74,86,98,125,CovidHub-hub-models,2025-01-08,CovidHub baseline model +Maine,ME,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CovidHub-baseline,38.526257762577615,70.50579005790057,86,101.59996099960999,133.09393468934687,39,71,86,102,133,CovidHub-hub-models,2025-01-08,CovidHub baseline model +Maine,ME,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CovidHub-ensemble,48.817941256262,71.0941723579691,83.1534061431885,96.7296781522744,131.707072618817,49,71,83,97,132,CovidHub,2025-01-08,Ensemble model using CovidHub submissions +Maine,ME,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CovidHub-ensemble,50.5,79.4496853223345,98.7862111313769,115.613159837723,149.49027904286,50,79,99,116,149,CovidHub,2025-01-08,Ensemble model using CovidHub submissions +Maine,ME,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CovidHub-ensemble,49.7129289964946,88.8707709355811,108.754128449636,128.74886137544,159.8739119923,50,89,109,129,160,CovidHub,2025-01-08,Ensemble model using CovidHub submissions +Maine,ME,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,MOBS-GLEAM_COVID,37,62,79,98,143,37,62,79,98,143,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University,2025-01-08,GLEAM COVID-19 Forecasting Model +Maine,ME,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,MOBS-GLEAM_COVID,45,75,96,119,173,45,75,96,119,173,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University,2025-01-08,GLEAM COVID-19 Forecasting Model +Maine,ME,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,MOBS-GLEAM_COVID,56,94,119,147,214,56,94,119,147,214,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University,2025-01-08,GLEAM COVID-19 Forecasting Model +Maine,ME,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,NEU_ISI-AdaptiveEnsemble,27,47,54,64,87,27,47,54,64,87,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University and ISI Foundation,2025-01-08,Adaptive Ensemble +Maine,ME,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,NEU_ISI-AdaptiveEnsemble,34,51,60,72,100,34,51,60,72,100,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University and ISI Foundation,2025-01-08,Adaptive Ensemble +Maine,ME,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,NEU_ISI-AdaptiveEnsemble,37,61,72,83,116,37,61,72,83,116,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University and ISI Foundation,2025-01-08,Adaptive Ensemble +Maine,ME,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,OHT_JHU-nbxd,28.59,35.85,40.24,45.06,55.59,29,36,40,45,56,One Health Trust and Johns Hopkins University,2025-01-08,NBEATS exogenous covariate decoder +Maine,ME,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,OHT_JHU-nbxd,23.71,32.07,37.36,43.35,57,24,32,37,43,57,One Health Trust and Johns Hopkins University,2025-01-08,NBEATS exogenous covariate decoder +Maine,ME,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,OHT_JHU-nbxd,19.77,28.3,33.9,40.38,55.6,20,28,34,40,56,One Health Trust and Johns Hopkins University,2025-01-08,NBEATS exogenous covariate decoder +Maine,ME,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,UM-DeepOutbreak,67.95607376098633,80.33331727981567,87.30681228637695,93.98511838912964,106.36236190795898,68,80,87,94,106,"University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering",2025-01-08,DeepOutbreak +Maine,ME,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,UM-DeepOutbreak,80.7879867553711,90.67182790756226,101.90262603759766,112.22631967544557,122.11016082763672,81,91,102,112,122,"University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering",2025-01-08,DeepOutbreak +Maine,ME,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,UM-DeepOutbreak,77.54100036621094,95.78315744161604,110.06956481933594,122.72277822732926,140.96493530273438,78,96,110,123,141,"University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering",2025-01-08,DeepOutbreak +Maine,ME,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,UMass-ar6_pooled,59.907110760906285,78.59471429146984,89.9599132180153,103.11554277691882,132.35090659261044,60,79,90,103,132,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,AR(6) model with pooling +Maine,ME,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,UMass-ar6_pooled,56.44577784899604,83.89937064466906,101.57242226275372,122.32686365333906,173.49874642251822,56,84,102,122,173,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,AR(6) model with pooling +Maine,ME,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,UMass-ar6_pooled,50.42585799298915,83.74154187116213,107.43869207993532,134.77494452355162,210.20685062308476,50,84,107,135,210,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,AR(6) model with pooling +Maine,ME,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,UMass-gbqr,37.728771751617735,63.59363042446842,73.20827323362039,95.45935630454875,131.06323864502446,38,64,73,95,131,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,gradient boosting quantile regression +Maine,ME,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,UMass-gbqr,34.77528723709928,63.328875340500176,75.11919466341537,98.50239260091465,140.0344324725323,35,63,75,99,140,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,gradient boosting quantile regression +Maine,ME,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,UMass-gbqr,33.192407852031124,59.85047803335766,72.38221583792725,92.59211141177556,148.02930661413697,33,60,72,93,148,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,gradient boosting quantile regression +Maryland,MD,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CFA_Pyrenew-Pyrenew_H_COVID,221,340,417,503,754.0249999999999,221,340,417,503,754,Center for Forecasting and Outbreak Analytics (CFA/CDC) Pyrenew team,2025-01-08,Pyrenew_Hospital_Admissions_COVID +Maryland,MD,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CFA_Pyrenew-Pyrenew_H_COVID,227.95,441,614.5,868,1763.025,228,441,614,868,1763,Center for Forecasting and Outbreak Analytics (CFA/CDC) Pyrenew team,2025-01-08,Pyrenew_Hospital_Admissions_COVID +Maryland,MD,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CEPH-Rtrend_covid,196,254,291,334,423,196,254,291,334,423,CEPH Lab at Indiana University,2025-01-08,Rtrend COVID +Maryland,MD,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CEPH-Rtrend_covid,181,286,365,459,684,181,286,365,459,684,CEPH Lab at Indiana University,2025-01-08,Rtrend COVID +Maryland,MD,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CEPH-Rtrend_covid,160,302,425,577,960,160,302,425,577,960,CEPH Lab at Indiana University,2025-01-08,Rtrend COVID +Maryland,MD,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CMU-TimeSeries,177.53223485590505,284.81891118342605,325.96929726805314,383.59809507215334,531.5190263561265,178,285,326,384,532,Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group,2025-01-08,AR ensemble with auxiliary data +Maryland,MD,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CMU-TimeSeries,182.46849499227852,324.63616788794485,382.586655621591,453.9946352979841,637.7023675109481,182,325,383,454,638,Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group,2025-01-08,AR ensemble with auxiliary data +Maryland,MD,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CMU-TimeSeries,180.50470405108845,356.0256274658037,435.26055517066516,508.03345560380035,722.7931341028154,181,356,435,508,723,Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group,2025-01-08,AR ensemble with auxiliary data +Maryland,MD,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CovidHub-baseline,177.625,247.5,267,286.5,356.37499999999994,178,248,267,286,356,CovidHub-hub-models,2025-01-08,CovidHub baseline model +Maryland,MD,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CovidHub-baseline,156.6209814598146,240.1749467494675,267,293.7971604716047,376.870895208952,157,240,267,294,377,CovidHub-hub-models,2025-01-08,CovidHub baseline model +Maryland,MD,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CovidHub-baseline,139.32266597665978,232.29263792637926,267,301.3720487204872,394.3220869708697,139,232,267,301,394,CovidHub-hub-models,2025-01-08,CovidHub baseline model +Maryland,MD,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CovidHub-ensemble,177.949745736923,243.930587268812,276.417168193573,311.551277558419,413.978128704187,178,244,276,312,414,CovidHub,2025-01-08,Ensemble model using CovidHub submissions +Maryland,MD,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CovidHub-ensemble,173.846578503963,253.713609862867,306.558475831083,366.612265971091,503.611652756024,174,254,307,367,504,CovidHub,2025-01-08,Ensemble model using CovidHub submissions +Maryland,MD,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CovidHub-ensemble,170.252352025544,291.760963103302,360.932192929295,440.096939552913,621.464879906712,170,292,361,440,621,CovidHub,2025-01-08,Ensemble model using CovidHub submissions +Maryland,MD,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,MOBS-GLEAM_COVID,118,193,243,301,433,118,193,243,301,433,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University,2025-01-08,GLEAM COVID-19 Forecasting Model +Maryland,MD,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,MOBS-GLEAM_COVID,146,238,300,370,533,146,238,300,370,533,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University,2025-01-08,GLEAM COVID-19 Forecasting Model +Maryland,MD,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,MOBS-GLEAM_COVID,187,304,381,471,678,187,304,381,471,678,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University,2025-01-08,GLEAM COVID-19 Forecasting Model +Maryland,MD,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,NEU_ISI-AdaptiveEnsemble,92,122,149,173,286,92,122,149,173,286,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University and ISI Foundation,2025-01-08,Adaptive Ensemble +Maryland,MD,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,NEU_ISI-AdaptiveEnsemble,89,131,151,178,319,89,131,151,178,319,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University and ISI Foundation,2025-01-08,Adaptive Ensemble +Maryland,MD,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,NEU_ISI-AdaptiveEnsemble,95,136,162,201,374,95,136,162,201,374,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University and ISI Foundation,2025-01-08,Adaptive Ensemble +Maryland,MD,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,OHT_JHU-nbxd,87.03,116.59,135.19,156.2,203.78,87,117,135,156,204,One Health Trust and Johns Hopkins University,2025-01-08,NBEATS exogenous covariate decoder +Maryland,MD,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,OHT_JHU-nbxd,77.31,111.76,134.46,160.87,223.19,77,112,134,161,223,One Health Trust and Johns Hopkins University,2025-01-08,NBEATS exogenous covariate decoder +Maryland,MD,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,OHT_JHU-nbxd,65.35,101.98,127.24,157.52,231.83,65,102,127,158,232,One Health Trust and Johns Hopkins University,2025-01-08,NBEATS exogenous covariate decoder +Maryland,MD,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,UM-DeepOutbreak,190.0184326171875,269.81157221260077,324.80894470214844,360.14338384208673,439.9365234375,190,270,325,360,440,"University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering",2025-01-08,DeepOutbreak +Maryland,MD,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,UM-DeepOutbreak,296.85797119140625,446.45479085540774,482.5795364379883,517.9459049453735,667.542724609375,297,446,483,518,668,"University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering",2025-01-08,DeepOutbreak +Maryland,MD,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,UM-DeepOutbreak,255.7410888671875,463.0334002494812,527.6931533813477,589.5720685005189,796.8643798828125,256,463,528,590,797,"University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering",2025-01-08,DeepOutbreak +Maryland,MD,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,UMass-ar6_pooled,206.1923312049474,253.94706827541017,283.3430995137073,314.87206754963194,379.52536223843515,206,254,283,315,380,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,AR(6) model with pooling +Maryland,MD,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,UMass-ar6_pooled,200.53424488583605,269.42721972573366,313.1169516621651,363.2245319421816,474.2233055120485,201,269,313,363,474,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,AR(6) model with pooling +Maryland,MD,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,UMass-ar6_pooled,196.25924065224308,281.5219262066048,340.8643858585894,409.19387910582526,564.9297598134231,196,282,341,409,565,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,AR(6) model with pooling +Maryland,MD,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,UMass-gbqr,178.36725661794082,233.9141062622139,269.4912368734382,308.2304875672063,404.95625740837477,178,234,269,308,405,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,gradient boosting quantile regression +Maryland,MD,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,UMass-gbqr,166.69315700792586,231.08154632044162,271.84069350738883,322.9559471729228,456.26463398654664,167,231,272,323,456,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,gradient boosting quantile regression +Maryland,MD,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,UMass-gbqr,151.64895651772235,228.988046039273,274.45289526697655,316.66299178627634,478.51633325275384,152,229,274,317,479,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,gradient boosting quantile regression +Massachusetts,MA,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CFA_Pyrenew-Pyrenew_H_COVID,380.95,554,669,799,1100.025,381,554,669,799,1100,Center for Forecasting and Outbreak Analytics (CFA/CDC) Pyrenew team,2025-01-08,Pyrenew_Hospital_Admissions_COVID +Massachusetts,MA,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CFA_Pyrenew-Pyrenew_H_COVID,328.975,590.75,815,1096,2022.3249999999985,329,591,815,1096,2022,Center for Forecasting and Outbreak Analytics (CFA/CDC) Pyrenew team,2025-01-08,Pyrenew_Hospital_Admissions_COVID +Massachusetts,MA,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CEPH-Rtrend_covid,285,404,484,583,788,285,404,484,583,788,CEPH Lab at Indiana University,2025-01-08,Rtrend COVID +Massachusetts,MA,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CEPH-Rtrend_covid,189,351,495,684,1169,189,351,495,684,1169,CEPH Lab at Indiana University,2025-01-08,Rtrend COVID +Massachusetts,MA,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CEPH-Rtrend_covid,122,309,500,788,1693,122,309,500,788,1693,CEPH Lab at Indiana University,2025-01-08,Rtrend COVID +Massachusetts,MA,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CMU-TimeSeries,421.55795262450357,535.5781386083918,584.5565190376986,654.6966886067315,853.5914496531841,422,536,585,655,854,Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group,2025-01-08,AR ensemble with auxiliary data +Massachusetts,MA,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CMU-TimeSeries,412.4604290623357,556.9735832831597,625.4255115289241,719.3057269833779,990.7733703529914,412,557,625,719,991,Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group,2025-01-08,AR ensemble with auxiliary data +Massachusetts,MA,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CMU-TimeSeries,400.6305136702376,572.4788552137725,662.1218541436492,767.6326420423957,1105.0641119805487,401,572,662,768,1105,Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group,2025-01-08,AR ensemble with auxiliary data +Massachusetts,MA,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CovidHub-baseline,407.625,495.5,541,586.5,674.3749999999999,408,496,541,586,674,CovidHub-hub-models,2025-01-08,CovidHub baseline model +Massachusetts,MA,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CovidHub-baseline,366.33784312843136,478.9592745927459,541,603.3594485944859,714.5938146881468,366,479,541,603,715,CovidHub-hub-models,2025-01-08,CovidHub baseline model +Massachusetts,MA,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CovidHub-baseline,327.0902251522515,467.4696846968469,541,614.8673911739118,755.583948339483,327,467,541,615,756,CovidHub-hub-models,2025-01-08,CovidHub baseline model +Massachusetts,MA,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CovidHub-ensemble,246.907567670129,453.797439391748,509.020931539055,581.528624084473,773.004730271502,247,454,509,582,773,CovidHub,2025-01-08,Ensemble model using CovidHub submissions +Massachusetts,MA,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CovidHub-ensemble,194,395.341365325344,520.272750854492,654.966377774824,885.737917977031,194,395,520,655,886,CovidHub,2025-01-08,Ensemble model using CovidHub submissions +Massachusetts,MA,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CovidHub-ensemble,179.325088500977,405.470125313616,505.702984333038,611.561233614685,935.171362393179,179,405,506,612,935,CovidHub,2025-01-08,Ensemble model using CovidHub submissions +Massachusetts,MA,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,MOBS-GLEAM_COVID,205,333,418,516,743,205,333,418,516,743,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University,2025-01-08,GLEAM COVID-19 Forecasting Model +Massachusetts,MA,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,MOBS-GLEAM_COVID,199,324,407,502,722,199,324,407,502,722,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University,2025-01-08,GLEAM COVID-19 Forecasting Model +Massachusetts,MA,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,MOBS-GLEAM_COVID,205,333,419,517,743,205,333,419,517,743,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University,2025-01-08,GLEAM COVID-19 Forecasting Model +Massachusetts,MA,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,NEU_ISI-AdaptiveEnsemble,390,513,601,740,958,390,513,601,740,958,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University and ISI Foundation,2025-01-08,Adaptive Ensemble +Massachusetts,MA,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,NEU_ISI-AdaptiveEnsemble,369,532,611,759,1045,369,532,611,759,1045,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University and ISI Foundation,2025-01-08,Adaptive Ensemble +Massachusetts,MA,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,NEU_ISI-AdaptiveEnsemble,294,498,637,806,1182,294,498,637,806,1182,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University and ISI Foundation,2025-01-08,Adaptive Ensemble +Massachusetts,MA,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,OHT_JHU-nbxd,208.03,241.74,261.18,281.91,325.21,208,242,261,282,325,One Health Trust and Johns Hopkins University,2025-01-08,NBEATS exogenous covariate decoder +Massachusetts,MA,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,OHT_JHU-nbxd,159.44,195.73,217.37,240.97,291.87,159,196,217,241,292,One Health Trust and Johns Hopkins University,2025-01-08,NBEATS exogenous covariate decoder +Massachusetts,MA,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,OHT_JHU-nbxd,131.65,168.82,191.59,216.87,272.73,132,169,192,217,273,One Health Trust and Johns Hopkins University,2025-01-08,NBEATS exogenous covariate decoder +Massachusetts,MA,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,UM-DeepOutbreak,201.77127075195312,477.1759061279297,543.7794418334961,580.0572481689453,855.4618835449219,202,477,544,580,855,"University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering",2025-01-08,DeepOutbreak +Massachusetts,MA,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,UM-DeepOutbreak,168.1260986328125,404.89722897949366,545.5455017089844,669.0831177001938,905.854248046875,168,405,546,669,906,"University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering",2025-01-08,DeepOutbreak +Massachusetts,MA,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,UM-DeepOutbreak,153.65017700195312,474.9528735534669,511.40596866607666,534.8615795715331,856.1642761230469,154,475,511,535,856,"University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering",2025-01-08,DeepOutbreak +Massachusetts,MA,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,UMass-ar6_pooled,378.64990166855915,476.2795234955129,534.0418630781098,591.2139481507616,735.366420545578,379,476,534,591,735,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,AR(6) model with pooling +Massachusetts,MA,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,UMass-ar6_pooled,331.92524376169445,464.9129100708885,552.7271744875101,640.8496378494547,865.6215879071865,332,465,553,641,866,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,AR(6) model with pooling +Massachusetts,MA,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,UMass-ar6_pooled,295.54518697392336,465.2141855446603,563.5973809778371,688.2608876578369,974.2465026637338,296,465,564,688,974,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,AR(6) model with pooling +Massachusetts,MA,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,UMass-gbqr,208.8151353402575,431.3153552879827,478.2777378605962,558.7127823929013,758.0094605430032,209,431,478,559,758,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,gradient boosting quantile regression +Massachusetts,MA,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,UMass-gbqr,160.39165277945548,385.78550167119363,466.1196378032746,527.2977537802786,828.8269493954567,160,386,466,527,829,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,gradient boosting quantile regression +Massachusetts,MA,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,UMass-gbqr,95.78974929693388,345.72606508257104,441.3807742029758,500.4393533709925,896.0962221226243,96,346,441,500,896,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,gradient boosting quantile regression +Michigan,MI,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CFA_Pyrenew-Pyrenew_H_COVID,451.975,797.75,1021,1264.2500000000002,2117.1499999999996,452,798,1021,1264,2117,Center for Forecasting and Outbreak Analytics (CFA/CDC) Pyrenew team,2025-01-08,Pyrenew_Hospital_Admissions_COVID +Michigan,MI,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CFA_Pyrenew-Pyrenew_H_COVID,393.925,790.75,1126,1601,3208.399999999998,394,791,1126,1601,3208,Center for Forecasting and Outbreak Analytics (CFA/CDC) Pyrenew team,2025-01-08,Pyrenew_Hospital_Admissions_COVID +Michigan,MI,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CEPH-Rtrend_covid,768,971,1101,1247,1546,768,971,1101,1247,1546,CEPH Lab at Indiana University,2025-01-08,Rtrend COVID +Michigan,MI,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CEPH-Rtrend_covid,723,1082,1351,1668,2395,723,1082,1351,1668,2395,CEPH Lab at Indiana University,2025-01-08,Rtrend COVID +Michigan,MI,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CEPH-Rtrend_covid,648,1129,1522,2006,3126,648,1129,1522,2006,3126,CEPH Lab at Indiana University,2025-01-08,Rtrend COVID +Michigan,MI,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CMU-TimeSeries,719.916043443492,915.4469304400681,1000.3404412906723,1054.5223597762254,1237.9850273226168,720,915,1000,1055,1238,Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group,2025-01-08,AR ensemble with auxiliary data +Michigan,MI,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CMU-TimeSeries,700.1035293160704,955.0883961883401,1089.2452452168432,1135.5119747094873,1349.4496076520966,700,955,1089,1136,1349,Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group,2025-01-08,AR ensemble with auxiliary data +Michigan,MI,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CMU-TimeSeries,664.5577982412414,977.2565521384793,1160.8289404551124,1189.7261103500794,1417.4150747389567,665,977,1161,1190,1417,Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group,2025-01-08,AR ensemble with auxiliary data +Michigan,MI,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CovidHub-baseline,629.75,765.25,906,1046.75,1182.25,630,765,906,1047,1182,CovidHub-hub-models,2025-01-08,CovidHub baseline model +Michigan,MI,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CovidHub-baseline,474.01096960969613,744.0751657516576,906,1069.162669126691,1339.909792097921,474,744,906,1069,1340,CovidHub-hub-models,2025-01-08,CovidHub baseline model +Michigan,MI,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CovidHub-baseline,366.54752797527976,712.4058590585905,906,1100.7298097980981,1445.607374823748,367,712,906,1101,1446,CovidHub-hub-models,2025-01-08,CovidHub baseline model +Michigan,MI,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CovidHub-ensemble,409.525869757565,716.112820664051,868.602115983331,985.046479231091,1248.96986737343,410,716,869,985,1249,CovidHub,2025-01-08,Ensemble model using CovidHub submissions +Michigan,MI,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CovidHub-ensemble,410.391004867554,742.193769563897,887.601873204559,1067.25598735474,1354.66958822379,410,742,888,1067,1355,CovidHub,2025-01-08,Ensemble model using CovidHub submissions +Michigan,MI,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CovidHub-ensemble,365.093590064759,668.240479581146,871.907643291477,1122.36305517504,1418.0101670448,365,668,872,1122,1418,CovidHub,2025-01-08,Ensemble model using CovidHub submissions +Michigan,MI,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,MOBS-GLEAM_COVID,315,510,640,790,1135,315,510,640,790,1135,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University,2025-01-08,GLEAM COVID-19 Forecasting Model +Michigan,MI,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,MOBS-GLEAM_COVID,314,510,639,788,1133,314,510,639,788,1133,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University,2025-01-08,GLEAM COVID-19 Forecasting Model +Michigan,MI,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,MOBS-GLEAM_COVID,334,541,678,837,1203,334,541,678,837,1203,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University,2025-01-08,GLEAM COVID-19 Forecasting Model +Michigan,MI,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,NEU_ISI-AdaptiveEnsemble,154,317,436,867,1118,154,317,436,867,1118,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University and ISI Foundation,2025-01-08,Adaptive Ensemble +Michigan,MI,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,NEU_ISI-AdaptiveEnsemble,138,298,444,999,1228,138,298,444,999,1228,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University and ISI Foundation,2025-01-08,Adaptive Ensemble +Michigan,MI,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,NEU_ISI-AdaptiveEnsemble,163,280,449,1055,1363,163,280,449,1055,1363,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University and ISI Foundation,2025-01-08,Adaptive Ensemble +Michigan,MI,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,OHT_JHU-nbxd,480.56,636.91,734.63,844.55,1092,481,637,735,845,1092,One Health Trust and Johns Hopkins University,2025-01-08,NBEATS exogenous covariate decoder +Michigan,MI,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,OHT_JHU-nbxd,393.64,569.81,685.95,821.19,1140.47,394,570,686,821,1140,One Health Trust and Johns Hopkins University,2025-01-08,NBEATS exogenous covariate decoder +Michigan,MI,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,OHT_JHU-nbxd,318.42,496.23,618.72,765.44,1125.34,318,496,619,765,1125,One Health Trust and Johns Hopkins University,2025-01-08,NBEATS exogenous covariate decoder +Michigan,MI,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,UM-DeepOutbreak,261.60950660705566,674.6505666809068,905.73760986328125,1134.8914255065934,1547.9324855804443,262,675,906,1135,1548,"University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering",2025-01-08,DeepOutbreak +Michigan,MI,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,UM-DeepOutbreak,427.1420097351074,876.5151688232422,1022.5524291992188,1144.8959639892578,1594.2691230773926,427,877,1023,1145,1594,"University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering",2025-01-08,DeepOutbreak +Michigan,MI,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,UM-DeepOutbreak,481.9186248779297,777.1122144927979,1043.5586853027344,1248.360930038452,1543.5545196533203,482,777,1044,1248,1544,"University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering",2025-01-08,DeepOutbreak +Michigan,MI,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,UMass-ar6_pooled,558.448495788349,775.6386143253108,897.4653762479511,1040.2494177967112,1331.673702327789,558,776,897,1040,1332,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,AR(6) model with pooling +Michigan,MI,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,UMass-ar6_pooled,488.2494973175205,760.3683751681159,947.8287082659053,1155.7389735102256,1681.0629028597405,488,760,948,1156,1681,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,AR(6) model with pooling +Michigan,MI,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,UMass-ar6_pooled,396.18718012951746,716.9948877059273,939.7114378671002,1215.3004880626713,1862.9417898700765,396,717,940,1215,1863,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,AR(6) model with pooling +Michigan,MI,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,UMass-gbqr,338.4917395151308,757.5750746471958,839.7388557187104,929.8435406654708,1259.9547074242507,338,758,840,930,1260,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,gradient boosting quantile regression +Michigan,MI,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,UMass-gbqr,303.8923605501937,724.0191639596779,827.3750381432129,927.2136463746793,1359.8895687954805,304,724,827,927,1360,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,gradient boosting quantile regression +Michigan,MI,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,UMass-gbqr,316.4114313875493,619.4860714563649,804.1038487158532,895.13254936902,1418.605259350645,316,619,804,895,1419,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,gradient boosting quantile regression +Minnesota,MN,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CFA_Pyrenew-Pyrenew_H_COVID,484.9,677,783,910,1261.0999999999997,485,677,783,910,1261,Center for Forecasting and Outbreak Analytics (CFA/CDC) Pyrenew team,2025-01-08,Pyrenew_Hospital_Admissions_COVID +Minnesota,MN,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CFA_Pyrenew-Pyrenew_H_COVID,402.975,688.75,887,1141.2500000000002,1975.0499999999995,403,689,887,1141,1975,Center for Forecasting and Outbreak Analytics (CFA/CDC) Pyrenew team,2025-01-08,Pyrenew_Hospital_Admissions_COVID +Minnesota,MN,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CEPH-Rtrend_covid,563,653,710,771,887,563,653,710,771,887,CEPH Lab at Indiana University,2025-01-08,Rtrend COVID +Minnesota,MN,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CEPH-Rtrend_covid,520,681,785,904,1153,520,681,785,904,1153,CEPH Lab at Indiana University,2025-01-08,Rtrend COVID +Minnesota,MN,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CEPH-Rtrend_covid,462,668,812,980,1344,462,668,812,980,1344,CEPH Lab at Indiana University,2025-01-08,Rtrend COVID +Minnesota,MN,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CMU-TimeSeries,567.833843805755,695.6265688017584,758.9760900262662,772.6565008301548,845.1092436844124,568,696,759,773,845,Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group,2025-01-08,AR ensemble with auxiliary data +Minnesota,MN,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CMU-TimeSeries,546.5414966230225,740.9153787520881,840.8622208223547,848.306393785064,903.6823949537575,547,741,841,848,904,Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group,2025-01-08,AR ensemble with auxiliary data +Minnesota,MN,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CMU-TimeSeries,515.9929233401336,763.226082230569,871.2228185952303,902.5540740095632,936.7138412445153,516,763,871,903,937,Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group,2025-01-08,AR ensemble with auxiliary data +Minnesota,MN,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CovidHub-baseline,513.625,598.75,660,721.25,806.375,514,599,660,721,806,CovidHub-hub-models,2025-01-08,CovidHub baseline model +Minnesota,MN,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CovidHub-baseline,458.9585410854109,585.7834278342783,660,733.8711937119373,861.005558305583,459,586,660,734,861,CovidHub-hub-models,2025-01-08,CovidHub baseline model +Minnesota,MN,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CovidHub-baseline,414.7230447304474,573.7990054900549,660,746.481594815948,904.0131566315663,415,574,660,746,904,CovidHub-hub-models,2025-01-08,CovidHub baseline model +Minnesota,MN,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CovidHub-ensemble,466.421403708639,550.785365811759,630.477903883928,728.157870638293,849.106376725242,466,551,630,728,849,CovidHub,2025-01-08,Ensemble model using CovidHub submissions +Minnesota,MN,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CovidHub-ensemble,437.715048154093,538.334108388356,607.353197851761,734.403293228912,898.711589059914,438,538,607,734,899,CovidHub,2025-01-08,Ensemble model using CovidHub submissions +Minnesota,MN,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CovidHub-ensemble,369.656438697965,535.767536183631,623.869955506339,781.16327518487,935.839041121849,370,536,624,781,936,CovidHub,2025-01-08,Ensemble model using CovidHub submissions +Minnesota,MN,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,MOBS-GLEAM_COVID,270,438,550,679,976,270,438,550,679,976,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University,2025-01-08,GLEAM COVID-19 Forecasting Model +Minnesota,MN,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,MOBS-GLEAM_COVID,292,474,594,733,1054,292,474,594,733,1054,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University,2025-01-08,GLEAM COVID-19 Forecasting Model +Minnesota,MN,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,MOBS-GLEAM_COVID,321,520,651,804,1155,321,520,651,804,1155,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University,2025-01-08,GLEAM COVID-19 Forecasting Model +Minnesota,MN,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,NEU_ISI-AdaptiveEnsemble,325,439,498,552,672,325,439,498,552,672,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University and ISI Foundation,2025-01-08,Adaptive Ensemble +Minnesota,MN,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,NEU_ISI-AdaptiveEnsemble,356,462,514,575,679,356,462,514,575,679,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University and ISI Foundation,2025-01-08,Adaptive Ensemble +Minnesota,MN,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,NEU_ISI-AdaptiveEnsemble,374,519,574,625,733,374,519,574,625,733,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University and ISI Foundation,2025-01-08,Adaptive Ensemble +Minnesota,MN,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,OHT_JHU-nbxd,305.99,350.02,375.16,401.79,456.89,306,350,375,402,457,One Health Trust and Johns Hopkins University,2025-01-08,NBEATS exogenous covariate decoder +Minnesota,MN,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,OHT_JHU-nbxd,246.1,295.4,324.4,355.73,422.44,246,295,324,356,422,One Health Trust and Johns Hopkins University,2025-01-08,NBEATS exogenous covariate decoder +Minnesota,MN,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,OHT_JHU-nbxd,211.36,261.89,292.2,325.38,397.31,211,262,292,325,397,One Health Trust and Johns Hopkins University,2025-01-08,NBEATS exogenous covariate decoder +Minnesota,MN,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,UM-DeepOutbreak,442.50002670288086,491.6402318210602,619.0332744121552,740.9616968898773,790.1019020080566,443,492,619,741,790,"University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering",2025-01-08,DeepOutbreak +Minnesota,MN,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,UM-DeepOutbreak,428.8686332702637,451.3442924484251,594.1424967050552,735.8065864578249,758.2822456359863,429,451,594,736,758,"University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering",2025-01-08,DeepOutbreak +Minnesota,MN,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,UM-DeepOutbreak,364.4328918457031,365.774401778698,562.3889174759388,758.3265503697395,759.6680603027344,364,366,562,758,760,"University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering",2025-01-08,DeepOutbreak +Minnesota,MN,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,UMass-ar6_pooled,491.0929331139023,609.9304998024576,677.0584739135971,750.1415963837978,901.027507671832,491,610,677,750,901,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,AR(6) model with pooling +Minnesota,MN,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,UMass-ar6_pooled,446.56146303792326,606.4995699618503,701.5700341283953,811.3373931989885,1069.613261028843,447,606,702,811,1070,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,AR(6) model with pooling +Minnesota,MN,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,UMass-ar6_pooled,404.7966055838642,595.360328722117,710.9620884360186,849.5273594407867,1179.283060874418,405,595,711,850,1179,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,AR(6) model with pooling +Minnesota,MN,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,UMass-gbqr,490.34278071439786,617.2529471225483,641.9225333557014,715.354044386708,853.1035097660713,490,617,642,715,853,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,gradient boosting quantile regression +Minnesota,MN,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,UMass-gbqr,458.0181962860515,602.6682167767121,620.5638989984662,675.8442390366278,893.7407831660712,458,603,621,676,894,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,gradient boosting quantile regression +Minnesota,MN,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,UMass-gbqr,365.31287739593034,551.535072367263,596.7399110126777,640.1825534406414,934.9642409991832,365,552,597,640,935,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,gradient boosting quantile regression +Mississippi,MS,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CFA_Pyrenew-Pyrenew_H_COVID,69,122,162.5,208,344.02499999999986,69,122,162,208,344,Center for Forecasting and Outbreak Analytics (CFA/CDC) Pyrenew team,2025-01-08,Pyrenew_Hospital_Admissions_COVID +Mississippi,MS,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CFA_Pyrenew-Pyrenew_H_COVID,63,145.75,223,325.2500000000002,737,63,146,223,325,737,Center for Forecasting and Outbreak Analytics (CFA/CDC) Pyrenew team,2025-01-08,Pyrenew_Hospital_Admissions_COVID +Mississippi,MS,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CEPH-Rtrend_covid,66,100,126,157,226,66,100,126,157,226,CEPH Lab at Indiana University,2025-01-08,Rtrend COVID +Mississippi,MS,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CEPH-Rtrend_covid,46,99,148,216,398,46,99,148,216,398,CEPH Lab at Indiana University,2025-01-08,Rtrend COVID +Mississippi,MS,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CEPH-Rtrend_covid,32,95,163,270,580,32,95,163,270,580,CEPH Lab at Indiana University,2025-01-08,Rtrend COVID +Mississippi,MS,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CMU-TimeSeries,78.69761989735285,127.74114666144258,146.84493863321765,173.0315521957477,258.17741815839304,79,128,147,173,258,Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group,2025-01-08,AR ensemble with auxiliary data +Mississippi,MS,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CMU-TimeSeries,79.3804911863131,144.6600838861101,168.94065146915295,201.18345245945653,318.0408445562766,79,145,169,201,318,Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group,2025-01-08,AR ensemble with auxiliary data +Mississippi,MS,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CMU-TimeSeries,78.60678722395551,162.2388150432406,189.9830818959323,223.3067856504033,364.06208027975015,79,162,190,223,364,Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group,2025-01-08,AR ensemble with auxiliary data +Mississippi,MS,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CovidHub-baseline,81.625,106.25,124,141.75,166.375,82,106,124,142,166,CovidHub-hub-models,2025-01-08,CovidHub baseline model +Mississippi,MS,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CovidHub-baseline,65.83745837458375,102.7980229802298,124,145.01177511775117,182.32427474274738,66,103,124,145,182,CovidHub-hub-models,2025-01-08,CovidHub baseline model +Mississippi,MS,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CovidHub-baseline,54.04354018540185,100.1390888908889,124,147.88518135181351,194.61046110461103,54,100,124,148,195,CovidHub-hub-models,2025-01-08,CovidHub baseline model +Mississippi,MS,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CovidHub-ensemble,61.4092054828042,95.0837738038768,123.415395571853,140.201907110453,193.792333469434,61,95,123,140,194,CovidHub,2025-01-08,Ensemble model using CovidHub submissions +Mississippi,MS,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CovidHub-ensemble,57.5944716506945,103,139.254108642318,163.77179877758,223.319275750063,58,103,139,164,223,CovidHub,2025-01-08,Ensemble model using CovidHub submissions +Mississippi,MS,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CovidHub-ensemble,55.2575826025702,102.274445986882,148.611142745816,183.509195273785,266.689842966584,55,102,149,184,267,CovidHub,2025-01-08,Ensemble model using CovidHub submissions +Mississippi,MS,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,MOBS-GLEAM_COVID,52,87,110,136,198,52,87,110,136,198,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University,2025-01-08,GLEAM COVID-19 Forecasting Model +Mississippi,MS,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,MOBS-GLEAM_COVID,65,107,136,168,243,65,107,136,168,243,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University,2025-01-08,GLEAM COVID-19 Forecasting Model +Mississippi,MS,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,MOBS-GLEAM_COVID,87,143,180,223,321,87,143,180,223,321,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University,2025-01-08,GLEAM COVID-19 Forecasting Model +Mississippi,MS,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,NEU_ISI-AdaptiveEnsemble,48,67,78,92,120,48,67,78,92,120,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University and ISI Foundation,2025-01-08,Adaptive Ensemble +Mississippi,MS,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,NEU_ISI-AdaptiveEnsemble,50,70,86,105,143,50,70,86,105,143,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University and ISI Foundation,2025-01-08,Adaptive Ensemble +Mississippi,MS,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,NEU_ISI-AdaptiveEnsemble,55,83,105,127,169,55,83,105,127,169,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University and ISI Foundation,2025-01-08,Adaptive Ensemble +Mississippi,MS,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,OHT_JHU-nbxd,46.56,63.46,74.21,86.44,114.38,47,63,74,86,114,One Health Trust and Johns Hopkins University,2025-01-08,NBEATS exogenous covariate decoder +Mississippi,MS,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,OHT_JHU-nbxd,41.38,60.87,73.84,89.04,125.23,41,61,74,89,125,One Health Trust and Johns Hopkins University,2025-01-08,NBEATS exogenous covariate decoder +Mississippi,MS,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,OHT_JHU-nbxd,35.19,55.72,69.99,87.2,129.74,35,56,70,87,130,One Health Trust and Johns Hopkins University,2025-01-08,NBEATS exogenous covariate decoder +Mississippi,MS,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,UM-DeepOutbreak,82.29590225219727,112.53621873807909,129.34620666503906,144.4038142209053,174.6441307067871,82,113,129,144,175,"University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering",2025-01-08,DeepOutbreak +Mississippi,MS,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,UM-DeepOutbreak,101.8283321261406,120.71110215187072,143.12242126464844,159.54359755516052,178.42636758089066,102,121,143,160,178,"University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering",2025-01-08,DeepOutbreak +Mississippi,MS,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,UM-DeepOutbreak,98.2215347290039,125.82572645139696,149.0464973449707,170.45622545289993,198.06041717529297,98,126,149,170,198,"University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering",2025-01-08,DeepOutbreak +Mississippi,MS,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,UMass-ar6_pooled,73.88714701093139,108.50921281245168,128.32450010764254,150.9580177048412,199.8837106378261,74,109,128,151,200,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,AR(6) model with pooling +Mississippi,MS,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,UMass-ar6_pooled,67.39467261557276,111.89013969176807,142.50821728463637,178.90011907820926,263.72892989257923,67,112,143,179,264,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,AR(6) model with pooling +Mississippi,MS,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,UMass-ar6_pooled,55.51516520514042,109.54889197376386,148.1757881466613,196.56216509466992,316.5358641344885,56,110,148,197,317,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,AR(6) model with pooling +Mississippi,MS,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,UMass-gbqr,56.818410965608415,90.16754760775356,120.83079114370646,134.06950595648686,189.584666938867,57,90,121,134,190,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,gradient boosting quantile regression +Mississippi,MS,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,UMass-gbqr,50.18894330138909,85.63199770730475,119.0349576282254,134.37463860319957,203.63855150012523,50,86,119,134,204,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,gradient boosting quantile regression +Mississippi,MS,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,UMass-gbqr,43.39352395894015,76.89141456699826,113.57851450217751,127.42290125059128,216.8438217986788,43,77,114,127,217,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,gradient boosting quantile regression +Missouri,MO,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CEPH-Rtrend_covid,357,450,515,583,726,357,450,515,583,726,CEPH Lab at Indiana University,2025-01-08,Rtrend COVID +Missouri,MO,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CEPH-Rtrend_covid,313,474,595,741,1073,313,474,595,741,1073,CEPH Lab at Indiana University,2025-01-08,Rtrend COVID +Missouri,MO,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CEPH-Rtrend_covid,263,475,648,872,1414,263,475,648,872,1414,CEPH Lab at Indiana University,2025-01-08,Rtrend COVID +Missouri,MO,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CMU-TimeSeries,334.2640242182259,446.19346548428234,489.47218274115124,544.7206241724189,676.798544376468,334,446,489,545,677,Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group,2025-01-08,AR ensemble with auxiliary data +Missouri,MO,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CMU-TimeSeries,337.8745643164567,487.65993993550063,548.752425269771,611.3414824252433,778.0101027306132,338,488,549,611,778,Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group,2025-01-08,AR ensemble with auxiliary data +Missouri,MO,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CMU-TimeSeries,332.05310138992905,520.0908757526104,604.2477516708954,648.9240567738756,848.7186951491758,332,520,604,649,849,Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group,2025-01-08,AR ensemble with auxiliary data +Missouri,MO,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CovidHub-baseline,322.87500000000006,401.75,427,452.25,531.125,323,402,427,452,531,CovidHub-hub-models,2025-01-08,CovidHub baseline model +Missouri,MO,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CovidHub-baseline,299.7549665496655,392.59366093660935,427,460.82618576185763,553.5474057240571,300,393,427,461,554,CovidHub-hub-models,2025-01-08,CovidHub baseline model +Missouri,MO,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CovidHub-baseline,278.50585080850806,382.8136456364564,427,471.6733342333423,575.4456582065819,279,383,427,472,575,CovidHub-hub-models,2025-01-08,CovidHub baseline model +Missouri,MO,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CovidHub-ensemble,259.590949283323,368.706941595319,447.756027573996,528.82155964317,647.773861374507,260,369,448,529,648,CovidHub,2025-01-08,Ensemble model using CovidHub submissions +Missouri,MO,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CovidHub-ensemble,244.512916833952,399.902601018811,481.010622073725,579.541666519562,750.226939100139,245,400,481,580,750,CovidHub,2025-01-08,Ensemble model using CovidHub submissions +Missouri,MO,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CovidHub-ensemble,247.471401997888,405.643760363417,501.059516140157,589.013019454674,836.046856910534,247,406,501,589,836,CovidHub,2025-01-08,Ensemble model using CovidHub submissions +Missouri,MO,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,MOBS-GLEAM_COVID,206,335,420,519,746,206,335,420,519,746,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University,2025-01-08,GLEAM COVID-19 Forecasting Model +Missouri,MO,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,MOBS-GLEAM_COVID,241,391,490,605,870,241,391,490,605,870,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University,2025-01-08,GLEAM COVID-19 Forecasting Model +Missouri,MO,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,MOBS-GLEAM_COVID,290,470,589,727,1045,290,470,589,727,1045,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University,2025-01-08,GLEAM COVID-19 Forecasting Model +Missouri,MO,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,NEU_ISI-AdaptiveEnsemble,121,258,357,457,589,121,258,357,457,589,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University and ISI Foundation,2025-01-08,Adaptive Ensemble +Missouri,MO,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,NEU_ISI-AdaptiveEnsemble,134,290,411,513,698,134,290,411,513,698,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University and ISI Foundation,2025-01-08,Adaptive Ensemble +Missouri,MO,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,NEU_ISI-AdaptiveEnsemble,122,316,448,591,850,122,316,448,591,850,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University and ISI Foundation,2025-01-08,Adaptive Ensemble +Missouri,MO,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,OHT_JHU-nbxd,244.88,308.84,347.63,390.4,484.05,245,309,348,390,484,One Health Trust and Johns Hopkins University,2025-01-08,NBEATS exogenous covariate decoder +Missouri,MO,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,OHT_JHU-nbxd,200.98,271.73,316.5,367.25,482.77,201,272,316,367,483,One Health Trust and Johns Hopkins University,2025-01-08,NBEATS exogenous covariate decoder +Missouri,MO,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,OHT_JHU-nbxd,158.79,229.17,275.49,329.35,456.33,159,229,275,329,456,One Health Trust and Johns Hopkins University,2025-01-08,NBEATS exogenous covariate decoder +Missouri,MO,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,UM-DeepOutbreak,110.75616455078124,261.46916447343824,461.8861312866211,601.6673101359368,752.38031005859375,111,261,462,602,752,"University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering",2025-01-08,DeepOutbreak +Missouri,MO,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,UM-DeepOutbreak,184.49686813354492,398.81292571716295,532.5466194152832,638.046205142212,852.3622627258301,184,399,533,638,852,"University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering",2025-01-08,DeepOutbreak +Missouri,MO,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,UM-DeepOutbreak,188.90474700927737,410.7385721206665,511.9308776855469,579.4455709457397,801.2793960571289,189,411,512,579,801,"University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering",2025-01-08,DeepOutbreak +Missouri,MO,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,UMass-ar6_pooled,318.9468594336093,402.41388319063844,447.7856735052767,499.6540802754059,612.2947045230811,319,402,448,500,612,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,AR(6) model with pooling +Missouri,MO,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,UMass-ar6_pooled,294.84516461581393,410.69787041422927,472.0212441474506,554.0833330391233,722.4437754696654,295,411,472,554,722,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,AR(6) model with pooling +Missouri,MO,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,UMass-ar6_pooled,262.4452692528782,400.5489486061666,490.1881545947668,587.0260389093471,823.3750186718927,262,401,490,587,823,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,AR(6) model with pooling +Missouri,MO,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,UMass-gbqr,274.3018985666467,406.020106924622,447.72638164271524,538.6431192863402,618.7491783725451,274,406,448,539,619,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,gradient boosting quantile regression +Missouri,MO,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,UMass-gbqr,248.02583366790338,400.9922763204598,459.2731063873392,545.7056029882441,676.4606516048559,248,401,459,546,676,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,gradient boosting quantile regression +Missouri,MO,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,UMass-gbqr,232.4975347428984,368.2418946356296,462.003468412247,488.96473969927735,697.3024433893462,232,368,462,489,697,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,gradient boosting quantile regression +Montana,MT,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CEPH-Rtrend_covid,20,35,45,57,87,20,35,45,57,87,CEPH Lab at Indiana University,2025-01-08,Rtrend COVID +Montana,MT,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CEPH-Rtrend_covid,13,33,53,79,150,13,33,53,79,150,CEPH Lab at Indiana University,2025-01-08,Rtrend COVID +Montana,MT,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CEPH-Rtrend_covid,8,30,55,91,184,8,30,55,91,184,CEPH Lab at Indiana University,2025-01-08,Rtrend COVID +Montana,MT,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CMU-TimeSeries,11.112611495627185,25.58710863050172,31.432040203314912,42.8574223168513,75.23159183508969,11,26,31,43,75,Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group,2025-01-08,AR ensemble with auxiliary data +Montana,MT,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CMU-TimeSeries,9.250673234782235,25.452506188796768,31.902516134472467,49.22437339886286,94.03038814004853,9,25,32,49,94,Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group,2025-01-08,AR ensemble with auxiliary data +Montana,MT,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CMU-TimeSeries,9.080877255189625,26.468892985836774,32.72399954085635,55.94608185831576,110.13542516685641,9,26,33,56,110,Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group,2025-01-08,AR ensemble with auxiliary data +Montana,MT,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CovidHub-baseline,8.375,21.75,31,40.25,53.62499999999999,8,22,31,40,54,CovidHub-hub-models,2025-01-08,CovidHub baseline model +Montana,MT,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CovidHub-baseline,0,18,31,44,63.65445579455792,0,18,31,44,64,CovidHub-hub-models,2025-01-08,CovidHub baseline model +Montana,MT,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CovidHub-baseline,0,16.11961119611196,31,45.84752347523476,72.6412451624516,0,16,31,46,73,CovidHub-hub-models,2025-01-08,CovidHub baseline model +Montana,MT,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CovidHub-ensemble,15.1069622562447,25.8935299381076,32.695,42.3709568343965,60.941074784995,15,26,33,42,61,CovidHub,2025-01-08,Ensemble model using CovidHub submissions +Montana,MT,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CovidHub-ensemble,13.3824072986188,25.8812530943984,35.0951852798462,49.1123489008135,67.8223762512207,13,26,35,49,68,CovidHub,2025-01-08,Ensemble model using CovidHub submissions +Montana,MT,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CovidHub-ensemble,10.8277069307763,26.7128398440724,37.3275218519245,51.2095126145751,73.2351482708243,11,27,37,51,73,CovidHub,2025-01-08,Ensemble model using CovidHub submissions +Montana,MT,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,MOBS-GLEAM_COVID,14,25,32,41,61,14,25,32,41,61,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University,2025-01-08,GLEAM COVID-19 Forecasting Model +Montana,MT,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,MOBS-GLEAM_COVID,15,27,35,45,66,15,27,35,45,66,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University,2025-01-08,GLEAM COVID-19 Forecasting Model +Montana,MT,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,MOBS-GLEAM_COVID,18,31,40,51,75,18,31,40,51,75,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University,2025-01-08,GLEAM COVID-19 Forecasting Model +Montana,MT,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,NEU_ISI-AdaptiveEnsemble,17,24,28,34,43,17,24,28,34,43,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University and ISI Foundation,2025-01-08,Adaptive Ensemble +Montana,MT,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,NEU_ISI-AdaptiveEnsemble,19,25,30,36,44,19,25,30,36,44,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University and ISI Foundation,2025-01-08,Adaptive Ensemble +Montana,MT,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,NEU_ISI-AdaptiveEnsemble,17,27,31,37,53,17,27,31,37,53,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University and ISI Foundation,2025-01-08,Adaptive Ensemble +Montana,MT,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,OHT_JHU-nbxd,20.9,28.53,33.39,38.92,51.57,21,29,33,39,52,One Health Trust and Johns Hopkins University,2025-01-08,NBEATS exogenous covariate decoder +Montana,MT,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,OHT_JHU-nbxd,17.59,26.31,32.17,39.09,55.69,18,26,32,39,56,One Health Trust and Johns Hopkins University,2025-01-08,NBEATS exogenous covariate decoder +Montana,MT,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,OHT_JHU-nbxd,14.1,23.12,29.52,37.34,57.01,14,23,30,37,57,One Health Trust and Johns Hopkins University,2025-01-08,NBEATS exogenous covariate decoder +Montana,MT,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,UM-DeepOutbreak,0,11.896010398864746,27.787450790405273,42.66719913482666,73.50675868988037,0,12,28,43,74,"University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering",2025-01-08,DeepOutbreak +Montana,MT,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,UM-DeepOutbreak,0,11.24601298570633,35.19037055969238,55.06708210706711,69.6447525024414,0,11,35,55,70,"University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering",2025-01-08,DeepOutbreak +Montana,MT,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,UM-DeepOutbreak,3.114410400390625,18.777758941173552,39.15521812438965,49.28953994798661,64.95288848876953,3,19,39,49,65,"University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering",2025-01-08,DeepOutbreak +Montana,MT,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,UMass-ar6_pooled,14.628559012585496,26.199951245713518,34.105232410147366,42.074714533966386,60.88214956998993,15,26,34,42,61,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,AR(6) model with pooling +Montana,MT,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,UMass-ar6_pooled,10.76684930912231,24.263881420320597,35.27078783977172,49.00032440276423,84.44798948892515,11,24,35,49,84,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,AR(6) model with pooling +Montana,MT,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,UMass-ar6_pooled,7.037967843627427,21.802829870324647,35.499825579459404,52.96553884047106,102.63959521570759,7,22,35,53,103,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,AR(6) model with pooling +Montana,MT,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,UMass-gbqr,15.585365499903958,26.43084705693323,40.90485374215935,44.4796246048352,56.01110158900811,16,26,41,44,56,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,gradient boosting quantile regression +Montana,MT,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,UMass-gbqr,13.76481459723758,27.25524012413258,41.31323039923691,49.62507954147496,64.00998751580765,14,27,41,50,64,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,gradient boosting quantile regression +Montana,MT,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,UMass-gbqr,12.574536606362965,26.956786702308104,43.59978423040404,51.41902522915013,71.47029654164852,13,27,44,51,71,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,gradient boosting quantile regression +Nebraska,NE,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CEPH-Rtrend_covid,59,85,103,123,168,59,85,103,123,168,CEPH Lab at Indiana University,2025-01-08,Rtrend COVID +Nebraska,NE,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CEPH-Rtrend_covid,41,78,110,154,265,41,78,110,154,265,CEPH Lab at Indiana University,2025-01-08,Rtrend COVID +Nebraska,NE,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CEPH-Rtrend_covid,27,71,117,186,398,27,71,117,186,398,CEPH Lab at Indiana University,2025-01-08,Rtrend COVID +Nebraska,NE,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CMU-TimeSeries,59.62071617259421,86.8160102964581,98.84007610582059,115.49017662321272,160.90935206771883,60,87,99,115,161,Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group,2025-01-08,AR ensemble with auxiliary data +Nebraska,NE,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CMU-TimeSeries,58.17392623065901,90.36885884515041,105.43503382980698,127.58204944177909,186.1896297186362,58,90,105,128,186,Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group,2025-01-08,AR ensemble with auxiliary data +Nebraska,NE,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CMU-TimeSeries,57.49902289390486,93.48541991678212,111.94263513988173,138.00635578185347,206.7767066922154,57,93,112,138,207,Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group,2025-01-08,AR ensemble with auxiliary data +Nebraska,NE,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CovidHub-baseline,60.12500000000001,85.75,92,98.25,123.875,60,86,92,98,124,CovidHub-hub-models,2025-01-08,CovidHub baseline model +Nebraska,NE,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CovidHub-baseline,52.416936669366706,80.07214322143223,92,103.84279092790928,131.51019935199352,52,80,92,104,132,CovidHub-hub-models,2025-01-08,CovidHub baseline model +Nebraska,NE,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CovidHub-baseline,42.63593510935111,75.85092850928511,92,107.91359913599138,141.05307728077278,43,76,92,108,141,CovidHub-hub-models,2025-01-08,CovidHub baseline model +Nebraska,NE,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CovidHub-ensemble,58.4486839934509,82.8490408264709,97.8463011529599,113.17661601305,153.2800744229,58,83,98,113,153,CovidHub,2025-01-08,Ensemble model using CovidHub submissions +Nebraska,NE,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CovidHub-ensemble,48.8366637055091,78,101.728964982447,122.402970654276,162.753548712613,49,78,102,122,163,CovidHub,2025-01-08,Ensemble model using CovidHub submissions +Nebraska,NE,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CovidHub-ensemble,39.9795628255349,78.9685823028585,109.662597934931,136.884884037453,195.388353346108,40,79,110,137,195,CovidHub,2025-01-08,Ensemble model using CovidHub submissions +Nebraska,NE,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,MOBS-GLEAM_COVID,42,70,89,111,161,42,70,89,111,161,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University,2025-01-08,GLEAM COVID-19 Forecasting Model +Nebraska,NE,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,MOBS-GLEAM_COVID,46,78,98,122,177,46,78,98,122,177,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University,2025-01-08,GLEAM COVID-19 Forecasting Model +Nebraska,NE,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,MOBS-GLEAM_COVID,55,91,115,143,207,55,91,115,143,207,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University,2025-01-08,GLEAM COVID-19 Forecasting Model +Nebraska,NE,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,NEU_ISI-AdaptiveEnsemble,63,84,100,113,131,63,84,100,113,131,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University and ISI Foundation,2025-01-08,Adaptive Ensemble +Nebraska,NE,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,NEU_ISI-AdaptiveEnsemble,61,97,108,126,147,61,97,108,126,147,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University and ISI Foundation,2025-01-08,Adaptive Ensemble +Nebraska,NE,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,NEU_ISI-AdaptiveEnsemble,80,110,126,144,184,80,110,126,144,184,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University and ISI Foundation,2025-01-08,Adaptive Ensemble +Nebraska,NE,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,OHT_JHU-nbxd,56.05,71.17,80.38,90.56,112.93,56,71,80,91,113,One Health Trust and Johns Hopkins University,2025-01-08,NBEATS exogenous covariate decoder +Nebraska,NE,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,OHT_JHU-nbxd,44.22,60.6,71.05,82.95,110.25,44,61,71,83,110,One Health Trust and Johns Hopkins University,2025-01-08,NBEATS exogenous covariate decoder +Nebraska,NE,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,OHT_JHU-nbxd,34.92,51.65,62.81,75.92,107.22,35,52,63,76,107,One Health Trust and Johns Hopkins University,2025-01-08,NBEATS exogenous covariate decoder +Nebraska,NE,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,UM-DeepOutbreak,59.59726524353027,97.9815000295639,106.00448989868164,113.35323202610016,151.7374668121338,60,98,106,113,152,"University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering",2025-01-08,DeepOutbreak +Nebraska,NE,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,UM-DeepOutbreak,71.23312759399414,90.78278064727785,108.16150665283205,118.70078563690186,138.25043869018555,71,91,108,119,138,"University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering",2025-01-08,DeepOutbreak +Nebraska,NE,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,UM-DeepOutbreak,39.32688945388789,84.06775712966919,107.38256072998048,130.40908002853394,175.14994770431525,39,84,107,130,175,"University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering",2025-01-08,DeepOutbreak +Nebraska,NE,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,UMass-ar6_pooled,57.2032195843593,81.69808165294171,96.85252620009919,114.96770681121815,154.82268203366627,57,82,97,115,155,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,AR(6) model with pooling +Nebraska,NE,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,UMass-ar6_pooled,44.277721179795044,77.54729794613351,98.02289613508734,122.80594130855128,186.06107247429304,44,78,98,123,186,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,AR(6) model with pooling +Nebraska,NE,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,UMass-ar6_pooled,35.15649624616359,73.86940747604787,100.48735072212212,135.7634122930524,218.58645177714158,35,74,100,136,219,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,AR(6) model with pooling +Nebraska,NE,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,UMass-gbqr,57.89736798690182,78.13913167130241,89.00898377281501,108.53753845001695,140.24779347444047,58,78,89,109,140,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,gradient boosting quantile regression +Nebraska,NE,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,UMass-gbqr,51.673327411018235,75.45453893409751,87.91388691407562,102.0637823625188,148.5070974252264,52,75,88,102,149,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,gradient boosting quantile regression +Nebraska,NE,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,UMass-gbqr,40.63223619718184,69.2226308024535,83.9789599867191,95.09724675042307,160.94033070268603,41,69,84,95,161,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,gradient boosting quantile regression +Nevada,NV,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CFA_Pyrenew-Pyrenew_H_COVID,22,43,58,76,147.02499999999986,22,43,58,76,147,Center for Forecasting and Outbreak Analytics (CFA/CDC) Pyrenew team,2025-01-08,Pyrenew_Hospital_Admissions_COVID +Nevada,NV,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CFA_Pyrenew-Pyrenew_H_COVID,13.975,37,57,91,244.02499999999984,14,37,57,91,244,Center for Forecasting and Outbreak Analytics (CFA/CDC) Pyrenew team,2025-01-08,Pyrenew_Hospital_Admissions_COVID +Nevada,NV,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CEPH-Rtrend_covid,30,46,58,72,103,30,46,58,72,103,CEPH Lab at Indiana University,2025-01-08,Rtrend COVID +Nevada,NV,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CEPH-Rtrend_covid,18,39,59,86,163,18,39,59,86,163,CEPH Lab at Indiana University,2025-01-08,Rtrend COVID +Nevada,NV,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CEPH-Rtrend_covid,11,34,60,103,254,11,34,60,103,254,CEPH Lab at Indiana University,2025-01-08,Rtrend COVID +Nevada,NV,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CMU-TimeSeries,9.405401982992736,48.015001557963856,65.3551716403183,96.54189751905945,167.53813492670957,9,48,65,97,168,Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group,2025-01-08,AR ensemble with auxiliary data +Nevada,NV,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CMU-TimeSeries,16.128334489644484,53.15742563361356,70.27984789911997,115.88894697620358,206.15520276490213,16,53,70,116,206,Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group,2025-01-08,AR ensemble with auxiliary data +Nevada,NV,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CMU-TimeSeries,22.678401677628507,63.50429138574239,76.12146746686872,134.40270442364417,238.87409958792725,23,64,76,134,239,Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group,2025-01-08,AR ensemble with auxiliary data +Nevada,NV,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CovidHub-baseline,29.625,40.25,60,79.75,90.375,30,40,60,80,90,CovidHub-hub-models,2025-01-08,CovidHub baseline model +Nevada,NV,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CovidHub-baseline,9.051405514055142,39.90918909189092,60,80.25955509555097,111.38184756847568,9,40,60,80,111,CovidHub-hub-models,2025-01-08,CovidHub baseline model +Nevada,NV,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CovidHub-baseline,0,35.5539780397804,60,84.44348693486934,127.72007845078451,0,36,60,84,128,CovidHub-hub-models,2025-01-08,CovidHub baseline model +Nevada,NV,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CovidHub-ensemble,23.5881650535403,45.7032455557821,56.6184142801085,69.07888830632,97.0922988944649,24,46,57,69,97,CovidHub,2025-01-08,Ensemble model using CovidHub submissions +Nevada,NV,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CovidHub-ensemble,20.4141638018684,43.645515795612,55.0659500360489,73.1094817798997,107.010701858428,20,44,55,73,107,CovidHub,2025-01-08,Ensemble model using CovidHub submissions +Nevada,NV,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CovidHub-ensemble,17.4480093980104,44.6513611060156,58.7587162256241,80.5,120.254707656444,17,45,59,80,120,CovidHub,2025-01-08,Ensemble model using CovidHub submissions +Nevada,NV,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,MOBS-GLEAM_COVID,24,41,53,66,97,24,41,53,66,97,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University,2025-01-08,GLEAM COVID-19 Forecasting Model +Nevada,NV,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,MOBS-GLEAM_COVID,25,43,55,68,100,25,43,55,68,100,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University,2025-01-08,GLEAM COVID-19 Forecasting Model +Nevada,NV,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,MOBS-GLEAM_COVID,28,48,61,76,111,28,48,61,76,111,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University,2025-01-08,GLEAM COVID-19 Forecasting Model +Nevada,NV,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,NEU_ISI-AdaptiveEnsemble,15,26,34,68,96,15,26,34,68,96,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University and ISI Foundation,2025-01-08,Adaptive Ensemble +Nevada,NV,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,NEU_ISI-AdaptiveEnsemble,16,28,38,73,103,16,28,38,73,103,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University and ISI Foundation,2025-01-08,Adaptive Ensemble +Nevada,NV,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,NEU_ISI-AdaptiveEnsemble,14,24,37,85,119,14,24,37,85,119,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University and ISI Foundation,2025-01-08,Adaptive Ensemble +Nevada,NV,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,OHT_JHU-nbxd,18.78,23.51,26.36,29.5,36.34,19,24,26,30,36,One Health Trust and Johns Hopkins University,2025-01-08,NBEATS exogenous covariate decoder +Nevada,NV,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,OHT_JHU-nbxd,13.15,18.23,21.49,25.23,33.85,13,18,21,25,34,One Health Trust and Johns Hopkins University,2025-01-08,NBEATS exogenous covariate decoder +Nevada,NV,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,OHT_JHU-nbxd,9.85,14.74,18.03,21.91,31.22,10,15,18,22,31,One Health Trust and Johns Hopkins University,2025-01-08,NBEATS exogenous covariate decoder +Nevada,NV,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,UM-DeepOutbreak,28.9247913360596,48.56121230125427,60.640953063964815,68.79070115089417,88.42712211608884,29,49,61,69,88,"University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering",2025-01-08,DeepOutbreak +Nevada,NV,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,UM-DeepOutbreak,26.057558059692383,44.64611217212677,55.13190007209778,65.06368091869354,83.65223503112793,26,45,55,65,84,"University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering",2025-01-08,DeepOutbreak +Nevada,NV,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,UM-DeepOutbreak,11.750139236450195,47.96306277084349,57.51743245124817,66.43609189224244,102.64901542663574,12,48,58,66,103,"University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering",2025-01-08,DeepOutbreak +Nevada,NV,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,UMass-ar6_pooled,32.88752675454048,49.002267847412966,59.567448949428154,70.68948175555971,97.18459778892986,33,49,60,71,97,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,AR(6) model with pooling +Nevada,NV,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,UMass-ar6_pooled,25.548108976922478,46.92214802781016,61.83323964488318,79.33313096623424,119.81627979458867,26,47,62,79,120,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,AR(6) model with pooling +Nevada,NV,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,UMass-ar6_pooled,21.994049856945143,47.42270544196664,66.10904389588882,90.20178831832614,148.171322105049,22,47,66,90,148,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,AR(6) model with pooling +Nevada,NV,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,UMass-gbqr,23.176330107080677,45.40649111156424,55.23682856021695,69.36707546174587,104.25242953473203,23,45,55,69,104,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,gradient boosting quantile regression +Nevada,NV,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,UMass-gbqr,22.828327603736795,44.29103159122396,54.40010361874909,73.21896355979936,111.02140371685607,23,44,54,73,111,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,gradient boosting quantile regression +Nevada,NV,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,UMass-gbqr,20.89601879602075,41.88001677006452,54.84917054431872,71.51667142837633,121.50941531288848,21,42,55,72,122,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,gradient boosting quantile regression +New Hampshire,NH,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CEPH-Rtrend_covid,149,184,207,232,283,149,184,207,232,283,CEPH Lab at Indiana University,2025-01-08,Rtrend COVID +New Hampshire,NH,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CEPH-Rtrend_covid,140,202,247,299,413,140,202,247,299,413,CEPH Lab at Indiana University,2025-01-08,Rtrend COVID +New Hampshire,NH,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CEPH-Rtrend_covid,124,205,266,340,509,124,205,266,340,509,CEPH Lab at Indiana University,2025-01-08,Rtrend COVID +New