Merge pull request #20 from henrifnk/05_nao

final work (rmd, code and figures)

book.bib

@@ -80,7 +80,7 @@ @article{du
   publisher={Elsevier}
 }
 
-@article{hurrell,
+@article{hurrell2010,
   title={North Atlantic climate variability: the role of the North Atlantic Oscillation},
   author={Hurrell, James W and Deser, Clara},
   journal={Journal of marine systems},
@@ -185,6 +185,143 @@ @article{zscheischler
   publisher={Elsevier}
 }
 
+@article{hurrell2003,
+  title={An overview of the North Atlantic oscillation},
+  author={Hurrell, James W and Kushnir, Yochanan and Ottersen, Geir and Visbeck, Martin},
+  journal={Geophysical Monograph-American Geophysical Union},
+  volume={134},
+  pages={1--36},
+  year={2003},
+  publisher={AGU AMERICAN GEOPHYSICAL UNION}
+}
+
+@article{hurrell1997,
+  title={Decadal variations in climate associated with the North Atlantic Oscillation},
+  author={Hurrell, James W and Van Loon, Harry},
+  journal={Climatic change},
+  volume={36},
+  number={3},
+  pages={301--326},
+  year={1997},
+  publisher={Springer}
+}
+
+@article{ottersen2001,
+  title={Ecological effects of the North Atlantic oscillation},
+  author={Ottersen, Geir and Planque, Benjamin and Belgrano, Andrea and Post, Eric and Reid, Philip C and Stenseth, Nils C},
+  journal={Oecologia},
+  volume={128},
+  pages={1--14},
+  year={2001},
+  publisher={Springer}
+}
+
+@article{rousi2020,
+  title={Implications of winter NAO flavors on present and future European climate},
+  author={Rousi, Efi and Rust, Henning W and Ulbrich, Uwe and Anagnostopoulou, Christina},
+  journal={Climate},
+  volume={8},
+  number={1},
+  pages={13},
+  year={2020},
+  publisher={MDPI}
+}
+
+@article{athanasiadis2009,
+  title={Linear contributions of different time scales to teleconnectivity},
+  author={Athanasiadis, Panos J and Ambaum, Maarten HP},
+  journal={Journal of Climate},
+  volume={22},
+  number={13},
+  pages={3720--3728},
+  year={2009},
+  publisher={American Meteorological Society}
+}
+
+@article{wallace1981,
+  title={Teleconnections in the geopotential height field during the Northern Hemisphere winter},
+  author={Wallace, John M and Gutzler, David S},
+  journal={Monthly weather review},
+  volume={109},
+  number={4},
+  pages={784--812},
+  year={1981}
+}
+
+@incollection{wilks2011,
+  title={Principal component (EOF) analysis},
+  author={Wilks, Daniel S},
+  booktitle={International Geophysics},
+  volume={100},
+  pages={519--562},
+  year={2011},
+  publisher={Elsevier}
+}
+
+@article{michelangeli1995,
+  title={Weather regimes: Recurrence and quasi stationarity},
+  author={Michelangeli, Paul-Antoine and Vautard, Robert and Legras, Bernard},
+  journal={Journal of the atmospheric sciences},
+  volume={52},
+  number={8},
+  pages={1237--1256},
+  year={1995},
+  publisher={American Meteorological Society}
+}
+
+@article{gillett2003,
+  title={Climate change and the North Atlantic oscillation},
+  author={Gillett, Nathan P and Graf, Hans F and Osborn, Tim J},
+  journal={Geophysical Monograph-American Geophysical Union},
+  volume={134},
+  pages={193--210},
+  year={2003},
+  publisher={AGU AMERICAN GEOPHYSICAL UNION}
+}
+
+@misc{geopotential2023,
+  author       = {Hersbach, H., Bell, B., Berrisford, P., Biavati, G., Horányi, A., Muñoz Sabater, J., Nicolas, J., Peubey, C., Radu, R., Rozum, I., Schepers, D., Simmons, A., Soci, C., Dee, D., Thépaut, J-N},
+  title        = {ERA5 monthly averaged data on pressure levels from 1940 to present},
+  year         = 2023,
+  publisher    = {Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S) Climate Data Store (CDS)},
+  doi          = {10.24381/cds.6860a573},
+  note         = {Accessed on 07-07-2024}
+}
+
+@misc{mean_sea_level2023,
+  author       = {Hersbach, H., Bell, B., Berrisford, P., Biavati, G., Horányi, A., Muñoz Sabater, J., Nicolas, J., Peubey, C., Radu, R., Rozum, I., Schepers, D., Simmons, A., Soci, C., Dee, D., Thépaut, J-N},
+  title        = {ERA5 monthly averaged data on single levels from 1940 to present},
+  year         = 2023,
+  publisher    = {Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S) Climate Data Store (CDS)},
+  doi          = {10.24381/cds.f17050d7},
+  note         = {Accessed on 18-06-2024}
+}
+
+@misc{nao_index_2003,
+  author       = {Hurrell, James W.},
+  title        = {NAO Index Data provided by the Climate Analysis Section, NCAR, Boulder, USA},
+  year         = 2003,
+  note         = {Updated regularly. Accessed 10 June 2024},
+  url          = {https://climatedataguide.ucar.edu/climate-data/hurrell-north-atlantic-oscillation-nao-index-station-based}
+}
+
+@misc{NAO_phase2013,
+  author = {MuchAdoAboutClimate},
+  title = {Positive and negative phase of the North Atlantic Oscillation},
+  year = {2013},
+  note         = {Accessed on 18-06-2024},
+  url = {https://muchadoaboutclimate.wordpress.com/2013/09/06/the-north-atlantic-oscillation/}
+}
+
+@misc{feldstein2017,
+  title={Atmospheric teleconnection patterns},
+  author={Feldstein, Steven B and Franzke, Christian LE},
+  journal={Nonlinear and stochastic climate dynamics},
+  pages={54--104},
+  year={2017},
+  publisher={Cambridge University Press New York, NY, USA}
+}
+
 @article{Van_Daalen2024-ut,
   title    = "The 2024 Europe report of the Lancet Countdown on health and
               climate change: unprecedented warming demands unprecedented
@@ -832,7 +969,7 @@ @article{hoggHoggEcoAnxietyScale2021
   doi = {10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2021.102391},
   urldate = {2024-04-27},
   abstract = {Anxiety relating to a multitude of ecological crises, or eco-anxiety, is a subject of growing research significance. We used a multi-study mixed-methods design to explore eco-anxiety in Australia and New Zealand, validating a new eco-anxiety scale. In Study One, we developed and tested a 7-item eco-anxiety scale (n~=~334), finding that this captured some, but not all, experiences of eco-anxiety. We found that people were anxious about a range of environmental conditions and their personal negative impact on the planet. Notably, people's anxiety about different environmental conditions (e.g., climate change, environmental degradation, pollution) were interconnected, lending support for the existence of eco-anxiety (a broader construct that encompasses climate change anxiety). These results informed further scale development in Study Two. Exploratory (n~=~365) and Confirmatory Factor Analysis (n~=~370) supported a final 13-item scale that captured four dimensions of eco-anxiety: affective symptoms, rumination, behavioural symptoms, and anxiety about one's negative impact on the planet, which were each distinct from stress, anxiety and depression. A further longitudinal sample (n~=~189) established the stability of these factors across time. Findings support eco-anxiety as a quantifiable psychological experience, reliably measured using our 13-item eco-anxiety scale, and differentiated from mental health outcomes.},
-  keywords = {Anxiety,Climate change,Climate change anxiety,Eco-anxiety,Eco-anxiety scale,Wellbeing},
+  keywords = {Anxiety,Climate change,Climate change anxiety,Eco-anxiety,Eco-anxiety scale,Wellbeing},fao_2023,
   file = {/Users/Nina/Zotero/storage/U8W5VBS8/Hogg et al. - 2021 - The Hogg Eco-Anxiety Scale Development and valida.pdf;/Users/Nina/Zotero/storage/LLU86KZC/S0959378021001709.html}
 }
 