Hampshire,NH,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CMU-TimeSeries,195.29112218020896,235.10567252930147,256.7545896216987,258.40015657592085,272.0133594148849,195,235,257,258,272,Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group,2025-01-08,AR ensemble with auxiliary data +New Hampshire,NH,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CMU-TimeSeries,196.07565499306924,258.0459844341325,288.63931723282695,293.21784300103207,299.2662436906291,196,258,289,293,299,Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group,2025-01-08,AR ensemble with auxiliary data +New Hampshire,NH,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CMU-TimeSeries,186.41064652206987,268.9084300176501,302.53247188787566,311.7081641597422,329.14278724825573,186,269,303,312,329,Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group,2025-01-08,AR ensemble with auxiliary data +New Hampshire,NH,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CovidHub-baseline,120.87500000000001,188.75,212,235.25,303.12499999999994,121,189,212,235,303,CovidHub-hub-models,2025-01-08,CovidHub baseline model +New Hampshire,NH,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CovidHub-baseline,99.68448684486843,182.48576485764858,212,241.51918519185193,325.0227439774397,100,182,212,242,325,CovidHub-hub-models,2025-01-08,CovidHub baseline model +New Hampshire,NH,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CovidHub-baseline,80.78039930399308,174.36517115171154,212,249.91665166651669,341.61402814028133,81,174,212,250,342,CovidHub-hub-models,2025-01-08,CovidHub baseline model +New Hampshire,NH,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CovidHub-ensemble,116.259561214188,164.289376309992,184.26579060252,216.75322095885,277.006679707442,116,164,184,217,277,CovidHub,2025-01-08,Ensemble model using CovidHub submissions +New Hampshire,NH,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CovidHub-ensemble,104.332311386131,164.799769930307,203.857922341445,237.678237896538,298.633121845315,104,165,204,238,299,CovidHub,2025-01-08,Ensemble model using CovidHub submissions +New Hampshire,NH,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CovidHub-ensemble,97.2109292607912,167.117985338017,214.562569211151,257.206234062195,318.602633339082,97,167,215,257,319,CovidHub,2025-01-08,Ensemble model using CovidHub submissions +New Hampshire,NH,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,MOBS-GLEAM_COVID,76,125,158,195,282,76,125,158,195,282,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University,2025-01-08,GLEAM COVID-19 Forecasting Model +New Hampshire,NH,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,MOBS-GLEAM_COVID,80,132,167,206,298,80,132,167,206,298,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University,2025-01-08,GLEAM COVID-19 Forecasting Model +New Hampshire,NH,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,MOBS-GLEAM_COVID,87,143,180,223,322,87,143,180,223,322,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University,2025-01-08,GLEAM COVID-19 Forecasting Model +New Hampshire,NH,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,NEU_ISI-AdaptiveEnsemble,65,89,105,126,165,65,89,105,126,165,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University and ISI Foundation,2025-01-08,Adaptive Ensemble +New Hampshire,NH,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,NEU_ISI-AdaptiveEnsemble,68,94,116,135,183,68,94,116,135,183,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University and ISI Foundation,2025-01-08,Adaptive Ensemble +New Hampshire,NH,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,NEU_ISI-AdaptiveEnsemble,86,108,130,155,208,86,108,130,155,208,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University and ISI Foundation,2025-01-08,Adaptive Ensemble +New Hampshire,NH,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,OHT_JHU-nbxd,57.34,71.19,79.5,88.61,108.38,57,71,80,89,108,One Health Trust and Johns Hopkins University,2025-01-08,NBEATS exogenous covariate decoder +New Hampshire,NH,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,OHT_JHU-nbxd,45.02,60.62,70.46,81.6,106.91,45,61,70,82,107,One Health Trust and Johns Hopkins University,2025-01-08,NBEATS exogenous covariate decoder +New Hampshire,NH,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,OHT_JHU-nbxd,35.96,51.5,61.67,73.47,101.17,36,52,62,73,101,One Health Trust and Johns Hopkins University,2025-01-08,NBEATS exogenous covariate decoder +New Hampshire,NH,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,UM-DeepOutbreak,168.68658447265625,197.6611025282383,211.12285804748535,219.02633643660545,248.0008544921875,169,198,211,219,248,"University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering",2025-01-08,DeepOutbreak +New Hampshire,NH,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,UM-DeepOutbreak,209.24712371826172,222.9523620975494,246.97131156921387,269.35647579307556,283.0617141723633,209,223,247,269,283,"University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering",2025-01-08,DeepOutbreak +New Hampshire,NH,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,UM-DeepOutbreak,233.6050901412964,254.54151136779785,275.07616424560547,291.41246812438965,312.3488893508911,234,255,275,291,312,"University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering",2025-01-08,DeepOutbreak +New Hampshire,NH,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,UMass-ar6_pooled,133.30254781434243,187.83697205364496,219.6741718689837,251.97312145785062,333.0967559413529,133,188,220,252,333,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,AR(6) model with pooling +New Hampshire,NH,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,UMass-ar6_pooled,119.31816163687029,190.9833118500913,240.71584468288998,299.1724820190544,437.53987208966305,119,191,241,299,438,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,AR(6) model with pooling +New Hampshire,NH,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,UMass-ar6_pooled,107.42185852158241,191.23597067603353,249.12513842230294,330.7480081148032,510.6559556470044,107,191,249,331,511,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,AR(6) model with pooling +New Hampshire,NH,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,UMass-gbqr,99.21657461403268,144.5787526199846,161.53158120503983,214.48010548109357,290.3279096492465,99,145,162,214,290,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,gradient boosting quantile regression +New Hampshire,NH,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,UMass-gbqr,89.34646113539105,138.61622801052275,154.35727880324885,194.20441171594064,305.55851138107386,89,139,154,194,306,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,gradient boosting quantile regression +New Hampshire,NH,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,UMass-gbqr,84.1198116049346,139.56412252727543,149.95231130701964,179.077068913954,315.205266678164,84,140,150,179,315,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,gradient boosting quantile regression +New Jersey,NJ,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CFA_Pyrenew-Pyrenew_H_COVID,597.975,806,913,1044,1391.2499999999986,598,806,913,1044,1391,Center for Forecasting and Outbreak Analytics (CFA/CDC) Pyrenew team,2025-01-08,Pyrenew_Hospital_Admissions_COVID +New Jersey,NJ,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CFA_Pyrenew-Pyrenew_H_COVID,515.975,926,1192.5,1547.5000000000005,2655.399999999998,516,926,1192,1548,2655,Center for Forecasting and Outbreak Analytics (CFA/CDC) Pyrenew team,2025-01-08,Pyrenew_Hospital_Admissions_COVID +New Jersey,NJ,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CEPH-Rtrend_covid,445,611,723,851,1119,445,611,723,851,1119,CEPH Lab at Indiana University,2025-01-08,Rtrend COVID +New Jersey,NJ,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CEPH-Rtrend_covid,359,622,827,1087,1683,359,622,827,1087,1683,CEPH Lab at Indiana University,2025-01-08,Rtrend COVID +New Jersey,NJ,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CEPH-Rtrend_covid,278,588,848,1199,2003,278,588,848,1199,2003,CEPH Lab at Indiana University,2025-01-08,Rtrend COVID +New Jersey,NJ,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CMU-TimeSeries,526.5741952111102,714.9200060881665,787.1065463498662,883.2342422582749,1113.8652174083395,527,715,787,883,1114,Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group,2025-01-08,AR ensemble with auxiliary data +New Jersey,NJ,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CMU-TimeSeries,531.4767743638488,807.0649492508187,919.6861028762894,1039.3369422378905,1325.6822116885342,531,807,920,1039,1326,Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group,2025-01-08,AR ensemble with auxiliary data +New Jersey,NJ,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CMU-TimeSeries,516.5770750901249,871.2347883105776,1043.5428916210585,1167.2869087516312,1489.1512006834907,517,871,1044,1167,1489,Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group,2025-01-08,AR ensemble with auxiliary data +New Jersey,NJ,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CovidHub-baseline,462.125,618.5,649,679.5,835.875,462,618,649,680,836,CovidHub-hub-models,2025-01-08,CovidHub baseline model +New Jersey,NJ,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CovidHub-baseline,426.3912541625417,589.9947349473496,649,708.5451804518048,873.4746084960851,426,590,649,709,873,CovidHub-hub-models,2025-01-08,CovidHub baseline model +New Jersey,NJ,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CovidHub-baseline,378.94411169111703,567.219782197822,649,731.1126061260613,918.5040432904328,379,567,649,731,919,CovidHub-hub-models,2025-01-08,CovidHub baseline model +New Jersey,NJ,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CovidHub-ensemble,438.132711414813,604.354072072081,680.882259809501,793.859120285788,1053.78773420077,438,604,681,794,1054,CovidHub,2025-01-08,Ensemble model using CovidHub submissions +New Jersey,NJ,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CovidHub-ensemble,369.826941419375,614.21178699352,740.152717868879,916.855598957002,1291.84110584427,370,614,740,917,1292,CovidHub,2025-01-08,Ensemble model using CovidHub submissions +New Jersey,NJ,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CovidHub-ensemble,362.819452623241,603.00202287124,827.646656394358,1083,1511.07560034175,363,603,828,1083,1511,CovidHub,2025-01-08,Ensemble model using CovidHub submissions +New Jersey,NJ,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,MOBS-GLEAM_COVID,293,475,596,735,1056,293,475,596,735,1056,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University,2025-01-08,GLEAM COVID-19 Forecasting Model +New Jersey,NJ,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,MOBS-GLEAM_COVID,350,566,710,876,1258,350,566,710,876,1258,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University,2025-01-08,GLEAM COVID-19 Forecasting Model +New Jersey,NJ,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,MOBS-GLEAM_COVID,427,691,865,1068,1533,427,691,865,1068,1533,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University,2025-01-08,GLEAM COVID-19 Forecasting Model +New Jersey,NJ,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,NEU_ISI-AdaptiveEnsemble,176,388,514,763,987,176,388,514,763,987,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University and ISI Foundation,2025-01-08,Adaptive Ensemble +New Jersey,NJ,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,NEU_ISI-AdaptiveEnsemble,235,474,625,892,1255,235,474,625,892,1255,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University and ISI Foundation,2025-01-08,Adaptive Ensemble +New Jersey,NJ,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,NEU_ISI-AdaptiveEnsemble,237,551,719,1098,1390,237,551,719,1098,1390,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University and ISI Foundation,2025-01-08,Adaptive Ensemble +New Jersey,NJ,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,OHT_JHU-nbxd,319.61,428.76,497.49,575.17,751.22,320,429,497,575,751,One Health Trust and Johns Hopkins University,2025-01-08,NBEATS exogenous covariate decoder +New Jersey,NJ,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,OHT_JHU-nbxd,283.66,410.39,493.91,591.14,820.62,284,410,494,591,821,One Health Trust and Johns Hopkins University,2025-01-08,NBEATS exogenous covariate decoder +New Jersey,NJ,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,OHT_JHU-nbxd,245.62,377.57,467.74,575.18,836.9,246,378,468,575,837,One Health Trust and Johns Hopkins University,2025-01-08,NBEATS exogenous covariate decoder +New Jersey,NJ,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,UM-DeepOutbreak,473.8776245117187,741.4066743659973,813.412841796875,884.0628080558777,1151.5918579101562,474,741,813,884,1152,"University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering",2025-01-08,DeepOutbreak +New Jersey,NJ,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,UM-DeepOutbreak,759.51959228515625,960.4213752746582,1079.0579833984375,1152.4934196472168,1353.3952026367188,760,960,1079,1152,1353,"University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering",2025-01-08,DeepOutbreak +New Jersey,NJ,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,UM-DeepOutbreak,879.16107177734375,1094.9945092620849,1275.3079223632812,1439.9630102691651,1655.7964477539062,879,1095,1275,1440,1656,"University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering",2025-01-08,DeepOutbreak +New Jersey,NJ,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,UMass-ar6_pooled,431.26542282962544,597.7081441441626,693.6317959309667,806.1902224896807,1051.5754684015453,431,598,694,806,1052,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,AR(6) model with pooling +New Jersey,NJ,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,UMass-ar6_pooled,380.6538828387508,619.2915981732029,770.3054357377583,941.711197914005,1335.781925135602,381,619,770,942,1336,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,AR(6) model with pooling +New Jersey,NJ,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,UMass-ar6_pooled,336.1472848878414,618.0040457424805,807.2933127887159,1062.6943404232659,1643.1694688150233,336,618,807,1063,1643,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,AR(6) model with pooling +New Jersey,NJ,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,UMass-gbqr,461.2637570648626,613.1902105876313,668.1327236880351,781.5280180818949,968.8452708030314,461,613,668,782,969,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,gradient boosting quantile regression +New Jersey,NJ,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,UMass-gbqr,424.3408549565706,609.1319758138364,699.9673179150117,800.2918449587249,1064.9962922747836,424,609,700,800,1065,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,gradient boosting quantile regression +New Jersey,NJ,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,UMass-gbqr,389.4916203586408,575.4278558273932,693.9331101737733,779.4545764174582,1123.6739669842038,389,575,694,779,1124,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,gradient boosting quantile regression +New Mexico,NM,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CFA_Pyrenew-Pyrenew_H_COVID,93,133,153,176.25000000000023,245.02499999999984,93,133,153,176,245,Center for Forecasting and Outbreak Analytics (CFA/CDC) Pyrenew team,2025-01-08,Pyrenew_Hospital_Admissions_COVID +New Mexico,NM,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CFA_Pyrenew-Pyrenew_H_COVID,68.975,126,155,198,352.02499999999986,69,126,155,198,352,Center for Forecasting and Outbreak Analytics (CFA/CDC) Pyrenew team,2025-01-08,Pyrenew_Hospital_Admissions_COVID +New Mexico,NM,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CEPH-Rtrend_covid,91,127,151,180,241,91,127,151,180,241,CEPH Lab at Indiana University,2025-01-08,Rtrend COVID +New Mexico,NM,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CEPH-Rtrend_covid,61,109,150,205,337,61,109,150,205,337,CEPH Lab at Indiana University,2025-01-08,Rtrend COVID +New Mexico,NM,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CEPH-Rtrend_covid,39,92,145,220,432,39,92,145,220,432,CEPH Lab at Indiana University,2025-01-08,Rtrend COVID +New Mexico,NM,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CMU-TimeSeries,101.19783766544586,138.27116034556855,156.22861638675644,167.5060213431152,196.45270244212008,101,138,156,168,196,Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group,2025-01-08,AR ensemble with auxiliary data +New Mexico,NM,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CMU-TimeSeries,90.40193556399855,134.4306249001384,161.06955912701983,172.38340089839423,205.03035605479283,90,134,161,172,205,Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group,2025-01-08,AR ensemble with auxiliary data +New Mexico,NM,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CMU-TimeSeries,79.59169010481692,130.51694235102772,164.7320540279459,173.2589986151646,207.57779220834107,80,131,165,173,208,Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group,2025-01-08,AR ensemble with auxiliary data +New Mexico,NM,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CovidHub-baseline,123.125,140.5,151,161.5,178.87499999999997,123,140,151,162,179,CovidHub-hub-models,2025-01-08,CovidHub baseline model +New Mexico,NM,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CovidHub-baseline,113.36161161611615,136.61277862778627,151,165.33381333813338,188.88945189451888,113,137,151,165,189,CovidHub-hub-models,2025-01-08,CovidHub baseline model +New Mexico,NM,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CovidHub-baseline,105.69372243722441,135.45588455884564,151,166.32323073230737,196.36763492634927,106,135,151,166,196,CovidHub-hub-models,2025-01-08,CovidHub baseline model +New Mexico,NM,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CovidHub-ensemble,78.3206672074551,124.408122723988,142.554945573439,157.040139630851,215.810026184504,78,124,143,157,216,CovidHub,2025-01-08,Ensemble model using CovidHub submissions +New Mexico,NM,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CovidHub-ensemble,64.4469861745002,115.863029720911,143.726350567704,161.34490871048,222.455516689445,64,116,144,161,222,CovidHub,2025-01-08,Ensemble model using CovidHub submissions +New Mexico,NM,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CovidHub-ensemble,58.0585477592155,105.215408865172,142.313927377366,168.129499307582,229.597059122093,58,105,142,168,230,CovidHub,2025-01-08,Ensemble model using CovidHub submissions +New Mexico,NM,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,MOBS-GLEAM_COVID,60,100,126,156,226,60,100,126,156,226,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University,2025-01-08,GLEAM COVID-19 Forecasting Model +New Mexico,NM,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,MOBS-GLEAM_COVID,59,98,124,154,223,59,98,124,154,223,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University,2025-01-08,GLEAM COVID-19 Forecasting Model +New Mexico,NM,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,MOBS-GLEAM_COVID,63,104,131,163,235,63,104,131,163,235,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University,2025-01-08,GLEAM COVID-19 Forecasting Model +New Mexico,NM,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,NEU_ISI-AdaptiveEnsemble,70,108,133,151,196,70,108,133,151,196,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University and ISI Foundation,2025-01-08,Adaptive Ensemble +New Mexico,NM,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,NEU_ISI-AdaptiveEnsemble,81,116,137,156,198,81,116,137,156,198,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University and ISI Foundation,2025-01-08,Adaptive Ensemble +New Mexico,NM,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,NEU_ISI-AdaptiveEnsemble,83,127,151,177,219,83,127,151,177,219,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University and ISI Foundation,2025-01-08,Adaptive Ensemble +New Mexico,NM,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,OHT_JHU-nbxd,78.77,96.44,106.97,118.43,143.12,79,96,107,118,143,One Health Trust and Johns Hopkins University,2025-01-08,NBEATS exogenous covariate decoder +New Mexico,NM,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,OHT_JHU-nbxd,61.13,80.51,92.58,106.12,136.5,61,81,93,106,136,One Health Trust and Johns Hopkins University,2025-01-08,NBEATS exogenous covariate decoder +New Mexico,NM,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,OHT_JHU-nbxd,46.89,65.92,78.24,92.43,125.41,47,66,78,92,125,One Health Trust and Johns Hopkins University,2025-01-08,NBEATS exogenous covariate decoder +New Mexico,NM,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,UM-DeepOutbreak,51.76845932006836,124.38277362823486,141.28167057037354,155.6046226119995,228.218936920166,52,124,141,156,228,"University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering",2025-01-08,DeepOutbreak +New Mexico,NM,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,UM-DeepOutbreak,60.244998931884766,118.707521446228,144.343505859375,166.68981742095949,225.1523399353027,60,119,144,167,225,"University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering",2025-01-08,DeepOutbreak +New Mexico,NM,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,UM-DeepOutbreak,26.773659706115723,103.68301120400427,132.96367645263672,155.43716701865196,232.34651851654053,27,104,133,155,232,"University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering",2025-01-08,DeepOutbreak +New Mexico,NM,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,UMass-ar6_pooled,88.16885606173769,124.43347181974156,145.14866758430134,169.14345559198287,220.95657858650134,88,124,145,169,221,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,AR(6) model with pooling +New Mexico,NM,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,UMass-ar6_pooled,69.81824367660384,115.72605944182236,144.9994666809988,178.79462870205253,253.61518908279118,70,116,145,179,254,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,AR(6) model with pooling +New Mexico,NM,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,UMass-ar6_pooled,58.41684667344546,106.43081773034378,140.44595245190374,182.20279570104074,283.69456808603195,58,106,140,182,284,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,AR(6) model with pooling +New Mexico,NM,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,UMass-gbqr,77.87133441491014,126.44320125193136,143.82822057650355,158.08027926170197,210.66347378250674,78,126,144,158,211,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,gradient boosting quantile regression +New Mexico,NM,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,UMass-gbqr,67.7639723490004,125.0213822422361,143.10919527603264,154.20119014125302,221.91103337888927,68,125,143,154,222,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,gradient boosting quantile regression +New Mexico,NM,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,UMass-gbqr,57.7002488449855,116.00673862238158,144.18190230282823,150.82461783517277,226.84759972764445,58,116,144,151,227,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,gradient boosting quantile regression +New York,NY,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CFA_Pyrenew-Pyrenew_H_COVID,758.9250000000001,1016.75,1149,1307.2500000000002,1738.0749999999996,759,1017,1149,1307,1738,Center for Forecasting and Outbreak Analytics (CFA/CDC) Pyrenew team,2025-01-08,Pyrenew_Hospital_Admissions_COVID +New York,NY,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CFA_Pyrenew-Pyrenew_H_COVID,643.875,1102,1376.5,1759.000000000001,3116.949999999989,644,1102,1376,1759,3117,Center for Forecasting and Outbreak Analytics (CFA/CDC) Pyrenew team,2025-01-08,Pyrenew_Hospital_Admissions_COVID +New York,NY,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CEPH-Rtrend_covid,801,985,1106,1236,1499,801,985,1106,1236,1499,CEPH Lab at Indiana University,2025-01-08,Rtrend COVID +New York,NY,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CEPH-Rtrend_covid,740,1082,1327,1614,2273,740,1082,1327,1614,2273,CEPH Lab at Indiana University,2025-01-08,Rtrend COVID +New York,NY,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CEPH-Rtrend_covid,675,1152,1540,2030,3241,675,1152,1540,2030,3241,CEPH Lab at Indiana University,2025-01-08,Rtrend COVID +New York,NY,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CMU-TimeSeries,648.9479496158791,954.6760055217798,1099.2522741059645,1364.4461902582561,1918.6046894473918,649,955,1099,1364,1919,Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group,2025-01-08,AR ensemble with auxiliary data +New York,NY,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CMU-TimeSeries,652.7570004681562,1090.2779236526017,1250.9633017645297,1625.8501957929814,2382.920733894235,653,1090,1251,1626,2383,Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group,2025-01-08,AR ensemble with auxiliary data +New York,NY,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CMU-TimeSeries,642.7190382197568,1232.7490770015115,1396.633593938565,1835.5651965688871,2759.5497660314,643,1233,1397,1836,2760,Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group,2025-01-08,AR ensemble with auxiliary data +New York,NY,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CovidHub-baseline,750.625,881.75,938,994.25,1125.3749999999998,751,882,938,994,1125,CovidHub-hub-models,2025-01-08,CovidHub baseline model +New York,NY,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CovidHub-baseline,690.670979209792,853.870736207362,938,1021.969174691747,1186.1857453574537,691,854,938,1022,1186,CovidHub-hub-models,2025-01-08,CovidHub baseline model +New York,NY,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CovidHub-baseline,635.264744397444,834.0768307683077,938,1042.0312678126784,1240.7337285872857,635,834,938,1042,1241,CovidHub-hub-models,2025-01-08,CovidHub baseline model +New York,NY,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CovidHub-ensemble,644.07294257915,907.457149236911,1043.16874694824,1198.53230420748,1494.94172418501,644,907,1043,1199,1495,CovidHub,2025-01-08,Ensemble model using CovidHub submissions +New York,NY,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CovidHub-ensemble,653.477834950875,943.424172776675,1167.63206640859,1393.9825213078,1792.94143676758,653,943,1168,1394,1793,CovidHub,2025-01-08,Ensemble model using CovidHub submissions +New York,NY,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CovidHub-ensemble,621.859519109878,1051.23797667108,1306.31679696928,1545.01389986572,2170.68041992188,622,1051,1306,1545,2171,CovidHub,2025-01-08,Ensemble model using CovidHub submissions +New York,NY,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,MOBS-GLEAM_COVID,438,709,889,1097,1575,438,709,889,1097,1575,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University,2025-01-08,GLEAM COVID-19 Forecasting Model +New York,NY,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,MOBS-GLEAM_COVID,503,814,1020,1258,1806,503,814,1020,1258,1806,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University,2025-01-08,GLEAM COVID-19 Forecasting Model +New York,NY,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,MOBS-GLEAM_COVID,601,971,1216,1500,2153,601,971,1216,1500,2153,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University,2025-01-08,GLEAM COVID-19 Forecasting Model +New York,NY,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,NEU_ISI-AdaptiveEnsemble,542,798,1003,1286,1603,542,798,1003,1286,1603,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University and ISI Foundation,2025-01-08,Adaptive Ensemble +New York,NY,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,NEU_ISI-AdaptiveEnsemble,655,960,1194,1510,1933,655,960,1194,1510,1933,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University and ISI Foundation,2025-01-08,Adaptive Ensemble +New York,NY,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,NEU_ISI-AdaptiveEnsemble,825,1125,1418,1833,2418,825,1125,1418,1833,2418,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University and ISI Foundation,2025-01-08,Adaptive Ensemble +New York,NY,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,OHT_JHU-nbxd,477.68,621.77,710.86,810.34,1032.08,478,622,711,810,1032,One Health Trust and Johns Hopkins University,2025-01-08,NBEATS exogenous covariate decoder +New York,NY,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,OHT_JHU-nbxd,393.73,555.34,660.24,781.15,1062.72,394,555,660,781,1063,One Health Trust and Johns Hopkins University,2025-01-08,NBEATS exogenous covariate decoder +New York,NY,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,OHT_JHU-nbxd,314.12,479.42,591.9,725.56,1049.95,314,479,592,726,1050,One Health Trust and Johns Hopkins University,2025-01-08,NBEATS exogenous covariate decoder +New York,NY,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,UM-DeepOutbreak,765.42578125,905.3982734680176,1083.3374938964844,1214.5104179382324,1354.48291015625,765,905,1083,1215,1354,"University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering",2025-01-08,DeepOutbreak +New York,NY,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,UM-DeepOutbreak,654.19866943359375,885.4704470214843,1246.5650024414062,1548.6110959472658,1779.8828735351562,654,885,1247,1549,1780,"University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering",2025-01-08,DeepOutbreak +New York,NY,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,UM-DeepOutbreak,594.369873046875,1192.7029131591798,1432.5175170898438,1590.0277997314452,2188.36083984375,594,1193,1433,1590,2188,"University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering",2025-01-08,DeepOutbreak +New York,NY,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,UMass-ar6_pooled,742.5956652505431,909.5160250058038,997.918971479113,1100.231771568683,1317.380533983707,743,910,998,1100,1317,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,AR(6) model with pooling +New York,NY,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,UMass-ar6_pooled,709.2882553966855,945.0186611623502,1084.6972481773719,1228.3987683989099,1575.2108371106008,709,945,1085,1228,1575,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,AR(6) model with pooling +New York,NY,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,UMass-ar6_pooled,692.9729080041644,977.4759533421648,1160.746660374767,1351.6769284689476,1828.07720228567,693,977,1161,1352,1828,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,AR(6) model with pooling +New York,NY,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,UMass-gbqr,639.1979355424211,961.5289655971086,1085.0345347975303,1182.554190476726,1490.8834483700198,639,962,1085,1183,1491,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,gradient boosting quantile regression +New York,NY,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,UMass-gbqr,589.3885030134006,941.8296843909991,1141.2641328171746,1277.965042615598,1696.388913656322,589,942,1141,1278,1696,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,gradient boosting quantile regression +New York,NY,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,UMass-gbqr,522.096291175083,926.5870843660781,1157.7260888974497,1277.5652089792336,1789.4393642604575,522,927,1158,1278,1789,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,gradient boosting quantile regression +North Carolina,NC,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CEPH-Rtrend_covid,334,436,501,575,735,334,436,501,575,735,CEPH Lab at Indiana University,2025-01-08,Rtrend COVID +North Carolina,NC,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CEPH-Rtrend_covid,277,448,579,742,1136,277,448,579,742,1136,CEPH Lab at Indiana University,2025-01-08,Rtrend COVID +North Carolina,NC,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CEPH-Rtrend_covid,227,455,654,930,1688,227,455,654,930,1688,CEPH Lab at Indiana University,2025-01-08,Rtrend COVID +North Carolina,NC,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CMU-TimeSeries,301.35470024902344,474.4827605824389,543.0623353879221,638.17578761768,933.7071223374005,301,474,543,638,934,Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group,2025-01-08,AR ensemble with auxiliary data +North Carolina,NC,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CMU-TimeSeries,315.6341361987978,537.0736112423764,621.9294519189667,744.3142930838364,1146.8490538640117,316,537,622,744,1147,Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group,2025-01-08,AR ensemble with auxiliary data +North Carolina,NC,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CMU-TimeSeries,312.12060981218536,608.5282841128386,696.578218963663,820.5655841684129,1304.1544712525429,312,609,697,821,1304,Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group,2025-01-08,AR ensemble with auxiliary data +North Carolina,NC,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CovidHub-baseline,357.625,434.25,461,487.75,564.375,358,434,461,488,564,CovidHub-hub-models,2025-01-08,CovidHub baseline model +North Carolina,NC,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CovidHub-baseline,324.25151126511264,411.60509855098553,461,510.4509570095701,596.7592408424085,324,412,461,510,597,CovidHub-hub-models,2025-01-08,CovidHub baseline model +North Carolina,NC,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CovidHub-baseline,282.89628371283715,400.0147751477514,461,521.7754702547026,637.6369843698436,283,400,461,522,638,CovidHub-hub-models,2025-01-08,CovidHub baseline model +North Carolina,NC,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CovidHub-ensemble,308.354226661351,434.06619134447,490.728821337182,558.804194936158,709.090364653753,308,434,491,559,709,CovidHub,2025-01-08,Ensemble model using CovidHub submissions +North Carolina,NC,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CovidHub-ensemble,282.775263662796,445.589847999417,515.147086649995,597.171282329372,828.26526064912,283,446,515,597,828,CovidHub,2025-01-08,Ensemble model using CovidHub submissions +North Carolina,NC,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CovidHub-ensemble,265.925293736899,453.819056814749,571.405100245463,699.071876834389,981.029147047528,266,454,571,699,981,CovidHub,2025-01-08,Ensemble model using CovidHub submissions +North Carolina,NC,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,MOBS-GLEAM_COVID,200,325,408,504,726,200,325,408,504,726,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University,2025-01-08,GLEAM COVID-19 Forecasting Model +North Carolina,NC,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,MOBS-GLEAM_COVID,234,380,477,588,846,234,380,477,588,846,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University,2025-01-08,GLEAM COVID-19 Forecasting Model +North Carolina,NC,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,MOBS-GLEAM_COVID,292,473,593,732,1052,292,473,593,732,1052,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University,2025-01-08,GLEAM COVID-19 Forecasting Model +North Carolina,NC,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,NEU_ISI-AdaptiveEnsemble,57,128,244,413,617,57,128,244,413,617,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University and ISI Foundation,2025-01-08,Adaptive Ensemble +North Carolina,NC,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,NEU_ISI-AdaptiveEnsemble,48,154,275,473,692,48,154,275,473,692,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University and ISI Foundation,2025-01-08,Adaptive Ensemble +North Carolina,NC,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,NEU_ISI-AdaptiveEnsemble,51,141,316,580,785,51,141,316,580,785,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University and ISI Foundation,2025-01-08,Adaptive Ensemble +North Carolina,NC,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,OHT_JHU-nbxd,225.26,267.58,292.32,318.94,375.26,225,268,292,319,375,One Health Trust and Johns Hopkins University,2025-01-08,NBEATS exogenous covariate decoder +North Carolina,NC,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,OHT_JHU-nbxd,181.68,227.6,255.34,285.83,352.37,182,228,255,286,352,One Health Trust and Johns Hopkins University,2025-01-08,NBEATS exogenous covariate decoder +North Carolina,NC,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,OHT_JHU-nbxd,156.15,203.88,233.45,266.5,340.31,156,204,233,266,340,One Health Trust and Johns Hopkins University,2025-01-08,NBEATS exogenous covariate decoder +North Carolina,NC,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,UM-DeepOutbreak,410.49717712402344,565.7399392700195,636.7660369873047,683.4749044799805,838.7176666259766,410,566,637,683,839,"University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering",2025-01-08,DeepOutbreak +North Carolina,NC,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,UM-DeepOutbreak,343.6067199707031,580.1049638652802,665.2210693359375,744.0631269550323,980.5613708496094,344,580,665,744,981,"University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering",2025-01-08,DeepOutbreak +North Carolina,NC,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,UM-DeepOutbreak,268.687255859375,505.8687941970826,664.5777435302734,788.1065475997924,1025.2880859375,269,506,665,788,1025,"University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering",2025-01-08,DeepOutbreak +North Carolina,NC,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,UMass-ar6_pooled,341.4855330218974,432.13238268894014,483.978240334135,543.4644820836725,663.0775574652854,341,432,484,543,663,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,AR(6) model with pooling +North Carolina,NC,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,UMass-ar6_pooled,313.36299658914606,445.66758475295524,527.6886778849287,606.3425646587432,810.5305212982404,313,446,528,606,811,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,AR(6) model with pooling +North Carolina,NC,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,UMass-ar6_pooled,280.6091868797696,452.6381136294985,549.8102004909251,666.1437536687783,936.7702081575557,281,453,550,666,937,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,AR(6) model with pooling +North Carolina,NC,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,UMass-gbqr,315.35375307367786,462.75304373477286,497.47940234022843,574.1439077886428,692.1807293075061,315,463,497,574,692,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,gradient boosting quantile regression +North Carolina,NC,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,UMass-gbqr,288.5505273255917,445.5121112458778,502.6054954150623,577.1007608701279,759.6170393796297,289,446,503,577,760,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,gradient boosting quantile regression +North Carolina,NC,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,UMass-gbqr,263.1633316144225,409.58376564251614,504.15383270621123,552.8134823551613,792.8138003505516,263,410,504,553,793,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,gradient boosting quantile regression +North Dakota,ND,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CEPH-Rtrend_covid,27,41,50,62,86,27,41,50,62,86,CEPH Lab at Indiana University,2025-01-08,Rtrend COVID +North Dakota,ND,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CEPH-Rtrend_covid,22,43,61,85,144,22,43,61,85,144,CEPH Lab at Indiana University,2025-01-08,Rtrend COVID +North Dakota,ND,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CEPH-Rtrend_covid,16,42,65,97,171,16,42,65,97,171,CEPH Lab at Indiana University,2025-01-08,Rtrend COVID +North Dakota,ND,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CMU-TimeSeries,25.975893188749094,39.61283868227626,44.72148010898624,50.36804533553237,66.43395759767834,26,40,45,50,66,Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group,2025-01-08,AR ensemble with auxiliary data +North Dakota,ND,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CMU-TimeSeries,25.195094553696652,44.145824760162576,51.19289861496074,58.115984986725294,77.51258651309912,25,44,51,58,78,Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group,2025-01-08,AR ensemble with auxiliary data +North Dakota,ND,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CMU-TimeSeries,24.18608813236688,47.33013656686694,57.273060720341704,64.48897672249225,84.50454083283013,24,47,57,64,85,Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group,2025-01-08,AR ensemble with auxiliary data +North Dakota,ND,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CovidHub-baseline,26.25,31.75,38,44.25000000000001,49.75,26,32,38,44,50,CovidHub-hub-models,2025-01-08,CovidHub baseline model +North Dakota,ND,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CovidHub-baseline,20.132562325623258,30.435431854318537,38,45.501627516275164,55.88240632406322,20,30,38,46,56,CovidHub-hub-models,2025-01-08,CovidHub baseline model +North Dakota,ND,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CovidHub-baseline,14.909171841718408,29.917356673566722,38,46.01541265412653,61.091407914079085,15,30,38,46,61,CovidHub-hub-models,2025-01-08,CovidHub baseline model +North Dakota,ND,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CovidHub-ensemble,20.302363493993,32.2041449316775,38.5171837938749,47.1360496339954,65.9281832431707,20,32,39,47,66,CovidHub,2025-01-08,Ensemble model using CovidHub submissions +North Dakota,ND,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CovidHub-ensemble,17.6251871028679,32.4640637739278,42,53,74.6110079515297,18,32,42,53,75,CovidHub,2025-01-08,Ensemble model using CovidHub submissions +North Dakota,ND,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CovidHub-ensemble,15.67372529317,38.1876606045961,49,61.5829997957945,85.7884432832363,16,38,49,62,86,CovidHub,2025-01-08,Ensemble model using CovidHub submissions +North Dakota,ND,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,MOBS-GLEAM_COVID,16,28,36,46,68,16,28,36,46,68,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University,2025-01-08,GLEAM COVID-19 Forecasting Model +North Dakota,ND,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,MOBS-GLEAM_COVID,18,33,42,53,78,18,33,42,53,78,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University,2025-01-08,GLEAM COVID-19 Forecasting Model +North Dakota,ND,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,MOBS-GLEAM_COVID,22,39,49,62,91,22,39,49,62,91,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University,2025-01-08,GLEAM COVID-19 Forecasting Model +North Dakota,ND,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,NEU_ISI-AdaptiveEnsemble,18,30,37,45,55,18,30,37,45,55,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University and ISI Foundation,2025-01-08,Adaptive Ensemble +North Dakota,ND,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,NEU_ISI-AdaptiveEnsemble,21,33,42,53,65,21,33,42,53,65,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University and ISI Foundation,2025-01-08,Adaptive Ensemble +North Dakota,ND,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,NEU_ISI-AdaptiveEnsemble,23,40,49,61,79,23,40,49,61,79,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University and ISI Foundation,2025-01-08,Adaptive Ensemble +North Dakota,ND,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,OHT_JHU-nbxd,19.15,23.54,26.16,29.02,35.19,19,24,26,29,35,One Health Trust and Johns Hopkins University,2025-01-08,NBEATS exogenous covariate decoder +North Dakota,ND,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,OHT_JHU-nbxd,14.69,19.56,22.61,26.05,33.81,15,20,23,26,34,One Health Trust and Johns Hopkins University,2025-01-08,NBEATS exogenous covariate decoder +North Dakota,ND,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,OHT_JHU-nbxd,11.76,16.65,19.83,23.5,32.07,12,17,20,24,32,One Health Trust and Johns Hopkins University,2025-01-08,NBEATS exogenous covariate decoder +North Dakota,ND,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,UM-DeepOutbreak,22.820222854614254,32.585884774875645,36.934998512268066,40.83949974660873,50.60516166687012,23,33,37,41,51,"University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering",2025-01-08,DeepOutbreak +North Dakota,ND,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,UM-DeepOutbreak,16.979021072387695,30.27028946995735,39.29316520690918,45.030514668226246,58.3217830657959,17,30,39,45,58,"University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering",2025-01-08,DeepOutbreak +North Dakota,ND,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,UM-DeepOutbreak,11.468975067138672,37.37532120919228,50.439077377319336,61.16599959158897,87.07234573364258,11,37,50,61,87,"University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering",2025-01-08,DeepOutbreak +North Dakota,ND,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,UMass-ar6_pooled,21.454726987986067,32.9889373552182,40.03436758774984,48.272099267990875,67.57364435411411,21,33,40,48,68,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,AR(6) model with pooling +North Dakota,ND,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,UMass-ar6_pooled,16.402840725689106,31.928127547855592,42.041824030845305,55.23491385791677,85.64832534838598,16,32,42,55,86,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,AR(6) model with pooling +North Dakota,ND,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,UMass-ar6_pooled,14.090413157691101,31.390174224387057,45.953435597600425,63.09772717321583,107.73197048967079,14,31,46,63,108,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,AR(6) model with pooling +North Dakota,ND,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,UMass-gbqr,18.769003381594818,31.822405088479275,40.05005108205337,48.87851301673468,65.42240888866316,19,32,40,49,65,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,gradient boosting quantile regression +North Dakota,ND,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,UMass-gbqr,17.250374205735724,31.10457714595447,39.90044076758847,47.93434827730645,71.70942938996028,17,31,40,48,72,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,gradient boosting quantile regression +North Dakota,ND,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,UMass-gbqr,15.347450586340035,29.639319104512882,40.09592459689659,46.90598374804448,75.99490969694737,15,30,40,47,76,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,gradient boosting quantile regression +Ohio,OH,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CFA_Pyrenew-Pyrenew_H_COVID,1187,1619,1850,2116,2830.2249999999985,1187,1619,1850,2116,2830,Center for Forecasting and Outbreak Analytics (CFA/CDC) Pyrenew team,2025-01-08,Pyrenew_Hospital_Admissions_COVID +Ohio,OH,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CFA_Pyrenew-Pyrenew_H_COVID,1063.825,1799.75,2313,2941.250000000001,4962.274999999999,1064,1800,2313,2941,4962,Center for Forecasting and Outbreak Analytics (CFA/CDC) Pyrenew team,2025-01-08,Pyrenew_Hospital_Admissions_COVID +Ohio,OH,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CEPH-Rtrend_covid,1155,1399,1552,1725,2059,1155,1399,1552,1725,2059,CEPH Lab at Indiana University,2025-01-08,Rtrend COVID +Ohio,OH,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CEPH-Rtrend_covid,1119,1559,1866,2217,2970,1119,1559,1866,2217,2970,CEPH Lab at Indiana University,2025-01-08,Rtrend COVID +Ohio,OH,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CEPH-Rtrend_covid,1010,1592,2017,2516,3586,1010,1592,2017,2516,3586,CEPH Lab at Indiana University,2025-01-08,Rtrend COVID +Ohio,OH,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CMU-TimeSeries,1202.7767856005416,1479.2112904110143,1606.3793518448,1652.0682801064859,1822.4252947099224,1203,1479,1606,1652,1822,Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group,2025-01-08,AR ensemble with auxiliary data +Ohio,OH,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CMU-TimeSeries,1205.5031518059304,1614.2718109926884,1836.565569290964,1854.6920907529109,2005.5142458339249,1206,1614,1837,1855,2006,Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group,2025-01-08,AR ensemble with auxiliary data +Ohio,OH,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CMU-TimeSeries,1161.8476846045996,1680.2622886644012,1966.9772309527414,2001.1837489596005,2099.844515812767,1162,1680,1967,2001,2100,Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group,2025-01-08,AR ensemble with auxiliary data +Ohio,OH,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CovidHub-baseline,977.6250000000001,1269,1349,1429,1720.375,978,1269,1349,1429,1720,CovidHub-hub-models,2025-01-08,CovidHub baseline model +Ohio,OH,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CovidHub-baseline,891.7155724057241,1209.8354033540336,1349,1488.5354678546787,1812.3252767527665,892,1210,1349,1489,1812,CovidHub-hub-models,2025-01-08,CovidHub baseline model +Ohio,OH,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CovidHub-baseline,796.9238877388775,1180.4431269312695,1349,1517.9467569675694,1897.3891046410465,797,1180,1349,1518,1897,CovidHub-hub-models,2025-01-08,CovidHub baseline model +Ohio,OH,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CovidHub-ensemble,993.200798575715,1173.23866434817,1324.51545358936,1493.55076791241,1829.01439479608,993,1173,1325,1494,1829,CovidHub,2025-01-08,Ensemble model using CovidHub submissions +Ohio,OH,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CovidHub-ensemble,900.218174717366,1127.72255909661,1369.25071085041,1600.15991257048,1994.0527203793,900,1128,1369,1600,1994,CovidHub,2025-01-08,Ensemble model using CovidHub submissions +Ohio,OH,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CovidHub-ensemble,758.433773061993,1186.5568931489,1472.11360168457,1743.03460583162,2100.59138632435,758,1187,1472,1743,2101,CovidHub,2025-01-08,Ensemble model using CovidHub submissions +Ohio,OH,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,MOBS-GLEAM_COVID,563,910,1140,1406,2019,563,910,1140,1406,2019,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University,2025-01-08,GLEAM COVID-19 Forecasting Model +Ohio,OH,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,MOBS-GLEAM_COVID,654,1057,1324,1633,2344,654,1057,1324,1633,2344,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University,2025-01-08,GLEAM COVID-19 Forecasting Model +Ohio,OH,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,MOBS-GLEAM_COVID,769,1242,1555,1917,2752,769,1242,1555,1917,2752,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University,2025-01-08,GLEAM COVID-19 Forecasting Model +Ohio,OH,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,NEU_ISI-AdaptiveEnsemble,421,742,1023,1176,1372,421,742,1023,1176,1372,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University and ISI Foundation,2025-01-08,Adaptive Ensemble +Ohio,OH,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,NEU_ISI-AdaptiveEnsemble,582,816,1193,1359,1532,582,816,1193,1359,1532,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University and ISI Foundation,2025-01-08,Adaptive Ensemble +Ohio,OH,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,NEU_ISI-AdaptiveEnsemble,600,981,1353,1552,1766,600,981,1353,1552,1766,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University and ISI Foundation,2025-01-08,Adaptive Ensemble +Ohio,OH,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,OHT_JHU-nbxd,536.74,670.12,750.5,838.76,1030.94,537,670,750,839,1031,One Health Trust and Johns Hopkins University,2025-01-08,NBEATS exogenous covariate decoder +Ohio,OH,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,OHT_JHU-nbxd,424.4,573.15,667.19,773.75,1016.14,424,573,667,774,1016,One Health Trust and Johns Hopkins University,2025-01-08,NBEATS exogenous covariate decoder +Ohio,OH,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,OHT_JHU-nbxd,346.2,494.47,591.42,703.74,967.02,346,494,591,704,967,One Health Trust and Johns Hopkins University,2025-01-08,NBEATS exogenous covariate decoder +Ohio,OH,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,UM-DeepOutbreak,990.6097106933594,1215.9399100265505,1325.6044311523438,1427.7361153640747,1653.0663146972656,991,1216,1326,1428,1653,"University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering",2025-01-08,DeepOutbreak +Ohio,OH,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,UM-DeepOutbreak,866.51702880859375,1127.7077132339475,1383.7794189453125,1554.2642105941773,1815.4548950195312,867,1128,1384,1554,1815,"University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering",2025-01-08,DeepOutbreak +Ohio,OH,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,UM-DeepOutbreak,639.7650146484375,1131.113786297798,1389.2272033691406,1609.989485186577,2101.3382568359375,640,1131,1389,1610,2101,"University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering",2025-01-08,DeepOutbreak +Ohio,OH,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,UMass-ar6_pooled,1065.1085856781767,1284.2341521334527,1415.5559245789805,1562.3343562767286,1848.1270788517356,1065,1284,1416,1562,1848,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,AR(6) model with pooling +Ohio,OH,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,UMass-ar6_pooled,1021.2854110773308,1325.8743494859661,1531.902580643817,1745.4009906888675,2217.879204965788,1021,1326,1532,1745,2218,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,AR(6) model with pooling +Ohio,OH,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,UMass-ar6_pooled,931.8758304798251,1330.7502323154358,1574.100583916338,1876.0797264766647,2547.9550540973187,932,1331,1574,1876,2548,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,AR(6) model with pooling +Ohio,OH,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,UMass-gbqr,995.7918864580698,1130.537418669799,1323.4264760263732,1559.3654204607467,1835.6034948822412,996,1131,1323,1559,1836,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,gradient boosting quantile regression +Ohio,OH,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,UMass-gbqr,933.9193206261374,1127.7374049592722,1354.7220027555043,1567.3198251409608,1982.5911949246665,934,1128,1355,1567,1983,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,gradient boosting quantile regression +Ohio,OH,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,UMass-gbqr,747.8675461239854,1058.3003055458698,1290.535604459766,1470.121752810573,2080.659126185543,748,1058,1291,1470,2081,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,gradient boosting quantile regression +Oklahoma,OK,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CFA_Pyrenew-Pyrenew_H_COVID,186,258,299,349,483.02499999999986,186,258,299,349,483,Center for Forecasting and Outbreak Analytics (CFA/CDC) Pyrenew team,2025-01-08,Pyrenew_Hospital_Admissions_COVID +Oklahoma,OK,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CFA_Pyrenew-Pyrenew_H_COVID,144.975,259,333,418,778,145,259,333,418,778,Center for Forecasting and Outbreak Analytics (CFA/CDC) Pyrenew team,2025-01-08,Pyrenew_Hospital_Admissions_COVID +Oklahoma,OK,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CEPH-Rtrend_covid,191,248,286,328,416,191,248,286,328,416,CEPH Lab at Indiana University,2025-01-08,Rtrend COVID +Oklahoma,OK,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CEPH-Rtrend_covid,150,241,312,396,600,150,241,312,396,600,CEPH Lab at Indiana University,2025-01-08,Rtrend COVID +Oklahoma,OK,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CEPH-Rtrend_covid,116,227,328,457,806,116,227,328,457,806,CEPH Lab at Indiana University,2025-01-08,Rtrend COVID +Oklahoma,OK,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CMU-TimeSeries,202.9467747545024,271.31040099224816,298.4367351546251,329.96310512136193,407.06938475134456,203,271,298,330,407,Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group,2025-01-08,AR ensemble with auxiliary data +Oklahoma,OK,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CMU-TimeSeries,202.92501689041774,293.29722278427437,331.27096990998365,369.90803493247387,460.65818835150515,203,293,331,370,461,Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group,2025-01-08,AR ensemble with auxiliary data +Oklahoma,OK,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CMU-TimeSeries,198.81197332525747,311.06504698477096,362.11533372079595,399.37477350363025,496.82570807246765,199,311,362,399,497,Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group,2025-01-08,AR ensemble with auxiliary data +Oklahoma,OK,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CovidHub-baseline,204.625,247.5,264,280.5,323.37499999999994,205,248,264,280,323,CovidHub-hub-models,2025-01-08,CovidHub baseline model +Oklahoma,OK,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CovidHub-baseline,185.94906099060987,236.4981999819998,264,291.0941559415594,342.0822788227881,186,236,264,291,342,CovidHub-hub-models,2025-01-08,CovidHub baseline model +Oklahoma,OK,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CovidHub-baseline,167.27274622746222,230.39013140131397,264,297.620143701437,361.536049110491,167,230,264,298,362,CovidHub-hub-models,2025-01-08,CovidHub baseline model +Oklahoma,OK,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CovidHub-ensemble,190.630726258801,248.970482408382,275.967568298119,308.980611010843,376.520817169652,191,249,276,309,377,CovidHub,2025-01-08,Ensemble model using CovidHub submissions +Oklahoma,OK,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CovidHub-ensemble,174.717096927005,249.00395867162,300.782715320587,340.473645867024,426.14286029543,175,249,301,340,426,CovidHub,2025-01-08,Ensemble model using CovidHub submissions +Oklahoma,OK,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CovidHub-ensemble,149.644835843115,242.388638775294,313.940557479858,376.477126561338,482.912854036234,150,242,314,376,483,CovidHub,2025-01-08,Ensemble model using CovidHub submissions +Oklahoma,OK,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,MOBS-GLEAM_COVID,132,216,271,335,483,132,216,271,335,483,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University,2025-01-08,GLEAM COVID-19 Forecasting Model +Oklahoma,OK,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,MOBS-GLEAM_COVID,156,254,319,395,568,156,254,319,395,568,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University,2025-01-08,GLEAM COVID-19 Forecasting Model +Oklahoma,OK,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,MOBS-GLEAM_COVID,189,308,386,477,686,189,308,386,477,686,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University,2025-01-08,GLEAM COVID-19 Forecasting Model +Oklahoma,OK,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,NEU_ISI-AdaptiveEnsemble,192,252,284,309,377,192,252,284,309,377,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University and ISI Foundation,2025-01-08,Adaptive Ensemble +Oklahoma,OK,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,NEU_ISI-AdaptiveEnsemble,221,285,313,340,406,221,285,313,340,406,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University and ISI Foundation,2025-01-08,Adaptive Ensemble +Oklahoma,OK,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,NEU_ISI-AdaptiveEnsemble,139,324,375,397,469,139,324,375,397,469,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University and ISI Foundation,2025-01-08,Adaptive Ensemble +Oklahoma,OK,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,OHT_JHU-nbxd,120.04,145.54,160.63,177,212.06,120,146,161,177,212,One Health Trust and Johns Hopkins University,2025-01-08,NBEATS exogenous covariate decoder +Oklahoma,OK,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,OHT_JHU-nbxd,91.56,119.41,136.66,155.93,198.93,92,119,137,156,199,One Health Trust and Johns Hopkins University,2025-01-08,NBEATS exogenous covariate decoder +Oklahoma,OK,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,OHT_JHU-nbxd,71.34,99.1,116.96,137.42,184.67,71,99,117,137,185,One Health Trust and Johns Hopkins University,2025-01-08,NBEATS exogenous covariate decoder +Oklahoma,OK,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,UM-DeepOutbreak,213.4990906715393,257.222919123888,275.6412467956543,289.1233943526745,332.8472228050232,213,257,276,289,333,"University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering",2025-01-08,DeepOutbreak +Oklahoma,OK,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,UM-DeepOutbreak,197.3464241027832,270.0968968276978,289.5654306411743,307.1256373519897,379.8761100769043,197,270,290,307,380,"University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering",2025-01-08,DeepOutbreak +Oklahoma,OK,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,UM-DeepOutbreak,198.64725494384768,246.97897577285767,299.8811149597168,343.1380286216736,391.4697494506836,199,247,300,343,391,"University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering",2025-01-08,DeepOutbreak +Oklahoma,OK,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,UMass-ar6_pooled,190.26145251760298,245.30184374151457,274.8497036274321,308.96122202168544,376.0416343393042,190,245,275,309,376,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,AR(6) model with pooling +Oklahoma,OK,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,UMass-ar6_pooled,169.3612326210737,244.00791734324,287.66888686966604,340.9472917340473,444.3543347817288,169,244,288,341,444,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,AR(6) model with pooling +Oklahoma,OK,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,UMass-ar6_pooled,151.96800063578291,237.04727895660722,296.16858229224255,355.95425312267525,506.75975742470746,152,237,296,356,507,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,AR(6) model with pooling +Oklahoma,OK,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,UMass-gbqr,189.38277645019474,249.9409648167641,276.293889800584,292.17452145271426,374.7770454936959,189,250,276,292,375,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,gradient boosting quantile regression +Oklahoma,OK,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,UMass-gbqr,180.07296123293543,242.82203842846408,273.30012752780095,300.30065683057927,407.9313858091308,180,243,273,300,408,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,gradient boosting quantile regression +Oklahoma,OK,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,UMass-gbqr,147.32167105044758,237.79830177773044,260.713777821161,291.0615031043123,425.59054612613625,147,238,261,291,426,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,gradient boosting quantile regression +Oregon,OR,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CFA_Pyrenew-Pyrenew_H_COVID,83,126,154,190,288.02499999999986,83,126,154,190,288,Center for Forecasting and Outbreak Analytics (CFA/CDC) Pyrenew team,2025-01-08,Pyrenew_Hospital_Admissions_COVID +Oregon,OR,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CFA_Pyrenew-Pyrenew_H_COVID,68.94999999999999,142,201,294,645,69,142,201,294,645,Center for Forecasting and Outbreak Analytics (CFA/CDC) Pyrenew team,2025-01-08,Pyrenew_Hospital_Admissions_COVID +Oregon,OR,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CEPH-Rtrend_covid,88,119,138,162,211,88,119,138,162,211,CEPH Lab at Indiana University,2025-01-08,Rtrend COVID +Oregon,OR,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CEPH-Rtrend_covid,77,129,171,223,351,77,129,171,223,351,CEPH Lab at Indiana University,2025-01-08,Rtrend COVID +Oregon,OR,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CEPH-Rtrend_covid,65,136,199,285,511,65,136,199,285,511,CEPH Lab at Indiana University,2025-01-08,Rtrend COVID +Oregon,OR,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CMU-TimeSeries,59.039098329063044,115.43966905204653,141.89137360441583,177.7923008899995,259.18975929624924,59,115,142,178,259,Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group,2025-01-08,AR ensemble with auxiliary data +Oregon,OR,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CMU-TimeSeries,61.24584053889059,130.9747037033582,161.89910218944698,207.93213735353535,304.24992343672795,61,131,162,208,304,Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group,2025-01-08,AR ensemble with auxiliary data +Oregon,OR,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CMU-TimeSeries,64.55128570744394,148.77854299884336,181.7517745614054,237.76022060451183,339.3370596287244,65,149,182,238,339,Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group,2025-01-08,AR ensemble with auxiliary data +Oregon,OR,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CovidHub-baseline,90,111.49999999999999,121,130.5,152,90,111,121,130,152,CovidHub-hub-models,2025-01-08,CovidHub baseline model +Oregon,OR,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CovidHub-baseline,81.50289352893529,108.21257462574626,121,133.79422044220445,160.89886673866732,82,108,121,134,161,CovidHub-hub-models,2025-01-08,CovidHub baseline model +Oregon,OR,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CovidHub-baseline,73.86058935589357,105.70287702877029,121,136.1151336513365,168.16294662946626,74,106,121,136,168,CovidHub-hub-models,2025-01-08,CovidHub baseline model +Oregon,OR,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CovidHub-ensemble,59.0395491645315,101.824212045466,120.332738314405,138.873173644758,194.120882485988,59,102,120,139,194,CovidHub,2025-01-08,Ensemble model using CovidHub submissions +Oregon,OR,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CovidHub-ensemble,61.1229202694453,107.02359425539,128.862636906589,158.229708966779,230.419406928219,61,107,129,158,230,CovidHub,2025-01-08,Ensemble model using CovidHub submissions +Oregon,OR,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CovidHub-ensemble,63.8441531032882,116.196244071476,141.450913650784,174.167013136972,256.668926897816,64,116,141,174,257,CovidHub,2025-01-08,Ensemble model using CovidHub submissions +Oregon,OR,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,MOBS-GLEAM_COVID,50,84,106,132,192,50,84,106,132,192,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University,2025-01-08,GLEAM COVID-19 Forecasting Model +Oregon,OR,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,MOBS-GLEAM_COVID,61,101,127,158,228,61,101,127,158,228,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University,2025-01-08,GLEAM COVID-19 Forecasting Model +Oregon,OR,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,MOBS-GLEAM_COVID,77,126,159,198,285,77,126,159,198,285,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University,2025-01-08,GLEAM COVID-19 Forecasting Model +Oregon,OR,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,NEU_ISI-AdaptiveEnsemble,50,74,88,105,128,50,74,88,105,128,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University and ISI Foundation,2025-01-08,Adaptive Ensemble +Oregon,OR,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,NEU_ISI-AdaptiveEnsemble,51,87,99,109,140,51,87,99,109,140,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University and ISI Foundation,2025-01-08,Adaptive Ensemble +Oregon,OR,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,NEU_ISI-AdaptiveEnsemble,50,82,102,118,167,50,82,102,118,167,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University and ISI Foundation,2025-01-08,Adaptive Ensemble +Oregon,OR,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,OHT_JHU-nbxd,59.04,85.03,102.11,121.96,168.7,59,85,102,122,169,One Health Trust and Johns Hopkins University,2025-01-08,NBEATS exogenous covariate decoder +Oregon,OR,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,OHT_JHU-nbxd,54.66,86.03,107.76,133.89,198.32,55,86,108,134,198,One Health Trust and Johns Hopkins University,2025-01-08,NBEATS exogenous covariate decoder +Oregon,OR,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,OHT_JHU-nbxd,48.96,82.21,106.15,135.64,210.73,49,82,106,136,211,One Health Trust and Johns Hopkins University,2025-01-08,NBEATS exogenous covariate decoder +Oregon,OR,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,UM-DeepOutbreak,7.817237854003935,94.46536374092102,114.48902130126952,134.33897280693054,220.98709869384763,8,94,114,134,221,"University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering",2025-01-08,DeepOutbreak +Oregon,OR,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,UM-DeepOutbreak,1.8801727294921875,100.55207705497742,119.42281341552734,136.85807919502258,235.5299835205078,2,101,119,137,236,"University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering",2025-01-08,DeepOutbreak +Oregon,OR,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,UM-DeepOutbreak,24.653289794921847,80.26620484924314,128.70117950439453,162.21844480896,217.83135986328128,25,80,129,162,218,"University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering",2025-01-08,DeepOutbreak +Oregon,OR,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,UMass-ar6_pooled,81.49024657749952,109.1830603500108,126.17645532753963,143.4073744825863,182.8217652224407,81,109,126,143,183,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,AR(6) model with pooling +Oregon,OR,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,UMass-ar6_pooled,76.57506193542143,113.04718851077916,140.04400786810373,166.74695472931165,232.83881385643858,77,113,140,167,233,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,AR(6) model with pooling +Oregon,OR,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,UMass-ar6_pooled,67.75596375391413,115.7011761732377,149.2545243858788,186.11558146498336,276.4069703048373,68,116,149,186,276,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,AR(6) model with pooling +Oregon,OR,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,UMass-gbqr,79.48231472471434,117.86895956740632,128.55410295905477,148.1721725507444,196.24176497197647,79,118,129,148,196,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,gradient boosting quantile regression +Oregon,OR,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,UMass-gbqr,71.94602333756187,119.11687753248378,130.72527381317718,158.45941793355775,219.0127780318042,72,119,131,158,219,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,gradient boosting quantile regression +Oregon,OR,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,UMass-gbqr,63.13702049913255,116.69131196971452,133.64730291568904,159.2439103336477,236.9308834907942,63,117,134,159,237,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,gradient boosting quantile regression +Pennsylvania,PA,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CFA_Pyrenew-Pyrenew_H_COVID,647.9499999999999,1211,1552,1990.25,3473.574999999997,648,1211,1552,1990,3474,Center for Forecasting and Outbreak Analytics (CFA/CDC) Pyrenew team,2025-01-08,Pyrenew_Hospital_Admissions_COVID +Pennsylvania,PA,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CFA_Pyrenew-Pyrenew_H_COVID,541.9749999999999,1225.75,1777.5,2513,5178.974999999995,542,1226,1778,2513,5179,Center for Forecasting and Outbreak Analytics (CFA/CDC) Pyrenew team,2025-01-08,Pyrenew_Hospital_Admissions_COVID +Pennsylvania,PA,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CEPH-Rtrend_covid,912,1225,1436,1678,2187,912,1225,1436,1678,2187,CEPH Lab at Indiana University,2025-01-08,Rtrend COVID +Pennsylvania,PA,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CEPH-Rtrend_covid,711,1210,1578,2066,3200,711,1210,1578,2066,3200,CEPH Lab at Indiana University,2025-01-08,Rtrend COVID +Pennsylvania,PA,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CEPH-Rtrend_covid,529,1119,1623,2318,4022,529,1119,1623,2318,4022,CEPH Lab at Indiana University,2025-01-08,Rtrend COVID +Pennsylvania,PA,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CMU-TimeSeries,1091.6714281414145,1374.516619288679,1494.695037138216,1565.94403925624,1784.149662853015,1092,1375,1495,1566,1784,Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group,2025-01-08,AR ensemble with auxiliary data +Pennsylvania,PA,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CMU-TimeSeries,1074.7808589943284,1472.665002388101,1681.46116267605,1732.803862679091,1966.7093908412785,1075,1473,1681,1733,1967,Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group,2025-01-08,AR ensemble with auxiliary data +Pennsylvania,PA,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CMU-TimeSeries,1024.5892765276453,1521.2811149118309,1830.449812225188,1852.6814113616292,2061.8285467413248,1025,1521,1830,1853,2062,Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group,2025-01-08,AR ensemble with auxiliary data +Pennsylvania,PA,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CovidHub-baseline,785.875,1172.75,1299,1425.25,1812.125,786,1173,1299,1425,1812,CovidHub-hub-models,2025-01-08,CovidHub baseline model +Pennsylvania,PA,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CovidHub-baseline,665.9830348303483,1122.069848198482,1299,1476.360033600336,1930.9343225932248,666,1122,1299,1476,1931,CovidHub-hub-models,2025-01-08,CovidHub baseline model +Pennsylvania,PA,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CovidHub-baseline,526.1602503525037,1050.75064500645,1299,1548.5354678546787,2067.093817688177,526,1051,1299,1549,2067,CovidHub-hub-models,2025-01-08,CovidHub baseline model +Pennsylvania,PA,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CovidHub-ensemble,838.89103586739,1171.67267175951,1304.49147988451,1526.52088157444,1813.67187886945,839,1172,1304,1527,1814,CovidHub,2025-01-08,Ensemble model using CovidHub submissions +Pennsylvania,PA,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CovidHub-ensemble,606.98,1083.56005890606,1343.26323598717,1638.90193133955,1974.00868743431,607,1084,1343,1639,1974,CovidHub,2025-01-08,Ensemble model using CovidHub submissions +Pennsylvania,PA,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CovidHub-ensemble,555.06,1034.99142831371,1307.27628814416,1568.37130717468,2015.18452544583,555,1035,1307,1568,2015,CovidHub,2025-01-08,Ensemble model using CovidHub submissions +Pennsylvania,PA,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,MOBS-GLEAM_COVID,462,747,936,1155,1658,462,747,936,1155,1658,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University,2025-01-08,GLEAM COVID-19 Forecasting Model +Pennsylvania,PA,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,MOBS-GLEAM_COVID,464,750,940,1160,1665,464,750,940,1160,1665,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University,2025-01-08,GLEAM COVID-19 Forecasting Model +Pennsylvania,PA,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,MOBS-GLEAM_COVID,485,785,983,1213,1741,485,785,983,1213,1741,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University,2025-01-08,GLEAM COVID-19 Forecasting Model +Pennsylvania,PA,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,NEU_ISI-AdaptiveEnsemble,395,833,1129,1426,1777,395,833,1129,1426,1777,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University and ISI Foundation,2025-01-08,Adaptive Ensemble +Pennsylvania,PA,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,NEU_ISI-AdaptiveEnsemble,509,891,1226,1545,1863,509,891,1226,1545,1863,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University and ISI Foundation,2025-01-08,Adaptive Ensemble +Pennsylvania,PA,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,NEU_ISI-AdaptiveEnsemble,629,1047,1361,1586,1993,629,1047,1361,1586,1993,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University and ISI Foundation,2025-01-08,Adaptive Ensemble +Pennsylvania,PA,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,OHT_JHU-nbxd,813.54,1049.73,1194.97,1356.59,1715.09,814,1050,1195,1357,1715,One Health Trust and Johns Hopkins University,2025-01-08,NBEATS exogenous covariate decoder +Pennsylvania,PA,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,OHT_JHU-nbxd,704.96,974.95,1148.13,1346.21,1802.63,705,975,1148,1346,1803,One Health Trust and Johns Hopkins University,2025-01-08,NBEATS exogenous covariate decoder +Pennsylvania,PA,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,OHT_JHU-nbxd,581.12,855.41,1038.06,1252.12,1761.97,581,855,1038,1252,1762,One Health Trust and Johns Hopkins University,2025-01-08,NBEATS exogenous covariate decoder +Pennsylvania,PA,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,UM-DeepOutbreak,914.214111328125,1189.6965807800293,1549.1806030273438,1832.1725598449707,2107.655029296875,914,1190,1549,1832,2108,"University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering",2025-01-08,DeepOutbreak +Pennsylvania,PA,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,UM-DeepOutbreak,495.6921997070313,1008.7244782836916,1405.8966674804688,1798.3243498413085,2311.3566284179688,496,1009,1406,1798,2311,"University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering",2025-01-08,DeepOutbreak +Pennsylvania,PA,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,UM-DeepOutbreak,108.81585693359376,537.0784305725097,1068.7119140625,1550.742614349365,1979.0051879882812,109,537,1069,1551,1979,"University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering",2025-01-08,DeepOutbreak +Pennsylvania,PA,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,UMass-ar6_pooled,864.242071734781,1167.854803051661,1344.0556416605418,1555.3546884147584,2042.4270906381487,864,1168,1344,1555,2042,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,AR(6) model with pooling +Pennsylvania,PA,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,UMass-ar6_pooled,754.1471196135562,1159.4351398709393,1426.5425060530877,1752.5068905866685,2473.123147214864,754,1159,1427,1753,2473,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,AR(6) model with pooling +Pennsylvania,PA,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,UMass-ar6_pooled,627.3200630653214,1091.0810405685954,1425.5407284187265,1859.7058590711438,2828.2338692205603,627,1091,1426,1860,2828,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,AR(6) model with pooling +Pennsylvania,PA,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,UMass-gbqr,460.75590281905306,1175.4905404673568,1264.9273181084832,1497.6870747341197,1843.194094885883,461,1175,1265,1498,1843,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,gradient boosting quantile regression +Pennsylvania,PA,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,UMass-gbqr,404.1110102510886,1158.395639528429,1280.62980449387,1466.427858358127,1981.3079840273392,404,1158,1281,1466,1981,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,gradient boosting quantile regression +Pennsylvania,PA,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,UMass-gbqr,362.39044920319594,1022.9828566274116,1253.552576288326,1356.9541186905083,2037.3690508916682,362,1023,1254,1357,2037,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,gradient boosting quantile regression +Puerto Rico,PR,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CEPH-Rtrend_covid,44,89,122,168,282,44,89,122,168,282,CEPH Lab at Indiana University,2025-01-08,Rtrend COVID +Puerto Rico,PR,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CEPH-Rtrend_covid,23,77,139,232,515,23,77,139,232,515,CEPH Lab at Indiana University,2025-01-08,Rtrend COVID +Puerto Rico,PR,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CEPH-Rtrend_covid,12,64,139,276,668,12,64,139,276,668,CEPH Lab at Indiana University,2025-01-08,Rtrend COVID +Puerto Rico,PR,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CMU-TimeSeries,93.13337253880289,158.60796210534576,185.21409655210593,211.3478176509561,269.4350017035332,93,159,185,211,269,Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group,2025-01-08,AR ensemble with auxiliary data +Puerto Rico,PR,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CMU-TimeSeries,83.80579388161102,170.21701337723792,207.4218298613371,238.132094457065,302.18097691700166,84,170,207,238,302,Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group,2025-01-08,AR ensemble with auxiliary data +Puerto Rico,PR,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CMU-TimeSeries,73.27620537534753,177.2413659309765,228.1726961042644,258.3766042789237,322.7410749593952,73,177,228,258,323,Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group,2025-01-08,AR ensemble with auxiliary data +Puerto Rico,PR,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CovidHub-baseline,24.250000000000004,132.75,162,191.25,299.75,24,133,162,191,300,CovidHub-hub-models,2025-01-08,CovidHub baseline model +Puerto Rico,PR,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CovidHub-baseline,0,110.81581315813158,162,213.03878288782886,332.3169231692316,0,111,162,213,332,CovidHub-hub-models,2025-01-08,CovidHub baseline model +Puerto Rico,PR,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CovidHub-baseline,0,93.49535745357456,162,229.87381873818737,371.4193321933219,0,93,162,230,371,CovidHub-hub-models,2025-01-08,CovidHub baseline model +Puerto Rico,PR,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CovidHub-ensemble,56.4818824766365,113.672554701358,137.364330095901,167.971417451501,267.488497774718,56,114,137,168,267,CovidHub,2025-01-08,Ensemble model using CovidHub submissions +Puerto Rico,PR,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CovidHub-ensemble,36.2005086914118,107.505774194714,136.806616485119,188.784722349655,286.340156357087,36,108,137,189,286,CovidHub,2025-01-08,Ensemble model using CovidHub submissions +Puerto Rico,PR,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CovidHub-ensemble,38.125429856561,105.528105366053,142.555714607239,222.77213182509,308.412207198211,38,106,143,223,308,CovidHub,2025-01-08,Ensemble model using CovidHub submissions +Puerto Rico,PR,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,OHT_JHU-nbxd,0.46,1.54,2.69,4.47,10.55,0,2,3,4,11,One Health Trust and Johns Hopkins University,2025-01-08,NBEATS exogenous covariate decoder +Puerto Rico,PR,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,OHT_JHU-nbxd,0.17,1.02,2.2,4.38,13.38,0,1,2,4,13,One Health Trust and Johns Hopkins University,2025-01-08,NBEATS exogenous covariate decoder +Puerto Rico,PR,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,OHT_JHU-nbxd,0.08,0.72,1.85,4.19,15.24,0,1,2,4,15,One Health Trust and Johns Hopkins University,2025-01-08,NBEATS exogenous covariate decoder +Puerto Rico,PR,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,UM-DeepOutbreak,40.97499084472656,149.2419788837433,156.28690028190613,162.9697825908661,271.2367706298828,41,149,156,163,271,"University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering",2025-01-08,DeepOutbreak +Puerto Rico,PR,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,UM-DeepOutbreak,11.687408447265623,108.05829756158596,134.61323297023773,160.65654618841404,257.0274353027344,12,108,135,161,257,"University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering",2025-01-08,DeepOutbreak +Puerto Rico,PR,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,UM-DeepOutbreak,30.22367095947264,103.59033623421192,146.11142921447754,187.16765937125683,260.5343246459961,30,104,146,187,261,"University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering",2025-01-08,DeepOutbreak +Puerto Rico,PR,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,UMass-ar6_pooled,68.96376495327291,116.08064995972535,145.210173037749,183.39845355484061,265.54199384590277,69,116,145,183,266,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,AR(6) model with pooling +Puerto Rico,PR,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,UMass-ar6_pooled,49.401017382823525,112.74356597531795,156.56298307665318,211.14983756966228,356.3657019594914,49,113,157,211,356,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,AR(6) model with pooling +Puerto Rico,PR,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,UMass-ar6_pooled,46.02718875364943,116.31673944161071,180.91798089195785,260.96661110120016,478.88635661733286,46,116,181,261,479,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,AR(6) model with pooling +Puerto Rico,PR,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,UMass-gbqr,70.37123164913399,111.26445944299155,129.51848715405265,167.94283490300123,263.6630683416729,70,111,130,168,264,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,gradient boosting quantile regression +Puerto Rico,PR,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,UMass-gbqr,67.98816543447003,106.95325082784223,128.66740434051826,166.4196071296475,270.49933579717145,68,107,129,166,270,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,gradient boosting quantile regression +Puerto Rico,PR,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,UMass-gbqr,61.14603576496803,107.46587449789487,126.6974804094493,168.35670816071354,294.08333943702644,61,107,127,168,294,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,gradient boosting quantile regression +Rhode Island,RI,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CEPH-Rtrend_covid,53,69,79,90,114,53,69,79,90,114,CEPH Lab at Indiana University,2025-01-08,Rtrend COVID +Rhode Island,RI,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CEPH-Rtrend_covid,43,68,87,110,165,43,68,87,110,165,CEPH Lab at Indiana University,2025-01-08,Rtrend COVID +Rhode Island,RI,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CEPH-Rtrend_covid,33,66,92,128,223,33,66,92,128,223,CEPH Lab at Indiana University,2025-01-08,Rtrend COVID +Rhode Island,RI,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CMU-TimeSeries,58.26835603010387,76.82501523926368,84.92136838099506,93.88645777909753,115.08948972312442,58,77,85,94,115,Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group,2025-01-08,AR ensemble with auxiliary data +Rhode Island,RI,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CMU-TimeSeries,57.69470848229613,82.39845699894595,94.42006278484159,104.77546931429453,129.60403153021758,58,82,94,105,130,Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group,2025-01-08,AR ensemble with auxiliary data +Rhode Island,RI,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CMU-TimeSeries,56.25138929078366,85.86149646585447,102.95031435671551,112.40587641493127,140.21755218508298,56,86,103,112,140,Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group,2025-01-08,AR ensemble with auxiliary data +Rhode Island,RI,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CovidHub-baseline,54.125,65.75,75,84.25,95.875,54,66,75,84,96,CovidHub-hub-models,2025-01-08,CovidHub baseline model +Rhode Island,RI,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CovidHub-baseline,44.137503375033745,62.418414184141824,75,87.64742147421474,105.88079155791557,44,62,75,88,106,CovidHub-hub-models,2025-01-08,CovidHub baseline model +Rhode Island,RI,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CovidHub-baseline,34.904178291782905,60.71603966039659,75,89.08396333963337,115.1721072210722,35,61,75,89,115,CovidHub-hub-models,2025-01-08,CovidHub baseline model +Rhode Island,RI,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CovidHub-ensemble,40.3866545410133,62.9538160262154,75.7894091900352,87.4802126779375,114.460199956868,40,63,76,87,114,CovidHub,2025-01-08,Ensemble model using CovidHub submissions +Rhode Island,RI,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CovidHub-ensemble,41,61.6980078772629,79.1642369451688,97.0072677254677,123.637473650817,41,62,79,97,124,CovidHub,2025-01-08,Ensemble model using CovidHub submissions +Rhode Island,RI,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CovidHub-ensemble,39.3719440774383,66.5,85.5,108.468180978298,132.273206710828,39,66,86,108,132,CovidHub,2025-01-08,Ensemble model using CovidHub submissions +Rhode Island,RI,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,MOBS-GLEAM_COVID,32,54,69,86,125,32,54,69,86,125,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University,2025-01-08,GLEAM COVID-19 Forecasting Model +Rhode Island,RI,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,MOBS-GLEAM_COVID,35,60,76,95,139,35,60,76,95,139,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University,2025-01-08,GLEAM COVID-19 Forecasting Model +Rhode Island,RI,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,MOBS-GLEAM_COVID,42,70,89,111,161,42,70,89,111,161,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University,2025-01-08,GLEAM COVID-19 Forecasting Model +Rhode Island,RI,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,NEU_ISI-AdaptiveEnsemble,40,53,67,76,100,40,53,67,76,100,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University and ISI Foundation,2025-01-08,Adaptive Ensemble +Rhode Island,RI,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,NEU_ISI-AdaptiveEnsemble,39,60,71,85,108,39,60,71,85,108,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University and ISI Foundation,2025-01-08,Adaptive Ensemble +Rhode Island,RI,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,NEU_ISI-AdaptiveEnsemble,48,67,82,97,123,48,67,82,97,123,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University and ISI Foundation,2025-01-08,Adaptive Ensemble +Rhode Island,RI,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,OHT_JHU-nbxd,32.95,43.26,49.66,56.84,72.9,33,43,50,57,73,One Health Trust and Johns Hopkins University,2025-01-08,NBEATS exogenous covariate decoder +Rhode Island,RI,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,OHT_JHU-nbxd,26.69,38.35,46,54.89,75.78,27,38,46,55,76,One Health Trust and Johns Hopkins University,2025-01-08,NBEATS exogenous covariate decoder +Rhode Island,RI,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,OHT_JHU-nbxd,21.49,33.32,41.44,51.15,74.91,21,33,41,51,75,One Health Trust and Johns Hopkins University,2025-01-08,NBEATS exogenous covariate decoder +Rhode Island,RI,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,UM-DeepOutbreak,37.51527404785156,65.2274597158432,75.10055732727051,82.78976745700837,110.501953125,38,65,75,83,111,"University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering",2025-01-08,DeepOutbreak +Rhode Island,RI,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,UM-DeepOutbreak,60.7607684135437,73.85063788890838,87.9932746887207,99.01453545093536,112.10440492630003,61,74,88,99,112,"University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering",2025-01-08,DeepOutbreak +Rhode Island,RI,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,UM-DeepOutbreak,58.66964340209961,77.0621426820755,91.9155979156494,105.93636195659636,124.32886123657228,59,77,92,106,124,"University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering",2025-01-08,DeepOutbreak +Rhode Island,RI,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,UMass-ar6_pooled,40.77330908202664,63.4465684429609,78.10796101576844,93.69837178570064,130.8101808392494,41,63,78,94,131,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,AR(6) model with pooling +Rhode Island,RI,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,UMass-ar6_pooled,32.7154465674553,61.84943201411698,81.57708967044665,107.2837362369773,170.15483848057326,33,62,82,107,170,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,AR(6) model with pooling +Rhode Island,RI,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,UMass-ar6_pooled,24.869436642763944,56.371430727791946,80.72225289450222,113.2524219171945,202.842387442496,25,56,81,113,203,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,AR(6) model with pooling +Rhode Island,RI,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,UMass-gbqr,49.10392182485263,62.461063609469946,76.47826105279995,88.9604253558751,114.92039991373615,49,62,76,89,115,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,gradient boosting quantile regression +Rhode Island,RI,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,UMass-gbqr,43.19094903826596,61.54658374040876,76.75138421989095,85.6501162628309,117.67091577141574,43,62,77,86,118,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,gradient boosting quantile regression +Rhode Island,RI,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,UMass-gbqr,36.74388815487666,56.31741361954866,75.22324571999815,80.31628109533516,122.8171434608096,37,56,75,80,123,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,gradient boosting quantile regression +South Carolina,SC,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CFA_Pyrenew-Pyrenew_H_COVID,165.97500000000002,228,269,314,438.02499999999986,166,228,269,314,438,Center for Forecasting and Outbreak Analytics (CFA/CDC) Pyrenew team,2025-01-08,Pyrenew_Hospital_Admissions_COVID +South Carolina,SC,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CFA_Pyrenew-Pyrenew_H_COVID,127.95,237,324,428,775.1499999999992,128,237,324,428,775,Center for Forecasting and Outbreak Analytics (CFA/CDC) Pyrenew team,2025-01-08,Pyrenew_Hospital_Admissions_COVID +South Carolina,SC,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CEPH-Rtrend_covid,154,205,240,279,362,154,205,240,279,362,CEPH Lab at Indiana University,2025-01-08,Rtrend COVID +South Carolina,SC,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CEPH-Rtrend_covid,126,208,273,356,553,126,208,273,356,553,CEPH Lab at Indiana University,2025-01-08,Rtrend COVID +South Carolina,SC,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CEPH-Rtrend_covid,98,204,298,429,769,98,204,298,429,769,CEPH Lab at Indiana University,2025-01-08,Rtrend COVID +South Carolina,SC,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CMU-TimeSeries,137.91319480729587,223.09038764248206,258.35497759861386,309.28375131401384,461.89639818020896,138,223,258,309,462,Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group,2025-01-08,AR ensemble with auxiliary data +South Carolina,SC,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CMU-TimeSeries,139.0381937393683,256.25402657333996,299.1411503114885,363.4780524218252,571.534972955166,139,256,299,363,572,Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group,2025-01-08,AR ensemble with auxiliary data +South Carolina,SC,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CMU-TimeSeries,138.018961160025,285.0305010124515,338.4503321879878,408.1092468011378,662.7832447766626,138,285,338,408,663,Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group,2025-01-08,AR ensemble with auxiliary data +South Carolina,SC,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CovidHub-baseline,168.375,207.5,216,224.5,263.625,168,208,216,224,264,CovidHub-hub-models,2025-01-08,CovidHub baseline model +South Carolina,SC,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CovidHub-baseline,145.95152326523268,193.65817658176582,216,238.35567605676056,286.89879773797736,146,194,216,238,287,CovidHub-hub-models,2025-01-08,CovidHub baseline model +South Carolina,SC,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CovidHub-baseline,128.15140851408512,185.1812243122431,216,246.71621216212162,304.005250802508,128,185,216,247,304,CovidHub-hub-models,2025-01-08,CovidHub baseline model +South Carolina,SC,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CovidHub-ensemble,129.216597403648,203.785762950189,234.482379969386,271.5,351.510588651399,129,204,234,272,352,CovidHub,2025-01-08,Ensemble model using CovidHub submissions +South Carolina,SC,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CovidHub-ensemble,131.283843994141,208.5,255.333276746105,309.572671974472,414.735248674542,131,208,255,310,415,CovidHub,2025-01-08,Ensemble model using CovidHub submissions +South Carolina,SC,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CovidHub-ensemble,125.904928356962,207.322517662864,281.5,349.962613270569,514.579006280794,126,207,282,350,515,CovidHub,2025-01-08,Ensemble model using CovidHub submissions +South Carolina,SC,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,MOBS-GLEAM_COVID,103,170,213,264,381,103,170,213,264,381,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University,2025-01-08,GLEAM COVID-19 Forecasting Model +South Carolina,SC,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,MOBS-GLEAM_COVID,128,209,263,325,468,128,209,263,325,468,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University,2025-01-08,GLEAM COVID-19 Forecasting Model +South Carolina,SC,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,MOBS-GLEAM_COVID,164,268,337,416,599,164,268,337,416,599,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University,2025-01-08,GLEAM COVID-19 Forecasting Model +South Carolina,SC,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,NEU_ISI-AdaptiveEnsemble,91,145,184,221,283,91,145,184,221,283,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University and ISI Foundation,2025-01-08,Adaptive Ensemble +South Carolina,SC,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,NEU_ISI-AdaptiveEnsemble,108,166,212,257,332,108,166,212,257,332,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University and ISI Foundation,2025-01-08,Adaptive Ensemble +South Carolina,SC,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,NEU_ISI-AdaptiveEnsemble,144,205,265,322,408,144,205,265,322,408,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University and ISI Foundation,2025-01-08,Adaptive Ensemble +South Carolina,SC,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,OHT_JHU-nbxd,120.52,160.42,185.43,213.6,277.18,121,160,185,214,277,One Health Trust and Johns Hopkins University,2025-01-08,NBEATS exogenous covariate decoder +South Carolina,SC,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,OHT_JHU-nbxd,108.57,155.32,185.92,221.38,304.6,109,155,186,221,305,One Health Trust and Johns Hopkins University,2025-01-08,NBEATS exogenous covariate decoder +South Carolina,SC,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,OHT_JHU-nbxd,93.26,142.26,175.58,215.17,311.23,93,142,176,215,311,One Health Trust and Johns Hopkins University,2025-01-08,NBEATS exogenous covariate decoder +South Carolina,SC,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,UM-DeepOutbreak,94.36041259765624,242.99573582077025,274.00416564941406,304.356620136261,452.991943359375,94,243,274,304,453,"University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering",2025-01-08,DeepOutbreak +South Carolina,SC,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,UM-DeepOutbreak,134.56768798828125,217.277077296257,293.11490631103516,360.95711459827425,443.66650390625,135,217,293,361,444,"University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering",2025-01-08,DeepOutbreak +South Carolina,SC,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,UM-DeepOutbreak,82.070068359375,281.5216728729251,330.85755157470703,377.9252265411374,577.3768310546875,82,282,331,378,577,"University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering",2025-01-08,DeepOutbreak +South Carolina,SC,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,UMass-ar6_pooled,156.13593623504136,202.5715259003777,228.9647599387723,256.7183938081874,318.3133594565126,156,203,229,257,318,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,AR(6) model with pooling +South Carolina,SC,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,UMass-ar6_pooled,144.67691561245883,205.1663248387488,247.23009654757485,290.4161112738388,385.8039934428346,145,205,247,290,386,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,AR(6) model with pooling +South Carolina,SC,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,UMass-ar6_pooled,126.72100537243142,209.64503532572826,264.18403775803296,320.3874138608405,451.78118150690017,127,210,264,320,452,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,AR(6) model with pooling +South Carolina,SC,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,UMass-gbqr,148.69165724772287,211.23694172100235,244.7017032281499,286.0243143760986,341.02117730279787,149,211,245,286,341,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,gradient boosting quantile regression +South Carolina,SC,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,UMass-gbqr,136.49621084373663,213.05372735751837,247.66655349221028,294.14534394894395,372.35942847625256,136,213,248,294,372,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,gradient boosting quantile regression +South Carolina,SC,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,UMass-gbqr,125.08885134149313,201.41271661047875,246.5622239314286,288.00943918109135,383.7057116055637,125,201,247,288,384,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,gradient boosting quantile regression +South Dakota,SD,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CFA_Pyrenew-Pyrenew_H_COVID,4,11,18,27.250000000000227,70,4,11,18,27,70,Center for Forecasting and Outbreak Analytics (CFA/CDC) Pyrenew team,2025-01-08,Pyrenew_Hospital_Admissions_COVID +South Dakota,SD,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CFA_Pyrenew-Pyrenew_H_COVID,1,7,14,26,93,1,7,14,26,93,Center for Forecasting and Outbreak Analytics (CFA/CDC) Pyrenew team,2025-01-08,Pyrenew_Hospital_Admissions_COVID +South Dakota,SD,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CEPH-Rtrend_covid,12,20,27,35,55,12,20,27,35,55,CEPH Lab at Indiana University,2025-01-08,Rtrend COVID +South Dakota,SD,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CEPH-Rtrend_covid,6,16,27,43,90,6,16,27,43,90,CEPH Lab at Indiana University,2025-01-08,Rtrend COVID +South Dakota,SD,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CEPH-Rtrend_covid,3,13,25,49,135,3,13,25,49,135,CEPH Lab at Indiana University,2025-01-08,Rtrend COVID +South Dakota,SD,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CMU-TimeSeries,2.71062121263391,5.283599463213931,7.791624231671857,18.68523192135987,45.06196895275554,3,5,8,19,45,Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group,2025-01-08,AR ensemble with auxiliary data +South Dakota,SD,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CMU-TimeSeries,4.113275410010019,5.982785291557069,9.050931368531367,20.454148013533917,57.017502201901024,4,6,9,20,57,Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group,2025-01-08,AR ensemble with auxiliary data +South Dakota,SD,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CMU-TimeSeries,6.422860380901406,8.846794023859545,13.783637359402295,24.558703823964684,70.06442298611444,6,9,14,25,70,Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group,2025-01-08,AR ensemble with auxiliary data +South Dakota,SD,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CovidHub-baseline,0,0,13,26.5,41.49999999999999,0,0,13,26,41,CovidHub-hub-models,2025-01-08,CovidHub baseline model +South Dakota,SD,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CovidHub-baseline,0,0,13,27.448339483394847,53.91061710617107,0,0,13,27,54,CovidHub-hub-models,2025-01-08,CovidHub baseline model +South Dakota,SD,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CovidHub-baseline,0,0,13,31.15108151081511,64.2225789757897,0,0,13,31,64,CovidHub-hub-models,2025-01-08,CovidHub baseline model +South Dakota,SD,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CovidHub-ensemble,4.55082836450599,9.55387048775451,14.65207862854,20.6572945801839,33.159825664436,5,10,15,21,33,CovidHub,2025-01-08,Ensemble model using CovidHub submissions +South Dakota,SD,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CovidHub-ensemble,4.5935484431641,11.3236463836432,17.1510820388794,23.3172366323768,38.1835293226332,5,11,17,23,38,CovidHub,2025-01-08,Ensemble model using CovidHub submissions +South Dakota,SD,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CovidHub-ensemble,5.20026307085101,11.7698722323018,17.6176326272239,25.3814576952312,47.1663356971741,5,12,18,25,47,CovidHub,2025-01-08,Ensemble model using CovidHub submissions +South Dakota,SD,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,MOBS-GLEAM_COVID,4,8,11,15,23,4,8,11,15,23,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University,2025-01-08,GLEAM COVID-19 Forecasting Model +South Dakota,SD,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,MOBS-GLEAM_COVID,3,7,10,14,21,3,7,10,14,21,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University,2025-01-08,GLEAM COVID-19 Forecasting Model +South Dakota,SD,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,MOBS-GLEAM_COVID,3,7,10,13,21,3,7,10,13,21,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University,2025-01-08,GLEAM COVID-19 Forecasting Model +South Dakota,SD,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,NEU_ISI-AdaptiveEnsemble,8,10,14,16,20,8,10,14,16,20,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University and ISI Foundation,2025-01-08,Adaptive Ensemble +South Dakota,SD,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,NEU_ISI-AdaptiveEnsemble,8,12,14,16,22,8,12,14,16,22,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University and ISI Foundation,2025-01-08,Adaptive Ensemble +South Dakota,SD,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,NEU_ISI-AdaptiveEnsemble,7,11,14,17,22,7,11,14,17,22,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University and ISI Foundation,2025-01-08,Adaptive Ensemble +South Dakota,SD,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,OHT_JHU-nbxd,28.31,34.56,38.27,42.31,50.98,28,35,38,42,51,One Health Trust and Johns Hopkins University,2025-01-08,NBEATS exogenous covariate decoder +South Dakota,SD,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,OHT_JHU-nbxd,22.37,29.39,33.75,38.64,49.61,22,29,34,39,50,One Health Trust and Johns Hopkins University,2025-01-08,NBEATS exogenous covariate decoder +South Dakota,SD,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,OHT_JHU-nbxd,17.77,24.78,29.3,34.48,46.49,18,25,29,34,46,One Health Trust and Johns Hopkins University,2025-01-08,NBEATS exogenous covariate decoder +South Dakota,SD,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,UM-DeepOutbreak,0,3.0492926633358017,15.304157257080078,22.62935723900795,33.81899642944336,0,3,15,23,34,"University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering",2025-01-08,DeepOutbreak +South Dakota,SD,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,UM-DeepOutbreak,4.6409454345703125,10.6472927672863,20.302164077758796,28.60241731572151,34.6087646484375,5,11,20,29,35,"University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering",2025-01-08,DeepOutbreak +South Dakota,SD,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,UM-DeepOutbreak,9.727015495300291,19.434407507419586,29.105772018432617,38.13527938222885,47.842671394348145,10,19,29,38,48,"University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering",2025-01-08,DeepOutbreak +South Dakota,SD,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,UMass-ar6_pooled,3.729632516491239,9.107740975509019,13.234708384724483,18.363271860582223,32.50065489942869,4,9,13,18,33,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,AR(6) model with pooling +South Dakota,SD,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,UMass-ar6_pooled,1.1560802659626794,7.5009157562262905,13.04546428220099,20.820631274036202,41.758293996828876,1,8,13,21,42,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,AR(6) model with pooling +South Dakota,SD,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,UMass-ar6_pooled,0,5.015667655783952,11.941801244981864,21.53408726017097,53.51345387355319,0,5,12,22,54,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,AR(6) model with pooling +South Dakota,SD,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,UMass-gbqr,5.101656729011985,12.02832546812142,21.23336502610323,25.328558638985278,31.544712945760995,5,12,21,25,32,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,gradient boosting quantile regression +South Dakota,SD,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,UMass-gbqr,4.5461514517578845,12.782670241290855,20.359039253662957,25.813841990717453,33.8835626814292,5,13,20,26,34,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,gradient boosting quantile regression +South Dakota,SD,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,UMass-gbqr,3.9776657608006203,12.539744464603674,21.235265254447704,26.204211566497715,38.93511916976471,4,13,21,26,39,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,gradient boosting quantile regression +Tennessee,TN,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CFA_Pyrenew-Pyrenew_H_COVID,180.975,316,403,501,819.3999999999978,181,316,403,501,819,Center for Forecasting and Outbreak Analytics (CFA/CDC) Pyrenew team,2025-01-08,Pyrenew_Hospital_Admissions_COVID +Tennessee,TN,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CFA_Pyrenew-Pyrenew_H_COVID,159,338.75,479,689.2500000000002,1579.0499999999995,159,339,479,689,1579,Center for Forecasting and Outbreak Analytics (CFA/CDC) Pyrenew team,2025-01-08,Pyrenew_Hospital_Admissions_COVID +Tennessee,TN,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CEPH-Rtrend_covid,219,288,333,384,492,219,288,333,384,492,CEPH Lab at Indiana University,2025-01-08,Rtrend COVID +Tennessee,TN,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CEPH-Rtrend_covid,176,286,370,478,734,176,286,370,478,734,CEPH Lab at Indiana University,2025-01-08,Rtrend COVID +Tennessee,TN,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CEPH-Rtrend_covid,138,277,398,566,1006,138,277,398,566,1006,CEPH Lab at Indiana University,2025-01-08,Rtrend COVID +Tennessee,TN,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CMU-TimeSeries,228.2616021811293,338.3000963271711,383.419302362161,439.0926727652109,587.5798384815008,228,338,383,439,588,Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group,2025-01-08,AR ensemble with auxiliary data +Tennessee,TN,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CMU-TimeSeries,231.046302207991,370.89327821530725,434.64057780695987,504.0027350744308,683.7919477851613,231,371,435,504,684,Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group,2025-01-08,AR ensemble with auxiliary data +Tennessee,TN,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CMU-TimeSeries,232.41023182306753,399.0185102138176,484.428217619957,556.5060105450133,757.3736483363796,232,399,484,557,757,Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group,2025-01-08,AR ensemble with auxiliary data +Tennessee,TN,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CovidHub-baseline,244.875,284,330,376.00000000000006,415.125,245,284,330,376,415,CovidHub-hub-models,2025-01-08,CovidHub baseline model +Tennessee,TN,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CovidHub-baseline,201.85473479734796,280.0270752707527,330,379.7139921399214,458.1549740497405,202,280,330,380,458,CovidHub-hub-models,2025-01-08,CovidHub baseline model +Tennessee,TN,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CovidHub-baseline,167.02949779497794,271.5117151171512,330,389.1448939489395,492.4485682356823,167,272,330,389,492,CovidHub-hub-models,2025-01-08,CovidHub baseline model +Tennessee,TN,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CovidHub-ensemble,209.138001704668,289.341415217059,334.136062060506,367.936304291167,490,209,289,334,368,490,CovidHub,2025-01-08,Ensemble model using CovidHub submissions +Tennessee,TN,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CovidHub-ensemble,189.772854096885,285,350.502333488553,411.532628088729,583.18522644043,190,285,351,412,583,CovidHub,2025-01-08,Ensemble model using CovidHub submissions +Tennessee,TN,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CovidHub-ensemble,173.147229431892,294.1015080429,382.624101801723,468.145901707512,707.0294092733,173,294,383,468,707,CovidHub,2025-01-08,Ensemble model using CovidHub submissions +Tennessee,TN,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,MOBS-GLEAM_COVID,134,218,274,339,488,134,218,274,339,488,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University,2025-01-08,GLEAM COVID-19 Forecasting Model +Tennessee,TN,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,MOBS-GLEAM_COVID,151,246,309,382,550,151,246,309,382,550,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University,2025-01-08,GLEAM COVID-19 Forecasting Model +Tennessee,TN,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,MOBS-GLEAM_COVID,182,296,372,459,661,182,296,372,459,661,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University,2025-01-08,GLEAM COVID-19 Forecasting Model +Tennessee,TN,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,NEU_ISI-AdaptiveEnsemble,195,252,284,326,456,195,252,284,326,456,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University and ISI Foundation,2025-01-08,Adaptive Ensemble +Tennessee,TN,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,NEU_ISI-AdaptiveEnsemble,227,284,332,383,576,227,284,332,383,576,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University and ISI Foundation,2025-01-08,Adaptive Ensemble +Tennessee,TN,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,NEU_ISI-AdaptiveEnsemble,266,344,388,454,715,266,344,388,454,715,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University and ISI Foundation,2025-01-08,Adaptive Ensemble +Tennessee,TN,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,OHT_JHU-nbxd,140.49,182.85,209.04,238.29,303.47,140,183,209,238,303,One Health Trust and Johns Hopkins University,2025-01-08,NBEATS exogenous covariate decoder +Tennessee,TN,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,OHT_JHU-nbxd,118.88,166.49,197.25,232.62,314.66,119,166,197,233,315,One Health Trust and Johns Hopkins University,2025-01-08,NBEATS exogenous covariate decoder +Tennessee,TN,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,OHT_JHU-nbxd,93.87,141.69,174.01,212.26,304.55,94,142,174,212,305,One Health Trust and Johns Hopkins University,2025-01-08,NBEATS exogenous covariate decoder +Tennessee,TN,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,UM-DeepOutbreak,207.7532958984375,337.2844549407959,387.16844177246094,435.5094903717041,565.0406494140625,208,337,387,436,565,"University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering",2025-01-08,DeepOutbreak +Tennessee,TN,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,UM-DeepOutbreak,224.20803833007812,300.70206989448116,409.5251007080078,513.8764213164563,590.3704528808594,224,301,410,514,590,"University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering",2025-01-08,DeepOutbreak +Tennessee,TN,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,UM-DeepOutbreak,100.2525634765625,323.31637305068966,416.36423110961914,478.88821679306034,701.9520263671875,100,323,416,479,702,"University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering",2025-01-08,DeepOutbreak +Tennessee,TN,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,UMass-ar6_pooled,216.28327400167402,290.6828304341188,335.27212412101164,383.51811540593604,505.6871717179213,216,291,335,384,506,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,AR(6) model with pooling +Tennessee,TN,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,UMass-ar6_pooled,187.7928791691814,297.276127410312,369.0046669771054,440.06525617745774,631.6517183016468,188,297,369,440,632,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,AR(6) model with pooling +Tennessee,TN,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,UMass-ar6_pooled,170.85761584700762,292.20301608579905,377.2482036034462,477.2918034150243,712.1067921794134,171,292,377,477,712,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,AR(6) model with pooling +Tennessee,TN,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,UMass-gbqr,210.522707510898,292.6531834356871,338.2313013565712,352.35449317639865,468.75996374332743,211,293,338,352,469,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,gradient boosting quantile regression +Tennessee,TN,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,UMass-gbqr,191.75282902458827,275.70574008483646,325.65419569133036,351.5881499383807,517.0884158766147,192,276,326,352,517,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,gradient boosting quantile regression +Tennessee,TN,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,UMass-gbqr,175.4368430167773,246.93404413294994,303.99187943679874,341.7654218727672,546.5339481262471,175,247,304,342,547,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,gradient boosting quantile regression +Texas,TX,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CEPH-Rtrend_covid,439,626,758,914,1252,439,626,758,914,1252,CEPH Lab at Indiana University,2025-01-08,Rtrend COVID +Texas,TX,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CEPH-Rtrend_covid,319,606,855,1190,2076,319,606,855,1190,2076,CEPH Lab at Indiana University,2025-01-08,Rtrend COVID +Texas,TX,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CEPH-Rtrend_covid,229,575,935,1489,3176,229,575,935,1489,3176,CEPH Lab at Indiana University,2025-01-08,Rtrend COVID +Texas,TX,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CMU-TimeSeries,246.00959372876676,623.71162740985,811.1091023311153,1125.438973997194,1953.8689766447603,246,624,811,1125,1954,Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group,2025-01-08,AR ensemble with auxiliary data +Texas,TX,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CMU-TimeSeries,251.494226303628,773.3887236741407,930.4264546269377,1386.6789440959597,2518.966634092483,251,773,930,1387,2519,Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group,2025-01-08,AR ensemble with auxiliary data +Texas,TX,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CMU-TimeSeries,281.4343891723056,1022.0334920417165,1062.8579601298134,1630.4515354825508,2970.404046162316,281,1022,1063,1630,2970,Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group,2025-01-08,AR ensemble with auxiliary data +Texas,TX,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CovidHub-baseline,570.25,597,689,781,807.75,570,597,689,781,808,CovidHub-hub-models,2025-01-08,CovidHub baseline model +Texas,TX,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CovidHub-baseline,460.6798780487805,601.2286547865478,689,776.5088500885008,917.2406796567965,461,601,689,777,917,CovidHub-hub-models,2025-01-08,CovidHub baseline model +Texas,TX,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CovidHub-baseline,410.54126916269166,579.2928479284793,689,798.2492349923498,971.1160749107488,411,579,689,798,971,CovidHub-hub-models,2025-01-08,CovidHub baseline model +Texas,TX,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CovidHub-ensemble,390.82,620.593587370916,750.898697589443,860.260379880905,1195.38887241462,391,621,751,860,1195,CovidHub,2025-01-08,Ensemble model using CovidHub submissions +Texas,TX,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CovidHub-ensemble,335.192790011858,615.814226333346,803.910136627225,1004.77396294292,1502.31910834566,335,616,804,1005,1502,CovidHub,2025-01-08,Ensemble model using CovidHub submissions +Texas,TX,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CovidHub-ensemble,288.859391324663,676.032379627583,914.485565185547,1210.86492070701,1908.09381699535,289,676,914,1211,1908,CovidHub,2025-01-08,Ensemble model using CovidHub submissions +Texas,TX,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,MOBS-GLEAM_COVID,323,523,655,809,1162,323,523,655,809,1162,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University,2025-01-08,GLEAM COVID-19 Forecasting Model +Texas,TX,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,MOBS-GLEAM_COVID,389,630,790,974,1399,389,630,790,974,1399,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University,2025-01-08,GLEAM COVID-19 Forecasting Model +Texas,TX,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,MOBS-GLEAM_COVID,504,816,1022,1261,1810,504,816,1022,1261,1810,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University,2025-01-08,GLEAM COVID-19 Forecasting Model +Texas,TX,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,NEU_ISI-AdaptiveEnsemble,403,520,639,772,901,403,520,639,772,901,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University and ISI Foundation,2025-01-08,Adaptive Ensemble +Texas,TX,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,NEU_ISI-AdaptiveEnsemble,470,616,746,880,1138,470,616,746,880,1138,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University and ISI Foundation,2025-01-08,Adaptive Ensemble +Texas,TX,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,NEU_ISI-AdaptiveEnsemble,545,747,903,1092,1384,545,747,903,1092,1384,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University and ISI Foundation,2025-01-08,Adaptive Ensemble +Texas,TX,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,OHT_JHU-nbxd,378.64,450.53,492.6,537.88,633.81,379,451,493,538,634,One Health Trust and Johns Hopkins University,2025-01-08,NBEATS exogenous covariate decoder +Texas,TX,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,OHT_JHU-nbxd,302.56,382.38,430.84,484.32,601.56,303,382,431,484,602,One Health Trust and Johns Hopkins University,2025-01-08,NBEATS exogenous covariate decoder +Texas,TX,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,OHT_JHU-nbxd,247.06,326.93,376.81,432.88,558.99,247,327,377,433,559,One Health Trust and Johns Hopkins University,2025-01-08,NBEATS exogenous covariate decoder +Texas,TX,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,UM-DeepOutbreak,15.79742431640625,743.3091429138186,956.319152832031,1110.143615875244,1837.655334472656,16,743,956,1110,1838,"University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering",2025-01-08,DeepOutbreak +Texas,TX,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,UM-DeepOutbreak,0,470.71167235183714,1123.5303344726562,1706.771726085663,2317.2880859375,0,471,1124,1707,2317,"University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering",2025-01-08,DeepOutbreak +Texas,TX,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,UM-DeepOutbreak,0,582.3100237426756,925.97113037109375,1243.8938336791994,3179.9932861328125,0,582,926,1244,3180,"University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering",2025-01-08,DeepOutbreak +Texas,TX,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,UMass-ar6_pooled,415.30993020199736,617.475547331981,743.7973951788855,895.5288914933122,1228.7777448292334,415,617,744,896,1229,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,AR(6) model with pooling +Texas,TX,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,UMass-ar6_pooled,351.38558002371514,615.6284526666919,805.2307636542545,1035.54792588584,1605.638216691327,351,616,805,1036,1606,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,AR(6) model with pooling +Texas,TX,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,UMass-ar6_pooled,296.28439347702005,614.6147645243394,864.4933253277234,1177.8360077348245,2006.187633990699,296,615,864,1178,2006,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,AR(6) model with pooling +Texas,TX,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,UMass-gbqr,470.97788530047274,729.6109700266134,781.1882828685151,824.9918682684975,1150.5697941783908,471,730,781,825,1151,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,gradient boosting quantile regression +Texas,TX,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,UMass-gbqr,433.71053741910174,737.4499947308269,802.5895096001957,870.3403523829975,1300.6147956113678,434,737,803,870,1301,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,gradient boosting quantile regression +Texas,TX,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,UMass-gbqr,383.85019409816147,737.4499947308269,813.8054083503113,881.4230911146708,1390.1260865514455,384,737,814,881,1390,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,gradient boosting quantile regression +Utah,UT,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CFA_Pyrenew-Pyrenew_H_COVID,53,81,99,121,188.02499999999984,53,81,99,121,188,Center for Forecasting and Outbreak Analytics (CFA/CDC) Pyrenew team,2025-01-08,Pyrenew_Hospital_Admissions_COVID +Utah,UT,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CFA_Pyrenew-Pyrenew_H_COVID,35.975,74,105,147,300.0499999999997,36,74,105,147,300,Center for Forecasting and Outbreak Analytics (CFA/CDC) Pyrenew team,2025-01-08,Pyrenew_Hospital_Admissions_COVID +Utah,UT,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CEPH-Rtrend_covid,74,92,103,115,141,74,92,103,115,141,CEPH Lab at Indiana University,2025-01-08,Rtrend COVID +Utah,UT,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CEPH-Rtrend_covid,62,91,113,138,195,62,91,113,138,195,CEPH Lab at Indiana University,2025-01-08,Rtrend COVID +Utah,UT,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CEPH-Rtrend_covid,51,89,121,162,265,51,89,121,162,265,CEPH Lab at Indiana University,2025-01-08,Rtrend COVID +Utah,UT,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CMU-TimeSeries,37.22492778753784,80.65085932876435,98.50267764247542,126.72342262806121,195.70872663560422,37,81,99,127,196,Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group,2025-01-08,AR ensemble with auxiliary data +Utah,UT,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CMU-TimeSeries,36.14479029056535,86.77021237972488,107.66001143927843,143.84217977820154,232.3000953610557,36,87,108,144,232,Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group,2025-01-08,AR ensemble with auxiliary data +Utah,UT,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CMU-TimeSeries,40.52504722713967,92.38258417601664,116.79006507831932,159.92419882427185,260.533193727612,41,92,117,160,261,Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group,2025-01-08,AR ensemble with auxiliary data +Utah,UT,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CovidHub-baseline,62.62500000000001,81.75,89,96.25,115.375,63,82,89,96,115,CovidHub-hub-models,2025-01-08,CovidHub baseline model +Utah,UT,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CovidHub-baseline,55.36643641436414,78.0590555905559,89,99.94717697176971,122.85865733657332,55,78,89,100,123,CovidHub-hub-models,2025-01-08,CovidHub baseline model +Utah,UT,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CovidHub-baseline,48.9159271592716,75.94927699276994,89,102.16160411604118,129.33157606576063,49,76,89,102,129,CovidHub-hub-models,2025-01-08,CovidHub baseline model +Utah,UT,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CovidHub-ensemble,49.3399911566177,79.8534923807017,96.4196308182428,115,148.516784138795,49,80,96,115,149,CovidHub,2025-01-08,Ensemble model using CovidHub submissions +Utah,UT,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CovidHub-ensemble,46.7819381370387,82.0909364157243,99.9836309331539,120.461284612403,174.502437366892,47,82,100,120,175,CovidHub,2025-01-08,Ensemble model using CovidHub submissions +Utah,UT,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CovidHub-ensemble,41.0289546941086,75.639751663208,103.505113553504,132.208556076873,208.671588091243,41,76,104,132,209,CovidHub,2025-01-08,Ensemble model using CovidHub submissions +Utah,UT,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,MOBS-GLEAM_COVID,44,73,93,115,167,44,73,93,115,167,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University,2025-01-08,GLEAM COVID-19 Forecasting Model +Utah,UT,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,MOBS-GLEAM_COVID,51,85,108,134,195,51,85,108,134,195,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University,2025-01-08,GLEAM COVID-19 Forecasting Model +Utah,UT,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,MOBS-GLEAM_COVID,63,104,131,163,236,63,104,131,163,236,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University,2025-01-08,GLEAM COVID-19 Forecasting Model +Utah,UT,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,NEU_ISI-AdaptiveEnsemble,22,41,53,65,113,22,41,53,65,113,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University and ISI Foundation,2025-01-08,Adaptive Ensemble +Utah,UT,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,NEU_ISI-AdaptiveEnsemble,24,37,51,69,128,24,37,51,69,128,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University and ISI Foundation,2025-01-08,Adaptive Ensemble +Utah,UT,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,NEU_ISI-AdaptiveEnsemble,23,42,54,70,146,23,42,54,70,146,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University and ISI Foundation,2025-01-08,Adaptive Ensemble +Utah,UT,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,OHT_JHU-nbxd,70.17,91.52,104.73,119.5,152.45,70,92,105,120,152,One Health Trust and Johns Hopkins University,2025-01-08,NBEATS exogenous covariate decoder +Utah,UT,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,OHT_JHU-nbxd,59.77,84.35,100.31,118.71,161.57,60,84,100,119,162,One Health Trust and Johns Hopkins University,2025-01-08,NBEATS exogenous covariate decoder +Utah,UT,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,OHT_JHU-nbxd,49.59,75.64,93.35,114.39,165.43,50,76,93,114,165,One Health Trust and Johns Hopkins University,2025-01-08,NBEATS exogenous covariate decoder +Utah,UT,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,UM-DeepOutbreak,33.258766174316406,65.47443649101257,88.32218170166016,104.97412613105774,137.1897964477539,33,65,88,105,137,"University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering",2025-01-08,DeepOutbreak +Utah,UT,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,UM-DeepOutbreak,18.848724365234375,57.53613252639771,86.7924118041992,111.49517850875854,150.18258666992188,19,58,87,111,150,"University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering",2025-01-08,DeepOutbreak +Utah,UT,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,UM-DeepOutbreak,5.997550964355469,75.63950332641602,104.87114715576172,129.86449447631836,199.5064468383789,6,76,105,130,200,"University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering",2025-01-08,DeepOutbreak +Utah,UT,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,UMass-ar6_pooled,54.67998231323536,79.05612543263906,94.33658399401025,110.12822298588702,148.4138823062109,55,79,94,110,148,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,AR(6) model with pooling +Utah,UT,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,UMass-ar6_pooled,43.893381036049526,76.6346704390755,97.7335885874876,122.21256922480619,185.00025486660402,44,77,98,122,185,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,AR(6) model with pooling +Utah,UT,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,UMass-ar6_pooled,35.575131866771066,74.53628268563374,102.13907995124595,134.55261767742675,217.83672934410768,36,75,102,135,218,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,AR(6) model with pooling +Utah,UT,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,UMass-gbqr,54.95535982928466,83.31773740463375,99.53757445385018,116.91968210222119,148.6196859713789,55,83,100,117,149,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,gradient boosting quantile regression +Utah,UT,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,UMass-gbqr,49.67049523802779,79.83187283144852,99.65726186630785,118.00545480582723,164.00461986718034,50,80,100,118,164,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,gradient boosting quantile regression +Utah,UT,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,UMass-gbqr,41.53286216107755,73.28227910323422,99.47120464253634,115.0693555697168,168.70438048966903,42,73,99,115,169,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,gradient boosting quantile regression +Vermont,VT,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CEPH-Rtrend_covid,24,33,39,46,62,24,33,39,46,62,CEPH Lab at Indiana University,2025-01-08,Rtrend COVID +Vermont,VT,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CEPH-Rtrend_covid,19,34,46,61,98,19,34,46,61,98,CEPH Lab at Indiana University,2025-01-08,Rtrend COVID +Vermont,VT,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CEPH-Rtrend_covid,15,33,49,72,130,15,33,49,72,130,CEPH Lab at Indiana University,2025-01-08,Rtrend COVID +Vermont,VT,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CMU-TimeSeries,22.5879492614733,34.10996965980028,38.2000680283101,42.70439962977247,54.88474905538854,23,34,38,43,55,Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group,2025-01-08,AR ensemble with auxiliary data +Vermont,VT,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CMU-TimeSeries,21.820081337713507,37.3148943969196,43.1826584288777,48.36884280456189,62.779609274362805,22,37,43,48,63,Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group,2025-01-08,AR ensemble with auxiliary data +Vermont,VT,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CMU-TimeSeries,20.422073962596123,39.52864322515818,47.88550157371433,52.59261880006257,68.30849806781805,20,40,48,53,68,Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group,2025-01-08,AR ensemble with auxiliary data +Vermont,VT,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CovidHub-baseline,15.500000000000004,24.75,33,41.25,50.49999999999999,16,25,33,41,50,CovidHub-hub-models,2025-01-08,CovidHub baseline model +Vermont,VT,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CovidHub-baseline,8.417238922389222,23.568760687606876,33,42.44529445294452,57.60436729367292,8,24,33,42,58,CovidHub-hub-models,2025-01-08,CovidHub baseline model +Vermont,VT,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CovidHub-baseline,3.0362703627036183,22.266080160801597,33,43.726014760147585,63.289454894548925,3,22,33,44,63,CovidHub-hub-models,2025-01-08,CovidHub baseline model +Vermont,VT,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CovidHub-ensemble,19.5670160403513,27.8934970264925,36.504818277946,42.1764102798406,55.4423745276943,20,28,37,42,55,CovidHub,2025-01-08,Ensemble model using CovidHub submissions +Vermont,VT,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CovidHub-ensemble,16.7262517707923,28.2357766879566,38.8222088330539,46.4423200905973,63.3898046371814,17,28,39,46,63,CovidHub,2025-01-08,Ensemble model using CovidHub submissions +Vermont,VT,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CovidHub-ensemble,16.435,30.9673914015293,40.7007224588016,51.2025594551026,68.7188347423604,16,31,41,51,69,CovidHub,2025-01-08,Ensemble model using CovidHub submissions +Vermont,VT,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,MOBS-GLEAM_COVID,12,23,30,38,56,12,23,30,38,56,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University,2025-01-08,GLEAM COVID-19 Forecasting Model +Vermont,VT,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,MOBS-GLEAM_COVID,15,27,34,43,64,15,27,34,43,64,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University,2025-01-08,GLEAM COVID-19 Forecasting Model +Vermont,VT,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,MOBS-GLEAM_COVID,18,32,41,52,76,18,32,41,52,76,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University,2025-01-08,GLEAM COVID-19 Forecasting Model +Vermont,VT,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,NEU_ISI-AdaptiveEnsemble,15,24,29,35,42,15,24,29,35,42,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University and ISI Foundation,2025-01-08,Adaptive Ensemble +Vermont,VT,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,NEU_ISI-AdaptiveEnsemble,15,28,33,41,51,15,28,33,41,51,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University and ISI Foundation,2025-01-08,Adaptive Ensemble +Vermont,VT,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,NEU_ISI-AdaptiveEnsemble,17,31,39,47,59,17,31,39,47,59,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University and ISI Foundation,2025-01-08,Adaptive Ensemble +Vermont,VT,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,OHT_JHU-nbxd,21.65,25.14,27.16,29.3,33.78,22,25,27,29,34,One Health Trust and Johns Hopkins University,2025-01-08,NBEATS exogenous covariate decoder +Vermont,VT,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,OHT_JHU-nbxd,18.2,22.24,24.64,27.25,32.87,18,22,25,27,33,One Health Trust and Johns Hopkins University,2025-01-08,NBEATS exogenous covariate decoder +Vermont,VT,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,OHT_JHU-nbxd,15.87,20.09,22.66,25.5,31.72,16,20,23,26,32,One Health Trust and Johns Hopkins University,2025-01-08,NBEATS exogenous covariate decoder +Vermont,VT,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,UM-DeepOutbreak,22.295564651489254,30.521920561790463,36.2669095993042,41.64842092990875,49.87477684020996,22,31,36,42,50,"University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering",2025-01-08,DeepOutbreak +Vermont,VT,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,UM-DeepOutbreak,22.58156108856201,32.7662308216095,39.44034194946289,44.51579737663269,54.700467109680176,23,33,39,45,55,"University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering",2025-01-08,DeepOutbreak +Vermont,VT,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,UM-DeepOutbreak,25.091453552246097,30.934782803058624,42.278804063797,49.43498343229294,55.27831268310547,25,31,42,49,55,"University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering",2025-01-08,DeepOutbreak +Vermont,VT,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,UMass-ar6_pooled,17.484032080702683,29.11726815431923,36.74272695658774,44.9187209597225,65.52949059155418,17,29,37,45,66,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,AR(6) model with pooling +Vermont,VT,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,UMass-ar6_pooled,13.729153032212672,28.471553375913118,39.51182146767234,53.53342560626096,86.18049075188156,14,28,40,54,86,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,AR(6) model with pooling +Vermont,VT,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,UMass-ar6_pooled,9.411055996985578,26.849120652502453,40.40144491760318,59.15310344917915,108.54098931415156,9,27,40,59,109,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,AR(6) model with pooling +Vermont,VT,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,UMass-gbqr,16.83805719528626,26.669725898665813,37.748038397293406,45.1126659205659,61.82762893173702,17,27,38,45,62,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,gradient boosting quantile regression +Vermont,VT,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,UMass-gbqr,15.252503541584609,26.275685165337094,38.20407571664483,49.61775555911402,65.0953855296178,15,26,38,50,65,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,gradient boosting quantile regression +Vermont,VT,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,UMass-gbqr,13.006531232990485,25.812756630940562,37.78087557260962,50.40511891020528,69.12917141690276,13,26,38,50,69,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,gradient boosting quantile regression +Virginia,VA,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CFA_Pyrenew-Pyrenew_H_COVID,326,481,572,675,982.0749999999996,326,481,572,675,982,Center for Forecasting and Outbreak Analytics (CFA/CDC) Pyrenew team,2025-01-08,Pyrenew_Hospital_Admissions_COVID +Virginia,VA,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CFA_Pyrenew-Pyrenew_H_COVID,292,560.5,748,996.2500000000002,1925.349999999998,292,560,748,996,1925,Center for Forecasting and Outbreak Analytics (CFA/CDC) Pyrenew team,2025-01-08,Pyrenew_Hospital_Admissions_COVID +Virginia,VA,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CEPH-Rtrend_covid,280,371,432,497,638,280,371,432,497,638,CEPH Lab at Indiana University,2025-01-08,Rtrend COVID +Virginia,VA,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CEPH-Rtrend_covid,227,375,485,625,952,227,375,485,625,952,CEPH Lab at Indiana University,2025-01-08,Rtrend COVID +Virginia,VA,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CEPH-Rtrend_covid,179,362,515,718,1234,179,362,515,718,1234,CEPH Lab at Indiana University,2025-01-08,Rtrend COVID +Virginia,VA,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CMU-TimeSeries,291.9741462221928,437.1434587003925,495.15481171548123,580.6493951162378,785.4839026170343,292,437,495,581,785,Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group,2025-01-08,AR ensemble with auxiliary data +Virginia,VA,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CMU-TimeSeries,297.75219426205456,497.50680358485573,574.7661518399142,684.5569861549313,939.7668769863814,298,498,575,685,940,Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group,2025-01-08,AR ensemble with auxiliary data +Virginia,VA,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CMU-TimeSeries,297.3226698780868,558.9255581682947,649.2352316760494,770.4674474978602,1061.8040388920551,297,559,649,770,1062,Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group,2025-01-08,AR ensemble with auxiliary data +Virginia,VA,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CovidHub-baseline,294.5,388.75,412,435.25,529.5,294,389,412,435,530,CovidHub-hub-models,2025-01-08,CovidHub baseline model +Virginia,VA,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CovidHub-baseline,266.01947844478445,368.45834458344586,412,455.3139906399064,557.144947199472,266,368,412,455,557,CovidHub-hub-models,2025-01-08,CovidHub baseline model +Virginia,VA,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CovidHub-baseline,231.17358248582485,353.75627756277567,412,470.13315633156327,591.5253112531125,231,354,412,470,592,CovidHub-hub-models,2025-01-08,CovidHub baseline model +Virginia,VA,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CovidHub-ensemble,285.987073111096,379.350530525529,430.511770152066,486.162643236632,657.074895357964,286,379,431,486,657,CovidHub,2025-01-08,Ensemble model using CovidHub submissions +Virginia,VA,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CovidHub-ensemble,251.294674850297,381.759568901025,478.375992552643,568.250856709416,791.026489257812,251,382,478,568,791,CovidHub,2025-01-08,Ensemble model using CovidHub submissions +Virginia,VA,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CovidHub-ensemble,228.352918583672,397.334703302452,501.034142995992,574.264377479832,867.88302765512606,228,397,501,574,868,CovidHub,2025-01-08,Ensemble model using CovidHub submissions +Virginia,VA,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,MOBS-GLEAM_COVID,188,306,384,474,682,188,306,384,474,682,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University,2025-01-08,GLEAM COVID-19 Forecasting Model +Virginia,VA,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,MOBS-GLEAM_COVID,233,378,474,585,842,233,378,474,585,842,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University,2025-01-08,GLEAM COVID-19 Forecasting Model +Virginia,VA,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,MOBS-GLEAM_COVID,295,478,599,740,1063,295,478,599,740,1063,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University,2025-01-08,GLEAM COVID-19 Forecasting Model +Virginia,VA,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,NEU_ISI-AdaptiveEnsemble,97,231,322,406,942,97,231,322,406,942,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University and ISI Foundation,2025-01-08,Adaptive Ensemble +Virginia,VA,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,NEU_ISI-AdaptiveEnsemble,201,302,401,513,984,201,302,401,513,984,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University and ISI Foundation,2025-01-08,Adaptive Ensemble +Virginia,VA,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,NEU_ISI-AdaptiveEnsemble,84,272,396,498,885,84,272,396,498,885,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University and ISI Foundation,2025-01-08,Adaptive Ensemble +Virginia,VA,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,OHT_JHU-nbxd,215.66,284.3,327.06,375.05,482.78,216,284,327,375,483,One Health Trust and Johns Hopkins University,2025-01-08,NBEATS exogenous covariate decoder +Virginia,VA,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,OHT_JHU-nbxd,192.92,275.77,329.97,392.79,540.09,193,276,330,393,540,One Health Trust and Johns Hopkins University,2025-01-08,NBEATS exogenous covariate decoder +Virginia,VA,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,OHT_JHU-nbxd,170.89,259.03,318.77,389.57,560.78,171,259,319,390,561,One Health Trust and Johns Hopkins University,2025-01-08,NBEATS exogenous covariate decoder +Virginia,VA,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,UM-DeepOutbreak,387.1352653503418,463.2524874038696,530.1742706298828,593.8554227523804,669.9726448059082,387,463,530,594,670,"University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering",2025-01-08,DeepOutbreak +Virginia,VA,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,UM-DeepOutbreak,423.71948242187494,548.1838445663452,586.2081832885742,615.5886163711548,740.052978515625,424,548,586,616,740,"University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering",2025-01-08,DeepOutbreak +Virginia,VA,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,UM-DeepOutbreak,205.72021484375,436.4691071014405,490.61491394042974,544.6662078399659,775.41510009765625,206,436,491,545,775,"University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering",2025-01-08,DeepOutbreak +Virginia,VA,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,UMass-ar6_pooled,322.10072997816525,394.21107142759115,438.6756843094701,486.32962287540147,586.6565007337925,322,394,439,486,587,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,AR(6) model with pooling +Virginia,VA,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,UMass-ar6_pooled,301.35762477459787,417.8170250132624,482.7519851052862,551.5017134188329,723.1831206280443,301,418,483,552,723,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,AR(6) model with pooling +Virginia,VA,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,UMass-ar6_pooled,292.60218383206166,428.51823470784905,511.4533720515536,603.8625471196988,850.7660553102528,293,429,511,604,851,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,AR(6) model with pooling +Virginia,VA,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,UMass-gbqr,293.9958426849846,387.70106105105714,429.0235403041313,485.9956635978635,644.1771459100198,294,388,429,486,644,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,gradient boosting quantile regression +Virginia,VA,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,UMass-gbqr,269.5893497005934,385.51913780205035,431.6915799445077,507.73140842863546,710.2786495293835,270,386,432,508,710,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,gradient boosting quantile regression +Virginia,VA,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,UMass-gbqr,250.98562232359473,366.1511718970546,430.41318971620524,497.5409822340874,734.7345302824251,251,366,430,498,735,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,gradient boosting quantile regression +Washington,WA,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CFA_Pyrenew-Pyrenew_H_COVID,101,153,186,228,341.0499999999997,101,153,186,228,341,Center for Forecasting and Outbreak Analytics (CFA/CDC) Pyrenew team,2025-01-08,Pyrenew_Hospital_Admissions_COVID +Washington,WA,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CFA_Pyrenew-Pyrenew_H_COVID,76,163,236,340,735.174999999999,76,163,236,340,735,Center for Forecasting and Outbreak Analytics (CFA/CDC) Pyrenew team,2025-01-08,Pyrenew_Hospital_Admissions_COVID +Washington,WA,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CEPH-Rtrend_covid,85,128,159,195,278,85,128,159,195,278,CEPH Lab at Indiana University,2025-01-08,Rtrend COVID +Washington,WA,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CEPH-Rtrend_covid,58,121,176,250,446,58,121,176,250,446,CEPH Lab at Indiana University,2025-01-08,Rtrend COVID +Washington,WA,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CEPH-Rtrend_covid,39,108,182,287,584,39,108,182,287,584,CEPH Lab at Indiana University,2025-01-08,Rtrend COVID +Washington,WA,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CMU-TimeSeries,29.64810034491646,129.45061991432638,174.0600616412815,239.92523146714325,382.81325838042153,30,129,174,240,383,Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group,2025-01-08,AR ensemble with auxiliary data +Washington,WA,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CMU-TimeSeries,34.39276624251061,156.8775351741157,202.2554471547555,293.3391159380009,462.7007525976061,34,157,202,293,463,Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group,2025-01-08,AR ensemble with auxiliary data +Washington,WA,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CMU-TimeSeries,44.042228099248646,190.2878499381,231.15181744118053,338.47652535160546,522.8818110792885,44,190,231,338,523,Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group,2025-01-08,AR ensemble with auxiliary data +Washington,WA,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CovidHub-baseline,115,130,145,160,175,115,130,145,160,175,CovidHub-hub-models,2025-01-08,CovidHub baseline model +Washington,WA,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CovidHub-baseline,96.06048060480605,126,145,164,193.98872288722887,96,126,145,164,194,CovidHub-hub-models,2025-01-08,CovidHub baseline model +Washington,WA,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CovidHub-baseline,82.46272762727628,122.1849218492185,145,167.82752827528276,207.39843698436977,82,122,145,168,207,CovidHub-hub-models,2025-01-08,CovidHub baseline model +Washington,WA,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CovidHub-ensemble,81.5,128.725309957163,156.277760361559,180.367815992788,262.5,82,129,156,180,262,CovidHub,2025-01-08,Ensemble model using CovidHub submissions +Washington,WA,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CovidHub-ensemble,82,135.203885271478,168.998761125151,207.194498751568,311.416741636658,82,135,169,207,311,CovidHub,2025-01-08,Ensemble model using CovidHub submissions +Washington,WA,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CovidHub-ensemble,80.1322636106675,141.609201531729,182.488400982096,252.072922417641,386.42212677002,80,142,182,252,386,CovidHub,2025-01-08,Ensemble model using CovidHub submissions +Washington,WA,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,MOBS-GLEAM_COVID,66,109,138,171,247,66,109,138,171,247,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University,2025-01-08,GLEAM COVID-19 Forecasting Model +Washington,WA,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,MOBS-GLEAM_COVID,81,133,168,208,301,81,133,168,208,301,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University,2025-01-08,GLEAM COVID-19 Forecasting Model +Washington,WA,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,MOBS-GLEAM_COVID,104,171,215,266,384,104,171,215,266,384,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University,2025-01-08,GLEAM COVID-19 Forecasting Model +Washington,WA,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,NEU_ISI-AdaptiveEnsemble,78,106,123,135,166,78,106,123,135,166,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University and ISI Foundation,2025-01-08,Adaptive Ensemble +Washington,WA,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,NEU_ISI-AdaptiveEnsemble,83,112,132,148,182,83,112,132,148,182,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University and ISI Foundation,2025-01-08,Adaptive Ensemble +Washington,WA,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,NEU_ISI-AdaptiveEnsemble,83,123,143,163,209,83,123,143,163,209,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University and ISI Foundation,2025-01-08,Adaptive Ensemble +Washington,WA,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,OHT_JHU-nbxd,93.95,140.84,172.39,209.64,299.19,94,141,172,210,299,One Health Trust and Johns Hopkins University,2025-01-08,NBEATS exogenous covariate decoder +Washington,WA,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,OHT_JHU-nbxd,89.77,147.48,188.49,238.59,364.8,90,147,188,239,365,One Health Trust and Johns Hopkins University,2025-01-08,NBEATS exogenous covariate decoder +Washington,WA,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,OHT_JHU-nbxd,84.73,148.77,196.08,255.33,409.52,85,149,196,255,410,One Health Trust and Johns Hopkins University,2025-01-08,NBEATS exogenous covariate decoder +Washington,WA,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,UM-DeepOutbreak,0,100.33760513305664,132.53627014160156,164.08045516967775,299.3369903564453,0,100,133,164,299,"University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering",2025-01-08,DeepOutbreak +Washington,WA,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,UM-DeepOutbreak,0,87.67330516662625,149.88523864746094,190.6774333587644,321.83348327331544,0,88,150,191,322,"University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering",2025-01-08,DeepOutbreak +Washington,WA,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,UM-DeepOutbreak,0,95.97202747917176,175.82069396972656,248.81584483528135,388.84425354003906,0,96,176,249,389,"University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering",2025-01-08,DeepOutbreak +Washington,WA,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,UMass-ar6_pooled,105.3955475018532,135.3355895685274,153.55552072311798,172.25489974135522,213.79065209181064,105,135,154,172,214,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,AR(6) model with pooling +Washington,WA,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,UMass-ar6_pooled,100.15545623267343,142.07937599716522,169.99752225030173,200.7129013025518,266.24814697307716,100,142,170,201,266,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,AR(6) model with pooling +Washington,WA,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,UMass-ar6_pooled,95.03478124150887,146.77688939574622,182.97680196419284,224.77518008705792,312.9467577257742,95,147,183,225,313,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,AR(6) model with pooling +Washington,WA,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,UMass-gbqr,96.2351302800692,132.21511792759665,161.12429505327864,188.48073224422097,233.1331843141136,96,132,161,188,233,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,gradient boosting quantile regression +Washington,WA,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,UMass-gbqr,86.85534681316935,137.40777054295577,161.67084072399254,206.38899750313635,266.41626090420795,87,137,162,206,266,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,gradient boosting quantile regression +Washington,WA,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,UMass-gbqr,77.26452722133493,136.44151366771226,163.24596735571674,207.8405183704743,288.6248996302554,77,136,163,208,289,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,gradient boosting quantile regression +West Virginia,WV,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CFA_Pyrenew-Pyrenew_H_COVID,59.975,123,164,215,384.17499999999905,60,123,164,215,384,Center for Forecasting and Outbreak Analytics (CFA/CDC) Pyrenew team,2025-01-08,Pyrenew_Hospital_Admissions_COVID +West Virginia,WV,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CFA_Pyrenew-Pyrenew_H_COVID,49,116,172.5,249,587.0249999999999,49,116,172,249,587,Center for Forecasting and Outbreak Analytics (CFA/CDC) Pyrenew team,2025-01-08,Pyrenew_Hospital_Admissions_COVID +West Virginia,WV,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CEPH-Rtrend_covid,109,149,174,204,267,109,149,174,204,267,CEPH Lab at Indiana University,2025-01-08,Rtrend COVID +West Virginia,WV,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CEPH-Rtrend_covid,84,143,191,251,397,84,143,191,251,397,CEPH Lab at Indiana University,2025-01-08,Rtrend COVID +West Virginia,WV,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CEPH-Rtrend_covid,62,133,199,290,535,62,133,199,290,535,CEPH Lab at Indiana University,2025-01-08,Rtrend COVID +West Virginia,WV,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CMU-TimeSeries,129.20316860837337,161.9284094007059,175.40614026178073,191.90049049709677,237.1034635273226,129,162,175,192,237,Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group,2025-01-08,AR ensemble with auxiliary data +West Virginia,WV,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CMU-TimeSeries,125.06070381573795,168.5321025461931,189.09864546883898,209.24575895175374,268.6662603775434,125,169,189,209,269,Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group,2025-01-08,AR ensemble with auxiliary data +West Virginia,WV,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CMU-TimeSeries,121.61211702644172,172.00228995090794,201.60684414649236,220.7127502235133,293.3919654239205,122,172,202,221,293,Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group,2025-01-08,AR ensemble with auxiliary data +West Virginia,WV,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CovidHub-baseline,85.75000000000001,116.75,161,205.25,236.25,86,117,161,205,236,CovidHub-hub-models,2025-01-08,CovidHub baseline model +West Virginia,WV,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CovidHub-baseline,39.02856403564036,110.909811598116,161,210.58250082500825,283.1538100381004,39,111,161,211,283,CovidHub-hub-models,2025-01-08,CovidHub baseline model +West Virginia,WV,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CovidHub-baseline,10.45690156901568,105.76902019020189,161,216.3772837728377,311.8725617256173,10,106,161,216,312,CovidHub-hub-models,2025-01-08,CovidHub baseline model +West Virginia,WV,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CovidHub-ensemble,85.165,134.016902464185,165.410244606296,190.261744383507,242.378366639289,85,134,165,190,242,CovidHub,2025-01-08,Ensemble model using CovidHub submissions +West Virginia,WV,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CovidHub-ensemble,79.5469741821289,137.918655684047,170.482802802143,198.446586120562,277.467536935707,80,138,170,198,277,CovidHub,2025-01-08,Ensemble model using CovidHub submissions +West Virginia,WV,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CovidHub-ensemble,63.7695617675781,127.492250839973,164.091497958148,195.211279629991,298.607998765365,64,127,164,195,299,CovidHub,2025-01-08,Ensemble model using CovidHub submissions +West Virginia,WV,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,MOBS-GLEAM_COVID,62,102,129,160,232,62,102,129,160,232,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University,2025-01-08,GLEAM COVID-19 Forecasting Model +West Virginia,WV,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,MOBS-GLEAM_COVID,60,99,126,156,226,60,99,126,156,226,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University,2025-01-08,GLEAM COVID-19 Forecasting Model +West Virginia,WV,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,MOBS-GLEAM_COVID,61,101,127,158,229,61,101,127,158,229,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University,2025-01-08,GLEAM COVID-19 Forecasting Model +West Virginia,WV,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,NEU_ISI-AdaptiveEnsemble,86,135,169,201,278,86,135,169,201,278,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University and ISI Foundation,2025-01-08,Adaptive Ensemble +West Virginia,WV,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,NEU_ISI-AdaptiveEnsemble,79,152,182,213,307,79,152,182,213,307,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University and ISI Foundation,2025-01-08,Adaptive Ensemble +West Virginia,WV,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,NEU_ISI-AdaptiveEnsemble,88,170,212,245,328,88,170,212,245,328,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University and ISI Foundation,2025-01-08,Adaptive Ensemble +West Virginia,WV,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,OHT_JHU-nbxd,84.33,97.41,104.92,112.91,129.54,84,97,105,113,130,One Health Trust and Johns Hopkins University,2025-01-08,NBEATS exogenous covariate decoder +West Virginia,WV,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,OHT_JHU-nbxd,65.48,79.59,87.95,97.03,116.51,65,80,88,97,117,One Health Trust and Johns Hopkins University,2025-01-08,NBEATS exogenous covariate decoder +West Virginia,WV,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,OHT_JHU-nbxd,55.97,70.71,79.66,89.53,111.17,56,71,80,90,111,One Health Trust and Johns Hopkins University,2025-01-08,NBEATS exogenous covariate decoder +West Virginia,WV,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,UM-DeepOutbreak,16.7696533203125,134.15131660795208,171.30482685565948,204.73640922212604,322.1180725097656,17,134,171,205,322,"University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering",2025-01-08,DeepOutbreak +West Virginia,WV,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,UM-DeepOutbreak,80.09394836425781,155.32677173614502,179.64593172073364,203.31504344940183,278.54786682128906,80,155,180,203,279,"University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering",2025-01-08,DeepOutbreak +West Virginia,WV,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,UM-DeepOutbreak,65.53912353515625,153.56054558181762,172.1571572124958,190.05731330490113,278.0787353515625,66,154,172,190,278,"University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering",2025-01-08,DeepOutbreak +West Virginia,WV,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,UMass-ar6_pooled,100.29198756559572,133.88248832041882,155.04135555322515,177.06775378982064,227.35123228924934,100,134,155,177,227,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,AR(6) model with pooling +West Virginia,WV,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,UMass-ar6_pooled,89.73812179148415,132.34079528001158,161.31967388355162,193.57812879172158,276.38720705012446,90,132,161,194,276,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,AR(6) model with pooling +West Virginia,WV,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,UMass-ar6_pooled,71.61503759724997,121.98450167994658,155.47843552689838,200.36524595508033,306.68196909356783,72,122,155,200,307,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,AR(6) model with pooling +West Virginia,WV,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,UMass-gbqr,73.11080457149518,131.56874249707283,161.82048921259158,188.62299826991685,247.6532697512559,73,132,162,189,248,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,gradient boosting quantile regression +West Virginia,WV,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,UMass-gbqr,61.619333529910904,132.8373113680931,159.0791400641966,192.45665903448622,290.7323533485426,62,133,159,192,291,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,gradient boosting quantile regression +West Virginia,WV,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,UMass-gbqr,60.737236001545284,121.13411127539055,156.0258387038007,183.37693880995675,303.82403210680883,61,121,156,183,304,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,gradient boosting quantile regression +Wisconsin,WI,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CFA_Pyrenew-Pyrenew_H_COVID,406,563,642,725,954.025,406,563,642,725,954,Center for Forecasting and Outbreak Analytics (CFA/CDC) Pyrenew team,2025-01-08,Pyrenew_Hospital_Admissions_COVID +Wisconsin,WI,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CFA_Pyrenew-Pyrenew_H_COVID,346.95,585,744,935.2500000000002,1504.025,347,585,744,935,1504,Center for Forecasting and Outbreak Analytics (CFA/CDC) Pyrenew team,2025-01-08,Pyrenew_Hospital_Admissions_COVID +Wisconsin,WI,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CEPH-Rtrend_covid,430,513,564,622,731,430,513,564,622,731,CEPH Lab at Indiana University,2025-01-08,Rtrend COVID +Wisconsin,WI,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CEPH-Rtrend_covid,396,543,647,767,1026,396,543,647,767,1026,CEPH Lab at Indiana University,2025-01-08,Rtrend COVID +Wisconsin,WI,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CEPH-Rtrend_covid,357,559,717,909,1359,357,559,717,909,1359,CEPH Lab at Indiana University,2025-01-08,Rtrend COVID +Wisconsin,WI,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CMU-TimeSeries,438.961220393994,555.9314074240021,611.6727993392391,639.985729389708,749.2665797411486,439,556,612,640,749,Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group,2025-01-08,AR ensemble with auxiliary data +Wisconsin,WI,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CMU-TimeSeries,440.8072166725025,606.0690360494601,696.968105305102,713.4865661539873,838.3147882366893,441,606,697,713,838,Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group,2025-01-08,AR ensemble with auxiliary data +Wisconsin,WI,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CMU-TimeSeries,425.3129656006491,631.4701782443911,759.9660350569626,772.104176982381,891.9836791575515,425,631,760,772,892,Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group,2025-01-08,AR ensemble with auxiliary data +Wisconsin,WI,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CovidHub-baseline,405,478.75,522,565.25,639,405,479,522,565,639,CovidHub-hub-models,2025-01-08,CovidHub baseline model +Wisconsin,WI,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CovidHub-baseline,349.72713977139773,462.47680226802265,522,581.4883898838989,694.9920656706565,350,462,522,581,695,CovidHub-hub-models,2025-01-08,CovidHub baseline model +Wisconsin,WI,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CovidHub-baseline,312.8350298502985,450.6405139051391,522,593.4710797107972,732.5694304443044,313,451,522,593,733,CovidHub-hub-models,2025-01-08,CovidHub baseline model +Wisconsin,WI,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CovidHub-ensemble,372.698891018333,488.561079816069,551.756613420709,621.143721970492,731,373,489,552,621,731,CovidHub,2025-01-08,Ensemble model using CovidHub submissions +Wisconsin,WI,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CovidHub-ensemble,342.12626786681,499.664138389572,590.990776028853,677,838.314788236689,342,500,591,677,838,CovidHub,2025-01-08,Ensemble model using CovidHub submissions +Wisconsin,WI,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CovidHub-ensemble,313,508,630.984176635742,747.722435765356,891.983679157551,313,508,631,748,892,CovidHub,2025-01-08,Ensemble model using CovidHub submissions +Wisconsin,WI,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,MOBS-GLEAM_COVID,237,385,483,596,858,237,385,483,596,858,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University,2025-01-08,GLEAM COVID-19 Forecasting Model +Wisconsin,WI,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,MOBS-GLEAM_COVID,270,437,549,677,973,270,437,549,677,973,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University,2025-01-08,GLEAM COVID-19 Forecasting Model +Wisconsin,WI,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,MOBS-GLEAM_COVID,313,508,637,786,1129,313,508,637,786,1129,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University,2025-01-08,GLEAM COVID-19 Forecasting Model +Wisconsin,WI,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,OHT_JHU-nbxd,275.98,353.47,400.91,453.53,569.78,276,353,401,454,570,One Health Trust and Johns Hopkins University,2025-01-08,NBEATS exogenous covariate decoder +Wisconsin,WI,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,OHT_JHU-nbxd,225.4,311.82,367.26,430.69,576.85,225,312,367,431,577,One Health Trust and Johns Hopkins University,2025-01-08,NBEATS exogenous covariate decoder +Wisconsin,WI,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,OHT_JHU-nbxd,187.57,276.09,335.02,404.1,568.6,188,276,335,404,569,One Health Trust and Johns Hopkins University,2025-01-08,NBEATS exogenous covariate decoder +Wisconsin,WI,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,UM-DeepOutbreak,367.44142150878906,441.2346331977844,520.0685577392578,582.8233502006531,656.6165618896484,367,441,520,583,657,"University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering",2025-01-08,DeepOutbreak +Wisconsin,WI,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,UM-DeepOutbreak,415.8836364746094,525.2617495460511,602.0251617431641,660.1974789695739,769.5755920410156,416,525,602,660,770,"University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering",2025-01-08,DeepOutbreak +Wisconsin,WI,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,UM-DeepOutbreak,479.40325927734375,553.9112896728516,630.9841766357422,704.3156390380859,778.82366943359375,479,554,631,704,779,"University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering",2025-01-08,DeepOutbreak +Wisconsin,WI,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,UMass-ar6_pooled,382.0547309206769,488.5610798160693,551.7566134207085,621.1437219704922,769.4737021445928,382,489,552,621,769,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,AR(6) model with pooling +Wisconsin,WI,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,UMass-ar6_pooled,342.1262678668104,499.6641383895722,590.9907760288531,693.1270852786226,931.3278804531503,342,500,591,693,931,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,AR(6) model with pooling +Wisconsin,WI,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,UMass-ar6_pooled,312.79990460170006,495.88625505754567,609.0755307941671,747.722435765356,1054.535273702001,313,496,609,748,1055,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,AR(6) model with pooling +Wisconsin,WI,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,UMass-gbqr,372.69889101833263,512.7230756113967,555.4947563084372,629.4338415823735,692.3739755201425,373,513,555,629,692,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,gradient boosting quantile regression +Wisconsin,WI,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,UMass-gbqr,331.6721482170335,498.3657668014754,550.7931183802145,628.8961733465894,748.63687846269,332,498,551,629,749,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,gradient boosting quantile regression +Wisconsin,WI,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,UMass-gbqr,310.28945379094876,475.66256848162544,547.6201884926661,573.4211120820509,786.1877529752626,310,476,548,573,786,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,gradient boosting quantile regression +Wyoming,WY,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CEPH-Rtrend_covid,34,57,73,93,138,34,57,73,93,138,CEPH Lab at Indiana University,2025-01-08,Rtrend COVID +Wyoming,WY,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CEPH-Rtrend_covid,19,48,75,114,224,19,48,75,114,224,CEPH Lab at Indiana University,2025-01-08,Rtrend COVID +Wyoming,WY,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CEPH-Rtrend_covid,10,39,73,130,306,10,39,73,130,306,CEPH Lab at Indiana University,2025-01-08,Rtrend COVID +Wyoming,WY,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CMU-TimeSeries,31.77734766142661,41.752176332315464,47.225255954372884,50.93750718401091,66.10871457664973,32,42,47,51,66,Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group,2025-01-08,AR ensemble with auxiliary data +Wyoming,WY,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CMU-TimeSeries,26.757536000407395,38.92561822433931,46.40896080098099,50.857516827627386,71.88245586841083,27,39,46,51,72,Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group,2025-01-08,AR ensemble with auxiliary data +Wyoming,WY,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CMU-TimeSeries,23.0974295302658,35.740452997638684,45.4073014383753,50.3342715342527,76.97956506403088,23,36,45,50,77,Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group,2025-01-08,AR ensemble with auxiliary data +Wyoming,WY,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CovidHub-baseline,0,31.75,48,64.25,101.12499999999999,0,32,48,64,101,CovidHub-hub-models,2025-01-08,CovidHub baseline model +Wyoming,WY,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CovidHub-baseline,0,21.381626316263166,48,74.65835658356585,117.79134941349412,0,21,48,75,118,CovidHub-hub-models,2025-01-08,CovidHub baseline model +Wyoming,WY,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CovidHub-baseline,0,18.887243872438734,48,76.86073860738611,133.86924294242937,0,19,48,77,134,CovidHub-hub-models,2025-01-08,CovidHub baseline model +Wyoming,WY,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,CovidHub-ensemble,21.5499884838297,39.3646755744437,48.1258700897729,61.5943103575311,93.8015934363058,22,39,48,62,94,CovidHub,2025-01-08,Ensemble model using CovidHub submissions +Wyoming,WY,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,CovidHub-ensemble,20.1332690807956,37.5608036970321,47.2537161961855,63.7388255653381,91.2670783996582,20,38,47,64,91,CovidHub,2025-01-08,Ensemble model using CovidHub submissions +Wyoming,WY,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,CovidHub-ensemble,19.7407650638418,37,46.7036507191876,64.5100284059739,95.145,20,37,47,65,95,CovidHub,2025-01-08,Ensemble model using CovidHub submissions +Wyoming,WY,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,MOBS-GLEAM_COVID,21,37,48,60,88,21,37,48,60,88,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University,2025-01-08,GLEAM COVID-19 Forecasting Model +Wyoming,WY,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,MOBS-GLEAM_COVID,21,36,47,59,86,21,36,47,59,86,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University,2025-01-08,GLEAM COVID-19 Forecasting Model +Wyoming,WY,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,MOBS-GLEAM_COVID,21,37,48,60,89,21,37,48,60,89,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University,2025-01-08,GLEAM COVID-19 Forecasting Model +Wyoming,WY,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,NEU_ISI-AdaptiveEnsemble,21,32,40,49,63,21,32,40,49,63,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University and ISI Foundation,2025-01-08,Adaptive Ensemble +Wyoming,WY,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,NEU_ISI-AdaptiveEnsemble,20,33,41,52,70,20,33,41,52,70,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University and ISI Foundation,2025-01-08,Adaptive Ensemble +Wyoming,WY,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,NEU_ISI-AdaptiveEnsemble,23,37,43,53,81,23,37,43,53,81,MOBS Lab at Northeastern University and ISI Foundation,2025-01-08,Adaptive Ensemble +Wyoming,WY,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,OHT_JHU-nbxd,62.54,75.74,83.56,92.03,110.15,63,76,84,92,110,One Health Trust and Johns Hopkins University,2025-01-08,NBEATS exogenous covariate decoder +Wyoming,WY,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,OHT_JHU-nbxd,49.19,64.33,73.72,84.23,107.71,49,64,74,84,108,One Health Trust and Johns Hopkins University,2025-01-08,NBEATS exogenous covariate decoder +Wyoming,WY,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,OHT_JHU-nbxd,39.54,54.72,64.46,75.61,101.29,40,55,64,76,101,One Health Trust and Johns Hopkins University,2025-01-08,NBEATS exogenous covariate decoder +Wyoming,WY,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,UM-DeepOutbreak,9.153236389160156,40.55345225143432,61.66080474853515,79.37049031448365,110.7707061767578,9,41,62,79,111,"University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering",2025-01-08,DeepOutbreak +Wyoming,WY,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,UM-DeepOutbreak,11.008262634277344,39.06476830291748,54.535661697387695,68.47765113067626,96.5341567993164,11,39,55,68,97,"University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering",2025-01-08,DeepOutbreak +Wyoming,WY,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,UM-DeepOutbreak,5.054355621337891,46.143331906318664,59.04045867919922,70.46719513225555,111.55617141723631,5,46,59,70,112,"University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering",2025-01-08,DeepOutbreak +Wyoming,WY,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,UMass-ar6_pooled,18.35861053449103,36.30507638728806,48.25174017954577,63.188620715062164,99.60318687261159,18,36,48,63,100,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,AR(6) model with pooling +Wyoming,WY,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,UMass-ar6_pooled,11.153059968152556,30.51100235127544,47.50743239237106,70.97871941640567,134.9261764831642,11,31,48,71,135,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,AR(6) model with pooling +Wyoming,WY,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,UMass-ar6_pooled,4.926493422968559,23.590356684575635,42.64949403107628,69.0200568119477,158.85370182586863,5,24,43,69,159,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,AR(6) model with pooling +Wyoming,WY,0,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,UMass-gbqr,22.099976967659455,38.17589889745302,42.917084916184855,52.61629553088622,67.89406001085756,22,38,43,53,68,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,gradient boosting quantile regression +Wyoming,WY,1,2025-01-11,2025-01-18,UMass-gbqr,20.266538161591136,36.195989169724896,42.323008291718644,49.765066747959594,69.98423371566777,20,36,42,50,70,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,gradient boosting quantile regression +Wyoming,WY,2,2025-01-11,2025-01-25,UMass-gbqr,18.481530127683644,32.49659158938955,39.07541786378834,45.541873682569175,71.09932062043002,18,32,39,46,71,UMass-Amherst,2025-01-08,gradient boosting quantile regression diff --git a/weekly-summaries/2025-01-11/2025-01-11_covid_map_data.csv b/weekly-summaries/2025-01-11/2025-01-11_covid_map_data.csv new file mode 100644 index 00000000..8dfeed9c --- /dev/null +++ b/weekly-summaries/2025-01-11/2025-01-11_covid_map_data.csv @@ -0,0 +1,160 @@ +location_name,horizon,quantile_0.025_per100k,quantile_0.5_per100k,quantile_0.975_per100k,quantile_0.025_count,quantile_0.5_count,quantile_0.975_count,quantile_0.025_per100k_rounded,quantile_0.5_per100k_rounded,quantile_0.975_per100k_rounded,quantile_0.025_count_rounded,quantile_0.5_count_rounded,quantile_0.975_count_rounded,target,target_end_date,reference_date,forecast_due_date,target_end_date_formatted,forecast_due_date_formatted,reference_date_formatted,model +US,0,3.41040346505708,5.2114665213959555,7.223109236317266,11385.6225553795,17398.4665980328,24114.3302496637,3.41,5.21,7.22,11386,17398,24114,wk inc covid hosp,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,2025-01-08,"January 11, 2025","January 08, 2025","January 11, 2025",CovidHub-ensemble +US,1,3.315563621673085,5.801599395615017,8.87779325564157,11069,19368.6235698464,29638.48828125,3.32,5.8,8.88,11069,19369,29638,wk inc covid hosp,2025-01-18,2025-01-11,2025-01-08,"January 18, 2025","January 08, 2025","January 11, 2025",CovidHub-ensemble +US,2,2.951028349509733,6.1048314447595295,9.728229393784162,9852,20380.9629289949,32477.6669812353,2.95,6.1,9.73,9852,20381,32478,wk inc covid hosp,2025-01-25,2025-01-11,2025-01-08,"January 25, 2025","January 08, 2025","January 11, 2025",CovidHub-ensemble +Alabama,0,2.842575428029975,4.597684750393645,6.751186083854194,144.896331263983,234.360589369513,344.132326475811,2.84,4.6,6.75,145,234,344,wk inc covid hosp,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,2025-01-08,"January 11, 2025","January 08, 2025","January 11, 2025",CovidHub-ensemble +Alabama,1,2.6303799437041833,4.991071388240699,7.504506146599858,134.079961402199,254.41292642634,382.531769559384,2.63,4.99,7.5,134,254,383,wk inc covid hosp,2025-01-18,2025-01-11,2025-01-08,"January 18, 2025","January 08, 2025","January 11, 2025",CovidHub-ensemble +Alabama,2,2.519711822579625,5.430296339150866,8.989723644785252,128.438807756563,276.801807776304,458.238667077062,2.52,5.43,8.99,128,277,458,wk inc covid hosp,2025-01-25,2025-01-11,2025-01-08,"January 25, 2025","January 08, 2025","January 11, 2025",CovidHub-ensemble +Alaska,0,0.2928587787225138,1.004270432463247,2.7179669522624073,2.08430814263379,7.1475031375885,19.3440697756163,0.29,1,2.72,2,7,19,wk inc covid hosp,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,2025-01-08,"January 11, 2025","January 08, 2025","January 11, 2025",CovidHub-ensemble +Alaska,1,0.24468704649135112,1.0915906830636466,3.365769414225648,1.74146462545406,7.76897096633911,23.9545511556795,0.24,1.09,3.37,2,8,24,wk inc covid hosp,2025-01-18,2025-01-11,2025-01-08,"January 18, 2025","January 08, 2025","January 11, 2025",CovidHub-ensemble +Alaska,2,0.21288500264495278,1.234289449829431,3.846792058136561,1.51512598117442,8.78457378627554,27.3780422248843,0.21,1.23,3.85,2,9,27,wk inc covid hosp,2025-01-25,2025-01-11,2025-01-08,"January 25, 2025","January 08, 2025","January 11, 2025",CovidHub-ensemble +Arizona,0,5.391934514320319,9.399433527399843,12.838124368229385,399.760505181585,696.878325460847,951.824446197736,5.39,9.4,12.84,400,697,952,wk inc covid hosp,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,2025-01-08,"January 11, 2025","January 08, 2025","January 11, 2025",CovidHub-ensemble +Arizona,1,4.20801053392334,9.064850601152825,13.720456580868126,311.983836669922,672.072193400747,1017.24096231559,4.21,9.06,13.72,312,672,1017,wk inc covid hosp,2025-01-18,2025-01-11,2025-01-08,"January 18, 2025","January 08, 2025","January 11, 2025",CovidHub-ensemble +Arizona,2,3.515893524446193,8.68739052752976,14.647471966511402,260.669963213462,644.087129910699,1085.97030943426,3.52,8.69,14.65,261,644,1086,wk inc covid hosp,2025-01-25,2025-01-11,2025-01-08,"January 25, 2025","January 08, 2025","January 11, 2025",CovidHub-ensemble +Arkansas,0,2.910155030341811,4.887128765365427,7.441292302505763,89.1664516924658,149.740452459893,227.999410238624,2.91,4.89,7.44,89,150,228,wk inc covid hosp,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,2025-01-08,"January 11, 2025","January 08, 2025","January 11, 2025",CovidHub-ensemble +Arkansas,1,2.45272120734369,5.137352568718913,8.682698215969904,75.1507891399209,157.407249740931,266.035789489746,2.45,5.14,8.68,75,157,266,wk inc covid hosp,2025-01-18,2025-01-11,2025-01-08,"January 18, 2025","January 08, 2025","January 11, 2025",CovidHub-ensemble +Arkansas,2,2.2773737562079535,5.589018659113485,11.09589634832355,69.7781853205102,171.246190350759,339.97560109751,2.28,5.59,11.1,70,171,340,wk inc covid hosp,2025-01-25,2025-01-11,2025-01-08,"January 25, 2025","January 08, 2025","January 11, 2025",CovidHub-ensemble +California,0,1.5773703426340555,2.518271036737972,3.870965969856071,612.464243225678,977.798886580617,1503.02575064344,1.58,2.52,3.87,612,978,1503,wk inc covid hosp,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,2025-01-08,"January 11, 2025","January 08, 2025","January 11, 2025",CovidHub-ensemble +California,1,1.3109163516613693,2.7043044382927217,4.7462806958178545,509.005,1050.03227617742,1842.89455426583,1.31,2.7,4.75,509,1050,1843,wk inc covid hosp,2025-01-18,2025-01-11,2025-01-08,"January 18, 2025","January 08, 2025","January 11, 2025",CovidHub-ensemble +California,2,1.1822340489123584,2.778338389523558,5.160823104557481,459.04,1078.77831424346,2003.85383934386,1.18,2.78,5.16,459,1079,2004,wk inc covid hosp,2025-01-25,2025-01-11,2025-01-08,"January 25, 2025","January 08, 2025","January 11, 2025",CovidHub-ensemble +Colorado,0,2.8612095662839105,4.263109836842345,6.60392067659119,167.189544992294,249.107021824881,385.888019561768,2.86,4.26,6.6,167,249,386,wk inc covid hosp,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,2025-01-08,"January 11, 2025","January 08, 2025","January 11, 2025",CovidHub-ensemble +Colorado,1,2.1530579292549077,4.377260733399745,7.461515437208011,125.81,255.777220569072,436,2.15,4.38,7.46,126,256,436,wk inc covid hosp,2025-01-18,2025-01-11,2025-01-08,"January 18, 2025","January 08, 2025","January 11, 2025",CovidHub-ensemble +Colorado,2,1.8504270142372903,4.586436094430612,8.18028527290236,108.12631629552,268,478,1.85,4.59,8.18,108,268,478,wk inc covid hosp,2025-01-25,2025-01-11,2025-01-08,"January 25, 2025","January 08, 2025","January 11, 2025",CovidHub-ensemble +Connecticut,0,3.652604500296872,6.750042274608174,10.321305049599538,131.943908989304,243.833397095817,372.838979419896,3.65,6.75,10.32,132,244,373,wk inc covid hosp,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,2025-01-08,"January 11, 2025","January 08, 2025","January 11, 2025",CovidHub-ensemble +Connecticut,1,3.5641716467130307,7.431199852022162,12.886036938222098,128.74942779541,268.439015742561,465.485404968262,3.56,7.43,12.89,129,268,465,wk inc covid hosp,2025-01-18,2025-01-11,2025-01-08,"January 18, 2025","January 08, 2025","January 11, 2025",CovidHub-ensemble +Connecticut,2,3.4843016312164137,8.435381895616063,14.437570022672412,125.864264056822,304.713324706994,521.531806945801,3.48,8.44,14.44,126,305,522,wk inc covid hosp,2025-01-25,2025-01-11,2025-01-08,"January 25, 2025","January 08, 2025","January 11, 2025",CovidHub-ensemble +Delaware,0,4.692285445832823,7.859747037864001,11.537507299208803,48.257434284832,80.8329396311493,118.656570818129,4.69,7.86,11.54,48,81,119,wk inc covid hosp,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,2025-01-08,"January 11, 2025","January 08, 2025","January 11, 2025",CovidHub-ensemble +Delaware,1,4.152930059605189,8.54034033951584,13.562736672906395,42.7104769636048,87.8324469945235,139.484880293572,4.15,8.54,13.56,43,88,139,wk inc covid hosp,2025-01-18,2025-01-11,2025-01-08,"January 18, 2025","January 08, 2025","January 11, 2025",CovidHub-ensemble +Delaware,2,4.225948907520172,9.5414535860485,14.509503372522222,43.4614334634786,98.1283160894289,149.221826674435,4.23,9.54,14.51,43,98,149,wk inc covid hosp,2025-01-25,2025-01-11,2025-01-08,"January 25, 2025","January 08, 2025","January 11, 2025",CovidHub-ensemble +District of Columbia,0,1.0100065131892868,2.9210671027530895,5.7879205838738255,6.82541191476543,19.7399580563138,39.1135518424967,1.01,2.92,5.79,7,20,39,wk inc covid hosp,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,2025-01-08,"January 11, 2025","January 08, 2025","January 11, 2025",CovidHub-ensemble +District of Columbia,1,0.907025114198149,3.015804341905312,7.397503761960462,6.12948524647711,20.3801724236843,49.9907769475388,0.91,3.02,7.4,6,20,50,wk inc covid hosp,2025-01-18,2025-01-11,2025-01-08,"January 18, 2025","January 08, 2025","January 11, 2025",CovidHub-ensemble +District of Columbia,2,0.9479621324613134,3.2137401535174814,8.245150956172772,6.40612901912574,21.7177810720389,55.7189986801148,0.95,3.21,8.25,6,22,56,wk inc covid hosp,2025-01-25,2025-01-11,2025-01-08,"January 25, 2025","January 08, 2025","January 11, 2025",CovidHub-ensemble +Florida,0,1.2369072964873429,2.6397408397805764,4.187208749522479,278.932391663684,595.282466117971,944.248735710615,1.24,2.64,4.19,279,595,944,wk inc covid hosp,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,2025-01-08,"January 11, 2025","January 08, 2025","January 11, 2025",CovidHub-ensemble +Florida,1,1.26277161352027,2.789956616911854,4.689626629116929,284.765,629.157313570029,1057.54794670877,1.26,2.79,4.69,285,629,1058,wk inc covid hosp,2025-01-18,2025-01-11,2025-01-08,"January 18, 2025","January 08, 2025","January 11, 2025",CovidHub-ensemble +Florida,2,1.1737484021186573,3.0565979631244033,5.412226763476866,264.689560765102,689.287048940421,1220.5,1.17,3.06,5.41,265,689,1220,wk inc covid hosp,2025-01-25,2025-01-11,2025-01-08,"January 25, 2025","January 08, 2025","January 11, 2025",CovidHub-ensemble +Georgia,0,1.5232811662242065,2.871577007104921,4.39733884184911,167.14,315.079967907168,482.492155961234,1.52,2.87,4.4,167,315,482,wk inc covid hosp,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,2025-01-08,"January 11, 2025","January 08, 2025","January 11, 2025",CovidHub-ensemble +Georgia,1,1.522005233692967,3.224368672199909,5.4341592356960815,167,353.789564146801,596.255894704969,1.52,3.22,5.43,167,354,596,wk inc covid hosp,2025-01-18,2025-01-11,2025-01-08,"January 18, 2025","January 08, 2025","January 11, 2025",CovidHub-ensemble +Georgia,2,1.4113945909210202,3.5133713628062204,6.880851471160005,154.863394334003,385.5,754.992276140575,1.41,3.51,6.88,155,386,755,wk inc covid hosp,2025-01-25,2025-01-11,2025-01-08,"January 25, 2025","January 08, 2025","January 11, 2025",CovidHub-ensemble +Hawaii,0,0.08147004766137854,0.43014298669782813,1.4294424585929808,1.13641347432142,6,19.9390784385447,0.08,0.43,1.43,1,6,20,wk inc covid hosp,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,2025-01-08,"January 11, 2025","January 08, 2025","January 11, 2025",CovidHub-ensemble +Hawaii,1,0,0.5248632714158228,1.8531993676898098,0,7.3212390434886,25.85,0,0.52,1.85,0,7,26,wk inc covid hosp,2025-01-18,2025-01-11,2025-01-08,"January 18, 2025","January 08, 2025","January 11, 2025",CovidHub-ensemble +Hawaii,2,0,0.6943947869517144,2.1306415941099086,0,9.68600872397142,29.72,0,0.69,2.13,0,10,30,wk inc covid hosp,2025-01-25,2025-01-11,2025-01-08,"January 25, 2025","January 08, 2025","January 11, 2025",CovidHub-ensemble +Idaho,0,1.1339368271875534,2.2308970920587066,4.105373845121122,22.2388484303802,43.7525099322518,80.5148792266846,1.13,2.23,4.11,22,44,81,wk inc covid hosp,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,2025-01-08,"January 11, 2025","January 08, 2025","January 11, 2025",CovidHub-ensemble +Idaho,1,0.9929977442440497,2.34917652613977,4.449261974357052,19.4747412699564,46.07221447301,87.2592372894287,0.99,2.35,4.45,19,46,87,wk inc covid hosp,2025-01-18,2025-01-11,2025-01-08,"January 18, 2025","January 08, 2025","January 11, 2025",CovidHub-ensemble +Idaho,2,0.8412388067357398,2.2342785353198873,5.230856362565399,16.4984343644178,43.8188270341911,102.587921142578,0.84,2.23,5.23,16,44,103,wk inc covid hosp,2025-01-25,2025-01-11,2025-01-08,"January 25, 2025","January 08, 2025","January 11, 2025",CovidHub-ensemble +Illinois,0,6.4895631229918385,8.959077013273454,11.67143323094162,813.326173529783,1122.82625000572,1462.76135225475,6.49,8.96,11.67,813,1123,1463,wk inc covid hosp,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,2025-01-08,"January 11, 2025","January 08, 2025","January 11, 2025",CovidHub-ensemble +Illinois,1,5.741439871488859,9.396832422013887,14.06769294774438,719.565128303512,1177.68940870918,1763.08060477051,5.74,9.4,14.07,720,1178,1763,wk inc covid hosp,2025-01-18,2025-01-11,2025-01-08,"January 18, 2025","January 08, 2025","January 11, 2025",CovidHub-ensemble +Illinois,2,5.347332240220153,10.256585813262507,15.548381528397728,670.172273095273,1285.44087404374,1948.65284664075,5.35,10.26,15.55,670,1285,1949,wk inc covid hosp,2025-01-25,2025-01-11,2025-01-08,"January 25, 2025","January 08, 2025","January 11, 2025",CovidHub-ensemble +Indiana,0,6.648510459517907,9.505973274995519,13.288712040011207,456.162945691121,652.2171841627,911.755808390821,6.65,9.51,13.29,456,652,912,wk inc covid hosp,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,2025-01-08,"January 11, 2025","January 08, 2025","January 11, 2025",CovidHub-ensemble +Indiana,1,6.65028813986906,10.601017792679981,14.589800846061364,456.284914650998,727.349612078904,1001.02520278937,6.65,10.6,14.59,456,727,1001,wk inc covid hosp,2025-01-18,2025-01-11,2025-01-08,"January 18, 2025","January 08, 