@@ -1577,4 +1714,4 @@ @Article{hess-26-2431-2022
 pages = {2431--2448},
 url = {https://hess.copernicus.org/articles/26/2431/2022/},
 doi = {10.5194/hess-26-2431-2022}
-}
+}

work/05_nao/data/nao_index_data.txt

@@ -0,0 +1,162 @@
+Year Index
+1864  -1.02
+1865  -1.24
+1866   0.54
+1867  -1.38
+1868   2.81
+1869   1.70
+1870  -3.01
+1871  -1.01
+1872  -0.76
+1873  -0.50
+1874   2.32
+1875  -1.35
+1876   0.21
+1877   0.05
+1878   1.46
+1879  -2.22
+1880   0.89
+1881  -3.80
+1882   3.87
+1883  -0.23
+1884   1.44
+1885  -0.89
+1886  -1.12
+1887   0.45
+1888  -2.75
+1889  -0.01
+1890   1.78
+1891  -0.82
+1892  -2.02
+1893  -1.07
+1894   2.68
+1895  -3.97
+1896   1.12
+1897   1.09
+1898   1.02
+1899   0.03
+1900  -2.13
+1901  -0.33
+1902  -1.41
+1903   3.89
+1904   0.23
+1905   1.98
+1906   2.06
+1907   2.06
+1908   1.44
+1909   0.00
+1910   2.10
+1911   0.29
+1912   0.24
+1913   2.69
+1914   1.48
+1915  -0.20
+1916  -0.69
+1917  -3.80
+1918  -0.80
+1919  -0.80
+1920   3.18
+1921   1.63
+1922   1.85
+1923   1.73
+1924  -1.13
+1925   2.39
+1926   0.11
+1927   1.72
+1928   0.63
+1929  -1.03
+1930   0.91
+1931  -0.16
+1932  -0.50
+1933   0.25
+1934   0.86
+1935   0.97
+1936  -3.89
+1937   0.72
+1938   1.79
+1939   0.37
+1940  -2.86
+1941  -2.31
+1942  -0.55
+1943   1.48
+1944   0.61
+1945   1.64
+1946   0.27
+1947  -2.71
+1948   1.34
+1949   1.87
+1950   1.40
+1951  -1.26
+1952   0.83
+1953   0.18
+1954   0.13
+1955  -2.52
+1956  -1.73
+1957   1.52
+1958  -1.02
+1959  -0.37
+1960  -1.54
+1961   1.80
+1962  -2.38
+1963  -3.60
+1964  -2.86
+1965  -2.88
+1966  -1.69
+1967   1.28
+1968  -1.04
+1969  -4.89
+1970  -1.89
+1971  -0.96
+1972   0.34
+1973   2.52
+1974   1.23
+1975   1.63
+1976   1.37
+1977  -2.14
+1978   0.17
+1979  -2.25
+1980   0.56
+1981   2.05
+1982   0.80
+1983   3.42
+1984   1.60
+1985  -0.63
+1986   0.50
+1987  -0.75
+1988   0.72
+1989   5.08
+1990   3.96
+1991   1.03
+1992   3.28
+1993   2.67
+1994   3.03
+1995   3.96
+1996  -3.78
+1997  -0.17
+1998   0.72
+1999   1.70
+2000   2.80
+2001  -1.90
+2002   0.76
+2003   0.20
+2004  -0.07
+2005   0.12
+2006  -1.09
+2007   2.79
+2008   2.10
+2009  -0.41
+2010  -4.64
+2011  -1.57
+2012   3.17
+2013  -1.97
+2014   3.10
+2015   3.56
+2016   0.98
+2017   1.47
+2018   0.30
+2019   2.09
+2020   3.63
+2021  -0.38
+2022   1.93
+2023  -0.52
+