2025","January 11, 2025",CovidHub-ensemble +Indiana,2,5.954522487968629,10.76567870281783,15.357625536666701,408.547528778762,738.647211182645,1053.7066529839,5.95,10.77,15.36,409,739,1054,wk inc covid hosp,2025-01-25,2025-01-11,2025-01-08,"January 25, 2025","January 08, 2025","January 11, 2025",CovidHub-ensemble +Iowa,0,2.852660700636409,5.213133067281347,7.6091614964458305,91.4766130065918,167.170163644479,244.003894805908,2.85,5.21,7.61,91,167,244,wk inc covid hosp,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,2025-01-08,"January 11, 2025","January 08, 2025","January 11, 2025",CovidHub-ensemble +Iowa,1,2.871151938586792,5.720515430321962,9.203034884055787,92.0695737528953,183.440454765986,295.114823991203,2.87,5.72,9.2,92,183,295,wk inc covid hosp,2025-01-18,2025-01-11,2025-01-08,"January 18, 2025","January 08, 2025","January 11, 2025",CovidHub-ensemble +Iowa,2,2.76025274471995,5.9978639845977435,10.225149569275164,88.513355995264,192.334224137774,327.891098255895,2.76,6,10.23,89,192,328,wk inc covid hosp,2025-01-25,2025-01-11,2025-01-08,"January 25, 2025","January 08, 2025","January 11, 2025",CovidHub-ensemble +Kansas,0,4.426520975178854,7.556723111715548,10.853229741838273,129.259325913505,220.664702824748,316.926355546691,4.43,7.56,10.85,129,221,317,wk inc covid hosp,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,2025-01-08,"January 11, 2025","January 08, 2025","January 11, 2025",CovidHub-ensemble +Kansas,1,4.191557260184322,8.309975195549724,12.819257374291183,122.398124625941,242.660499782519,374.336544704988,4.19,8.31,12.82,122,243,374,wk inc covid hosp,2025-01-18,2025-01-11,2025-01-08,"January 18, 2025","January 08, 2025","January 11, 2025",CovidHub-ensemble +Kansas,2,3.846245294251657,9.22910122252202,13.851147652308969,112.314631924425,269.5,404.468886221316,3.85,9.23,13.85,112,270,404,wk inc covid hosp,2025-01-25,2025-01-11,2025-01-08,"January 25, 2025","January 08, 2025","January 11, 2025",CovidHub-ensemble +Kentucky,0,6.641991104561307,9.628308804819877,13.117502464854049,299.514611068198,434.179920075428,591.521967900375,6.64,9.63,13.12,300,434,592,wk inc covid hosp,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,2025-01-08,"January 11, 2025","January 08, 2025","January 11, 2025",CovidHub-ensemble +Kentucky,1,5.8858425323846575,9.966036681061048,15.2034893305534,265.416771739607,449.409454699435,685.587668220908,5.89,9.97,15.2,265,449,686,wk inc covid hosp,2025-01-18,2025-01-11,2025-01-08,"January 18, 2025","January 08, 2025","January 11, 2025",CovidHub-ensemble +Kentucky,2,5.47725489574064,11.048083044677043,17.66397756925642,246.991879994018,498.203361624971,796.541170905806,5.48,11.05,17.66,247,498,797,wk inc covid hosp,2025-01-25,2025-01-11,2025-01-08,"January 25, 2025","January 08, 2025","January 11, 2025",CovidHub-ensemble +Louisiana,0,2.226931939600584,3.950093445230238,6.032466199482326,101.527029669638,180.086893218507,275.023391566147,2.23,3.95,6.03,102,180,275,wk inc covid hosp,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,2025-01-08,"January 11, 2025","January 08, 2025","January 11, 2025",CovidHub-ensemble +Louisiana,1,2.028929685851495,4.2572173257557155,7.4513349405884215,92.5,194.088836778559,339.710383662294,2.03,4.26,7.45,92,194,340,wk inc covid hosp,2025-01-18,2025-01-11,2025-01-08,"January 18, 2025","January 08, 2025","January 11, 2025",CovidHub-ensemble +Louisiana,2,1.7594068616858036,4.2949049848161485,8.938257805237665,80.2123089039611,195.80703750646,407.5,1.76,4.29,8.94,80,196,408,wk inc covid hosp,2025-01-25,2025-01-11,2025-01-08,"January 25, 2025","January 08, 2025","January 11, 2025",CovidHub-ensemble +Maine,0,3.4993309456019617,5.960539913422565,9.440927312979467,48.817941256262,83.1534061431885,131.707072618817,3.5,5.96,9.44,49,83,132,wk inc covid hosp,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,2025-01-08,"January 11, 2025","January 08, 2025","January 11, 2025",CovidHub-ensemble +Maine,1,3.61990301527169,7.081118882014595,10.715649739822878,50.5,98.7862111313769,149.49027904286,3.62,7.08,10.72,50,99,149,wk inc covid hosp,2025-01-18,2025-01-11,2025-01-08,"January 18, 2025","January 08, 2025","January 11, 2025",CovidHub-ensemble +Maine,2,3.5634847836118455,7.795631633625386,11.459961506617972,49.7129289964946,108.754128449636,159.8739119923,3.56,7.8,11.46,50,109,160,wk inc covid hosp,2025-01-25,2025-01-11,2025-01-08,"January 25, 2025","January 08, 2025","January 11, 2025",CovidHub-ensemble +Maryland,0,2.893880474628349,4.495191845174213,6.732255888419925,177.949745736923,276.417168193573,413.978128704187,2.89,4.5,6.73,178,276,414,wk inc covid hosp,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,2025-01-08,"January 11, 2025","January 08, 2025","January 11, 2025",CovidHub-ensemble +Maryland,1,2.8271533461886587,4.9853602423851235,8.189907339685362,173.846578503963,306.558475831083,503.611652756024,2.83,4.99,8.19,174,307,504,wk inc covid hosp,2025-01-18,2025-01-11,2025-01-08,"January 18, 2025","January 08, 2025","January 11, 2025",CovidHub-ensemble +Maryland,2,2.768702788789909,5.869604485566598,10.106477388779567,170.252352025544,360.932192929295,621.464879906712,2.77,5.87,10.11,170,361,621,wk inc covid hosp,2025-01-25,2025-01-11,2025-01-08,"January 25, 2025","January 08, 2025","January 11, 2025",CovidHub-ensemble +Massachusetts,0,3.528242402831324,7.273771523213094,11.046028652215586,246.907567670129,509.020931539055,773.004730271502,3.53,7.27,11.05,247,509,773,wk inc covid hosp,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,2025-01-08,"January 11, 2025","January 08, 2025","January 11, 2025",CovidHub-ensemble +Massachusetts,1,2.772207561753424,7.434556979861226,12.656955432719894,194,520.272750854492,885.737917977031,2.77,7.43,12.66,194,520,886,wk inc covid hosp,2025-01-18,2025-01-11,2025-01-08,"January 18, 2025","January 08, 2025","January 11, 2025",CovidHub-ensemble +Massachusetts,2,2.5625070430644867,7.226358954481038,13.363345991554757,179.325088500977,505.702984333038,935.171362393179,2.56,7.23,13.36,179,506,935,wk inc covid hosp,2025-01-25,2025-01-11,2025-01-08,"January 25, 2025","January 08, 2025","January 11, 2025",CovidHub-ensemble +Michigan,0,4.080830106567858,8.655418197711661,12.44569443193132,409.525869757565,868.602115983331,1248.96986737343,4.08,8.66,12.45,410,869,1249,wk inc covid hosp,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,2025-01-08,"January 11, 2025","January 08, 2025","January 11, 2025",CovidHub-ensemble +Michigan,1,4.089450976856668,8.844746362332291,13.498967582556254,410.391004867554,887.601873204559,1354.66958822379,4.09,8.84,13.5,410,888,1355,wk inc covid hosp,2025-01-18,2025-01-11,2025-01-08,"January 18, 2025","January 08, 2025","January 11, 2025",CovidHub-ensemble +Michigan,2,3.638072766766135,8.688357009037915,14.130141728339112,365.093590064759,871.907643291477,1418.0101670448,3.64,8.69,14.13,365,872,1418,wk inc covid hosp,2025-01-25,2025-01-11,2025-01-08,"January 25, 2025","January 08, 2025","January 11, 2025",CovidHub-ensemble +Minnesota,0,8.129628219193565,10.989098952659951,14.799747838404944,466.421403708639,630.477903883928,849.106376725242,8.13,10.99,14.8,466,630,849,wk inc covid hosp,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,2025-01-08,"January 11, 2025","January 08, 2025","January 11, 2025",CovidHub-ensemble +Minnesota,1,7.629282402447509,10.586040128118752,15.664356389403068,437.715048154093,607.353197851761,898.711589059914,7.63,10.59,15.66,438,607,899,wk inc covid hosp,2025-01-18,2025-01-11,2025-01-08,"January 18, 2025","January 08, 2025","January 11, 2025",CovidHub-ensemble +Minnesota,2,6.443034971274219,10.873923784508836,16.311480169721715,369.656438697965,623.869955506339,935.839041121849,6.44,10.87,16.31,370,624,936,wk inc covid hosp,2025-01-25,2025-01-11,2025-01-08,"January 25, 2025","January 08, 2025","January 11, 2025",CovidHub-ensemble +Mississippi,0,2.0979760122772713,4.216347328055916,6.62069577004963,61.4092054828042,123.415395571853,193.792333469434,2.1,4.22,6.62,61,123,194,wk inc covid hosp,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,2025-01-08,"January 11, 2025","January 08, 2025","January 11, 2025",CovidHub-ensemble +Mississippi,1,1.967649947804254,4.757459036405291,7.629450339232283,57.5944716506945,139.254108642318,223.319275750063,1.97,4.76,7.63,58,139,223,wk inc covid hosp,2025-01-18,2025-01-11,2025-01-08,"January 18, 2025","January 08, 2025","January 11, 2025",CovidHub-ensemble +Mississippi,2,1.8878127779895248,5.077131517767979,9.11115668836587,55.2575826025702,148.611142745816,266.689842966584,1.89,5.08,9.11,55,149,267,wk inc covid hosp,2025-01-25,2025-01-11,2025-01-08,"January 25, 2025","January 08, 2025","January 11, 2025",CovidHub-ensemble +Missouri,0,4.199548084452735,7.2435998754650806,10.479400326568422,259.590949283323,447.756027573996,647.773861374507,4.2,7.24,10.48,260,448,648,wk inc covid hosp,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,2025-01-08,"January 11, 2025","January 08, 2025","January 11, 2025",CovidHub-ensemble +Missouri,1,3.9556223140632496,7.781578063904031,12.136841109834615,244.512916833952,481.010622073725,750.226939100139,3.96,7.78,12.14,245,481,750,wk inc covid hosp,2025-01-18,2025-01-11,2025-01-08,"January 18, 2025","January 08, 2025","January 11, 2025",CovidHub-ensemble +Missouri,2,4.003483384479573,8.105920244956678,13.525197955262154,247.471401997888,501.059516140157,836.046856910534,4,8.11,13.53,247,501,836,wk inc covid hosp,2025-01-25,2025-01-11,2025-01-08,"January 25, 2025","January 08, 2025","January 11, 2025",CovidHub-ensemble +Montana,0,1.3375124398834775,2.894689778146088,5.395488797961809,15.1069622562447,32.695,60.941074784995,1.34,2.89,5.4,15,33,61,wk inc covid hosp,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,2025-01-08,"January 11, 2025","January 08, 2025","January 11, 2025",CovidHub-ensemble +Montana,1,1.184826964804999,3.1071929680903456,6.004732811255133,13.3824072986188,35.0951852798462,67.8223762512207,1.18,3.11,6,13,35,68,wk inc covid hosp,2025-01-18,2025-01-11,2025-01-08,"January 18, 2025","January 08, 2025","January 11, 2025",CovidHub-ensemble +Montana,2,0.9586436021801409,3.3048354778495366,6.483958865287299,10.8277069307763,37.3275218519245,73.2351482708243,0.96,3.3,6.48,11,37,73,wk inc covid hosp,2025-01-25,2025-01-11,2025-01-08,"January 25, 2025","January 08, 2025","January 11, 2025",CovidHub-ensemble +Nebraska,0,2.964056969669124,4.961993856376157,7.773158296523937,58.4486839934509,97.8463011529599,153.2800744229,2.96,4.96,7.77,58,98,153,wk inc covid hosp,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,2025-01-08,"January 11, 2025","January 08, 2025","January 11, 2025",CovidHub-ensemble +Nebraska,1,2.4766109951752027,5.158891989890386,8.253578309035277,48.8366637055091,101.728964982447,162.753548712613,2.48,5.16,8.25,49,102,163,wk inc covid hosp,2025-01-18,2025-01-11,2025-01-08,"January 18, 2025","January 08, 2025","January 11, 2025",CovidHub-ensemble +Nebraska,2,2.027448588074785,5.5612233760040874,9.908558601466494,39.9795628255349,109.662597934931,195.388353346108,2.03,5.56,9.91,40,110,195,wk inc covid hosp,2025-01-25,2025-01-11,2025-01-08,"January 25, 2025","January 08, 2025","January 11, 2025",CovidHub-ensemble +Nevada,0,0.7412894869035573,1.7793090380591257,3.0512547400952816,23.5881650535403,56.6184142801085,97.0922988944649,0.74,1.78,3.05,24,57,97,wk inc covid hosp,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,2025-01-08,"January 11, 2025","January 08, 2025","January 11, 2025",CovidHub-ensemble +Nevada,1,0.6415422724024457,1.730520782580036,3.3629537564185297,20.4141638018684,55.0659500360489,107.010701858428,0.64,1.73,3.36,20,55,107,wk inc covid hosp,2025-01-18,2025-01-11,2025-01-08,"January 18, 2025","January 08, 2025","January 11, 2025",CovidHub-ensemble +Nevada,2,0.5483269217754746,1.8465708758243238,3.779164268778223,17.4480093980104,58.7587162256241,120.254707656444,0.55,1.85,3.78,17,59,120,wk inc covid hosp,2025-01-25,2025-01-11,2025-01-08,"January 25, 2025","January 08, 2025","January 11, 2025",CovidHub-ensemble +New Hampshire,0,8.295325047551527,13.147689637120616,19.76491588750124,116.259561214188,184.26579060252,277.006679707442,8.3,13.15,19.76,116,184,277,wk inc covid hosp,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,2025-01-08,"January 11, 2025","January 08, 2025","January 11, 2025",CovidHub-ensemble +New Hampshire,1,7.444294704638007,14.545622843228397,21.308000733875392,104.332311386131,203.857922341445,298.633121845315,7.44,14.55,21.31,104,204,299,wk inc covid hosp,2025-01-18,2025-01-11,2025-01-08,"January 18, 2025","January 08, 2025","January 11, 2025",CovidHub-ensemble +New Hampshire,2,6.936171511151296,15.309418305520486,22.732860652075374,97.2109292607912,214.562569211151,318.602633339082,6.94,15.31,22.73,97,215,319,wk inc covid hosp,2025-01-25,2025-01-11,2025-01-08,"January 25, 2025","January 08, 2025","January 11, 2025",CovidHub-ensemble +New Jersey,0,4.719491416787801,7.334348468611919,11.351223127387456,438.132711414813,680.882259809501,1053.78773420077,4.72,7.33,11.35,438,681,1054,wk inc covid hosp,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,2025-01-08,"January 11, 2025","January 08, 2025","January 11, 2025",CovidHub-ensemble +New Jersey,1,3.983713222620187,7.972799811760954,13.915493758039368,369.826941419375,740.152717868879,1291.84110584427,3.98,7.97,13.92,370,740,1292,wk inc covid hosp,2025-01-18,2025-01-11,2025-01-08,"January 18, 2025","January 08, 2025","January 11, 2025",CovidHub-ensemble +New Jersey,2,3.9082297392715093,8.915269709885063,16.27705062902375,362.819452623241,827.646656394358,1511.07560034175,3.91,8.92,16.28,363,828,1511,wk inc covid hosp,2025-01-25,2025-01-11,2025-01-08,"January 25, 2025","January 08, 2025","January 11, 2025",CovidHub-ensemble +New Mexico,0,3.7278549693737384,6.785235381832431,10.271981933218274,78.3206672074551,142.554945573439,215.810026184504,3.73,6.79,10.27,78,143,216,wk inc covid hosp,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,2025-01-08,"January 11, 2025","January 08, 2025","January 11, 2025",CovidHub-ensemble +New Mexico,1,3.0675047371008937,6.8409911367911205,10.588289565495598,64.4469861745002,143.726350567704,222.455516689445,3.07,6.84,10.59,64,144,222,wk inc covid hosp,2025-01-18,2025-01-11,2025-01-08,"January 18, 2025","January 08, 2025","January 11, 2025",CovidHub-ensemble +New Mexico,2,2.763432099033655,6.773763558213254,10.928207947140923,58.0585477592155,142.313927377366,229.597059122093,2.76,6.77,10.93,58,142,230,wk inc covid hosp,2025-01-25,2025-01-11,2025-01-08,"January 25, 2025","January 08, 2025","January 11, 2025",CovidHub-ensemble +New York,0,3.2941679095754606,5.335378624520686,7.646011389293048,644.07294257915,1043.16874694824,1494.94172418501,3.29,5.34,7.65,644,1043,1495,wk inc covid hosp,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,2025-01-08,"January 11, 2025","January 08, 2025","January 11, 2025",CovidHub-ensemble +New York,1,3.342270061670043,5.9719572568161094,9.170157220231408,653.477834950875,1167.63206640859,1792.94143676758,3.34,5.97,9.17,653,1168,1793,wk inc covid hosp,2025-01-18,2025-01-11,2025-01-08,"January 18, 2025","January 08, 2025","January 11, 2025",CovidHub-ensemble +New York,2,3.180555394723862,6.6812725513411575,11.102136588157805,621.859519109878,1306.31679696928,2170.68041992188,3.18,6.68,11.1,622,1306,2171,wk inc covid hosp,2025-01-25,2025-01-11,2025-01-08,"January 25, 2025","January 08, 2025","January 11, 2025",CovidHub-ensemble +North Carolina,0,2.8722053937419756,4.570957183788651,6.604914069317173,308.354226661351,490.728821337182,709.090364653753,2.87,4.57,6.6,308,491,709,wk inc covid hosp,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,2025-01-08,"January 11, 2025","January 08, 2025","January 11, 2025",CovidHub-ensemble +North Carolina,1,2.6339468289535573,4.798404279606504,7.71498407802977,282.775263662796,515.147086649995,828.26526064912,2.63,4.8,7.71,283,515,828,wk inc covid hosp,2025-01-18,2025-01-11,2025-01-08,"January 18, 2025","January 08, 2025","January 11, 2025",CovidHub-ensemble +North Carolina,2,2.4769956010441607,5.322426835871226,9.137923089546453,265.925293736899,571.405100245463,981.029147047528,2.48,5.32,9.14,266,571,981,wk inc covid hosp,2025-01-25,2025-01-11,2025-01-08,"January 25, 2025","January 08, 2025","January 11, 2025",CovidHub-ensemble +North Dakota,0,2.613841899513084,4.9589215995204095,8.487969776068839,20.302363493993,38.5171837938749,65.9281832431707,2.61,4.96,8.49,20,39,66,wk inc covid hosp,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,2025-01-08,"January 11, 2025","January 08, 2025","January 11, 2025",CovidHub-ensemble +North Dakota,1,2.269166964223876,5.407319192764493,9.605846078281205,17.6251871028679,42,74.6110079515297,2.27,5.41,9.61,18,42,75,wk inc covid hosp,2025-01-18,2025-01-11,2025-01-08,"January 18, 2025","January 08, 2025","January 11, 2025",CovidHub-ensemble +North Dakota,2,2.0179246571399143,6.308539058225241,11.044892759115042,15.67372529317,49,85.7884432832363,2.02,6.31,11.04,16,49,86,wk inc covid hosp,2025-01-25,2025-01-11,2025-01-08,"January 25, 2025","January 08, 2025","January 11, 2025",CovidHub-ensemble +Ohio,0,8.431667751262903,11.24432667804324,15.527214347101735,993.200798575715,1324.51545358936,1829.01439479608,8.43,11.24,15.53,993,1325,1829,wk inc covid hosp,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,2025-01-08,"January 11, 2025","January 08, 2025","January 11, 2025",CovidHub-ensemble +Ohio,1,7.642302104216976,11.624101670706711,16.92828886248472,900.218174717366,1369.25071085041,1994.0527203793,7.64,11.62,16.93,900,1369,1994,wk inc covid hosp,2025-01-18,2025-01-11,2025-01-08,"January 18, 2025","January 08, 2025","January 11, 2025",CovidHub-ensemble +Ohio,2,6.438639190550299,12.497344745714113,17.83273702160787,758.433773061993,1472.11360168457,2100.59138632435,6.44,12.5,17.83,758,1472,2101,wk inc covid hosp,2025-01-25,2025-01-11,2025-01-08,"January 25, 2025","January 08, 2025","January 11, 2025",CovidHub-ensemble +Oklahoma,0,4.723856916938716,6.8385161822549625,9.330240205577367,190.630726258801,275.967568298119,376.520817169652,4.72,6.84,9.33,191,276,377,wk inc covid hosp,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,2025-01-08,"January 11, 2025","January 08, 2025","January 11, 2025",CovidHub-ensemble +Oklahoma,1,4.329514884738999,7.453439107889699,10.559881597878968,174.717096927005,300.782715320587,426.14286029543,4.33,7.45,10.56,175,301,426,wk inc covid hosp,2025-01-18,2025-01-11,2025-01-08,"January 18, 2025","January 08, 2025","January 11, 2025",CovidHub-ensemble +Oklahoma,2,3.7082206355441683,7.779492336117333,11.966650238328837,149.644835843115,313.940557479858,482.912854036234,3.71,7.78,11.97,150,314,483,wk inc covid hosp,2025-01-25,2025-01-11,2025-01-08,"January 25, 2025","January 08, 2025","January 11, 2025",CovidHub-ensemble +Oregon,0,1.3950945220271724,2.8434421742469587,4.587043492025476,59.0395491645315,120.332738314405,194.120882485988,1.4,2.84,4.59,59,120,194,wk inc covid hosp,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,2025-01-08,"January 11, 2025","January 08, 2025","January 11, 2025",CovidHub-ensemble +Oregon,1,1.444324227486391,3.0450022296301764,5.444771461219526,61.1229202694453,128.862636906589,230.419406928219,1.44,3.05,5.44,61,129,230,wk inc covid hosp,2025-01-18,2025-01-11,2025-01-08,"January 18, 2025","January 08, 2025","January 11, 2025",CovidHub-ensemble +Oregon,2,1.5086264972932786,3.342461071645503,6.06504316101475,63.8441531032882,141.450913650784,256.668926897816,1.51,3.34,6.07,64,141,257,wk inc covid hosp,2025-01-25,2025-01-11,2025-01-08,"January 25, 2025","January 08, 2025","January 11, 2025",CovidHub-ensemble +Pennsylvania,0,6.473452625475627,10.066341675277915,13.995523237269044,838.89103586739,1304.49147988451,1813.67187886945,6.47,10.07,14,839,1304,1814,wk inc covid hosp,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,2025-01-08,"January 11, 2025","January 08, 2025","January 11, 2025",CovidHub-ensemble +Pennsylvania,1,4.683869664370003,10.365530861484382,15.232790879891285,606.98,1343.26323598717,1974.00868743431,4.68,10.37,15.23,607,1343,1974,wk inc covid hosp,2025-01-18,2025-01-11,2025-01-08,"January 18, 2025","January 08, 2025","January 11, 2025",CovidHub-ensemble +Pennsylvania,2,4.283219703952706,10.087831145982816,15.550531593864022,555.06,1307.27628814416,2015.18452544583,4.28,10.09,15.55,555,1307,2015,wk inc covid hosp,2025-01-25,2025-01-11,2025-01-08,"January 25, 2025","January 08, 2025","January 11, 2025",CovidHub-ensemble +Puerto Rico,0,1.7189302595484945,4.18045031842064,8.140558578165747,56.4818824766365,137.364330095901,267.488497774718,1.72,4.18,8.14,56,137,267,wk inc covid hosp,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,2025-01-08,"January 11, 2025","January 08, 2025","January 11, 2025",CovidHub-ensemble +Puerto Rico,1,1.1017010600957857,4.163477250957249,8.714276821238032,36.2005086914118,136.806616485119,286.340156357087,1.1,4.16,8.71,36,137,286,wk inc covid hosp,2025-01-18,2025-01-11,2025-01-08,"January 18, 2025","January 08, 2025","January 11, 2025",CovidHub-ensemble +Puerto Rico,2,1.160282769715485,4.338441297725932,9.386002238619344,38.125429856561,142.555714607239,308.412207198211,1.16,4.34,9.39,38,143,308,wk inc covid hosp,2025-01-25,2025-01-11,2025-01-08,"January 25, 2025","January 08, 2025","January 11, 2025",CovidHub-ensemble +Rhode Island,0,3.697050585866128,6.937868036678366,10.477846063708048,40.3866545410133,75.7894091900352,114.460199956868,3.7,6.94,10.48,40,76,114,wk inc covid hosp,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,2025-01-08,"January 11, 2025","January 08, 2025","January 11, 2025",CovidHub-ensemble +Rhode Island,1,3.7531970831250767,7.246804468059267,11.317946474907314,41,79.1642369451688,123.637473650817,3.75,7.25,11.32,41,79,124,wk inc covid hosp,2025-01-18,2025-01-11,2025-01-08,"January 18, 2025","January 08, 2025","January 11, 2025",CovidHub-ensemble +Rhode Island,2,3.6041625772781725,7.826789039199855,12.108473502504388,39.3719440774383,85.5,132.273206710828,3.6,7.83,12.11,39,86,132,wk inc covid hosp,2025-01-25,2025-01-11,2025-01-08,"January 25, 2025","January 08, 2025","January 11, 2025",CovidHub-ensemble +South Carolina,0,2.4219072244468753,4.394904226423474,6.588364430190163,129.216597403648,234.482379969386,351.510588651399,2.42,4.39,6.59,129,234,352,wk inc covid hosp,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,2025-01-08,"January 11, 2025","January 08, 2025","January 11, 2025",CovidHub-ensemble +South Carolina,1,2.4606536359205364,4.7857126717347445,7.7733844968842005,131.283843994141,255.333276746105,414.735248674542,2.46,4.79,7.77,131,255,415,wk inc covid hosp,2025-01-18,2025-01-11,2025-01-08,"January 18, 2025","January 08, 2025","January 11, 2025",CovidHub-ensemble +South Carolina,2,2.3598365976829525,5.276155674894346,9.644756462415291,125.904928356962,281.5,514.579006280794,2.36,5.28,9.64,126,282,515,wk inc covid hosp,2025-01-25,2025-01-11,2025-01-08,"January 25, 2025","January 08, 2025","January 11, 2025",CovidHub-ensemble +South Dakota,0,0.4968120694084962,1.5995614252024553,3.6200445918952493,4.55082836450599,14.65207862854,33.159825664436,0.5,1.6,3.62,5,15,33,wk inc covid hosp,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,2025-01-08,"January 11, 2025","January 08, 2025","January 11, 2025",CovidHub-ensemble +South Dakota,1,0.5014758029056687,1.8723766043977224,4.168480263517182,4.5935484431641,17.1510820388794,38.1835293226332,0.5,1.87,4.17,5,17,38,wk inc covid hosp,2025-01-18,2025-01-11,2025-01-08,"January 18, 2025","January 08, 2025","January 11, 2025",CovidHub-ensemble +South Dakota,2,0.5677105904165486,1.9233097411178421,5.149129557794828,5.20026307085101,17.6176326272239,47.1663356971741,0.57,1.92,5.15,5,18,47,wk inc covid hosp,2025-01-25,2025-01-11,2025-01-08,"January 25, 2025","January 08, 2025","January 11, 2025",CovidHub-ensemble +Tennessee,0,2.942784315159649,4.701634110234117,6.894798184332289,209.138001704668,334.136062060506,490,2.94,4.7,6.89,209,334,490,wk inc covid hosp,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,2025-01-08,"January 11, 2025","January 08, 2025","January 11, 2025",CovidHub-ensemble +Tennessee,1,2.670296999719916,4.9319241888594,8.206009062022227,189.772854096885,350.502333488553,583.18522644043,2.67,4.93,8.21,190,351,583,wk inc covid hosp,2025-01-18,2025-01-11,2025-01-08,"January 18, 2025","January 08, 2025","January 11, 2025",CovidHub-ensemble +Tennessee,2,2.4363575573656635,5.383910127314882,9.94862262719812,173.147229431892,382.624101801723,707.0294092733,2.44,5.38,9.95,173,383,707,wk inc covid hosp,2025-01-25,2025-01-11,2025-01-08,"January 25, 2025","January 08, 2025","January 11, 2025",CovidHub-ensemble +Texas,0,1.2859679970928344,2.470783721812379,3.9333499667521896,390.82,750.898697589443,1195.38887241462,1.29,2.47,3.93,391,751,1195,wk inc covid hosp,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,2025-01-08,"January 11, 2025","January 08, 2025","January 11, 2025",CovidHub-ensemble +Texas,1,1.1029302512960137,2.645214442047847,4.943284107142832,335.192790011858,803.910136627225,1502.31910834566,1.1,2.65,4.94,335,804,1502,wk inc covid hosp,2025-01-18,2025-01-11,2025-01-08,"January 18, 2025","January 08, 2025","January 11, 2025",CovidHub-ensemble +Texas,2,0.9504731920148206,3.009055756184347,6.278459608276781,288.859391324663,914.485565185547,1908.09381699535,0.95,3.01,6.28,289,914,1908,wk inc covid hosp,2025-01-25,2025-01-11,2025-01-08,"January 25, 2025","January 08, 2025","January 11, 2025",CovidHub-ensemble +Utah,0,1.4455246343228576,2.82482725093459,4.351129075025057,49.3399911566177,96.4196308182428,148.516784138795,1.45,2.82,4.35,49,96,149,wk inc covid hosp,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,2025-01-08,"January 11, 2025","January 08, 2025","January 11, 2025",CovidHub-ensemble +Utah,1,1.3705807891979593,2.929242550614726,5.112436505359839,46.7819381370387,99.9836309331539,174.502437366892,1.37,2.93,5.11,47,100,175,wk inc covid hosp,2025-01-18,2025-01-11,2025-01-08,"January 18, 2025","January 08, 2025","January 11, 2025",CovidHub-ensemble +Utah,2,1.2020343607802964,3.032412205852354,6.113497671932735,41.0289546941086,103.505113553504,208.671588091243,1.2,3.03,6.11,41,104,209,wk inc covid hosp,2025-01-25,2025-01-11,2025-01-08,"January 25, 2025","January 08, 2025","January 11, 2025",CovidHub-ensemble +Vermont,0,3.022796635386373,5.639421035808842,8.564976020591876,19.5670160403513,36.504818277946,55.4423745276943,3.02,5.64,8.56,20,37,55,wk inc covid hosp,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,2025-01-08,"January 11, 2025","January 08, 2025","January 11, 2025",CovidHub-ensemble +Vermont,1,2.5839431761649734,5.9974214768781655,9.792729140709145,16.7262517707923,38.8222088330539,63.3898046371814,2.58,6,9.79,17,39,63,wk inc covid hosp,2025-01-18,2025-01-11,2025-01-08,"January 18, 2025","January 08, 2025","January 11, 2025",CovidHub-ensemble +Vermont,2,2.5389493523246025,6.287622325884862,10.61598058786841,16.435,40.7007224588016,68.7188347423604,2.54,6.29,10.62,16,41,69,wk inc covid hosp,2025-01-25,2025-01-11,2025-01-08,"January 25, 2025","January 08, 2025","January 11, 2025",CovidHub-ensemble +Virginia,0,3.3192634280847444,4.996666312503812,7.626235150940044,285.987073111096,430.511770152066,657.074895357964,3.32,5,7.63,286,431,657,wk inc covid hosp,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,2025-01-08,"January 11, 2025","January 08, 2025","January 11, 2025",CovidHub-ensemble +Virginia,1,2.9166116315299826,5.552194788667603,9.180922997242472,251.294674850297,478.375992552643,791.026489257812,2.92,5.55,9.18,251,478,791,wk inc covid hosp,2025-01-18,2025-01-11,2025-01-08,"January 18, 2025","January 08, 2025","January 11, 2025",CovidHub-ensemble +Virginia,2,2.65034179029747,5.8151730040690905,10.07294617275256,228.352918583672,501.034142995992,867.88302765512606,2.65,5.82,10.07,228,501,868,wk inc covid hosp,2025-01-25,2025-01-11,2025-01-08,"January 25, 2025","January 08, 2025","January 11, 2025",CovidHub-ensemble +Washington,0,1.0497056895722752,2.012830112946516,3.3809539081315614,81.5,156.277760361559,262.5,1.05,2.01,3.38,82,156,262,wk inc covid hosp,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,2025-01-08,"January 11, 2025","January 08, 2025","January 11, 2025",CovidHub-ensemble +Washington,1,1.0561456017782402,2.1766743691256054,4.01099295121545,82,168.998761125151,311.416741636658,1.06,2.18,4.01,82,169,311,wk inc covid hosp,2025-01-18,2025-01-11,2025-01-08,"January 18, 2025","January 08, 2025","January 11, 2025",CovidHub-ensemble +Washington,2,1.0320894850358657,2.3504185618632265,4.977049141682318,80.1322636106675,182.488400982096,386.42212677002,1.03,2.35,4.98,80,182,386,wk inc covid hosp,2025-01-25,2025-01-11,2025-01-08,"January 25, 2025","January 08, 2025","January 11, 2025",CovidHub-ensemble +West Virginia,0,4.811905433190142,9.345839895806328,13.694613741787668,85.165,165.410244606296,242.378366639289,4.81,9.35,13.69,85,165,242,wk inc covid hosp,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,2025-01-08,"January 11, 2025","January 08, 2025","January 11, 2025",CovidHub-ensemble +West Virginia,1,4.494481503678999,9.632444373499856,15.677186033168729,79.5469741821289,170.482802802143,277.467536935707,4.49,9.63,15.68,80,170,277,wk inc covid hosp,2025-01-18,2025-01-11,2025-01-08,"January 18, 2025","January 08, 2025","January 11, 2025",CovidHub-ensemble +West Virginia,2,3.6030423383028634,9.27132942599802,16.87164271300528,63.7695617675781,164.091497958148,298.607998765365,3.6,9.27,16.87,64,164,299,wk inc covid hosp,2025-01-25,2025-01-11,2025-01-08,"January 25, 2025","January 08, 2025","January 11, 2025",CovidHub-ensemble +Wisconsin,0,6.30669213636461,9.336649984494814,12.36974958279593,372.698891018333,551.756613420709,731,6.31,9.34,12.37,373,552,731,wk inc covid hosp,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,2025-01-08,"January 11, 2025","January 08, 2025","January 11, 2025",CovidHub-ensemble +Wisconsin,1,5.789351927782492,10.000558009875714,14.185696309223585,342.12626786681,590.990776028853,838.314788236689,5.79,10,14.19,342,591,838,wk inc covid hosp,2025-01-18,2025-01-11,2025-01-08,"January 18, 2025","January 08, 2025","January 11, 2025",CovidHub-ensemble +Wisconsin,2,5.2964864834680245,10.677313619276063,15.093864217674275,313,630.984176635742,891.983679157551,5.3,10.68,15.09,313,631,892,wk inc covid hosp,2025-01-25,2025-01-11,2025-01-08,"January 25, 2025","January 08, 2025","January 11, 2025",CovidHub-ensemble +Wyoming,0,3.7072315109392977,8.27906438196253,16.136631498635083,21.5499884838297,48.1258700897729,93.8015934363058,3.71,8.28,16.14,22,48,94,wk inc covid hosp,2025-01-11,2025-01-11,2025-01-08,"January 11, 2025","January 08, 2025","January 11, 2025",CovidHub-ensemble +Wyoming,1,3.463514127190898,8.129028274095383,15.700620406756318,20.1332690807956,47.2537161961855,91.2670783996582,3.46,8.13,15.7,20,47,91,wk inc covid hosp,2025-01-18,2025-01-11,2025-01-08,"January 18, 2025","January 08, 2025","January 11, 2025",CovidHub-ensemble +Wyoming,2,3.3959918980763324,8.034400842116169,16.3677369188847,19.7407650638418,46.7036507191876,95.145,3.4,8.03,16.37,20,47,95,wk inc covid hosp,2025-01-25,2025-01-11,2025-01-08,"January 25, 2025","January 08, 2025","January 11, 2025",CovidHub-ensemble diff --git a/weekly-summaries/2025-01-11/2025-01-11_covid_target_hospital_admissions_data.csv b/weekly-summaries/2025-01-11/2025-01-11_covid_target_hospital_admissions_data.csv new file mode 100644 index 00000000..58b05b7c --- /dev/null +++ b/weekly-summaries/2025-01-11/2025-01-11_covid_target_hospital_admissions_data.csv @@ -0,0 +1,12244 @@ +week_ending_date,location,location_name,value +2020-08-08,02,Alaska,49 +2020-08-15,02,Alaska,48 +2020-08-22,02,Alaska,63 +2020-08-29,02,Alaska,56 +2020-09-05,02,Alaska,61 +2020-09-12,02,Alaska,56 +2020-09-19,02,Alaska,67 +2020-09-26,02,Alaska,46 +2020-10-03,02,Alaska,33 +2020-10-10,02,Alaska,38 +2020-10-17,02,Alaska,62 +2020-10-24,02,Alaska,54 +2020-10-31,02,Alaska,69 +2020-11-07,02,Alaska,91 +2020-11-14,02,Alaska,121 +2020-11-21,02,Alaska,121 +2020-11-28,02,Alaska,154 +2020-12-05,02,Alaska,134 +2020-12-12,02,Alaska,102 +2020-12-19,02,Alaska,100 +2020-12-26,02,Alaska,60 +2021-01-02,02,Alaska,69 +2021-01-09,02,Alaska,76 +2021-01-16,02,Alaska,54 +2021-01-23,02,Alaska,35 +2021-01-30,02,Alaska,29 +2021-02-06,02,Alaska,25 +2021-02-13,02,Alaska,26 +2021-02-20,02,Alaska,37 +2021-02-27,02,Alaska,33 +2021-03-06,02,Alaska,30 +2021-03-13,02,Alaska,31 +2021-03-20,02,Alaska,42 +2021-03-27,02,Alaska,33 +2021-04-03,02,Alaska,45 +2021-04-10,02,Alaska,43 +2021-04-17,02,Alaska,33 +2021-04-24,02,Alaska,50 +2021-05-01,02,Alaska,48 +2021-05-08,02,Alaska,33 +2021-05-15,02,Alaska,31 +2021-05-22,02,Alaska,16 +2021-05-29,02,Alaska,16 +2021-06-05,02,Alaska,25 +2021-06-12,02,Alaska,17 +2021-06-19,02,Alaska,9 +2021-06-26,02,Alaska,13 +2021-07-03,02,Alaska,18 +2021-07-10,02,Alaska,36 +2021-07-17,02,Alaska,46 +2021-07-24,02,Alaska,76 +2021-07-31,02,Alaska,91 +2021-08-07,02,Alaska,85 +2021-08-14,02,Alaska,123 +2021-08-21,02,Alaska,122 +2021-08-28,02,Alaska,131 +2021-09-04,02,Alaska,154 +2021-09-11,02,Alaska,199 +2021-09-18,02,Alaska,192 +2021-09-25,02,Alaska,182 +2021-10-02,02,Alaska,156 +2021-10-09,02,Alaska,147 +2021-10-16,02,Alaska,188 +2021-10-23,02,Alaska,183 +2021-10-30,02,Alaska,174 +2021-11-06,02,Alaska,120 +2021-11-13,02,Alaska,142 +2021-11-20,02,Alaska,92 +2021-11-27,02,Alaska,80 +2021-12-04,02,Alaska,62 +2021-12-11,02,Alaska,60 +2021-12-18,02,Alaska,58 +2021-12-25,02,Alaska,45 +2022-01-01,02,Alaska,51 +2022-01-08,02,Alaska,88 +2022-01-15,02,Alaska,117 +2022-01-22,02,Alaska,149 +2022-01-29,02,Alaska,162 +2022-02-05,02,Alaska,116 +2022-02-12,02,Alaska,102 +2022-02-19,02,Alaska,87 +2022-02-26,02,Alaska,61 +2022-03-05,02,Alaska,51 +2022-03-12,02,Alaska,38 +2022-03-19,02,Alaska,33 +2022-03-26,02,Alaska,42 +2022-04-02,02,Alaska,40 +2022-04-09,02,Alaska,36 +2022-04-16,02,Alaska,28 +2022-04-23,02,Alaska,32 +2022-04-30,02,Alaska,44 +2022-05-07,02,Alaska,45 +2022-05-14,02,Alaska,50 +2022-05-21,02,Alaska,43 +2022-05-28,02,Alaska,67 +2022-06-04,02,Alaska,63 +2022-06-11,02,Alaska,71 +2022-06-18,02,Alaska,68 +2022-06-25,02,Alaska,99 +2022-07-02,02,Alaska,101 +2022-07-09,02,Alaska,94 +2022-07-16,02,Alaska,102 +2022-07-23,02,Alaska,109 +2022-07-30,02,Alaska,131 +2022-08-06,02,Alaska,108 +2022-08-13,02,Alaska,109 +2022-08-20,02,Alaska,88 +2022-08-27,02,Alaska,91 +2022-09-03,02,Alaska,75 +2022-09-10,02,Alaska,69 +2022-09-17,02,Alaska,53 +2022-09-24,02,Alaska,40 +2022-10-01,02,Alaska,44 +2022-10-08,02,Alaska,32 +2022-10-15,02,Alaska,40 +2022-10-22,02,Alaska,39 +2022-10-29,02,Alaska,31 +2022-11-05,02,Alaska,25 +2022-11-12,02,Alaska,35 +2022-11-19,02,Alaska,28 +2022-11-26,02,Alaska,42 +2022-12-03,02,Alaska,44 +2022-12-10,02,Alaska,50 +2022-12-17,02,Alaska,45 +2022-12-24,02,Alaska,25 +2022-12-31,02,Alaska,32 +2023-01-07,02,Alaska,39 +2023-01-14,02,Alaska,36 +2023-01-21,02,Alaska,47 +2023-01-28,02,Alaska,49 +2023-02-04,02,Alaska,42 +2023-02-11,02,Alaska,44 +2023-02-18,02,Alaska,40 +2023-02-25,02,Alaska,34 +2023-03-04,02,Alaska,50 +2023-03-11,02,Alaska,29 +2023-03-18,02,Alaska,42 +2023-03-25,02,Alaska,40 +2023-04-01,02,Alaska,36 +2023-04-08,02,Alaska,34 +2023-04-15,02,Alaska,26 +2023-04-22,02,Alaska,22 +2023-04-29,02,Alaska,24 +2023-05-06,02,Alaska,29 +2023-05-13,02,Alaska,29 +2023-05-20,02,Alaska,10 +2023-05-27,02,Alaska,22 +2023-06-03,02,Alaska,19 +2023-06-10,02,Alaska,32 +2023-06-17,02,Alaska,23 +2023-06-24,02,Alaska,25 +2023-07-01,02,Alaska,23 +2023-07-08,02,Alaska,25 +2023-07-15,02,Alaska,26 +2023-07-22,02,Alaska,21 +2023-07-29,02,Alaska,25 +2023-08-05,02,Alaska,19 +2023-08-12,02,Alaska,33 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+2024-10-19,56,Wyoming,2 +2024-10-26,56,Wyoming,41 +2024-11-02,56,Wyoming,31 +2024-11-09,56,Wyoming,61 +2024-11-16,56,Wyoming,48 +2024-11-23,56,Wyoming,31 +2024-11-30,56,Wyoming,47 +2024-12-07,56,Wyoming,42 +2024-12-14,56,Wyoming,55 +2024-12-21,56,Wyoming,35 +2024-12-28,56,Wyoming,93 +2025-01-04,56,Wyoming,48 diff --git a/weekly-summaries/2025-01-11/2025-01-11_webtext.md b/weekly-summaries/2025-01-11/2025-01-11_webtext.md new file mode 100644 index 00000000..3960dadd --- /dev/null +++ b/weekly-summaries/2025-01-11/2025-01-11_webtext.md @@ -0,0 +1,16 @@ +This week's ensemble predicts that the number of new weekly laboratory confirmed COVID-19 hospital admissions will be approximately 20000 nationally, with 9900 to 32000 laboratory confirmed COVID-19 hospital admissions likely reported in the week ending January 25, 2025. + +Reported and forecasted new COVID-19 hospital admissions as of January 08, 2025. This week, 8 modeling groups contributed 9 forecasts that were eligible for inclusion in the ensemble forecasts for at least one jurisdiction. + +The figure shows the number of new laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 hospital admissions reported in the United States each week from August 08, 2020 through January 04, 2025 and forecasted new COVID-19 hospital admissions per week for this week and the next 2 weeks through January 25, 2025. + +Contributing teams and models: +[CEPH Lab at Indiana University (Model: Rtrend_covid)](https://publichealth.indiana.edu/research/faculty-directory/profile.html?user=majelli) +[Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group (Model: TimeSeries)](https://github.com/cmu-delphi/exploration-tooling/) +[MOBS Lab at Northeastern University (Model: GLEAM_COVID)](https://www.mobs-lab.org/) +[Metaculus (Model: cp)](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/30049/us-covid-hospitalization-forecasts-2024-25/) +[MOBS Lab at Northeastern University and ISI Foundation (Model: AdaptiveEnsemble)](https://www.isi.it/) +[One Health Trust and Johns Hopkins University (Model: nbxd)](https://github.com/CDDEP-DC/nbeats-xd) +[University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering (Model: DeepOutbreak)](https://alrodri.engin.umich.edu/) +[UMass-Amherst (Model: ar6_pooled)](https://github.com/reichlab/idmodels) +[UMass-Amherst (Model: gbqr)](https://github.com/reichlab/idmodels)